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  • May, 2014

    , , , , , ,

    Decisions made in the Budget

    Decisions made in the Budget (1)

    Q. Do you support or oppose the following decisions that were made in the latest Federal Budget, announced on Tuesday 13th May:

     

    Total Support

    Total Oppose

    Strongly support

    Support

    Neither support nor oppose

    Oppose

    Strongly oppose

    Don’t know

    Deregulation of university fees (meaning universities can set their own tuition fees)

    17%

    58%

    5%

    12%

    21%

    24%

    34%

    4%

    Commonwealth funding extended to students at TAFEs, private colleges and sub-bachelor degrees at a cost of $820 million over three years

    43%

    20%

    9%

    34%

    30%

    10%

    10%

    7%

    $7 Medicare co-payment for all visits to the GP, with this money to be used to fund a Medical Research Future Fund.

    29%

    50%

    7%

    22%

    18%

    18%

    32%

    2%

    General patients to pay $5 more and concessional patients 80¢ more for prescription drugs.

    23%

    58%

    5%

    18%

    18%

    26%

    32%

    2%

    Eligibility for the age pension to rise to 70 by 2035

    17%

    61%

    4%

    13%

    20%

    22%

    39%

    3%

    A six-month waiting period for those under-30 before they can access the dole (Newstart)

    39%

    41%

    16%

    23%

    17%

    19%

    22%

    3%

    Tightening eligibility criteria for disability support pensioners for those under 35

    42%

    33%

    12%

    30%

    21%

    16%

    17%

    4%

    University graduates to repay HELP debt once they earn $50,638 (reduced from $53,345)

    53%

    23%

    16%

    37%

    22%

    12%

    11%

    3%

    Cut 16,500 full-time jobs from the public service in the next 3 years

    31%

    43%

    10%

    21%

    22%

    20%

    23%

    4%

    Privatise the Royal Australian Mint

    18%

    42%

    4%

    14%

    31%

    18%

    24%

    10%

    Make those under 25 apply for Youth Allowance, instead of Newstart (Youth Allowance is around $100 less per fortnight

    44%

    32%

    13%

    31%

    21%

    16%

    16%

    3%

     

    Decisions made in the Budget (1) (by voting intention)

    Q. Do you support or oppose the following decisions that were made in the latest Federal Budget, announced on Tuesday 13th May:

     

    Vote Labor

    Vote Lib/Nat

    Vote Green

     

    Total Support

    Total Oppose

    Total Support

    Total Oppose

    Total Support

    Total Oppose

    Deregulation of university fees (meaning universities can set their own tuition fees)

    8%

    81%

    28%

    35%

    14%

    69%

    Commonwealth funding extended to students at TAFEs, private colleges and sub-bachelor degrees at a cost of $820 million over three years

    37%

    27%

    54%

    13%

    49%

    8%

    $7 Medicare co-payment for all visits to the GP, with this money to be used to fund a Medical Research Future Fund.

    10%

    74%

    56%

    21%

    18%

    67%

    General patients to pay $5 more and concessional patients 80¢ more for prescription drugs.

    10%

    77%

    42%

    28%

    13%

    69%

    Eligibility for the age pension to rise to 70 by 2035

    7%

    80%

    31%

    37%

    13%

    62%

    A six-month waiting period for those under-30 before they can access the dole (Newstart)

    24%

    60%

    65%

    15%

    17%

    64%

    Tightening eligibility criteria for disability support pensioners for those under 35

    32%

    49%

    62%

    15%

    26%

    46%

    University graduates to repay HELP debt once they earn $50,638 (reduced from $53,345)

    39%

    36%

    74%

    8%

    40%

    33%

    Cut 16,500 full-time jobs from the public service in the next 3 years

    15%

    64%

    57%

    16%

    18%

    59%

    Privatise the Royal Australian Mint

    12%

    55%

    26%

    26%

    14%

    53%

    Make those under 25 apply for Youth Allowance, instead of Newstart (Youth Allowance is around $100 less per fortnight

    25%

    52%

    72%

    8%

    28%

    47%

    Decisions made in the Budget (2)

    Q. Do you support or oppose the following decisions that were made in the latest Federal Budget, announced on Tuesday 13th May:

     

    Total Support

    Total Oppose

    Strongly support

    Support

    Neither support nor oppose

    Oppose

    Strongly oppose

    Don’t know

    Spend $525 on a “green army”

