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  • Jul, 2021

    ,

    Federal voting intention

    Q. If a federal election was held tomorrow, to which party would you give your first preference vote in the House of Representatives (Lower House)?

    [If don’t know] Well which party are you currently leaning towards?

    Q       This week

    19/07

    Two weeks ago

    05/07

    21/06 07/06 24/05 10/05 26/04 12/04 29/03 15/03 01/03 15/02
    Liberal / Liberal Nationals / Country Liberals 34% 35% 35% 35% 35% 36% 36% 34% 36% 35% 35% 36%
    Nationals 3% 2% 3% 3% 3% 2% 3% 3% 3% 3% 2% 3%
    Total: Coalition 37% 37% 38% 38% 37% 38% 39% 37% 39% 38% 37% 39%
    Labor 36% 36% 36% 35% 35% 36% 34% 36% 36% 34% 34% 35%
    Greens 10% 8% 10% 10% 10% 9% 10% 10% 8% 9% 9% 8%
    Pauline Hanson’s One Nation 4% 4% 4% 4% 3% 3% 4% 3% 3% 3% 4% 4%
    Other/Independent 6% 5% 5% 7% 6% 6% 6% 7% 7% 8% 8% 7%
    Undecided 8% 8% 7% 7% 8% 8% 7% 7% 7% 7% 7% 6%
     
    2 Party Preferred (2PP+)
    TOTAL: Coalition 45% 44% 45% 44% 44% 44% 46% 45% 46% 47% 45% 47%
    Labor 47% 48% 47% 48% 48% 48% 46% 48% 47% 47% 48% 47%
    Undecided 8% 8% 7% 7% 8% 8% 7% 7% 7% 7% 7% 6%

     

  • Feb, 2021

    , , ,

    Federal Voting Intention

    Q. If a Federal election was held tomorrow, to which party would you give your first preference vote in the House of Representatives (Lower House)?

    [If don’t know] Well which party are you currently leaning towards?

    Q       This week

    01/02

    Two weeks ago

    18/01

    14/12 30/11 16/11 02/11 19/10
    Liberal / Liberal Nationals / Country Liberals 35% 37% 34% 37% 36% 36% 36%
    Nationals 2% 3% 3% 4% 3% 3% 3%
    Total: Coalition 37% 40% 37% 41% 38% 39% 39%
    Labor 35% 33% 35% 33% 35% 35% 35%
    Greens 10% 10% 8% 8% 9% 9% 9%
    Pauline Hanson’s One Nation 3% 3% 4% 4% 4% 3% 3%
    Other/Independent 7% 7% 7% 6% 6% 5% 7%
    Undecided 8% 7% 9% 8% 7% 9% 8%
     
    2 Party Preferred (2PP+)
    TOTAL: Coalition 44% 48% 45% 49% 45% 44% 48%
    Labor 47% 45% 46% 43% 47% 46% 45%
    Undecided 8% 7% 9% 8% 7% 9% 8%

     

  • Oct, 2020

    ,

    Federal Voting Intention

    Q. If a Federal election was held tomorrow, to which party would you give your first preference vote in the House of Representatives (Lower House)?

    [If don’t know] Well which party are you currently leaning towards?

    Q       This week

    19/10

    Last week

    12/10

    Two weeks ago

    05/10

    21/09 07/09 24/08 10/08
    Liberal / Liberal Nationals / Country Liberals 36% 38% 37% 38% 35% 36% 36%
    Nationals 3% 3% 3% 3% 2% 3% 2%
    Total: Coalition 39% 40% 39% 41% 38% 39% 38%
    Labor 35% 33% 34% 31% 32% 35% 34%
    Greens 9% 9% 9% 10% 10% 9% 9%
    Pauline Hanson’s One Nation 3% 3% 5% 4% 3% 4% 4%
    Other/Independent 7% 5% 6% 5% 9% 6% 5%
    Undecided 8% 9% 7% 9% 8% 7% 10%
                   
    2 Party Preferred (2PP+)              
    TOTAL: Coalition 48% 47% 47% 49% 45% 47% 46%
    Labor 45% 44% 46% 42% 47% 45% 44%
    Undecided 8% 9% 7% 9% 8% 7% 10%

     

  • Jul, 2020

    , ,

    Federal Voting Intention

    Q. If a Federal election was held tomorrow, to which party would you give your first preference vote in the House of Representatives (Lower House)?

    [If don’t know] Well which party are you currently leaning towards?

      This week

    27/07

    Two weeks ago

    13/07

    29/06 22/06 15/06 08/06
    Liberal / Liberal Nationals / Country Liberals 36% 35% 36% 37% 36% 37%
    Nationals 2% 3% 3% 2% 3% 3%
    Total: Coalition 38% 37% 39% 39% 38% 40%
    Labor 35% 34% 33% 33% 35% 33%
    Greens 9% 10% 9% 10% 9% 9%
    Pauline Hanson’s One Nation 4% 4% 4% 5% 5% 4%
    Other/Independent 6% 6% 6% 6% 7% 6%
    Undecided 8% 9% 8% 7% 7% 8%
                 
    2 Party Preferred (2PP+)            
    TOTAL: Coalition 45% 45% 47% 48% 47% 47%
    Labor 47% 46% 45% 46% 47% 45%
    Undecided 8% 9% 8% 7% 7% 8%

     

  • Jul, 2020

    , ,

    Federal parliament sittings

    Q. Which of the following solutions would you prefer was used by the Federal parliament given the travel restrictions mean some MPs are not able to attend sessions in Canberra in person?

