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  • Aug, 2011

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    Government Decisions and Policies

    Q. Thinking about what the Labor Government has done over the last few years, do you approve or disapprove of the following Government actions?

    Total approve Total disapprove Strongly approve Approve Disapprove Strongly disapprove Don’t know
    Increased funding of health services 89% 5% 42% 47% 3% 2% 6%
    Increasing the age pension 78% 14% 34% 44% 8% 6% 8%
    Increasing superannuation to 12% 75% 13% 28% 47% 9% 4% 12%
    Managing the economy to keep unemployment and interest rates low 70% 21% 21% 49% 12% 9% 10%
    Spending on new school buildings 68% 24% 19% 49% 15% 9% 8%
    Introducing a national disability insurance scheme 63% 13% 18% 45% 9% 4% 24%
    Stimulus spending to tackle the GFC 61% 28% 21% 40% 15% 13% 11%
    Paid parental leave 60% 30% 19% 41% 17% 13% 10%
    Introducing a tax on large profits of mining companies 58% 29% 27% 31% 16% 13% 13%
    Building the NBN (National Broadband Network) 54% 34% 19% 35% 17% 17% 12%
    Stopping live cattle exports until welfare concerns were addressed 53% 34% 24% 29% 17% 17% 12%
    Abolished WorkChoices 51% 33% 23% 28% 21% 12% 16%
    Sending asylum seekers to Malaysia 39% 45% 17% 22% 20% 25% 16%
    Introducing a carbon tax to tackle climate change 33% 53% 15% 18% 14% 39% 14%

    Government decisions and policies with highest approval were increased funding of health services (89% approve), increasing the age pension (78%) and increasing superannuation to 12% (75%).

    Only two of the actions listed received less than majority approval – sending asylum seekers to Malaysia was 39% approve/45% disapprove and introducing a carbon tax to tackle climate change was 33% approve/53% disapprove.

    Labor voters showed majority approval of all decisions and policies, Greens voters showed majority approval for all except sending asylum seekers to Malaysia (21% approve/63% disapprove).

    Liberal/National voters approved of half the items listed – increased funding of health services (89% approve), increasing the age pension (79%), increasing superannuation to 12% (71%), managing the economy to keep unemployment and interest rates low (54%), spending on new school buildings (54%), introducing a national disability insurance scheme (60%) and paid parental leave (52%).

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  • Aug, 2011

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    Opposition Leader’s proposal on Carbon Tax

    Q. Do you think the Opposition Leader’s proposal to ditch the carbon tax but keep the personal tax cuts will –

    Total Vote Labor Vote Lib/Nat Vote Greens
    Help Australia’s economy 44% 19% 73% 11%
    Hurt Australia’s economy 30% 58% 8% 67%
    Don’t know 26% 24% 19% 22%

    44% think Tony Abbott’s proposal to ditch the carbon tax but keep the tax cuts will help Australia’s economy and 30% think it will hurt the economy. Opinions were closely associated with voting intention – 73% of Liberal/National voters think it will help the economy while 58% of Labor voters and 67% of Greens voters think it will hurt the economy.

    Those on higher incomes are more likely to think it will help the economy – 50% of those on $1,600+pw compared to only 39% of those earning less than $1,000pw.

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  • Aug, 2011

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    Federal politics – voting intention

    Q. If a Federal Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward?

    Q. If don’t know -Well which party are you currently leaning to?

    sample size = 1,846

    First preference/leaning to Election

    21 Aug 10

    4 weeks ago 2 weeks ago Last week This week
    Liberal 45% 47% 46% 46%
    National 3% 3% 4% 4%
    Total Lib/Nat 43.6 48% 50% 50% 50%
    Labor 38.0 32% 30% 31% 32%
    Greens 11.8 11% 10% 10% 10%
    Other/Independent 6.6 9% 10% 9% 8%
    2PP Election

    21 Aug 10

    4 weeks ago 2 weeks ago Last week This week
    Total Lib/Nat 49.9% 55% 57% 57% 56%
    Labor 50.1% 45% 43% 43% 44%

    NB.  The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived the first preference/leaning to voting questions.  Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results.  The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2010 election.

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  • Aug, 2011

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    Best Party to Handle Australia’s Health System

    Q. Overall, which party do you think would be best at handling Australia’s health system?

    Total Vote Labor Vote Lib/Nat Vote Greens
    The Labor Party 26% 69% 3% 39%
    The Liberal Party 33% 2% 71% 3%
    No difference 27% 18% 18% 39%
    Don’t know 14% 10% 8% 19%

    Opinions of party best to handle Australia’s health system very much follow voting preferences. Overall the Liberal Party is favoured over labor by 33% to 26%. 41% either don’t know or think there is no difference. 69% of Labor voters favour the Labor Party and 71% of Liberal/National voters favor the Liberals.

