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  • May, 2014

    ,

    Influence of groups on Labor politicians

    Q. When making decisions about funding and policies, do you think that Labor politicians listen to the following groups too much, not enough or just the right amount?

     

    Too much

    Not enough

    Just the right amount

    Unions

    47%

    24%

    29%

    The Media

    46%

    18%

    35%

    Celebrities

    40%

    13%

    47%

    Property Developers

    39%

    21%

    40%

    Mining Companies

    37%

    29%

    34%

    Environmental Groups

    33%

    35%

    32%

    Member based lobby groups (like GetUp!)

    32%

    28%

    40%

    Religious Organisations

    32%

    26%

    42%

    Public Servants

    32%

    31%

    37%

    Foreign Leaders

    31%

    24%

    44%

    Active citizens on social media

    25%

    36%

    39%

    Students

    23%

    45%

    32%

    Welfare Groups

    21%

    44%

    35%

    Employer Groups

    19%

    45%

    36%

    Average Citizens

    8%

    64%

    28%

    Respondents tended to think that Labor politicians listen too much to unions, the media, celebrities and property developers.

    They thought they did not listen enough to average citizens, employer groups, welfare groups and students.

  • May, 2014

    Trans-Pacific Partnership

    Q. The Australian Government is currently negotiating the Trans-Pacific Partnership, a regional trade agreement involving SE-Asian nations, South American nations, the US, Canada, Australia, New Zealand. This is largely being conducted behind closed doors, to allow government negotiators to have open and frank conversations and compromise on elements of the deal.  Some commentators have expressed concern at the fact that no media or public are allowed to be part of this process, and the content of the deal is being kept secret.

    Are you concerned or not concerned that these negotiations are closed to the public and the media?

    Raising the GST to 12% for all items currently covered

    Total

     

    Vote Labor

    Vote Lib/Nat

    Vote Greens

    Vote other

    Very concerned

    23%

    34%

    11%

    33%

    30%

    Somewhat concerned

    28%

    32%

    24%

    37%

    27%

    Not really concerned

    26%

    21%

    33%

    18%

    23%

    Not at all concerned

    11%

    5%

    23%

    3%

    3%

    Don’t know

    11%

    8%

    9%

    9%

    18%

    51% said they were very or somewhat concerned that Trans-Pacific Partnership negotiations are closed to the public and the media – 37% were not concerned.

    Those most concerned were Greens voters (70%) and Labor voters (66%). Those least concerned were Liberal/National voters (56%) and incomes over $1,600 pw (47%).

  • May, 2014

    ,

    Resettling refugees in Cambodia

    Q. Would you support or oppose an agreement with Cambodia to resettle refugees arriving in Australia by boat?

     

    Total

     

    Vote Labor

    Vote Lib/Nat

    Vote Greens

    Vote other

    Total support

    37%

    31%

    46%

    23%

    46%

    Total oppose

    39%

    47%

    33%

    49%

    35%

    Strongly support

    11%

    9%

    16%

    5%

    14%

    Support

    26%

    22%

    30%

    18%

    32%

    Oppose

    18%

    23%

    17%

    19%

    13%

    Strongly oppose

    21%

    24%

    16%

    30%

    22%

    Don’t know

    24%

    22%

    21%

    28%

    18%

    37% support an agreement with Cambodia to resettle refugees arriving in Australia by boat and 39% oppose.

    49% of Greens voters and 47% of Labor voters oppose while 46% of Liberal/National voters support. There were no major differences across demographic groups.

  • May, 2014

    School chaplaincy program

    Q. In the most recent budget, The Federal Government announced that it would be continuing the funding of the school chaplaincy program at a cost for $245 million.

     Which schools program do you think is more appropriate for the Federal Government to fund?

     

    Total

     

    Vote Labor

    Vote Lib/Nat

    Vote Greens

    Vote other

    Religious chaplains only

    5%

    3%

    9%

    6%

    Secular social workers only

    17%

    21%

    10%

    41%

    11%

    Both chaplains and social workers

    37%

    35%

    41%

    32%

    44%

    None of the above

    23%

    23%

    22%

    21%

    23%

    Don’t know

    18%

    17%

    18%

    6%

    15%

    The most preferred option was for the Government to fund both chaplains and social workers (37%).

    Only 5% supported the Government’s policy of funding only religious chaplains.

    Greens voters were more likely to prefer secular social workers only (41%) while 41% of Liberal/National voters preferred both chaplains and social workers.

