Federal politics – voting intention

Jan 30, 2012

Q. If a Federal Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward?

Q. If don’t know -Well which party are you currently leaning to?

Sample size = 1,899 respondents

First preference/leaning to Election

21 Aug 10

2 weeks ago Last week

This week
Liberal 45% 45% 44%
National 3% 3% 3%
Total Lib/Nat 43.6% 48% 48% 47%
Labor 38.0% 35% 35% 34%
Greens 11.8% 9% 10% 10%
Other/Independent 6.6% 8% 7% 8%
2PP Election

21 Aug 10

2 weeks ago Last week This week
Total Lib/Nat 49.9% 54% 54% 54%
Labor 50.1% 46% 46% 46%

NB.  The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived from the first preference/leaning to voting questions.  Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results.  The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2010 election.

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Federal politics – voting intention

Jan 23, 2012

Q. If a Federal Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward?

Q. If don’t know -Well which party are you currently leaning to?

Sample size = 1,896 respondents

First preference/leaning to Election

21 Aug 10

Last week

This week
Liberal 45% 45%
National 3% 3%
Total Lib/Nat 43.6% 48% 48%
Labor 38.0% 35% 35%
Greens 11.8% 9% 10%
Other/Independent 6.6% 8% 7%
2PP Election

21 Aug 10

Last week This week
Total Lib/Nat 49.9% 54% 54%
Labor 50.1% 46% 46%

NB.  The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived from the first preference/leaning to voting questions.  Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results.  The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2010 election.

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Federal politics – voting intention

Jan 16, 2012

Q. If a Federal Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward?

Q. If don’t know -Well which party are you currently leaning to?

Sample size = 1,899 respondents

First preference/leaning to Election

21 Aug 10

Last poll

(19.12.11)

This week
Liberal 45% 45%
National 3% 3%
Total Lib/Nat 43.6% 47% 48%
Labor 38.0% 35% 35%
Greens 11.8% 9% 9%
Other/Independent 6.6% 8% 8%
2PP Election

21 Aug 10

Last poll This week
Total Lib/Nat 49.9% 54% 54%
Labor 50.1% 46% 46%

NB.  The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived from the first preference/leaning to voting questions.  Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results.  The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2010 election.

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Federal politics – voting intention

Nov 22, 2010

Q. If a Federal Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward?

Q. If don’t know -Well which party are you currently leaning to?

sample size = 1,869

First preference/leaning to 6 months ago 4 weeks ago 2 weeks ago Last week This week
Liberal 39% 41% 42% 42% 42%
National 2% 3% 4% 3% 3%
Total Lib/Nat 41% 44% 46% 45% 45%
Labor 40% 41% 39% 39% 38%
Greens 10% 8% 8% 10% 10%
Other/Independent 9% 7% 7% 7% 8%
2PP 6 months ago 4 weeks ago 2 weeks ago Last week

This week
Total Lib/Nat 48% 50% 51% 51% 51%
Labor 52% 50% 49% 49% 49%

NB.  The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived the first preference/leaning to voting questions.  Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results.  The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2010 election.

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Approval of Julia Gillard

Nov 22, 2010

Q. Do you approve or disapprove of the job Julia Gillard is doing as Prime Minister?

Kevin Rudd Julia Gillard
31 May 5 Jul 19 Jul 26 Jul 2 Aug 9 Aug 16 Aug 20 Sep 18 Oct 22 Nov
Total approve 41% 48% 52% 49% 46% 45% 46% 45% 45% 43%
Total disapprove 47% 27% 30% 33% 38% 40% 40% 37% 37% 38%
Strongly approve 7% 14% 11% 12% 10% 13% 13% 12% 10% 7%
Approve 34% 34% 41% 37% 36% 32% 33% 33% 36% 36%
Disapprove 25% 13% 17% 19% 23% 24% 24% 21% 20% 23%
Strongly disapprove 22% 14% 13% 14% 15% 16% 16% 16% 17% 15%
Don’t know 12% 26% 18% 17% 15% 15% 13% 19% 18% 18%

43% (down 2%) approve of the job Julia Gillard is doing as Prime Minister and 38% (up 1%) disapprove – a change in net rating from +8 to +5.