    Men favour the Liberals 40% to 27% while women are more evenly divided – 25% Labor, 26% Liberal and 49% no difference/don’t know.

    Those on incomes under $600pw favour Labor over the Liberals by 34% to 22% – all other income groups favour the Liberal Party.

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  • Aug, 2011

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    Federal politics – voting intention

    Q. If a Federal Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward?

    Q. If don’t know -Well which party are you currently leaning to?

    sample size = 2,023

    First preference/leaning to Election

    21 Aug 10

    4 weeks ago 2 weeks ago Last week This week
    Liberal 46% 46% 47% 46%
    National 3% 3% 3% 4%
    Total Lib/Nat 43.6 49% 49% 50% 50%
    Labor 38.0 31% 31% 30% 31%
    Greens 11.8 11% 11% 10% 10%
    Other/Independent 6.6 9% 9% 10% 9%
    2PP Election

    21 Aug 10

    4 weeks ago 2 weeks ago Last week This week
    Total Lib/Nat 49.9% 56% 56% 57% 57%
    Labor 50.1% 44% 44% 43% 43%

    NB.  The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived the first preference/leaning to voting questions.  Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results.  The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2010 election.

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  • Aug, 2011

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    Approval of Julia Gillard

    Q. Do you approve or disapprove of the job Julia Gillard is doing as Prime Minister?

    19 Jul 20 Sep 20 Dec 17 Jan 2011 14 Feb 14 Mar 11 Apr 9 May 14 June 11 July 15 Aug
    Total approve 52% 45% 43% 51% 48% 41% 37% 41% 34% 29% 35%
    Total disapprove 30% 37% 40% 36% 41% 46% 50% 48% 54% 62% 55%
    Strongly approve 11% 12% 10% 8% 9% 7% 7% 7% 6% 5% 6%
    Approve 41% 33% 33% 43% 39% 34% 30% 34% 28% 24% 29%
    Disapprove 17% 21% 24% 24% 25% 22% 25% 26% 29% 30% 24%
    Strongly disapprove 13% 16% 16% 12% 16% 24% 25% 22% 25% 32% 31%
    Don’t know 18% 19% 17% 14% 11% 13% 13% 11% 13% 9% 11%

    35% (up 6%) approve of the job Julia Gillard is doing as Prime Minister and 55% (down 7%) disapprove – a change in net rating from -33 to -20 over the last 4 weeks.

    77% of Labor voters approve (up 5%) and 13% disapprove (down 7%).

    By gender – men 35% approve/57% disapprove, women 34% approve/52% disapprove.

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  • Aug, 2011

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    Better Prime Minister

    Q. Who do you think would make the better Prime Minister out of Julia Gillard and Tony Abbott?

    5 Jul 2010 17 Jan 2011 14 Feb 14 Mar 11 Apr 9 May 14 June 11 July 15 Aug Vote Labor Vote Lib/Nat Vote Greens
    Julia Gillard 53% 47% 48% 44% 42% 43% 41% 37% 38% 82% 7% 73%
    Tony Abbott 26% 32% 31% 33% 33% 35% 36% 39% 36% 1% 73% 7%
    Don’t know 21% 21% 20% 23% 24% 22% 24% 24% 26% 17% 20% 20%

    38% believe Julia Gillard would make the better Prime Minister and 36% prefer Tony Abbott – a net improvement for Julia Gillard of 4% on last month’s figures (from -2% to +2%).

    Men prefer Tony Abbott 41%/35% and women favour Julia Gillard 40%/32%.

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  • Aug, 2011

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    Trust to deal with GFC

    Q. If there is another Global Financial Crisis, which party would you trust most to deal with it?

    Total Vote Labor Vote Lib/Nat Vote Greens
    The Labor Party 31% 75% 4% 61%
    The Liberal Party 40% 4% 82% 5%
    No difference 20% 13% 11% 27%
    Don’t know 9% 8% 4% 8%

    If there was another GFC, 40% would trust the Liberal Party more to handle it and 31% would trust the Labor Party more. When a similar question was asked last week, the results were 27% Labor/43% Liberal.

    The only demographic groups trusting the Labor Party more were aged 18-24 (Labor 37%/Liberals 29%) and those earning less than $600pw (Labor 41%/Liberals 32%).

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