Essential Report

Job security

Oct 18, 2010

 Q. How concerned are you that you or some member of your immediate family will lose their job in the next year or so: very concerned, somewhat concerned, or not at all concerned?

  16 Feb 09 27 Apr 09 8 Jun 09 5 Oct 09 18 Jan 10 29 Mar 10 28 Jun 10 18 Oct 10
Total concerned 62% 67% 52% 49% 45% 39% 43% 40%
Very concerned 22% 24% 13% 14% 12% 10% 9% 11%
Somewhat concerned 40% 43% 39% 35% 33% 29% 34% 29%
Not at all concerned 29% 23% 35% 40% 40% 45% 38% 42%
Don’t know 4% 5% 6% 6% 8% 7% 12% 10%
No employees in the immediate family 5% 5% 8% 5% 8% 9% 7% 7%

 

 40% were concerned that they or some member of their immediate family will lose their job in the next year or so and 42% were not at all concerned – a net positive movement of 7% since the last survey in June.

 Full-time workers (40% concerned/48% not concerned) were more optimistic than part-time workers (53% concerened/37% not concerned). Comments »

Main reason for vote

Aug 20, 2010

Q. Which one of the following is the main reason why you will vote for that party?

  Total Vote Labor Vote Lib/Nat Vote Greens
Better at handling Australia’s economy 22% 14% 41% 2%
They are more likely to represent the interests of all Australians 14% 16% 11% 17%
Better at looking after the interests people like me 13% 17% 10% 16%
More trustworthy than the other parties 9% 7% 5% 22%
They are more capable of governing effectively than the other parties 9% 5% 17% 2%
They have a better leader 8% 16% 4% 2%
I always vote for the same party 6% 9% 5% 2%
They have better policies on things like education and health 5% 9% 3% 3%
They have better policies on things like environment and climate change 3% * 27%
They have better policies on things like industrial relations and supporting Australian workers 2% 4% *
They have better policies on things like national security and immigration 1% 1% 3% 1%
No reason 7% 2% 2% 5%

Main reasons for voting Labor are looking after interests of people like me, better leader and representing the interests of all Australians. Main reasons for voting for the Coalition are handling the economy and more capable of governing. Greens voters rate policies on the environment and climate change and trustworthiness most important. Comments »

Importance of Issues in Voting

Aug 16, 2010

 

Q. How important are the following in deciding which party you will vote for?

  Top priority Very important Quite important Not so important Don’t know
Better at handling Australia’s economy 37% 48% 10% 1% 4%
They have better policies on things like education and health 31% 47% 16% 1% 4%
They are more capable of governing effectively than the other parties 30% 47% 16% 1% 6%
They are more likely to represent the interests of all Australians 30% 45% 18% 3% 5%
They will do things that help me and my family 28% 42% 21% 4% 5%
They have better policies on things like national security and immigration 24% 42% 22% 6% 5%
Better at looking after the interests people like me 23% 47% 22% 4% 4%
They have better policies on things like industrial relations and supporting Australian workers 23% 44% 24% 4% 5%
More trustworthy than the other parties 22% 44% 21% 5% 8%
They have better policies on things like environment and climate change 21% 41% 23% 9% 5%
They have a better leader 16% 40% 28% 8% 7%
I always vote for them 9% 15% 24% 42% 10%

 Key factors in deciding which party to vote for are handling the economy (37% top priority), policies on education and health (31%), capable of governing effectively (30%) and representing the interests of all Australians (30%). Comments »

Importance of Issues in Voting – by Party

Aug 16, 2010

Q. How important are the following in deciding which party you will vote for?

Top priority Total Vote Labor Vote Lib/Nat Vote Greens
Better at handling Australia’s economy 37% 33% 51% 19%
They have better policies on things like education and health 31% 41% 25% 35%
They are more capable of governing effectively than the other parties 30% 30% 35% 18%
They are more likely to represent the interests of all Australians 30% 36% 25% 25%
They will do things that help me and my family 28% 32% 27% 17%
They have better policies on things like national security and immigration 24% 24% 29% 20%
Better at looking after the interests people like me 23% 27% 21% 22%
They have better policies on things like industrial relations and supporting Australian workers 23% 36% 17% 20%
More trustworthy than the other parties 22% 23% 23% 21%
They have better policies on things like environment and climate change 21% 26% 13% 46%
They have a better leader 16% 24% 14% 13%
I always vote for them 9% 11% 11% 6%

 The most important issues for Labor voters are policies on education and health (41% top priority), representing the interests of all Australians (36%), policies on industrial relations and supporting workers (36%) and doing things to help me and my family (32%).

For Liberal/National voters the key issues are handling the economy (51% top priority), capable of governing effectively (35%) and policies on national security and immigration (29%).

