Q. Do you approve or disapprove of the job Bill Shorten is doing as Opposition Leader?
| Total | Vote Labor | Vote Lib/Nat | Vote Greens | Vote other | Nov 2013 | Dec 2014 | Dec 2015 | Mar 2016 | Jun 2016 | Jul 2016 | |||
| Total approve | 37% | 67% | 20% | 41% | 23% | 31% | 35% | 27% | 27% | 34% | 39% | ||
| Total disapprove | 41% | 15% | 64% | 36% | 64% | 27% | 39% | 47% | 47% | 40% | 41% | ||
| Strongly approve | 7% | 17% | 2% | 4% | – | 5% | 7% | 4% | 3% | 7% | 11% | ||
| Approve | 30% | 50% | 18% | 37% | 23% | 26% | 28% | 23% | 24% | 27% | 28% | ||
| Disapprove | 23% | 13% | 29% | 28% | 36% | 17% | 23% | 26% | 29% | 22% | 21% | ||
| Strongly disapprove | 18% | 2% | 35% | 8% | 28% | 10% | 16% | 21% | 18% | 18% | 20% | ||
| Don’t know | 22% | 18% | 16% | 23% | 13% | 43% | 26% | 25% | 26% | 25% | 20% |
37% (down 2% in last 4 weeks) of respondents approve of the job Bill Shorten is doing as opposition leader and 41% (no change) disapprove – a change in his net rating from -2 to -4.
67% (down 11%) of Labor voters approve of the job Bill Shorten is doing and 15% (up 5%) disapprove.
42% of men and 32% of women approve of Bill Shorten. 43% of men and 39% of women disapprove.
Q. Who do you think would make the better Prime Minister out of Malcolm Turnbull and Bill Shorten?
| Total | Vote Labor | Vote Lib/Nat | Vote Greens | Vote other | Sep 2015 | Dec 2015 | Mar 2016 | Jun 2016 | Jul 2016 | |||
| Malcolm Turnbull | 40% | 10% | 83% | 21% | 31% | 53% | 54% | 48% | 40% | 39% | ||
| Bill Shorten | 30% | 64% | 4% | 49% | 19% | 17% | 15% | 19% | 29% | 31% | ||
| Don’t know | 31% | 26% | 13% | 30% | 51% | 30% | 31% | 33% | 32% | 30% |
40% (up 1% in last 4 weeks) of respondents think Malcolm Turnbull would make the better Prime Minister and 30% (down 1%) think Bill Shorten would make the better Prime Minister.
43% of men prefer Malcolm Turnbull and 31% prefer Bill Shorten.
36% of women prefer Malcolm Turnbull and 28% prefer Bill Shorten.
Q. Globalisation is the increase of trade, communication, travel and other things among countries around the world. In general, do you think Australia has gained more or lost more because of globalisation?
| Total | Vote Labor | Vote Lib/Nat | Vote Greens | Vote other | ||
| Gained | 29% | 26% | 35% | 48% | 18% | |
| Lost | 29% | 34% | 23% | 19% | 48% | |
| Nether | 18% | 18% | 20% | 11% | 20% | |
| Don’t know | 24% | 22% | 21% | 22% | 15% |
29% think that Australia has gained more from globalisation and 29% think we have lost more.
Those most likely to think Australia has gained from globalisation were aged 18-34 (42%), incomes over $2,000 pw (40%), university educated (43%), and Greens voters (48%).
Those who think Australia has lost because of globalisation were more likely to be aged 55+ (37%) and other party and independent voters (48%).
Q. Overall, would you say Australian trade with other countries creates more jobs for Australia, loses more jobs for Australia or has no effect on Australian jobs?
| Total | Vote Labor | Vote Lib/Nat | Vote Greens | Vote other | ||
| Creates jobs | 28% | 28% | 36% | 32% | 12% | |
| Loses jobs | 40% | 47% | 32% | 28% | 58% | |
| No effect | 10% | 5% | 12% | 11% | 12% | |
| Don’t know | 23% | 20% | 20% | 28% | 18% |
40% think that trade with other countries loses more jobs for Australia and 28% think it gains more jobs.
Those most likely to think trade creates more Australian jobs were Liberal/National voters (36%), incomes over $2,000 pw (36%) and university educated (36%),
Those who think Australia loses more jobs from trade were more likely to be aged 55+ (47%), Labor voters (47%) and other party and independent voters (58%).
