Q. Which party would you give your next preference to – out of the Liberal Party and the Labor Party.
| Total | Vote Greens | Vote other | Vote Greens (excluding don’t know) | Vote other (excluding don’t know) | Vote Greens
2013 election |
Vote other
2013 election |
||||
| Liberal Party | 19% | 12% | 33% | 14% | 52% | 17% | 55% | |||
| Labor Party | 39% | 73% | 30% | 86% | 48% | 83% | 45% | |||
| Don’t know | 22% | 15% | 37% | – | – | – | – |
19% of minor parties and independent voters say they will preference the Liberals and 39% say they will preference Labor. 22% don’t know which party they will preference.
Excluding the “don’t knows”, Labor receives 86% of preferences of Greens voters and 48% of the preferences of other voters – a very similar result to the 2013 election.
Q. Do you approve or disapprove of the job Malcolm Turnbull is doing as Prime Minister?
| Total | Vote Labor | Vote Lib/Nat | Vote Greens | Vote other | ||
| Total approve | 40% | 20% | 78% | 20% | 25% | |
| Total disapprove | 40% | 67% | 10% | 69% | 53% | |
| Strongly approve | 7% | 4% | 15% | 3% | 1% | |
| Approve | 33% | 16% | 63% | 17% | 24% | |
| Disapprove | 22% | 31% | 8% | 38% | 33% | |
| Strongly disapprove | 18% | 36% | 2% | 31% | 20% | |
| Don’t know | 20% | 14% | 12% | 11% | 22% | |
| Oct 2015 | Dec 2015 | Jan 2016 | Feb 2016 | Mar 2016 | Apr 2016 | 17 May 2016 | 31 May 2016 | 14 Jun 2016 | |
| Total approve | 47% | 56% | 51% | 51% | 45% | 39% | 40% | 41% | 38% |
| Total disapprove | 17% | 23% | 25% | 27% | 35% | 39% | 42% | 39% | 40% |
| Strongly approve | 11% | 13% | 9% | 8% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 9% | 6% |
| Approve | 36% | 43% | 42% | 43% | 39% | 32% | 33% | 32% | 32% |
| Disapprove | 11% | 16% | 16% | 18% | 24% | 23% | 26% | 22% | 24% |
| Strongly disapprove | 6% | 7% | 9% | 9% | 11% | 16% | 16% | 17% | 16% |
| Don’t know | 35% | 21% | 23% | 21% | 21% | 22% | 17% | 19% | 21% |
40% (up 2% from 2 weeks ago) of respondents approve of the job Malcolm Turnbull is doing as Prime Minister and 40% (no change) disapprove – a net approval rating of 0 (up 2).
78% (up 6%) of Liberal/National voters approve of Malcolm Turnbull’s performance with 10% (down 9%) disapproving. 20% (no change) of Labor voters and 20% (up 6%) of Greens voters approve of Malcolm Turnbull’s performance.
By gender, men were 43% approve/39% disapprove and women 37% approve/41% disapprove.
Q. Do you approve or disapprove of the job Bill Shorten is doing as Opposition Leader?
| Total | Vote Labor | Vote Lib/Nat | Vote Greens | Vote other | ||
| Total approve | 37% | 74% | 18% | 42% | 20% | |
| Total disapprove | 39% | 10% | 67% | 39% | 57% | |
| Strongly approve | 8% | 20% | 2% | 4% | 4% | |
| Approve | 29% | 54% | 16% | 38% | 16% | |
| Disapprove | 23% | 9% | 34% | 30% | 35% | |
| Strongly disapprove | 16% | 1% | 33% | 9% | 22% | |
| Don’t know | 24% | 16% | 16% | 20% | 24% |
| Nov 2013 | Dec 2014 | Dec 2015 | Jan 2016 | Feb 2016 | Mar 2016 | Apr 2016 | 17 May 2016 | 31 May 2016 | 14 Jun 2016 | |
| Total approve | 31% | 35% | 27% | 27% | 27% | 27% | 30% | 34% | 34% | 34% |
| Total disapprove | 27% | 39% | 47% | 47% | 48% | 47% | 44% | 43% | 44% | 40% |
| Strongly approve | 5% | 7% | 4% | 4% | 5% | 3% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 7% |
| Approve | 26% | 28% | 23% | 23% | 22% | 24% | 25% | 28% | 27% | 27% |
| Disapprove | 17% | 23% | 26% | 28% | 26% | 29% | 22% | 26% | 26% | 22% |
| Strongly disapprove | 10% | 16% | 21% | 19% | 22% | 18% | 22% | 17% | 18% | 18% |
| Don’t know | 43% | 26% | 25% | 26% | 25% | 26% | 25% | 23% | 23% | 25% |
37% (up 3% in last 2 weeks) of respondents approve of the job Bill Shorten is doing as opposition leader and 39% (down 1%) disapprove – a change in his net rating from -6 to -2.
74% (up 13%) of Labor voters approve of the job Bill Shorten is doing and 10% (down 7%) disapprove.
39% of men and 36% of women approve of Bill Shorten. 42% of men and 37% of women disapprove.
