comparison, kevin rudd, leader attributes, tony abbott
|
Rudd |
Abbott |
|
Difference |
|
| Intelligent |
77% |
60% |
+17 |
|
| Visionary |
43% |
26% |
+17 |
|
| A capable leader |
58% |
42% |
+16 |
|
| Good in a crisis |
53% |
38% |
+15 |
|
| Understands the problems facing Australia |
57% |
45% |
+12 |
|
| More honest than most politicians |
41% |
30% |
+11 |
|
| Trustworthy |
42% |
32% |
+10 |
|
| Hard-working |
70% |
65% |
+5 |
|
| Erratic |
45% |
45% |
– |
|
| Superficial |
44% |
47% |
-3 |
|
| Arrogant |
49% |
54% |
-5 |
|
| Aggressive |
43% |
50% |
-7 |
|
| Intolerant |
37% |
46% |
-9 |
|
| Out of touch with ordinary people |
39% |
50% |
-11 |
|
| Narrow-minded |
34% |
55% |
-21 |
Compared to Tony Abbott, Kevin Rudd is much more likely to be considered intelligent (+17), visionary (+17), a capable leader (+16) and good in a crisis (+15).
Tony Abbott is regarded by more respondents to be narrow-minded (-21) and out of touch with ordinary people (-11).
080713, kevin rudd, Labor party united
Q. Do you think that following the election of Kevin Rudd as leader, the Labor Party will be more united, less united or will it make no difference?
|
Total |
|
Vote Labor |
Vote Lib/Nat |
Vote Greens |
|
| Total more united |
49% |
75% |
33% |
56% |
|
| Total less united |
14% |
5% |
21% |
10% |
|
| Much more united |
17% |
33% |
9% |
10% |
|
| A little more united |
32% |
42% |
24% |
46% |
|
| A little less united |
7% |
4% |
10% |
4% |
|
| Much less united |
7% |
1% |
11% |
6% |
|
| Make no difference |
27% |
11% |
40% |
28% |
|
| Don’t know |
10% |
7% |
6% |
6% |
49% think that the Labor Party will be more united under Kevin Rudd’s leadership and 14% think it will be less united. 27% think it will make no difference.
57% of men think it will be more united compared to 41% of women.
08 July 2013, 080713, asylum seekers, Carbon Tax, Gonski, Labor Party policies, Mining tax, NBN, ndis
Q. Under Kevin Rudd’s leadership, do you think the Labor Party should dump, change or keep their policies on the following issues?
|
Dump |
Keep |
Change |
Don’t know |
|
| Handling of asylum seekers |
21% |
10% |
51% |
17% |
| Building the NBN |
14% |
50% |
15% |
15% |
| The mining tax |
29% |
30% |
24% |
18% |
| The carbon tax |
39% |
25% |
23% |
13% |
| The Gonski education reforms |
15% |
44% |
16% |
25% |
| The NDIS |
7% |
59% |
9% |
25% |
Respondents were most likely to think the Labor Party under Kevin Rudd should keep the NDIS (59%), building the NBN (50%) and the Gonski reforms (44%).
51% think it should change the policies around handling asylum seekers and 39% think it should dump the carbon tax. Opinions were divided over the mining tax – 30% keep, 29% dump and 24% change.
Labor voters were most in favour of keeping the NBN (78%), the mining tax (47%), the carbon tax (39%), the Gonski reforms (67%) and the NDIS (74%) but favoured changing the policy on asylum seekers (56%).
08 July 2013, 080713, early election, election date 2013, September 14
Q. Do you think the Federal election should be held on September 14th as currently scheduled, earlier or later?
|
Total |
|
Vote Labor |
Vote Lib/Nat |
Vote Greens |
|
| On September 14th |
39% |
44% |
38% |
49% |
|
| Earlier |
27% |
15% |
41% |
9% |
|
| Later |
16% |
24% |
10% |
14% |
|
| Don’t know |
19% |
16% |
12% |
29% |
39% favoured keeping the election date as scheduled, 27% want it earlier and 16% prefer it later. The current date was most favoured by Greens voters (49%) and Labor voters (44%). Liberal/National voters were divided – 41% want it earlier and 38% prefer the scheduled date.
