| Queensland |
Election Mar 2012 |
|
Nov-Dec 12 |
Mar 13 |
Nov 13 |
Dec 13 |
Jan 14 |
Feb 14 |
Mar 14 |
Apr 14 |
May 14 |
| Sample |
|
719 |
529 |
737 |
551 |
545 |
745 |
733 |
938 |
737 |
|
| First preference vote |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| LNP |
49.7% |
41% |
45% |
46% |
44% |
40% |
39% |
41% |
36% |
41% |
|
| Labor |
26.7% |
35% |
29% |
32% |
34% |
38% |
39% |
34% |
40% |
36% |
|
| Greens |
7.5% |
8% |
10% |
7% |
5% |
6% |
8% |
7% |
7% |
4% |
|
| Katter Party |
11.5% |
7% |
7% |
3% |
3% |
3% |
2% |
3% |
3% |
2% |
|
| Palmer United Party |
– |
– |
– |
6% |
9% |
6% |
7% |
8% |
8% |
12% |
|
| Other/Independent |
4.6% |
9% |
9% |
6% |
6% |
7% |
4% |
7% |
7% |
5% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
||
| 2PP |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| LNP |
62.8% |
53% |
58% |
57% |
55% |
50% |
50% |
53% |
48% |
53% |
|
| Labor |
37.2% |
47% |
42% |
43% |
45% |
50% |
50% |
47% |
52% |
47% |
state voting intention, Victoria
| Victoria |
Election Nov 2010 |
|
Nov-Dec 12 |
Mar 13 |
Nov 13 |
Dec 13 |
Jan 14 |
Feb 14 |
Mar 14 |
Apr 14 |
May 14 |
| Sample |
|
1,170 |
849 |
930 |
734 |
798 |
1,039 |
962 |
1,226 |
1,005 |
|
| First preference vote |
|
||||||||||
| Liberal/National |
44.8% |
43% |
45% |
41% |
43% |
40% |
37% |
42% |
42% |
38% |
|
| Labor |
36.2% |
39% |
36% |
38% |
40% |
40% |
42% |
39% |
39% |
40% |
|
| Greens |
11.2% |
11% |
12% |
13% |
9% |
11% |
12% |
9% |
11% |
10% |
|
| Palmer United Party |
3% |
2% |
2% |
2% |
2% |
4% |
|||||
| Other/Independent |
7.8% |
7% |
7% |
8% |
6% |
6% |
6% |
8% |
6% |
8% |
|
| 2PP | |||||||||||
| Liberal/National |
51.6% |
50% |
52% |
48% |
50% |
48% |
45% |
50% |
49% |
47% |
|
| Labor |
48.4% |
50% |
48% |
52% |
50% |
52% |
55% |
50% |
51% |
53% |
2PP, Greens, Labor Party, Liberal Party, two party preferred, Voting intention
Q. If a Federal Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward?
Q. If don’t know -Well which party are you currently leaning to?
Sample size = 1,895 respondents
| First preference/leaning to |
Election 7 Sep 13 |
|
4 weeks ago 29/4/14 |
2 weeks ago 13/05/14 |
Last week 20/5/14 |
This week 27/05/14 |
| Liberal |
|
38% |
38% |
38% |
37% |
|
| National |
2% |
3% |
3% |
3% |
||
| Total Lib/Nat |
45.6% |
40% |
40% |
40% |
40% |
|
| Labor |
33.4% |
38% |
39% |
40% |
39% |
|
| Greens |
8.6% |
10% |
9% |
8% |
9% |
|
| Palmer United Party |
5.5% |
5% |
5% |
5% |
5% |
|
| Other/Independent |
6.9% |
6% |
8% |
7% |
7% |
| 2 Party Preferred |
Election 7 Sep 13 |
|
4 weeks ago 29/4/14 |
2 weeks ago 13/05/14 |
Last week 20/5/14 |
This week 27/05/14 |
| Liberal National |
53.5% |
48% |
48% |
48% |
48% |
|
| Labor |
46.5% |
52% |
52% |
52% |
52% |
NB. The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived from the first preference/leaning to voting questions. Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results. The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2013 election.