    18%

    24%

    3%

    15%

    37%

    13%

    11%

    21%

    Invest $2.1 million in solar projects in local communities

    59%

    11%

    15%

    44%

    25%

    7%

    4%

    6%

    $100 million for mobile blackspot and wireless coverage in regional areas

    60%

    11%

    15%

    45%

    26%

    7%

    4%

    4%

    A $120M cut to the ABC’s budget

    27%

    41%

    10%

    17%

    26%

    20%

    21%

    7%

    Asylum seekers who have arrived by boat will lose the right to have their case independently reviewed or to have family reunions

    48%

    27%

    25%

    23%

    19%

    14%

    13%

    5%

    Foreign aid frozen at current levels for two years, helping save $7.6 billion over five years

    64%

    13%

    28%

    36%

    18%

    6%

    7%

    5%

    International commitment to spend 0.5 per cent of gross national income on foreign aid abandoned

    44%

    20%

    15%

    29%

    27%

    10%

    10%

    8%

    $3.9bn over five years for major roads in Melbourne, Perth, Toowoomba, Adelaide and the Northern Territory

    55%

    15%

    13%

    42%

    26%

    9%

    6%

    5%

    The HELP debt interest rate changed from CPI to the long term bond rate (an increase of around 1%)

    24%

    31%

    7%

    17%

    35%

    17%

    14%

    12%

    Cut public funding for university courses by 20%

    18%

    49%

    5%

    13%

    29%

    25%

    24%

    4%

     

    Decisions made in the Budget (2) (by voting intention)

    Q. Do you support or oppose the following decisions that were made in the latest Federal Budget, announced on Tuesday 13th May:

     

    Vote Labor

    Vote Lib/Nat

    Vote Green

     

    Total Support

    Total Oppose

    Total Support

    Total Oppose

    Total Support

    Total Oppose

    Spend $525 on a “green army”

    13%

    32%

    26%

    18%

    20%

    12%

    Invest $2.1 million in solar projects in local communities

    59%

    11%

    61%

    11%

    77%

    3%

    $100 million for mobile blackspot and wireless coverage in regional areas

    56%

    14%

    72%

    6%

    54%

    8%

    A $120M cut to the ABC’s budget

    14%

    56%

    48%

    21%

    9%

    72%

    Asylum seekers who have arrived by boat will lose the right to have their case independently reviewed or to have family reunions

    36%

    39%

    71%

    9%

    22%

    54%

    Foreign aid frozen at current levels for two years, helping save $7.6 billion over five years

    52%

    22%

    83%

    3%

    51%

    33%

    International commitment to spend 0.5 per cent of gross national income on foreign aid abandoned

    32%

    29%

    64%

    8%

    23%

    49%

    $3.9bn over five years for major roads in Melbourne, Perth, Toowoomba, Adelaide and the Northern Territory

    49%

    19%

    70%

    7%

    42%

    27%

    The HELP debt interest rate changed from CPI to the long term bond rate (an increase of around 1%)

    13%

    44%

    40%

    14%

    17%

    51%

    Cut public funding for university courses by 20%

    8%

    66%

    32%

    28%

    12%

    71%

    Decisions in the Budget: Comments

    The highest levels of opposition were registered for:

    • Eligibility for the age pension to rise to 70 by 2035 (61% oppose, 17% support)
    • Deregulation of university fees (meaning universities can set their own tuition fees) (58% oppose, 17% support)
    • General patients to pay $5 more and concessional patients 80¢ more for prescription drugs (58% oppose, 23% support)
    • $7 Medicare co-payment for all visits to the GP, with this money to be used to fund a Medical Research Future Fund (50% oppose, 29% support)

    The items that more than 50% of Australians supported were:

    • University graduates to repay HELP debt once they earn $50,638 (reduced from $53,345) (53% support, 23% oppose)
    • $3.9bn over five years for major roads in Melbourne, Perth, Toowoomba, Adelaide and the Northern Territory (55% support, 15% oppose)
    • Invest $2.1 million in solar projects in local communities (59% support, 11% oppose)
    • $100 million for mobile blackspot and wireless coverage in regional areas (60% support, 11% oppose)
    • Foreign aid frozen at current levels for two years, helping save $7.6 billion over five years (64% support, 13% oppose)

    The tables included demonstrate the various differences by voting intention.


