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  • Jun, 2011

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    Confidence in Taking Action on Climate Change

    Q. How confident are you that climate change can be averted if we take action now?

    Total Vote Labor Vote Lib/Nat Vote Greens
    Very confident 13% 16% 11% 18%
    Somewhat confident 48% 52% 45% 45%
    Not very confident 30% 27% 32% 30%
    Not at all confident 6% 2% 10% 5%
    Don’t know 2% 3% 1% 3%

    *Based on those who believe “climate change is happening”

    Of those who believe climate change is happening, 61% are very or somewhat confident that climate change can be averted if we take action now. A majority of all voter groups are very/somewhat confident.

    By age, 68% of aged under 35 are confident compared to 58% of those aged 55+.

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  • Jun, 2011

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    Support for Carbon Pricing

    Q. Do you support or oppose the Government’s recent announcement to introduce a carbon pricing scheme from 1 July 2012, which will require industries to pay a tax based on the amount of carbon pollution they emit?

    7 March 14 March 28 March 18 April 23 May 30 May Total Vote Labor Vote Lib/Nat Vote Greens
    Total support 35% 38% 34% 39% 41% 38% 38% 60% 19% 68%
    Total oppose 48% 49% 51% 49% 44% 48% 49% 28% 72% 18%
    Strongly support 9% 12% 12% 13% 14% 14% 13% 24% 3% 35%
    Support 26% 26% 22% 26% 27% 24% 25% 36% 16% 33%
    Oppose 19% 17% 19% 15% 15% 19% 19% 17% 20% 10%
    Strongly oppose 29% 32% 32% 34% 29% 29% 30% 11% 52% 8%
    Don’t know 18% 13% 15% 12% 15% 15% 13% 12% 9% 13%

    38% support the Government’s proposed carbon pricing scheme and 49% oppose – no significant change since the question was asked in May. It is supported by 60% of Labor voters and 68% of Greens voters but opposed by 72% of coalition voters.

    By age, those aged under 35 split 46% support/39% oppose, and those aged 55+ split 31% support/62% oppose.

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  • Jun, 2011

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    Awareness of Malaysia Proposal

    Q.  The Government has announced a possible agreement with Malaysia on asylum seekers. Under these agreements, asylum seekers arriving by boat in Australia will be sent to Malaysia for processing, and in return Australia will take a fixed number of refugees from Malaysia. How much have you heard about this proposal?

    Total Vote Labor Vote Lib/Nat Vote Greens
    A lot 27% 24% 34% 27%
    Something 31% 38% 29% 30%
    A little 29% 28% 29% 28%
    Nothing 9% 8% 6% 14%
    Don’t know 3% 2% 2% 1%

    58% said they had heard a lot or something about the Government’s possible agreement with Malaysia on asylum seekers. Awareness was similar across voter groups.

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  • Jun, 2011

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    Support for Malaysia Proposal

    Q. Do you support or oppose the Government’s plan to send asylum seekers arriving by boat in Australia to Malaysia?

    Total Vote Labor Vote Lib/Nat Vote Greens Heard a lot Heard something Heard a little/ nothing
    Total support 40% 47% 40% 27% 34% 42% 46%
    Total oppose 39% 33% 45% 51% 60% 39% 28%
    Strongly support 13% 13% 15% 4% 14% 11% 15%
    Support 27% 34% 25% 23% 20% 31% 31%
    Oppose 22% 21% 24% 31% 26% 24% 20%
    Strongly oppose 17% 12% 21% 20% 34% 15% 8%
    Don’t know 21% 20% 14% 23% 6% 19% 27%

    40% support the Government’s plan to send asylum seekers arriving by boat in Australia to Malaysia and 39% oppose.

    Those who say they have heard more about it are more likely to oppose this proposal.  Only 34% of those who have heard a lot about it support the proposal compared to 46% of those who have heard a little or nothing. There were not substantial differences by gender or age.

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  • Jun, 2011

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    Malaysia Proposal Issues

    Q. If Australia sends asylum seekers to Malaysia, how important are the following issues?

    Very important Somewhat important Not very important Not at all important Don’t know
    There must be a guarantee that asylum seekers are not be subject to cruel or inhumane treatment 58% 21% 9% 9% 4%
    There must be safeguards against the development of mental health problems in detention 41% 32% 13% 9% 5%
    The plan should have approval from the United Nations 37% 29% 14% 15% 6%
    All countries involved should be signatories to the United Nations Refugee Convention 41% 27% 13% 12% 8%
    Children arriving in Australia on their own should not be sent to other countries 36% 25% 14% 12% 12%

    All issues were considered important by a majority of respondents. The most important issue concerning the proposal to send asylum seekers to Malaysia was that “there must be a guarantee that asylum seekers are not be subject to cruel or inhumane treatment” – 58% said this was very important.

