29 October 2013, 291013, 2PP, Greens, Labor Party, Liberal Party, tony abbott, two party preferred, Voting intention
Q. If a Federal Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward?
Q. If don’t know -Well which party are you currently leaning to?
Sample size = 1,899 respondents
| First preference/leaning to |
Election 7 Sep 13 (current figures) |
|
4 weeks ago 1/10/13 |
2 weeks ago 15/10/13 |
Last week 22/10/13 |
This week 29/10/13 |
| Liberal |
|
40% |
41% |
41% |
42% |
|
| National |
|
3% |
2% |
3% |
3% |
|
| Total Lib/Nat |
45.6% |
43% |
43% |
44% |
45% |
|
| Labor |
33.4% |
36% |
35% |
34% |
35% |
|
| Greens |
8.6% |
9% |
10% |
10% |
10% |
|
| Other/Independent |
12.4% |
12% |
12% |
11% |
11% |
| 2 Party Preferred |
Election 7 Sep 13 |
|
4 weeks ago 1/10/13 |
2 weeks ago 15/10/13 |
Last week 22/10/13 |
This week 29/10/13 |
| Liberal National |
53.4% |
52% |
52% |
53% |
53% |
|
| Labor |
46.6% |
48% |
48% |
47% |
47% |
NB. The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived from the first preference/leaning to voting questions. Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results. The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2010 election.
2PP, Greens, Labor Party, Liberal Party, two party preferred, Voting intention
Q. If a Federal Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward?
Q. If don’t know -Well which party are you currently leaning to?
Sample size = 1,864 respondents
| First preference/leaning to |
Election 7 Sep 13 (current figures) |
|
4 weeks ago 23/09/13 |
2 weeks ago 08/10/13 |
Last week 15/10/13 |
This week 22/10/13 |
| Liberal |
|
41% |
40% |
41% |
41% |
|
| National |
|
2% |
3% |
2% |
3% |
|
| Total Lib/Nat |
45.6% |
43% |
43% |
43% |
44% |
|
| Labor |
33.4% |
37% |
35% |
35% |
34% |
|
| Greens |
8.6% |
9% |
9% |
10% |
10% |
|
| Other/Independent |
12.4% |
11% |
12% |
12% |
11% |
| 2 Party Preferred |
Election 7 Sep 13 |
|
4 weeks ago 23/09/13 |
2 weeks ago 08/10/13 |
Last week 15/10/13 |
This week 22/10/13 |
| Liberal National |
53.4% |
51% |
52% |
52% |
53% |
|
| Labor |
46.6% |
49% |
48% |
48% |
47% |
NB. The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived from the first preference/leaning to voting questions. Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results. The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2010 election.
08 October 2013, 081013, 2PP, Greens, Labor Party, Liberal Party, two party preferred, Voting intention
Q. If a Federal Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward?
Q. If don’t know -Well which party are you currently leaning to?
Sample size = 1,865 respondents
| First preference/leaning to |
Election 7 Sep 13 (current figures) |
|
4 weeks ago 9/9/13 |
2 weeks ago 23/9/13 |
Last week 1/10/13 |
This week 8/10/13 |
| Liberal |
|
45% |
41% |
40% |
40% |
|
| National |
2% |
3% |
3% |
|||
| Total Lib/Nat |
45.5% |
45% |
43% |
43% |
43% |
|
| Labor |
33.4% |
35% |
37% |
36% |
35% |
|
| Greens |
8.7% |
8% |
9% |
9% |
9% |
|
| Other/Independent |
12.4% |
12% |
11% |
12% |
12% |
| 2 Party Preferred |
Election 7 Sep 13 |
|
4 weeks ago 2/9/13 |
2 weeks ago 16/9/13 |
Last week 1/10/13 |
This week 8/10/13 |
| Liberal National |
53.4% |
52% |
52% |
|||
| Labor |
46.6% |
48% |
48% |
NB. The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived from the first preference/leaning to voting questions. Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results. The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2010 election.
01 October 2013, 011013, 2PP, Labor Party, Liberal Party, two party preferred, Voting intention
Q. If a Federal Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward?
Q. If don’t know -Well which party are you currently leaning to?
Sample size = 1,908 respondents
| First preference/leaning to |
Election 7 Sep 13 (current figures) |
|
4 weeks ago 2/9/13 |
2 weeks ago 16/9/13 |
Last week 24/9/13 |
This week 1/10/13 |
| Liberal |
|
41% |
42% |
41% |
40% |
|
| National |
3% |
3% |
2% |
3% |
||
| Total Lib/Nat |
45.5% |
44% |
44% |
43% |
43% |
|
| Labor |
33.4% |
35% |
36% |
37% |
36% |
|
| Greens |
8.7% |
11% |
9% |
9% |
9% |
|
| Other/Independent |
12.4% |
10% |
11% |
11% |
12% |
| 2 Party Preferred |
Election 7 Sep 13 |
|
4 weeks ago 2/9/13 |
2 weeks ago 16/9/13 |
Last week 24/9/13 |
This week 1/10/13 |
| Liberal National |
53.4% |
52% |
53% |
51% |
52% |
|
| Labor |
46.6% |
48% |
47% |
49% |
48% |
NB. The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived from the first preference/leaning to voting questions. Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results. The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2010 election.