aggressive, arrogant, Attributes of Tony Abbott, hard-working, leader attributes, superficial, visionary
Q. Which of the following describe your opinion of the Prime Minister, Tony Abbott?
|
2 Sep 14 (as Opposition leader) |
29 Oct 14 |
15 Apr |
|
Total 27 May |
Change |
|
| Out of touch with ordinary people |
52% |
51% |
56% |
67% |
+11 |
|
| Arrogant |
52% |
54% |
58% |
63% |
+5 |
|
| Narrow-minded |
55% |
54% |
56% |
61% |
+5 |
|
| Hard working |
71% |
67% |
66% |
57% |
-9 |
|
| Superficial |
48% |
49% |
50% |
57% |
+7 |
|
| Intolerant |
47% |
49% |
47% |
55% |
+8 |
|
| Intelligent |
63% |
62% |
59% |
52% |
-7 |
|
| Aggressive |
47% |
46% |
45% |
52% |
+7 |
|
| Erratic |
43% |
43% |
43% |
51% |
+8 |
|
| Understands the problems facing Australia |
46% |
51% |
48% |
42% |
-5 |
|
| A capable leader |
46% |
52% |
50% |
41% |
-9 |
|
| Good in a crisis |
39% |
45% |
45% |
35% |
-10 |
|
| Visionary |
35% |
33% |
34% |
31% |
-3 |
|
| More honest than most politicians |
34% |
39% |
37% |
30% |
-7 |
|
| Trustworthy |
38% |
40% |
40% |
29% |
-11 |
Tony Abbott’s key attributes were out of touch with ordinary people (67%), arrogant (63%), narrow-minded (61%), hard working (57%) and superficial (57%).
Since April, the largest shifts have been for out of touch with ordinary people (+11), trustworthy (-11), good in a crisis (-10), hard working (-9) and a capable leader (-9).
a capable leader, arrogant, attributes of bill shorten, Bill Shorten, good in a crisis, hard-working, intelligent
Q. Which of the following describe your opinion of the Opposition Leader, Bill Shorten?
|
29 Oct 14 |
15 Apr |
|
Total 27 May |
Change |
|
| Intelligent |
69% |
63% |
66% |
+3 |
|
| Hard working |
65% |
60% |
66% |
+6 |
|
| Understands the problems facing Australia |
50% |
44% |
53% |
+9 |
|
| A capable leader |
49% |
42% |
51% |
+9 |
|
| Superficial |
37% |
43% |
42% |
-1 |
|
| Good in a crisis |
40% |
36% |
40% |
+4 |
|
| Out of touch with ordinary people |
42% |
44% |
39% |
-5 |
|
| Trustworthy |
34% |
32% |
36% |
+4 |
|
| Arrogant |
35% |
40% |
36% |
-4 |
|
| Narrow-minded |
31% |
39% |
35% |
-4 |
|
| More honest than most politicians |
27% |
26% |
32% |
+6 |
|
| Erratic |
30% |
37% |
32% |
-5 |
|
| Aggressive |
31% |
31% |
32% |
+1 |
|
| Visionary |
33% |
28% |
30% |
+2 |
|
| Intolerant |
30% |
32% |
29% |
-3 |
Bill Shorten’s key attributes were intelligent (66%), hard working (66%), understands the problems facing Australia (53%) and a capable leader (51%).
Since April, the largest shifts have been for a capable leader (+9), understands the problems facing Australia (+9), hard working (+6) and more honest than most politicians (+6).