    There were major differences by gender – in particular on the issues that “there must be a guarantee that asylum seekers are not be subject to cruel or inhumane treatment” (very important – men 49%, women 66%) and “There must be safeguards against the development of mental health problems in detention” (very important – men 33%, women 49%)

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  • Jun, 2011

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    Federal politics – voting intention

    Q. If a Federal Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward?

    Q. If don’t know -Well which party are you currently leaning to?

    sample size = 1,929

    First preference/leaning to Election

    21 Aug 10

    4 weeks ago 2 weeks ago Last week This week
    Liberal 44% 44% 44% 44%
    National 3% 3% 3% 2%
    Total Lib/Nat 43.6 47% 46% 47% 46%
    Labor 38.0 35% 34% 34% 34%
    Greens 11.8 10% 12% 12% 12%
    Other/Independent 6.6 8% 8% 8% 8%
    2PP Election

    21 Aug 10

    4 weeks ago 2 weeks ago Last week This week
    Total Lib/Nat 49.9% 54% 53% 54% 53%
    Labor 50.1% 46% 47% 46% 47%

    NB.  The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived the first preference/leaning to voting questions.  Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results.  The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2010 election.

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  • Jun, 2011

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    Important election issues

    Q. Which are the three most important issues in deciding how you would vote at a Federal election?

    One Two Three Total 24 Jan 11 11 Oct 10 25 Jan 10
    Management of the economy 34% 18% 9% 61% 65% 62% 63%
    Ensuring a quality education for all children 6% 10% 10% 26% 26% 32% 23%
    Ensuring the quality of Australia’s health system 15% 15% 19% 49% 49% 48% 48%
    Protecting the environment 4% 6% 5% 15% 13% 12% 16%
    A fair industrial relations system 2% 3% 3% 8% 10% 11% *
    Political leadership 6% 6% 5% 17% 16% 16% 23%
    Addressing climate change 6% 4% 5% 15% 10% 11% 16%
    Controlling interest rates 3% 5% 5% 13% 21% 17% 15%
    Australian jobs and protection of local industries 9% 11% 12% 32% 30% 30% 33%
    Ensuring a quality water supply 1% 1% 3% 5% 6% 6% 12%
    Housing affordability 4% 6% 6% 16% 16% 17% 14%
    Ensuring a fair taxation system 3% 6% 8% 17% 18% 16% 14%
    Security and the war on terrorism 2% 2% 4% 8% 5% 6% 9%
    Treatment of asylum seekers 1% 2% 2% 5% 5% 5% *
    Managing population growth 2% 4% 6% 12% 11% 10% *

    *Not asked

    61% of people surveyed rated management of the economy as one of their three most important issues, followed by 49% ensuring the quality of Australia’s health system and 32% Australian jobs and protection of local industries.

    Since January, there has been an increase in the importance of addressing climate change (from 10% to 15%) and a decrease in the importance of controlling interest rates (from 21% to 13%).

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  • Jun, 2011

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    Important election issues

    Q. Which are the three most important issues in deciding how you would vote at a Federal election?

    Total Labor Liberal/ National Green
    Management of the economy 61% 60% 76% 28%
    Ensuring a quality education for all children 26% 29% 24% 27%
    Ensuring the quality of Australia’s health system 49% 50% 50% 51%
    Protecting the environment 15% 17% 10% 52%
    A fair industrial relations system 8% 12% 4% 4%
    Political leadership 17% 16% 20% 16%
    Addressing climate change 15% 23% 6% 45%
    Controlling interest rates 13% 15% 13% 6%
    Australian jobs and protection of local industries 32% 28% 36% 12%
    Ensuring a quality water supply 5% 5% 3% 7%
    Housing affordability 16% 16% 13% 16%
    Ensuring a fair taxation system 17% 14% 19% 16%
    Security and the war on terrorism 8% 4% 13% 1%
    Treatment of asylum seekers 5% 3% 5% 12%
    Managing population growth 12% 12% 12% 9%

    There were few substantial differences between voters on issues they considered important. Compared to the average, Labor voters are more likely to rate addressing climate change (23%) as important.

    Liberal/National voters attach more importance to management of the economy (76%) and security and the war on terrorism (13%) while Greens voters are more likely to nominate protecting the environment (52%), addressing climate change (45%) and treatment of asylum seekers (12%).

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