Q. Next Tuesday’s 2016 Census of Population and Housing will require all people to provide their names and addresses which will be keep associated with the data for four years. Do you approve or disapprove of the Census keeping names and addresses?
| Total | Vote Labor | Vote Lib/Nat | Vote Greens | Vote other | ||
| Total approve | 45% | 43% | 57% | 42% | 35% | |
| Total disapprove | 39% | 45% | 28% | 44% | 55% | |
| Strongly approve | 10% | 9% | 14% | 9% | 6% | |
| Approve | 35% | 34% | 43% | 33% | 29% | |
| Disapprove | 22% | 22% | 20% | 27% | 26% | |
| Strongly disapprove | 17% | 23% | 8% | 17% | 29% | |
| Don’t know | 16% | 12% | 15% | 14% | 9% |
45% approve of the Census keeping names and addresses and 39% disapprove.
Those more likely to approve were Liberal/National voters (57%), aged 55+ (51%), incomes over $2,000 pw (51%) and university educated (51%).
Those most likely to disapprove were other party and independent voters (55%).
Q. Do you think the recent cut in official interest rates indicates that Australia’s economy is getting better or getting worse?
| Total | Vote Labor | Vote Lib/Nat | Vote Greens | Vote other | ||
| Economy is getting better | 13% | 11% | 19% | 13% | 11% | |
| Economy is getting worse | 47% | 53% | 44% | 45% | 61% | |
| Neither | 24% | 23% | 24% | 20% | 21% | |
| Don’t know | 16% | 13% | 13% | 22% | 7% |
47% think that the recent cut in official interest rates indicates Australia’s economy is getting worse and 13% think it indicates the economy is getting better. 24% think it indicates neither.
There were few significant differences across demographic groups. 54% of those aged 45-64 and 61% of other party and independent voters thought it indicated the economy was getting worse.
Q. Will the recent cut in official interest rates make you personally better off or worse off financially?
| Total | Vote Labor | Vote Lib/Nat | Vote Greens | Vote other | Aged 18-34 | Aged 35-54 | Aged 55+ | |||
| Total better off | 25% | 26% | 28% | 22% | 20% | 30% | 31% | 7% | ||
| Total worse off | 29% | 32% | 28% | 31% | 28% | 21% | 21% | 49% | ||
| Much better off | 3% | 3% | 4% | 2% | 2% | 4% | 3% | 1% | ||
| A little better off | 22% | 23% | 24% | 20% | 18% | 26% | 28% | 6% | ||
| A little worse off | 19% | 20% | 20% | 26% | 16% | 17% | 14% | 30% | ||
| Much worse off | 10% | 12% | 8% | 5% | 12% | 4% | 7% | 19% | ||
| Make no difference | 36% | 33% | 37% | 37% | 46% | 30% | 37% | 42% | ||
| Don’t know | 11% | 10% | 8% | 10% | 5% | 19% | 10% | 2% |
25% think that the recent cut in official interest rates will make them personally better off and 29% think it will make them worse off.
Those more likely to think they will be better off were aged 25-44 (35%), full-time workers (36%) and incomes over $2,000 pw (40%).
Those more likely to think they will be worse off were aged 55+ (49%), earning less than $1,000 pw (37%) and those not working (36%).
Q. If a Federal Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward? If don’t know -Well which party are you currently leaning to?
| Total | Last week
26/7/16 |
2 weeks ago
19/7/16 |
4 weeks ago
5/7/16 |
Election 7 Sep 13 | |||
| Liberal | 36% | 35% | 35% | 38% | |||
| National | 3% | 4% | 4% | 3% | |||
| Total Liberal/National | 39% | 39% | 39% | 41% | 45.6% | ||
| Labor | 37% | 37% | 36% | 37% | 33.4% | ||
| Greens | 10% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 8.6% | ||
| Nick Xenophon Team | 4% | 4% | 4% | 2% | – | ||
| Other/Independent | 10% | 11% | 10% | 10% | 12.4% | ||
| 2 party preferred | |||||||
| Liberal National | 48% | 48% | 49% | 50% | 53.5% | ||
| Labor | 52% | 52% | 51% | 50% | 46.5% |
NB: Sample = 1,817. The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived from the first preference/leaning to voting questions. Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results. The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2013 election.