  • May, 2014

    , , , , ,

    Federal politics – voting intention

    Q. If a Federal Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward?

    Q. If don’t know -Well which party are you currently leaning to?

    Sample size = 1,855 respondents

    First preference/leaning to

    Election

    7 Sep 13

     

    4 weeks ago 22/4/14

    2 weeks ago

    06/05/14

    Last week

    12/5/14

    This week

    19/05/14

    Liberal

     

    39%

    38%

    38%

    38%

    National

    2%

    3%

    3%

    3%

    Total Lib/Nat

    45.6%

    41%

    40%

    40%

    40%

    Labor

    33.4%

    37%

    38%

    39%

    40%

    Greens

    8.6%

    11%

    10%

    9%

    8%

    Palmer United Party

    5.5%

    5%

    5%

    5%

    5%%

    Other/Independent

    6.9%

    6%

    8%

    8%

    7%

     

    2 Party Preferred

    Election

    7 Sep 13

     

    4 weeks ago 8/4/14

    2 weeks ago

    06/05/14

    Last week

    12/5/14

    This week

    19/05/14

    Liberal National

    53.5%

    49%

    48%

    48%

    48%

    Labor

    46.5%

    51%

    52%

    52%

    52%

    NB. The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived from the first preference/leaning to voting questions.  Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results.  The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2013 election.

  • May, 2014

    Handling of the Federal Budget

    Q. Overall, do you approve or disapprove of the way the Liberal-National Coalition government is handling the federal budget?

     

    Total

     

     

    Vote Labor

    Vote Lib/Nat

    Vote Greens

    Vote other

    Total Approve

    30%

    7%

    69%

    10%

    8%

    Total Disapprove

    52%

    85%

    12%

    70%

    71%

    Strongly approve

    10%

    2%

    24%

    2%

    Approve

    20%

    5%

    45%

    8%

    8%

    Neither approve nor disapprove

    14%

    6%

    18%

    15%

    17%

    Disapprove

    19%

    23%

    11%

    16%

    33%

    Strongly disapprove

    33%

    62%

    1%

    54%

    38%

    Don’t know

    4%

    2%

    1%

    5%

    5%

    Just over half (52%) of Australians disapprove of the way the Lib-Nat Coalition government is handling the federal budget. 30% approve and 14% neither approve nor disapprove. 4% don’t know.

    Labor (85%), Greens (70%) and Other (71%) voters were far more likely to disapprove. Lib/Nat voters were more likely to approve (69%).

    There were no significant differences based on gender.

  • May, 2014

    , , ,

    Federal Budget

    Q. In general, do you think the Federal Budget, announced on Tuesday 13th May 2014 was good or bad for?

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

    Total Good

    Total Bad

    Very good

    Good

    Neither good nor bad

    Bad

    Very bad

    Don’t know

    You personally

    13%

    52%

    3%

    10%

    31%

    29%

    23%

    4%

    Average working people

    14%

    59%

    2%

    12%

    24%

    34%

    25%

    3%

    Australian business

    36%

    23%

    7%

    29%

    32%

    14%

    9%

    8%

    The economy over all

    40%

    32%

    11%

    29%

    23%

    18%

    14%

    6%

    People who are well off

    45%

    16%

    16%

    29%

    33%

    11%

    5%

    6%

    People on lower incomes

    11%

    66%

    3%

    8%

    18%

    27%

    39%

    4%

    Australian families

    11%

    62%

    3%

    8%

    24%

    32%

    30%

    4%

    Older Australians

    10%

    66%

    2%

    8%

    19%

    28%

    38%

    4%

    Younger Australians

    16%

    55%

    5%

    11%

    25%

    22%

    33%

    5%

    More Australians thought that the budget would be bad for each of the group than thought it would be good.

    The only exceptions were ‘people who are well off’ (45% good, 16% bad) and ‘Australian business’ (36% thought the budget would be good, 23% bad).

    The areas with the highest ‘bad’ rating were ‘older Australians’ (66%), ‘people on lower incomes’ (66%), ‘Australian families’ (62%) and ‘average working people’ (59%).

    Download the Essential Report for a voting intention breakdown of this question.

  • May, 2014

    ,

    Federal budget: comparison to pre-budget expectations

    Q. In general, do you think the next Federal Budget, to be announced on Tuesday 13th May 2014 will be good or bad for?

    Pre-Budget

    Post-Budget

     

    Total Good

    Total Bad

    Total Good

    Total Bad

    You personally

    8%

    55%

    13%

    52%

    Average working people

    9%

    63%

    14%

    59%

    Australian business

    25%

    33%

    36%

    23%

    The economy over all

    28%

    36%

    40%

    32%

    People who are well off

    40%

    23%

    45%

    16%

    People on lower incomes

    12%

    60%

    11%

    66%

    Australian families

    11%

    59%

    11%

    62%

    Older Australians

    8%

    67%

    10%

    66%

    Younger Australians

    11%

    49%

    16%

    55%

    Perceptions of the how the budget will impact on each of these groups have not shifted dramatically from when the question was last asked prior to the budget.

    The key areas of difference are listed below:

    • Compared to prior to the budget, less people now think this that the budget will be bad for Australian business (33% before, 23% after).
    • More people now believe that the budget will be bad for people on lower incomes (60% before, 66% after) and ‘younger Australians’ (49% before, 55% after).
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