The major issue for Greens voters is policies on the environment and climate change (46%).  Comments »

Handling another GFC

Aug 16, 2010

Q. If another global financial crisis develops in the next few years, which leader and party do you think would be best to handle it?

  Total Vote Labor Vote Lib/Nat Vote Greens
Julia Gillard and the Labor Party 42% 88% 5% 66%
Tony Abbott and the Liberal Party 35% 2% 80% 6%
Don’t know 23% 11% 15% 27%

42% think Julia Gillard and the Labor Party would be best at handling another global financial crisis if it was to develop and 35% think Tony Abbott and the Liberal Party would be best.

Those aged 25-54 prefer the Labor Party over the Liberals 46% to 30%, while those aged 55+ prefer the Liberal Party 48% to 36%. Comments »

Important Issues

Jul 19, 2010

Q. Which are the three most important issues in deciding how you would vote at a Federal election?

  First Second Third Total Total

10 May 10

Difference
Management of the economy 38% 18% 7% 63% 62% +1%
Ensuring the quality of Australia’s health system  16% 20% 19% 55% 50% +5%
Australian jobs and protection of local industries 7% 8% 9% 24% 29% -5%
Ensuring a quality education for all children 4% 11% 9% 24% 19% +5%
Ensuring a fair taxation system 4% 6% 8% 18% 22% -4%
Protecting the environment 5% 5% 5% 15% 13% +2%
Political leadership 6% 3% 4% 13% 12% +1%
Housing affordability 4% 4% 5% 13% 17% -4%
Addressing climate change 4% 4% 4% 12% 12%
Controlling interest rates 3% 5% 4% 12% 16% -4%
Managing population growth 1% 4% 7% 12% 14% -2%
Treatment of asylum seekers 4% 3% 4% 11% *  
A fair industrial relations system 2% 4% 5% 11% 9% +2%
Security and the war on terrorism 1% 2% 5% 8% 7% +1%
Ensuring a quality water supply 1% 1% 4% 6% 7% -1%

*Not asked in May 2010 poll

The most important election issues were management of the economy, the quality of the health system, jobs and local industry and a quality education for all children.

Since this issue was last polled in May, health and education have increased in importance (both +5%) and Australian jobs and protection of local industry declined 5%. Comments »

Party best at Handling Issues

Jul 19, 2010

Q. And which party would you trust most to handle the following issues?

  Labor Liberal Greens Don’t know
A fair industrial relations system 45% 24% 5% 26%
Ensuring a quality education for all children 41% 25% 4% 29%
Australian jobs and protection of local industries 42% 28% 3% 27%
Ensuring the quality of Australia’s health system  38% 27% 4% 31%
Ensuring a fair taxation system 36% 28% 4% 32%
Housing affordability 30% 24% 4% 41%
Political leadership 33% 30% 5% 33%
Ensuring a quality water supply 23% 23% 22% 32%
Managing population growth 24% 27% 9% 40%
Security and the war on terrorism 25% 30% 3% 42%
Management of the economy 32% 38% 3% 27%
Treatment of asylum seekers 23% 29% 11% 37%
Controlling interest rates 28% 35% 2% 35%
Addressing climate change 18% 16% 36% 29%
Protecting the environment 17% 13% 47% 23%

 Labor have a substantial lead over the Liberal Party as the best party to handle a fair industrial relations system (+21%), quality education for all (+16%), Australian jobs and protection of industries (+14%) and ensuring the quality of Australia’s health system (+11%).

 The Liberal Party’s main strengths were controlling interest rates (+7%), treatment of asylum seekers (+6%) and management of the economy  (+6%).

The Greens were thought to be the best party for protecting the environment (47%) and addressing climate change (36%). Comments »

Economic conditions in Australia over the next 12 months

Jun 28, 2010

Q. Over the next 12 months do you think economic conditions in Australia will get better, get worse or stay much the same?

1 Dec 08 15 Jun 09 5 Oct 09 18 Jan 10 29 Mar 10 28 Jun 10
Total better 21% 43% 66% 53% 54% 33%
Total worse 61% 37% 15% 19% 19% 31%
Get a lot better 2% 5% 8% 9% 9% 5%
Get a little better 19% 38% 58% 44% 45% 28%
Get a little worse 45% 28% 11% 14% 13% 23%
Get a lot worse 16% 9% 4% 5% 6% 8%
Stay much the same 13% 17% 15% 24% 22% 30%
No opinion 5% 3% 4% 4% 6% 7%

Respondents were divided over whether the economy will get better or worse over the next 12 months – 33% (down 21%) think it will get better and 31% (up 12%) worse. 30% (up 8%) think it will stay much the same.

This is a considerable negative shift from the results over the last 12 months.  Men (38% better/29% worse) were somewhat more optimistic than women (28%/32%) Comments »

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