87% of Labor voters approve and 4% disapprove.

By gender – men 39% approve/44% disapprove, women 47% approve/33% disapprove. Men have shifted from a net rating of  +4 to -5 while women have changed from +10 to +14.

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Approval of Tony Abbott

Nov 22, 2010

Q. Do you approve or disapprove of the job Tony Abbott is doing as Opposition Leader?

18 Jan 22 Feb 29 Mar 3 May 31 May 5 Jul 2 Aug 16 Aug 20 Sep 18 Oct 22 Nov
Total approve 37% 45% 33% 39% 35% 37% 38% 41% 43% 39% 40%
Total disapprove 37% 36% 50% 43% 50% 47% 48% 44% 37% 45% 40%
Strongly approve 5% 12% 8% 5% 5% 8% 8% 9% 12% 8% 6%
Approve 32% 33% 25% 34% 30% 29% 30% 32% 31% 31% 34%
Disapprove 20% 20% 28% 24% 28% 23% 27% 22% 21% 22% 22%
Strongly disapprove 17% 16% 22% 19% 22% 24% 21% 22% 16% 23% 18%
Don’t know 26% 18% 16% 18% 16% 16% 14% 15% 19% 17% 19%

40% (up 1%) approve of the job Tony Abbott is doing as Opposition Leader and 40% (down 5%) disapprove – a shift from a net rating from -6 to level.

78% of Coalition voters approve and 12% disapprove.

By gender – men 46% approve/38% disapprove, women 35% approve/43% disapprove. Men have shifted from a net rating of  -7 to +8 while women have changed from -4 to -8.

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Better Prime Minister

Nov 22, 2010

Q. Who do you think would make the better Prime Minister out of Julia Gillard and Tony Abbott?

5 Jul 10 19 Jul 10 26 Jul 10 2 Aug 10 9 Aug 10 16 Aug 10 20 Sep 10 18 Oct 10 22 Nov 10 Vote Labor Vote Lib/Nat Vote Greens Kevin Rudd v Tony Abbott

21 Jun 10

Julia Gillard 53% 50% 51% 48% 45% 46% 47% 49% 45% 94% 6% 76% 47%
Tony Abbott 26% 27% 26% 30% 33% 35% 35% 33% 34% 1% 78% 3% 30%
Don’t know 21% 23% 23% 22% 21% 19% 18% 17% 21% 5% 17% 21% 23%

45% (down 4%) believe Julia Gillard would make the better Prime Minister and 34% (up 1%) prefer Tony Abbott – a closing of the gap from 16% to 11% since last month’s figures.

Men favour Julia Gillard over Tony Abbott 41%/40% and women 49%/28%.

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Watching Live Sport on TV

Nov 22, 2010

Q. How often do you watch live sport on free-to-air TV?

Q. How often do you watch live sport on pay TV?

FTA Pay
More than three times a week 11% 7%
Two or three times a week 13% 5%
About once a week 21% 8%
About once a month 7% 4%
Less often 9% 6%
It varies, depending on the time of year 20% 10%
Total watch 80% 39%
Never 18% 59%
Can’t say 2% 2%

80% say they watch live sport on free-to-air TV and 39% watch on pay TV.

45% watch at least once a week on free-to-air TV and 20% watch at least once a week on pay TV.

57% of men and 31% of women watch on FTA TV at least once a week, while 25% of men and 14% of women watch on pay TV at least once a week.

The age groups most likely to watch FTA at least once a week are 18-24 (52%) and 35-44 (49%) while those least likely are 65+ (39%) and 25-34 (39%).

There were no substantial age differences for those watching on pay TV.

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