Q. Who do you think would make the better Prime Minister out of Malcolm Turnbull and Bill Shorten?
| Total | Vote Labor | Vote Lib/Nat | Vote Greens | Vote other | ||
| Malcolm Turnbull | 40% | 13% | 81% | 19% | 39% | |
| Bill Shorten | 29% | 66% | 3% | 49% | 18% | |
| Don’t know | 30% | 21% | 16% | 31% | 46% |
| Sep 2015 | Dec 2015 | Jan 2016 | Feb 2016 | Mar 2016 | Apr 2016 | 17 May 2016 | 31 May 2016 | 14 Jun 2016 | |
| Malcolm Turnbull | 53% | 54% | 51% | 52% | 48% | 44% | 43% | 40% | 40% |
| Bill Shorten | 17% | 15% | 18% | 15% | 19% | 22% | 28% | 27% | 29% |
| Don’t know | 30% | 31% | 31% | 33% | 33% | 34% | 29% | 33% | 32% |
40% (no change) of respondents think Malcolm Turnbull would make the better Prime Minister and 29% (no change) think Bill Shorten would make the better Prime Minister.
43% of men prefer Malcolm Turnbull and 30% prefer Bill Shorten.
38% of women prefer Malcolm Turnbull and 29% prefer Bill Shorten.
Q. Which leader and party do you think has performed best during the Federal election campaign?
| Total | Vote Labor | Vote Lib/Nat | Vote Greens | Vote other | ||
| Malcolm Turnbull and the Liberal Party | 30% | 6% | 68% | 4% | 19% | |
| Bill Shorten and the Labor Party | 28% | 64% | 6% | 26% | 23% | |
| Richard di Natale and the Greens. | 8% | 5% | 2% | 47% | 10% | |
| Don’t know | 34% | 25% | 24% | 24% | 49% |
30% think that Malcolm Turnbull and the Liberal Party performed best during the election campaign and 28% think Bill Shorten and the Labor Party preformed best.
Opinions mainly reflected party preferences. 68% of Liberal/National voters thought Malcolm Turnbull performed best while 64% of Labor voters thought Bill Shorten performed best.
Greens and other voters tended to favour Bill Shorten over Malcolm Turnbull.
Q. If the Liberal Party wins the Federal election, do you think it is likely or unlikely that they will attempt to rivatize Medicare?
| Total | Vote Labor | Vote Lib/Nat | Vote Greens | Vote other | ||
| Total likely | 50% | 79% | 23% | 77% | 54% | |
| Total not likely | 34% | 13% | 63% | 18% | 33% | |
| Very likely | 25% | 47% | 6% | 38% | 28% | |
| Somewhat likely | 25% | 32% | 17% | 39% | 26% | |
| Not very likely | 15% | 9% | 22% | 13% | 19% | |
| Not at all likely | 19% | 4% | 41% | 5% | 14% | |
| Don’t know | 17% | 8% | 13% | 6% | 13% |
50% think it is likely that the Liberal Party will attempt to rivatize Medicare if they win the Federal election.
79% of Labor voters and 77% of Greens voters think it is likely compared to 23% of Liberal National voters.
Q. Do you think the result of this election will –
| Total | Vote Labor | Vote Lib/Nat | Vote Greens | Vote other | ||
| Fundamentally change Australia | 13% | 24% | 6% | 11% | 10% | |
| Have a significant impact on the future of Australia | 38% | 41% | 37% | 49% | 39% | |
| Have a limited impact on the future of Australia | 30% | 22% | 43% | 25% | 31% | |
| Have no impact on the future of Australia | 8% | 5% | 8% | 5% | 11% | |
| Don’t know | 13% | 8% | 6% | 10% | 9% |
51% think that the result of this election will be either a fundamental change or have a significant impact on then future of Australia.
Labor voters (65%) and Greens voters (60%) are more likely to think it will have a significant impact or fundamental change.
51% of Liberal/National voters think it will have limited or no impact.
Q. Over the last few weeks which of the following types of contact have you had with the election campaign?
| Total | Vote Labor | Vote Lib/Nat | Vote Greens | Vote other | 7 June | |||
| Seen TV campaign ads | 72% | 76% | 76% | 68% | 76% | 58% | ||
| Received campaign materials in your letterbox | 70% | 74% | 70% | 78% | 75% | 49% | ||
| Watched one of the party leader debates on TV | 29% | 33% | 33% | 28% | 25% | 22% | ||
| Received an email about the election | 26% | 33% | 24% | 30% | 27% | 17% | ||
| Had a phone call from a political party | 21% | 19% | 24% | 16% | 30% | 11% | ||
| Visited a website about election issues | 18% | 21% | 16% | 33% | 20% | 13% | ||
| Been surveyed on the phone | 18% | 20% | 17% | 21% | 23% | 12% | ||
| Been approached in the street by party workers handing out material | 15% | 18% | 16% | 22% | 10% | 9% | ||
| Been door-knocked by a political party | 7% | 7% | 10% | 8% | 7% | 5% | ||
| Been door-knocked by another group (e.g. union, interest group) | 6% | 5% | 8% | 9% | 3% | 4% |
72% say they have seen TV ads about the election campaign and 70% have received campaign materials in their letterbox. 29% say they have watched a leaders debate.
Only 7% say they have been door-knocked by a political party and 15% have been approached by party workers in the street.