Federal politics – voting intention
Q. If a Federal Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward?
Q. If don’t know -Well which party are you currently leaning to?
Sample size = 1,902 respondents
First preference/leaning to |
Election 21 Aug 10 |
4 weeks ago |
2 weeks ago |
Last week
|
This week |
Liberal |
44% |
46% |
47% |
46% |
|
National |
3% |
3% |
3% |
3% |
|
Total Lib/Nat |
43.6% |
47% |
49% |
49% |
49% |
Labor |
38.0% |
34% |
32% |
32% |
31% |
Greens |
11.8% |
10% |
11% |
10% |
10% |
Other/Independent |
6.6% |
9% |
8% |
9% |
10% |
2PP |
Election 21 Aug 10 |
4 weeks ago |
2 weeks ago |
Last week |
This week |
Total Lib/Nat |
49.9% |
54% |
56% |
56% |
57% |
Labor |
50.1% |
46% |
44% |
44% |
43% |
NB. The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived from the first preference/leaning to voting questions. Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results. The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2010 election.
Federal politics – voting intention
Q. If a Federal Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward?
Q. If don’t know -Well which party are you currently leaning to?
Sample size = 1,891 respondents
First preference/leaning to |
Election 21 Aug 10 |
4 weeks ago |
2 weeks ago |
Last week
|
This week |
Liberal |
|
44% |
45% |
46% |
47% |
National |
|
3% |
3% |
3% |
3% |
Total Lib/Nat |
43.6% |
47% |
48% |
49% |
49% |
Labor |
38.0% |
33% |
33% |
32% |
32% |
Greens |
11.8% |
11% |
11% |
11% |
10% |
Other/Independent |
6.6% |
9% |
9% |
8% |
9% |
2PP |
Election 21 Aug 10 |
4 weeks ago |
2 weeks ago |
Last week |
This week |
Total Lib/Nat |
49.9% |
54% |
55% |
56% |
56% |
Labor |
50.1% |
46% |
45% |
44% |
44% |
NB. The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived from the first preference/leaning to voting questions. Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results. The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2010 election.
Federal politics – voting intention
Q. If a Federal Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward?
Q. If don’t know -Well which party are you currently leaning to?
Sample size = 1,908 respondents
First preference/leaning to |
Election 21 Aug 10 |
4 weeks ago |
2 weeks ago |
Last week
|
This week |
Liberal |
|
44% |
44% |
45% |
46% |
National |
|
3% |
3% |
3% |
3% |
Total Lib/Nat |
43.6% |
47% |
47% |
48% |
49% |
Labor |
38.0% |
34% |
34% |
33% |
32% |
Greens |
11.8% |
10% |
10% |
11% |
11% |
Other/Independent |
6.6% |
8% |
9% |
9% |
8% |
2PP |
Election 21 Aug 10 |
4 weeks ago |
2 weeks ago |
Last week |
This week |
Total Lib/Nat |
49.9% |
54% |
54% |
55% |
56% |
Labor |
50.1% |
46% |
46% |
45% |
44% |
NB. The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived from the first preference/leaning to voting questions. Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results. The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2010 election.
Federal politics – voting intention
Q. If a Federal Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward?
Q. If don’t know -Well which party are you currently leaning to?
Sample size = 1042 respondents
First preference/leaning to | Election
21 Aug 10 |
4 weeks ago | 2 weeks ago | Last week
|
This week |
Liberal | 45% | 44% | 44% | 45% | |
National | 3% | 3% | 3% | 3% | |
Total Lib/Nat | 43.6% | 48% | 47% | 47% | 48% |
Labor | 38.0% | 35% | 33% | 34% | 33% |
Greens | 11.8% | 10% | 11% | 10% | 11% |
Other/Independent | 6.6% | 7% | 9% | 9% | 9% |
2PP | Election
21 Aug 10 |
4 weeks ago | 2 weeks ago | Last week | This week |
Total Lib/Nat | 49.9% | 54% | 54% | 54% | 55% |
Labor | 50.1% | 46% | 46% | 46% | 45% |
NB. The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived from the first preference/leaning to voting questions. Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results. The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2010 election.
Federal politics – voting intention
Q. If a Federal Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward?
Q. If don’t know -Well which party are you currently leaning to?
Sample size = 1,906 respondents
First preference/leaning to | Election
21 Aug 10 |
4 weeks ago | 2 weeks ago | Last week
|
This week |
Liberal | 45% | 44% | 44% | 44% | |
National | 3% | 3% | 3% | 3% | |
Total Lib/Nat | 43.6% | 48% | 47% | 47% | 47% |
Labor | 38.0% | 35% | 34% | 33% | 34% |
Greens | 11.8% | 9% | 10% | 11% | 10% |
Other/Independent | 6.6% | 8% | 8% | 9% | 9% |
2PP | Election
21 Aug 10 |
4 weeks ago | 2 weeks ago | Last week | This week |
Total Lib/Nat | 49.9% | 54% | 54% | 54% | 54% |
Labor | 50.1% | 46% | 46% | 46% | 46% |
NB. The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived from the first preference/leaning to voting questions. Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results. The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2010 election.
Federal politics – voting intention
Q. If a Federal Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward?
Q. If don’t know -Well which party are you currently leaning to?
Sample size = 1,899 respondents
First preference/leaning to | Election
21 Aug 10 |
2 weeks ago | Last week
|
This week |
Liberal | 45% | 45% | 44% | |
National | 3% | 3% | 3% | |
Total Lib/Nat | 43.6% | 48% | 48% | 47% |
Labor | 38.0% | 35% | 35% | 34% |
Greens | 11.8% | 9% | 10% | 10% |
Other/Independent | 6.6% | 8% | 7% | 8% |
2PP | Election
21 Aug 10 |
2 weeks ago | Last week | This week |
Total Lib/Nat | 49.9% | 54% | 54% | 54% |
Labor | 50.1% | 46% | 46% | 46% |
NB. The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived from the first preference/leaning to voting questions. Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results. The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2010 election.
Federal politics – voting intention
Q. If a Federal Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward?
Q. If don’t know -Well which party are you currently leaning to?
Sample size = 1,896 respondents
First preference/leaning to | Election
21 Aug 10 |
Last week
|
This week |
Liberal | 45% | 45% | |
National | 3% | 3% | |
Total Lib/Nat | 43.6% | 48% | 48% |
Labor | 38.0% | 35% | 35% |
Greens | 11.8% | 9% | 10% |
Other/Independent | 6.6% | 8% | 7% |
2PP | Election
21 Aug 10 |
Last week | This week |
Total Lib/Nat | 49.9% | 54% | 54% |
Labor | 50.1% | 46% | 46% |
NB. The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived from the first preference/leaning to voting questions. Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results. The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2010 election.
Federal politics – voting intention
Q. If a Federal Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward?
Q. If don’t know -Well which party are you currently leaning to?
Sample size = 1,899 respondents
First preference/leaning to | Election
21 Aug 10 |
Last poll
(19.12.11) |
This week |
Liberal | 45% | 45% | |
National | 3% | 3% | |
Total Lib/Nat | 43.6% | 47% | 48% |
Labor | 38.0% | 35% | 35% |
Greens | 11.8% | 9% | 9% |
Other/Independent | 6.6% | 8% | 8% |
2PP | Election
21 Aug 10 |
Last poll | This week |
Total Lib/Nat | 49.9% | 54% | 54% |
Labor | 50.1% | 46% | 46% |
NB. The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived from the first preference/leaning to voting questions. Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results. The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2010 election.

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