  • May, 2014

    ,

    Level of Cuts

    Q. Do you think the Federal Budget has cut Government spending by too much, not enough or about the right amount ?

     

    Total

     

     

    Male

    Female

     

    Vote Labor

    Vote Lib/Nat

    Vote Greens

    Vote other

    Cut spending too much

    41%

    42%

    40%

    69%

    11%

    55%

    48%

    Not cut spending enough

    15%

    19%

    11%

    9%

    22%

    14%

    14%

    Cut spending about right amount

    26%

    27%

    25%

    7%

    55%

    14%

    19%

    Don’t know

    18%

    12%

    24%

    15%

    12%

    17%

    19%

    The largest proportion of Australian’s believes that the Federal Budget has cut Government spending by too much (41%).

    26% believe that the Federal Budget has cut spending by the right amount, and 15% believe that they have not cut spending by enough.

    There were no significant differences between the genders.

    Labor (69%), Green (55) and other (48%) voters were more likely to think that the Federal Budget had cut spending by too much. Lib/Nat voters 955%) were more likely to think that spending had been cut by the right amount.

  • May, 2014

    Statements about the budget

    Q.  Please indicate whether – in general – you agree with the following statements about the Federal budget that was handed down on Tuesday 13 May.

     

    Total Agree

    Total Disagree

    Strongly agree

    Agree

    Neither agree nor disagree

    Disagree

    Strongly Disagree

    Don’t know

    Overall, the budget was fair and balanced

    26%

    50%

    5%

    21%

    18%

    25%

    25%

    5%

    The cuts in the budget were necessary to ensure Australia’s future prosperity

    41%

    35%

    13%

    28%

    18%

    20%

    15%

    6%

    This was the budget Australia needed

    33%

    45%

    11%

    22%

    17%

    22%

    23%

    5%

    This budget only cares about the bottom line and not people

    59%

    20%

    29%

    30%

    18%

    15%

    5%

    4%

    This budget hurts the most vulnerable in Australia

    61%

    17%

    31%

    30%

    18%

    12%

    5%

    4%

    This budget does not look after the needs of business

    18%

    32%

    4%

    14%

    37%

    22%

    10%

    12%

    I would have preferred for this budget to focus on improving services to Australians rather than curtailing the deficit

    49%

    21%

    19%

    30%

    24%

    16%

    5%

    5%

    The highest levels of agreement with statements about the budget were for:

    • This budget hurts the most vulnerable in Australia (61% agree)
    • This budget only cares about the bottom line and not people (59% agree)
    • I would have preferred for this budget to focus on improving services to Australians rather than curtailing the deficit (49% agree)

    Half of Australians disagree with the statement that ‘overall, the budget was fair and balanced’ (50%).

  • May, 2014

    , , ,

    Statements about the budget (by voting intention)

    Q.  Please indicate whether – in general – you agree with the following statements about the Federal budget that was handed down on Tuesday 13 May.

     

    Vote Labor

     

    Vote Lib/Nat

     

    Vote Green

     

    Total Agree

    Total Disagree

    Total Agree

    Total Disagree

    Total Agree

    Total Disagree

    Overall, the budget was fair and balanced

    5%

    79%

    60%

    13%

    11%

    71%

    The cuts in the budget were necessary to ensure Australia’s future prosperity

    15%

    58%

    80%

    6%

    20%

    52%

    This was the budget Australia needed

    7%

    73%

    73%

    9%

    16%

    69%

    This budget only cares about the bottom line and not people

    82%

    5%

    29%

    42%

    74%

    11%

    This budget hurts the most vulnerable in Australia

    86%

    6%

    32%

    35%

    72%

    10%

    This budget does not look after the needs of business

    23%

    31%

    15%

    31%

    14%

    31%

    I would have preferred for this budget to focus on improving services to Australians rather than curtailing the deficit

    71%

    6%

    27%

    42%

    65%

    8%

    As the table indicated, Lib/Nat voters were more likely to agree with the positive statements about the budget, while Labor and Green voters were more likely to agree with the negative.

  • May, 2014

    ,

    Relations with Indonesia

    Q. How would you rate the performance of Tony Abbott and the Coalition Government in handling relations with Indonesia?

     

    Total

     

    Male

    Female

    Vote Labor

    Vote Lib/Nat

    Vote Greens

    Vote other

     

    Nov 2013

    Total good

    25%

    29%

    22%

    7%

    54%

    10%

    15%

    29%

    Total poor

    43%

    44%

    42%

    69%

    12%

    68%

    52%

    42%

    Very good

    8%

    9%

    7%

    1%

    18%

    2%

    6%

    11%

    Good

    17%

    20%

    15%

    6%

    36%

    8%

    9%

    18%

    Neither good nor poor

    19%

    21%

    17%

    13%

    27%

    8%

    17%

    21%

    Poor

    19%

    20%

    18%

    25%

    10%

    20%

    29%

    16%

    Very poor

    24%

    24%

    24%

    44%

    2%

    48%

    23%

    26%

    Don’t know

    13%

    6%

    19%

    11%

    8%

    13%

    16%

    8%

    Just 25% of Australians would rate Tony Abbott and the Coalition Government handling of relations with Indonesia as good.

