Q. Over the next 12 months do you think economic conditions in Australia will get better, get worse or stay much the same?
| Total
|
Vote Labor | Vote Lib/Nat | Vote Greens | Vote other | Dec 2008 | Oct 2009 | Oct 2010 | Oct 2011 | Aug
2012 |
Sep
2013 |
Sep 2015 | |||
| Get Better | 27% | 21% | 41% | 18% | 15% | 21% | 66% | 40% | 16% | 22% | 38% | 16% | ||
| Get Worse | 41% | 50% | 26% | 48% | 55% | 61% | 15% | 30% | 58% | 45% | 33% | 59% | ||
| Get a lot better | 4% | 2% | 7% | – | 1% | 2% | 8% | 6% | 2% | 3% | 7% | 3% | ||
| Get a little better | 23% | 19% | 34% | 18% | 14% | 19% | 58% | 34% | 14% | 19% | 31% | 13% | ||
| Get a little worse | 30% | 34% | 25% | 38% | 33% | 45% | 11% | 20% | 41% | 30% | 23% | 39% | ||
| Get a lot worse | 11% | 16% | 1% | 10% | 22% | 16% | 4% | 10% | 17% | 15% | 10% | 20% | ||
| Stay much the same | 25% | 25% | 27% | 27% | 24% | 13% | 15% | 24% | 22% | 27% | 19% | 18% | ||
| No opinion | 7% | 3% | 5% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 6% | 4% | 6% | 10% | 7% |
27% of Australians believe that over the next 12 months, economic conditions in Australia will get better and 41% believe they will get worse.
Labor (50%) and Greens (48%) voters were more likely than Coalition voters (26%) to think that economic conditions in Australia would get worse over the next 12 months.
Since the last time this question was asked in September 2015, the percentage of Australians who believe economic conditions will get better has risen from 16% to 27%.
Q. Which of the following do you think would make the best leader of the Liberal Party?
| Total | Vote Labor | Vote Lib/Nat | Vote Greens | Vote other | Jun 2014 | Feb 2015 | Aug 2015 | Sep 2015 | Dec 2015 | Mar 2016 | |||
| Malcolm Turnbull | 30% | 23% | 50% | 17% | 17% | 31% | 24% | 24% | 37% | 42% | 39% | ||
| Tony Abbott | 9% | 6% | 13% | 4% | 11% | 18% | 11% | 18% | 9% | 9% | 9% | ||
| Julie Bishop | 16% | 16% | 17% | 20% | 18% | 4% | 21% | 17% | 14% | 13% | 12% | ||
| Christopher Pyne | 3% | 3% | 1% | 1% | 8% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 1% | ||
| Scott Morrison | 3% | 2% | 5% | 2% | 5% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 2% | 2% | ||
| Someone else | 19% | 27% | 5% | 25% | 27% | 19% | 13% | 13% | 10% | 9% | 15% | ||
| Don’t know | 21% | 22% | 10% | 31% | 15% | 21% | 24% | 22% | 21% | 22% | 21% |
30% (down 9% since March) think Malcolm Turnbull would make the best leader of the Liberal Party, 16% prefer Julie Bishop (up 4%) and 9% prefer Tony Abbott (no change). 19% (up 4%) prefer someone else.
Among Liberal/National voters, 50% (down 3%) prefer Malcolm Turnbull, 13% (down 4%) prefer Tony Abbott and 17% (up 6%) Julie Bishop.
Preferences of men were Malcolm Turnbull 31% (-12%), Tony Abbott 9% (-3%) and Julie Bishop 17% (+9%).
Preferences of women were Malcolm Turnbull 28% (-7%), Julie Bishop 15% (-2%) and Tony Abbott 8% (+2%).
Q. Which of the following do you think would make the best leader of the Labor Party?
| Total | Vote Labor | Vote Lib/Nat | Vote Greens | Vote other | Aug 2015 | Dec 2015 | Mar 2016 | |||
| Bill Shorten | 27% | 51% | 16% | 19% | 15% | 16% | 13% | 15% | ||
| Anthony Albanese | 11% | 11% | 13% | 10% | 14% | 12% | 14% | 14% | ||
| Tanya Plibersek | 12% | 12% | 12% | 23% | 15% | 13% | 14% | 14% | ||
| Chris Bowen | 3% | 2% | 4% | 3% | 5% | 5% | 3% | 7% | ||
| Someone else | 17% | 6% | 22% | 12% | 29% | 18% | 17% | 18% | ||
| Don’t know | 30% | 17% | 34% | 33% | 22% | 36% | 38% | 32% |
27% (up 12% since March) think Bill Shorten would make the best leader of the Labor Party, 12% (down 2%) prefer Tanya Plibersek and 11% (down 3%) Anthony Albanese. 17% prefer someone else and 30% don’t know.
Among Labor voters, 51% (up 24%) prefer Bill Shorten, 12% (-3%) Tanya Plibersek and 11% (-6%) Anthony Albanese.
Preferences of men were Bill Shorten 29% (+11%), Tanya Plibersek 14% (+4%) and Anthony Albanese 13% (-4%).
Preferences of women were Bill Shorten 25% (+13%), Tanya Plibersek 11% (-7%) and Anthony Albanese 9% (-2%).