24 September 2013, 240913, 2PP, Greens, Labor Party, Liberal Party, two party preferred, Voting intention
Q. If a Federal Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward?
Q. If don’t know -Well which party are you currently leaning to?
Sample size = 1,886 respondents
| First preference/leaning to |
Election 7 Sep 13 (current figures) |
|
4 weeks ago 26/8/13 |
2 weeks ago 9/9/13 |
Last week 16/9/13 |
This week 23/9/13 |
| Liberal |
|
40% |
41% |
42% |
41% |
|
| National |
2% |
3% |
3% |
2% |
||
| Total Lib/Nat |
45.6% |
43% |
45% |
44% |
43% |
|
| Labor |
33.4% |
38% |
35% |
36% |
37% |
|
| Greens |
8.6% |
11% |
9% |
9% |
9% |
|
| Other/Independent |
12.4% |
9% |
12% |
11% |
11% |
| 2 Party Preferred |
Election 7 Sep 13 |
|
4 weeks ago 26/8/13 |
2 weeks ago 9/9/13 |
Last week 16/9/13 |
This week 23/9/13 |
| Liberal National |
53.4% |
50% |
53% |
53% |
51% |
|
| Labor |
46.6% |
50% |
47% |
47% |
49% |
NB. The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived from the first preference/leaning to voting questions. Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results. The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2010 election.
16 September 2013, 160913, 2PP, Labor Party, Liberal Party, two party preferred, Voting intention
Q. If a Federal Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward?
Q. If don’t know -Well which party are you currently leaning to?
Sample size = 1,864 respondents
| First preference/leaning to |
Election 7 Sep 13 (current figures) |
|
4 weeks ago 19/8/13 |
2 weeks ago 2/9/13 |
Last week 9/9/13 |
This week 16/9/13 |
| Liberal |
|
41% |
41% |
41% |
42% |
|
| National |
3% |
3% |
3% |
3% |
||
| Total Lib/Nat |
45.6% |
44% |
44% |
45% |
44% |
|
| Labor |
33.6% |
40% |
35% |
35% |
36% |
|
| Greens |
8.4% |
8% |
11% |
9% |
9% |
|
| Other/Independent |
12.4% |
8% |
10% |
12% |
11% |
| 2 Party Preferred |
Election 7 Sep 13 |
|
4 weeks ago 19/8/13 |
2 weeks ago 2/9/13 |
Last week 9/9/13 |
This week 16/9/13 |
| Liberal National |
53.4% |
50% |
52% |
53% |
53% |
|
| Labor |
46.6% |
50% |
48% |
47% |
47% |
NB. The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived from the first preference/leaning to voting questions. Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results. The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2010 election.
05 September 2013, 050913, 2PP, election 2013, Greens, Labor Party, Liberal Party, two party preferred, Voting intention
Q. The Federal Election will be held next weekend on 7 September – to which party will you probably give your first preference in the House of Representatives? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward?
The table below shows weekly figures through the election campaign.
| First preference/leaning to |
Election 21 Aug 10 |
|
5/8/13 |
13/8/13 |
19/8/13 |
26/8/13 |
2/9/13 |
5/9/13 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
||
| Liberal National |
43.6% |
43% |
44% |
43% |
43% |
44% |
43% |
|
| Labor |
38.0% |
37% |
41% |
39% |
36% |
35% |
35% |
|
| Greens |
11.8% |
10% |
7% |
9% |
11% |
10% |
10% |
|
| Other/Independent |
6.6% |
11% |
9% |
8% |
10% |
11% |
12% |
| 2 Party Preferred |
Election 21 Aug 10 |
|
5/8/13 |
13/8/13 |
19/8/13 |
26/8/13 |
2/9/13 |
5/9/13 |
| Liberal National |
49.9% |
51% |
50% |
50% |
51% |
53% |
52% |
|
| Labor |
50.1% |
49% |
50% |
50% |
49% |
47% |
48% |
Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results. The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2010 election.
05 September 2013, 050913, firmness of vote, Voting intention
Q. How likely is it that you will change your mind about who you vote for before the Federal election?
|
Total Gave voting intention |
|
Vote Labor |
Vote Lib/Nat |
Vote Greens |
Other party/ Independent |
|
5 Aug |
19 Aug |
26 Aug |
2 Sep |
|
| I will definitely not change my mind |
54% |
54% |
63% |
42% |
29% |
44% |
46% |
47% |
54% |
||
| It is very unlikely I will change my mind |
27% |
29% |
22% |
32% |
32% |
30% |
32% |
30% |
27% |
||
| It is quite possible I will change my mind as the campaign develops |
15% |
14% |
12% |
18% |
30% |
21% |
17% |
18% |
15% |
||
| Don’t know |
4% |
3% |
3% |
9% |
9% |
5% |
5% |
4% |
4% |
54% of those who gave their voting intention say they will definitely not change their mind before the election, 27% say it is very unlikely they will change their mind and 15% say it is quite possible they will change.
Other party and independent voters (30%) were most likely to say it is possible they will change their mind.