15 July 2013, 150713, kevin rudd, preferred PM, tony abbott
Q. Who do you think would make the better Prime Minister out of Kevin Rudd and Tony Abbott?
|
Rudd/ |
Gillard/ Abbott |
Gillard/ Abbott |
|
Rudd/ Abbott |
Vote Labor |
Vote Lib/Nat |
Vote Greens |
|
| Julia Gillard/Kevin Rudd |
47% |
53% |
39% |
50% |
94% |
10% |
84% |
|
| Tony Abbott |
30% |
26% |
40% |
35% |
2% |
72% |
6% |
|
| Don’t know |
23% |
21% |
21% |
15% |
3% |
18% |
10% |
50% believe Kevin Rudd would make the better Prime Minister and 35% prefer Tony Abbott.
Men prefer Kevin Rudd 51%/36% and women prefer Kevin Rudd 49%/33%.
15 July 2013, 150713, kevin rudd, Labor Party, leader election
Q. Do you approve or disapprove of Kevin Rudd’s proposal for the leader of the Labor Party to be elected by both the Members of Parliament and the party members?
|
|
Total
|
|
Vote Labor |
Vote Lib/Nat |
Vote Greens |
| Total approve |
56% |
73% |
45% |
64% |
|
| Total disapprove |
19% |
9% |
30% |
11% |
|
| Strongly approve |
18% |
33% |
7% |
29% |
|
| Approve |
38% |
40% |
38% |
35% |
|
| Disapprove |
11% |
8% |
14% |
7% |
|
| Strongly disapprove |
8% |
1% |
16% |
4% |
|
| Don’t know |
25% |
18% |
25% |
25% |
56% approve of Kevin Rudd’s proposal for election of the party leader and 19% disapprove. 73% of Labor voters approve.
15 July 2013, 150713, Australian economy, State of the Economy
Q. Overall, how would you describe the current state of the Australian economy?
|
|
28 May 12 |
8 Apr 13 |
|
Total 15 Jul 13
|
|
Vote Labor |
Vote Lib/Nat |
Vote Greens |
| Total good |
35% |
45% |
36% |
59% |
18% |
54% |
||
| Total poor |
29% |
26% |
30% |
14% |
45% |
12% |
||
| Very good |
6% |
8% |
6% |
10% |
1% |
10% |
||
| Good |
29% |
37% |
30% |
49% |
17% |
44% |
||
| Neither good nor poor |
33% |
28% |
30% |
25% |
34% |
33% |
||
| Poor |
20% |
17% |
22% |
12% |
32% |
11% |
||
| Very poor |
9% |
9% |
8% |
2% |
13% |
1% |
||
| Don’t know |
2% |
2% |
3% |
3% |
2% |
2% |
36% described the economy as good or very good and 30% poor/very poor – 30% said it was neither. This represents a net decline from +19 to +6 since April.
Those most likely to think the economy was good/very good were people with incomes over $1,600pw (41%).
Those most likely to think the economy was poor/very poor were aged 55+ (35%) and people with incomes under $600pw (36%).
15 July 2013, 150713, Australian economy
Q. From what you have read and heard, do you think the Australian economy is heading in the right direction or the wrong direction?
|
17 May 10 |
9 |
4 |
26 Mar 12 |
18 |
29 |
|
Total
|
|
Vote ALP |
Vote |
Vote Greens |
|
| The right direction |
51% |
45% |
37% |
36% |
43% |
36% |
38% |
66% |
18% |
46% |
||
| The wrong direction |
25% |
29% |
43% |
41% |
32% |
39% |
42% |
15% |
66% |
30% |
||
| Don’t know |
24% |
25% |
20% |
22% |
25% |
25% |
20% |
18% |
16% |
24% |
38% of respondents think that Australia’s economy is heading in the right direction – 42% think it is heading in the wrong direction. Since this question was asked in April, “right direction” has increased 2% and “wrong direction” increased 3%.
66% (down 2%) of Labor voters, 18% (down 3%) of Liberal/National voters and 46% (up 1%) of Greens voters think the economy is heading in the right direction. 43% of men think the economy is heading in the right direction compared to 34% of women.
15 July 2013, 150713, candidates, election 2013, federal politics, print material, tv ads by political parties
Q. Thinking about Federal politics and the election, which of the following have you personally done in the last week?
|
|
Total
|
|
Vote Labor |
Vote Lib/Nat |
Vote Greens |
| Seen any TV advertising by political parties |
43% |
46% |
44% |
38% |
|
| Received printed material from candidates. |
27% |
26% |
27% |
35% |
|
| Read about Federal politics in a newspaper |
41% |
43% |
43% |
39% |
|
| Watched Federal politicians on TV |
56% |
63% |
54% |
57% |
|
| Listened to Federal politicians on the radio |
22% |
21% |
22% |
32% |
|
| Listened to commentators talking about Federal politics on the radio |
30% |
32% |
29% |
34% |
|
| Watched commentators talking about Federal politics on the TV |
48% |
54% |
47% |
47% |
|
| Read anything about Federal politics on the internet |
39% |
47% |
33% |
49% |
|
| Discussed Federal politics and the election with friends or family |
50% |
56% |
46% |
60% |
TV was the most common way for respondents to engage with politics over the past week. 56% said they had watched Federal politicians on TV and 48% had watched commentators talking about Federal politics on TV.