Attributes of Tony Abbott, Attributes on Bill Shorten, Leader Attributes - Comparisons
|
Abbott |
Shorten |
|
Difference |
|
| Out of touch with ordinary people |
67% |
39% |
+28 |
|
| Arrogant |
63% |
36% |
+27 |
|
| Narrow-minded |
61% |
35% |
+26 |
|
| Intolerant |
55% |
29% |
+26 |
|
| Aggressive |
52% |
32% |
+20 |
|
| Erratic |
51% |
32% |
+19 |
|
| Superficial |
57% |
42% |
+15 |
|
| Visionary |
31% |
30% |
+1 |
|
| More honest than most politicians |
30% |
32% |
-2 |
|
| Good in a crisis |
35% |
40% |
-5 |
|
| Trustworthy |
29% |
36% |
-7 |
|
| Hard-working |
57% |
66% |
-9 |
|
| Understands the problems facing Australia |
42% |
53% |
-9 |
|
| A capable leader |
41% |
51% |
-10 |
|
| Intelligent |
52% |
66% |
-14 |
Compared to Bill Shorten, Tony Abbott is much more likely to be considered out of touch with ordinary people (+28), arrogant (+27), narrow minded (+26), intolerant (+26) and aggressive (+20).
Bill Shorten is regarded by more respondents to be intelligent (-14) and a capable leader (-10).
Q. Do you support or oppose the following changes to the GST to cover cuts to funding commitments to the states for schools and hospitals announced in the recent Federal Budget?
| Raising the GST to 12% for all items currently covered |
Total |
|
Vote Labor |
Vote Lib/Nat |
Vote Greens |
Vote other |
| Total support |
32% |
25% |
45% |
24% |
23% |
|
| Total oppose |
58% |
70% |
46% |
63% |
51% |
|
| Strongly support |
9% |
6% |
16% |
5% |
9% |
|
| Support |
23% |
19% |
29% |
19% |
14% |
|
| Oppose |
19% |
17% |
21% |
14% |
20% |
|
| Strongly oppose |
39% |
53% |
25% |
49% |
31% |
|
| Don’t know |
9% |
5% |
10% |
13% |
12% |
|
| Expanding the GST to cover fresh fruit and vegetables |
Total |
Vote Labor |
Vote Lib/Nat |
Vote Greens |
Vote other |
|
| Total support |
18% |
12% |
27% |
11% |
21% |
|
| Total oppose |
75% |
83% |
65% |
83% |
73% |
|
| Strongly support |
5% |
4% |
9% |
– |
8% |
|
| Support |
13% |
8% |
18% |
11% |
13% |
|
| Oppose |
21% |
16% |
27% |
16% |
20% |
|
| Strongly oppose |
54% |
67% |
38% |
67% |
53% |
|
| Don’t know |
7% |
4% |
9% |
6% |
6% |
There was majority opposition to both raising the GST to 12% (58%) and expanding the GST to cover fresh fruit and vegetables (75%).
While there was strong majority opposition to expanding the GST across all voter groups, Liberal/National voters were split over raising the GST to 12% (45% support/46% oppose).
celebrities, Liberal/National politicians, media, mining companies, property developers
Q. When making decisions about funding and policies, do you think that Liberal/National Coalition politicians listen to the following groups too much, not enough or just the right amount?
|
Too much |
Not enough |
Just the right amount |
|
| Property Developers |
53% |
18% |
30% |
| Mining Companies |
52% |
20% |
27% |
| The Media |
44% |
24% |
31% |
| Celebrities |
41% |
17% |
42% |
| Religious Organisations |
38% |
27% |
35% |
| Foreign Leaders |
32% |
29% |
40% |
| Member based lobby groups (like GetUp!) |
26% |
39% |
35% |
| Employer Groups |
26% |
44% |
30% |
| Public Servants |
25% |
44% |
30% |
| Unions |
23% |
45% |
32% |
| Environmental Groups |
21% |
52% |
27% |
| Active citizens on social media |
15% |
51% |
35% |
| Students |
12% |
64% |
25% |
| Welfare Groups |
10% |
66% |
24% |
| Average Citizens |
3% |
79% |
18% |
Respondents tended to think that Coalition politicians listen too much to property developers, mining companies, the media, celebrities and religious organisations.
A majority thought they did not listen enough to average citizens, welfare groups, students, active citizens on social media, and environmental groups.