Q. Would you support or oppose a national ban on greyhound racing?
| Total | Vote Labor | Vote Lib/Nat | Vote Greens | Vote other | NSW | Vic | Mar 2015 | ||||
| Total support | 55% | 57% | 51% | 71% | 52% | 55% | 54% | 48% | |||
| Total oppose | 27% | 28% | 30% | 18% | 33% | 27% | 29% | 26% | |||
| Strongly support | 28% | 33% | 20% | 44% | 26% | 27% | 29% | 23% | |||
| Support | 27% | 24% | 31% | 27% | 26% | 28% | 25% | 25% | |||
| Oppose | 19% | 18% | 23% | 12% | 23% | 17% | 23% | 19% | |||
| Strongly oppose | 8% | 10% | 7% | 6% | 10% | 10% | 6% | 7% | |||
| Don’t know | 19% | 16% | 19% | 11% | 15% | 18% | 18% | 26% |
55% would support a national ban on greyhound racing and 27% would oppose. 19% did not have an opinion. This represents an increase in support for a national ban on greyhound racing since this question was asked in March last year.
Those most likely to support a ban were Greens voters (71%), income over $2,000 pw (62%) and those with a university education (62%). Views of those from NSW and Victoria were similar to the national sample.
Q. Do you think the changes made to Senate voting prior to the election made voting for the Senate in this election easier or more difficult?
| Total | Vote Labor | Vote Lib/Nat | Vote Greens | Vote other | ||
| Total easier | 19% | 20% | 18% | 22% | 23% | |
| Total more difficult | 37% | 39% | 43% | 33% | 29% | |
| Much easier | 5% | 5% | 4% | 5% | 6% | |
| Easier | 14% | 15% | 14% | 17% | 17% | |
| More difficult | 24% | 25% | 28% | 21% | 20% | |
| Much more difficult | 13% | 14% | 15% | 12% | 9% | |
| Made no difference | 25% | 25% | 27% | 20% | 32% | |
| Not sure | 16% | 14% | 11% | 22% | 16% | |
| Didn’t vote | 4% | 2% | 1% | 3% | 1% |
19% thought that the changes to Senate voting made voting easier and 37% thought it made voting more difficult.
Those most likely to think it made voting more difficult were aged 65+ (50%), aged 55-64 (43%) and those who had not completed year 12 (43%).
Q. Do you think the changes made to Senate voting prior to the election have produced a more democratic outcome in the Senate?
| Total | Vote Labor | Vote Lib/Nat | Vote Greens | Vote other | ||
| More democratic | 20% | 21% | 22% | 20% | 26% | |
| Less democratic | 15% | 20% | 14% | 15% | 11% | |
| Made no difference | 39% | 34% | 45% | 28% | 46% | |
| Don’t know | 26% | 24% | 19% | 37% | 17% |
20% thought that the changes to Senate voting had produced a more democratic outcome and 15% thought they produced a less democratic outcome. 39% thought they made no difference and 26% did not know.
There were no significant differences across demographic or voter groups.
Q. Do you approve or disapprove of the job Malcolm Turnbull is doing as Prime Minister?
| Total | Vote Labor | Vote Lib/Nat | Vote Greens | Vote other | Dec 2015 | Mar 2016 | 14 Jun 2016 | 28 Jun 2016 | |||
| Total approve | 37% | 13% | 75% | 19% | 18% | 56% | 45% | 38% | 40% | ||
| Total disapprove | 48% | 79% | 14% | 58% | 69% | 23% | 35% | 40% | 40% | ||
| Strongly approve | 8% | 3% | 19% | 2% | – | 13% | 6% | 6% | 7% | ||
| Approve | 29% | 10% | 56% | 17% | 18% | 43% | 39% | 32% | 33% | ||
| Disapprove | 27% | 41% | 10% | 29% | 41% | 16% | 24% | 24% | 22% | ||
| Strongly disapprove | 21% | 38% | 4% | 29% | 28% | 7% | 11% | 16% | 18% | ||
| Don’t know | 16% | 8% | 11% | 23% | 13% | 21% | 21% | 21% | 20% |
37% (down 3% from 2 weeks ago) of respondents approve of the job Malcolm Turnbull is doing as Prime Minister and 48% (up 8%) disapprove – a change in net approval rating from 0 to -11.
75% (down 3%) of Liberal/National voters approve of Malcolm Turnbull’s performance with 14% (up 4%) disapproving. 13% (down 7%) of Labor voters and 19% (down 1%) of Greens voters approve of Malcolm Turnbull’s performance.
By gender, men were 40% approve/48% disapprove and women 33% approve/46% disapprove.
Q. Do you think the issue of same sex marriage should be decided by Parliament or should there be a national vote?
| Total | Vote Labor | Vote Lib/Nat | Vote Greens | Vote other | Aug 2015 | Sep 2015 | Mar 2016 | |||
| Should be decided by Parliament | 25% | 32% | 20% | 43% | 19% | 22% | 21% | 23% | ||
| Should have a national vote | 60% | 55% | 67% | 47% | 67% | 66% | 67% | 66% | ||
| Don’t know | 15% | 12% | 13% | 11% | 14% | 12% | 12% | 11% |
60% favour a national vote on same sex marriage and 25% think the issue should be decided by Parliament.
This represents a shift away from support for a national vote since this question was asked in March.