01 July 2013, 010713, 2PP, Greens, Labor Party, Liberal Party, Nationals, two party preferred, Voting intention
Q. If a Federal Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward?
Q. If don’t know -Well which party are you currently leaning to?
Sample size = 1,865 respondents
| First preference/leaning to |
Election 21 Aug 10 |
|
4 weeks ago |
2 weeks ago |
Last week |
This week |
|
This week (single week result) |
| Liberal |
|
45% |
44% |
44% |
43% |
42% |
||
| National |
3% |
3% |
3% |
3% |
4% |
|||
| Total Lib/Nat |
43.6% |
48% |
47% |
47% |
46% |
46% |
||
| Labor |
38.0% |
35% |
35% |
34% |
36% |
38% |
||
| Greens |
11.8% |
8% |
8% |
8% |
9% |
9% |
||
| Other/Independent |
6.6% |
9% |
9% |
11% |
9% |
7% |
| 2 Party Preferred |
Election |
|
4 weeks ago |
2 weeks ago |
Last week |
This week |
|
This week (single week result) |
| Liberal National |
49.9% |
55% |
54% |
55% |
53% |
52% |
||
| Labor |
50.1% |
45% |
46% |
45% |
47% |
48% |
NB. The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived from the first preference/leaning to voting questions. Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results. The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2010 election.
01 July, 010713, approval of leadership change, Julia Gillard, kevin rudd
Q. Do you approve or disapprove of Kevin Rudd replacing Julia Gillard as leader of the Labor Party?
|
Total |
|
Vote Labor |
Vote Lib/Nat |
Vote Greens |
|
| Total approve |
55% |
77% |
40% |
48% |
|
| Total disapprove |
31% |
13% |
49% |
37% |
|
| Strongly approve |
24% |
45% |
12% |
8% |
|
| Approve |
31% |
32% |
28% |
40% |
|
| Disapprove |
15% |
8% |
22% |
23% |
|
| Strongly disapprove |
16% |
5% |
27% |
14% |
|
| Don’t know |
14% |
10% |
12% |
16% |
55% approve Kevin Rudd replacing Julia Gillard as leader of the Labor Party and 31% disapprove.
77% of Labor voters approve and 13% disapprove.
63% of men approve and 27% disapprove compared to 46% of women approve and 36% disapprove.
01 July 2013, 010713, Labor, Likelihood of voting labor
Q. Would you be more likely or less likely to vote for the Labor Party now that Kevin Rudd is leader?
|
Total |
|
Vote Labor |
Vote Lib/Nat |
Vote Greens |
|
| Total more likely |
33% |
61% |
14% |
21% |
|
| Total less likely |
19% |
4% |
33% |
26% |
|
| Much more likely |
20% |
46% |
3% |
10% |
|
| A little more likely |
13% |
15% |
11% |
11% |
|
| Makes no difference |
42% |
34% |
50% |
44% |
|
| A little less likely |
4% |
2% |
4% |
15% |
|
| Much less likely |
15% |
2% |
29% |
11% |
|
| Don’t know |
6% |
2% |
3% |
11% |
33% say they are more likely to vote Labor now the Kevin Rudd is leader, 19% are less likely and 42% say it makes no difference.
For men, 34% say they are more likely and 19% less likely compared to 32% more likely and 19% less likely with women.
01 July 2013, 010713, the economy, value of australian dollar
Q. Over the last few weeks the value of the Australian dollar has fallen against other currencies. Do you think this is good or bad for the Australian economy?
|
Total |
Vote Labor |
Vote Lib/Nat |
Vote Greens |
||
| Total good |
37% |
42% |
36% |
29% |
|
| Total bad |
25% |
17% |
34% |
23% |
|
| Very good |
6% |
8% |
5% |
– |
|
| Good |
31% |
34% |
31% |
29% |
|
| Neither good nor bad |
28% |
32% |
25% |
39% |
|
| Bad |
20% |
15% |
26% |
15% |
|
| Very bad |
5% |
2% |
8% |
8% |
|
| Don’t know |
10% |
9% |
5% |
9% |
37% think that the falling value of the dollar is good for the Australian economy and 25% think it is bad for the economy.
49% of those aged 55+ think it is good for the economy.