Labor voters were more likely to watch politicians (63%) or commentators (54%) on TV and also more likely to use the internet to read about politics (47%).
There were some substantial differences by age group – 30% of respondents aged under 35 read about politics in a newspaper compared to 57% of those aged 55+ and 42% of aged under 35 watched politicians on TV compared to 71% of aged 55+.
08 July 2013, 080713, 2PP, federal politics, Greens, Labor Party, Liberal Party, two party preferred, Voting intention
Q. If a Federal Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward?
Q. If don’t know -Well which party are you currently leaning to?
Sample size = 1,778 respondent
| First preference/leaning to |
Election 21 Aug 10 |
|
4 weeks ago 11/6/13 |
2 weeks ago 24/6/13 |
Last week 1/7/13 |
This week 8/7/13 |
| Liberal |
|
44% |
44% |
43% |
42% |
|
| National |
3% |
3% |
3% |
4% |
||
| Total Lib/Nat |
43.6% |
47% |
47% |
46% |
46% |
|
| Labor |
38.0% |
36% |
34% |
36% |
38% |
|
| Greens |
11.8% |
8% |
8% |
9% |
8% |
|
| Other/Independent |
6.6% |
9% |
11% |
9% |
7% |
| 2 Party Preferred |
Election 21 Aug 10 |
|
4 weeks ago 11/6/13 |
2 weeks ago 24/6/13 |
Last week 1/7/13 |
This week 8/7/13 |
| Liberal National |
49.9% |
54% |
55% |
53% |
52% |
|
| Labor |
50.1% |
46% |
45% |
47% |
48% |
NB. The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived from the first preference/leaning to voting questions. Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results. The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2010 election.
08 July 2013, 080713, attributes of Kevin Rudd, leader attributes
Q. Which of the following describe your opinion of the Prime Minister, Kevin Rudd?
|
Julia Gillard 23 Jun 13 |
|
Kevin Rudd 8 Jul 13 |
Change |
|
| Intelligent |
69% |
77% |
+8 |
|
| Hard-working |
71% |
70% |
-1 |
|
| A capable leader |
44% |
58% |
+14 |
|
| Understands the problems facing Australia |
42% |
57% |
+15 |
|
| Good in a crisis |
41% |
53% |
+12 |
|
| Arrogant |
48% |
49% |
+1 |
|
| Erratic |
47% |
45% |
-2 |
|
| Superficial |
49% |
44% |
-5 |
|
| Aggressive |
45% |
43% |
-2 |
|
| Visionary |
32% |
43% |
+11 |
|
| Trustworthy |
30% |
42% |
+12 |
|
| More honest than most politicians |
30% |
41% |
+11 |
|
| Out of touch with ordinary people |
57% |
39% |
-18 |
|
| Intolerant |
39% |
37% |
-2 |
|
| Narrow-minded |
46% |
34% |
-12 |
Kevin Rudd’s key attributes were intelligent (77%), hard-working (70%), a capable leader (58%), understands the problems facing Australia (57%) and good in a crisis (53%).
He was rated substantially higher than Julia Gillard in terms of understanding the problems facing Australia (+15%), a capable leader (+14%), good in a crisis (+12%) and trustworthy (+12%) and substantially lower on being out of touch with ordinary people (-18%).
08 July 2013, 080713, Tony Abbott attributes
Q. Which of the following describe your opinion of the Opposition Leader, Tony Abbott?
|
5 Jul 10 |
27 Jun 11 |
2 Apr 12 |
14 jan 13 |
2 Apr 13 |
23 Jun 13 |
|
8 Jul 13 |
Change |
|
| Hard-working |
76% |
75% |
68% |
70% |
70% |
68% |
65% |
-3 |
|
| Intelligent |
70% |
61% |
56% |
64% |
63% |
62% |
60% |
-2 |
|
| Narrow-minded |
56% |
54% |
54% |
56% |
53% |
55% |
55% |
– |
|
| Arrogant |
59% |
60% |
61% |
61% |
56% |
59% |
54% |
-5 |
|
| Out of touch with ordinary people |
57% |
57% |
54% |
54% |
52% |
52% |
50% |
-2 |
|
| Aggressive |
– |
– |
– |
55% |
49% |
51% |
50% |
-1 |
|
| Superficial |
49% |
49% |
48% |
49% |
49% |
47% |
-2 |
||
| Intolerant |
– |
– |
– |
49% |
48% |
48% |
46% |
-2 |
|
| Erratic |
– |
– |
– |
51% |
45% |
47% |
45% |
-2 |
|
| Understands the problems facing Australia |
50% |
48% |
49% |
47% |
49% |
44% |
45% |
+1 |
|
| A capable leader |
47% |
45% |
41% |
43% |
47% |
44% |
42% |
-2 |
|
| Good in a crisis |
40% |
40% |
36% |
39% |
44% |
38% |
38% |
– |
|
| Trustworthy |
33% |
32% |
32% |
33% |
36% |
31% |
32% |
+1 |
|
| More honest than most politicians |
33% |
32% |
30% |
29% |
36% |
29% |
30% |
+1 |
|
| Visionary |
32% |
27% |
26% |
28% |
37% |
30% |
26% |
-4 |
Tony Abbott’s key attributes were hard-working (65%), intelligent (60%), narrow-minded (55%), arrogant (54%), out of touch with ordinary people (50%) and aggressive (50%).
Since last month the largest shifts have been for arrogant (-5%) and visionary (-4%).