    43% would rate them as poor.

    Males (29%) were slightly more likely to give the government a good rating.

    Lib/Nat voters were more likely to rate them as good (54% good).

  • May, 2014

    ,

    The Role of Government

    Q. Which of the following statements is closest to your view?

     

    Total

     

    Vote Labor

    Vote Lib/Nat

    Vote Greens

    Vote other

     

    April 2012

    An active Government is necessary to provide important public services, and to protect ordinary Australians from unfair policies and practices on the part of large financial and/or industrial groups.

    65%

    68%

    66%

    77%

    61%

    67%

    We don’t need big government and extensive regulation of business and finance to take care of these matters:  the market itself can deal with many of these issues on their own.

    17%

    12%

    24%

    6%

    19%

    20%

    Don’t know

    18%

    19%

    10%

    18%

    19%

    13%

    The majority (65%) of Australians believe that an active government is necessary to provide important public services, and to protect ordinary Australians from unfair policies and practices on the part of large financial and/or industrial groups.

    Just 17% agree with the counter point, that ‘We don’t need big government and extensive regulation of business and finance to take care of these matters:  the market itself can deal with many of these issues on their own’.

    There has been no significant shift in attitudes since the last time this question was asked in April 2012.

    Although Green voters were more likely to select the first statement (77%), the majority of Labor (68%) and Lib/Nat voters did so also.

  • May, 2014

    ,

    Budget Emergency

    Q. Some people say that there is a “budget emergency” in Australia.

    Which of the following is closest to your view?

     

    Total

     

     

    Vote Labor

    Vote Lib/Nat

    Vote Greens

    Vote other

    I agree that there is a ‘budget emergency’ in Australia, and I believe that the recently announced budget changes will help bring the budget back into line.

    32%

    10%

    68%

    16%

    15%

    I agree that there is a ‘budget emergency’ in Australia, but I don’t think the recently announced budget changes will help bring the budget back into line.

    24%

    29%

    14%

    25%

    37%

    I do not believe we have a budget emergency in Australia

    32%

    51%

    12%

    50%

    36%

    Don’t know

    11%

    11%

    6%

    9%

    12%

    Overall, 56% of Australians agree that there is a budget emergency.

    32% agree that there is a budget emergency and that the recent budget will help bring the budget back into line. A further 24% agree that there is a budget emergency, but that the recent budget will not bring the budget back into line.

    32% do not believe there is a budget emergency.

    Labor (51%) and Greens (50%) voters were more likely to think that we do not have a budget emergency in Australia.

  • May, 2014

    , , , , ,

    Federal politics – voting intention

    Q. If a Federal Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward?

    Q. If don’t know -Well which party are you currently leaning to?

    Sample size = 1,883 respondents

    First preference/leaning to

    Election

    7 Sep 13

     

    4 weeks ago

    15/4/14

    2 weeks ago

    29/4/14

     

    Last week

    06/5/14

     

    This week

    12/5/14

    Liberal

     

    40%

    38%

    38%

    38%

    National

    3%

    2%

    3%

    3%

    Total Lib/Nat

    45.6%

    42%

    40%

    40%

    40%

    Labor

    33.4%

    37%

    38%

    38%

    39%

    Greens

    8.6%

    10%

    10%

    10%

    9%

    Palmer United Party

    5.5%

    4%

    5%

    5%

    5%

    Other/Independent

    6.9%

    7%

    6%

    8%

    8%

     

    2 Party Preferred

    Election

    7 Sep 13

     

    4 weeks ago

    15/4/14

    2 weeks ago

    29/4/14

     

    Last week

    06/5/14

     

    This week

    12/5/14

    Liberal National

    53.5%

    50%

    48%

    48%

    48%

    Labor

    46.5%

    50%

    52%

    52%

    52%

    NB. The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived from the first preference/leaning to voting questions.  Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results.  The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2013 election.

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