        Voting intention
      Total Labor NET: Coalition Greens NET: Other
    Parliament sitting face-to-face as normal with social distancing in place for those who can attend 17% 16% 20% 18% 20%
    Parliament sitting face-to-face with video conference for those who cannot attend in person 57% 59% 57% 64% 62%
    Parliament not sitting until travel restrictions are relaxed for all MPs 13% 15% 14% 8% 9%
    Unsure 13% 10% 9% 10% 10%
    Base (n) 1,058 334 428 81 107

     

        Gender Age group
      Total Male Female 18-34 35-54 55+
    Parliament sitting face-to-face as normal with social distancing in place for those who can attend 17% 21% 13% 21% 18% 12%
    Parliament sitting face-to-face with video conference for those who cannot attend in person 57% 55% 59% 46% 53% 72%
    Parliament not sitting until travel restrictions are relaxed for all MPs 13% 14% 12% 18% 13% 9%
    Unsure 13% 9% 16% 15% 16% 8%
    Base (n) 1,058 538 520 341 331 386

     

    The large majority of people want to see parliament continue to sit, either with social distancing measures, (17%), or using video conferencing options (57%). Only 13% would prefer parliament not to sit during the travel restrictions due to Covid-19.

  • May, 2015

    ,

    Federal politics – voting intention

    Q. If a Federal Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward?

    Q.If don’t know -Well which party are you currently leaning to?

    Sample size = 1,774 respondents

    First preference/leaning to Election

    7 Sep 13

      4 weeks ago

    7/4/15

    2 weeks ago 21/4/15 Last week

    28/4/15

    This week 5/5/15
    Liberal   36% 37% 36% 37%
    National   4% 3% 4% 3%
    Total Liberal/National 45.6% 40% 41% 40% 40%
    Labor 33.4% 39% 39% 39% 39%
    Greens 8.6% 10% 11% 10% 10%
    Palmer United Party 5.5% 2% 1% 2% 1%
    Other/Independent 6.9% 9% 9% 9% 9%

     

    2 Party Preferred Election

    7 Sep 13

      4 weeks ago

    7/4/15

    2 weeks ago 21/4/15 Last week

    28/4/15

    This week 5/5/15
    Liberal National 53.5% 47% 48% 47% 47%
    Labor 46.5% 53% 52% 53% 53%

    NB. The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived from the first preference/leaning to voting questions. Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results. The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2013 election.

  • Sep, 2014

    , , , , ,

    Federal politics – voting intention

    Q. If a Federal Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward?

    Q. If don’t know -Well which party are you currently leaning to?

    Sample size = 1,756 respondents

    First preference/leaning to

    Election

    7 Sep 13

     

    4 weeks ago 26/8/14

    2 weeks ago

    9/9/14

    Last week

    16/9/14

    This week

    23/9/14

    Liberal

     

    36%

    36%

    35%

    36%

    National

    3%

    3%

    3%

    3%

    Total Liberal/National

    45.6%

    39%

    39%

    39%

    39%

    Labor

    33.4%

    37%

    38%

    38%

    39%

    Greens

    8.6%

    10%

    10%

    11%

    10%

    Palmer United Party

    5.5%

    6%

    4%

    4%

    4%

    Other/Independent

    6.9%

    8%

    9%

    9%

    8%

     

    2 Party Preferred

    Election

    7 Sep 13

     

    4 weeks ago 26/8/14

    2 weeks ago

    9/9/14

    Last week

    16/9/14

    This week

    23/9/14

    Liberal National

    53.5%

    48%

    48%

    47%

    47%

    Labor

    46.5%

    52%

    52%

    53%

    53%

    NB. The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived from the first preference/leaning to voting questions.  Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results.  The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2013 election.

  • Sep, 2014

    , , , , , ,

    Federal politics – voting intention

    Q. If a Federal Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward?

    Q. If don’t know -Well which party are you currently leaning to?

    Sample size = 1,802 respondents

    First preference/leaning to

    Election

    7 Sep 13

     

    4 weeks ago 5/8/14

    2 weeks ago

    19/8/14

    Last week

    26/8/14

    This week

    2/9/14

    Liberal

     

    39%

    37%

    36%

    36%

    National

    2%

    3%

    3%

    4%

    Total Liberal/National

    45.6%

    41%

    40%

    39%

    40%

    Labor

    33.4%

    39%

    38%

    37%

    38%

    Greens

    8.6%

    9%

    9%

    10%

    9%

    Palmer United Party

    5.5%

    4%

    6%

    6%

    5%

    Other/Independent

    6.9%

    7%

    7%

    8%

    8%

     

    2 Party Preferred

    Election

    7 Sep 13

     

    4 weeks ago 5/8/14

    2 weeks ago

    19/8/14

    Last week

    26/8/14

    This week

    2/9/14

    Liberal National

    53.5%

    49%

    48%

    48%

    48%

    Labor

    46.5%

    51%

    52%

    52%

    52%

    NB. The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived from the first preference/leaning to voting questions.  Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results.  The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2013 election.


     

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