Most Cost Effective Policy

Jul 18, 2011

Q.Which approach do you think would be the most cost effective – the Government’s carbon pricing scheme or the Coalition’s proposal to pay companies to reduce emissions?

Total Vote Labor Vote Lib/Nat Vote Greens
Government carbon pricing scheme 33% 69% 10% 60%
Coalition’s proposal to pay companies 27% 3% 51% 6%
Don’t know 40% 27% 39% 34%

33% think that the Government’s carbon pricing scheme would be the most cost effective and 27% think the Coalition’s proposal would be more cost effective.

Strongest support for the Government’s scheme was shown by men (38%) and those aged under 35 (38%).

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Support for Carbon Tax

Jul 13, 2011

Q. Does the Government’s decision to exempt fuel from the carbon tax for households, trade and small business make you more or less likely to support a carbon tax or does it make no difference?

Total Vote Labor Vote Lib/Nat Vote Greens Men Women Age

18-34

Aged

35-54

Aged 55+
Total more likely to support 30% 50% 20% 44% 30% 31% 41% 26% 24%
Total less likely to support 11% 8% 11% 19% 14% 8% 12% 13% 10%
A lot more likely to support 7% 18% 2% 12% 9% 6% 8% 7% 6%
A little more likely to support 23% 32% 18% 32% 21% 25% 33% 19% 18%
A little less likely to support 6% 8% 5% 13% 7% 4% 8% 7% 5%
A lot less likely to support 5% * 8% 8% 7% 4% 4% 6% 5%
Makes no difference 52% 36% 66% 29% 50% 53% 37% 55% 63%
Don’t know 6% 6% 2% 5% 5% 7% 9% 6% 3%

More than half the respondents (52%) said the Government’s decision to exempt fuel from the carbon tax for households, trade and small business makes no difference to their support for the carbon tax. 30% say it makes them more likely to support the tax and 11% less likely.

Those more likely to support the tax were Labor voters (50%), Greens voters (44%) and people aged under 35 (41%).

Those most likely to say it makes no difference were Coalition voters (66%) and people aged 55+ (63%).

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Support for Carbon Pricing

Jul 11, 2011

Q. Do you support or oppose the Government’s proposal to introduce a carbon pricing scheme from 1 July 2012, which will require industries to pay a tax based on the amount of carbon pollution they emit?

7 March 14 March 28 March 18 April 23 May 30 May 14 June 11 July Vote Labor Vote Lib/Nat Vote Greens
Total support 35% 38% 34% 39% 41% 38% 38% 35% 65% 15% 73%
Total oppose 48% 49% 51% 49% 44% 48% 49% 53% 20% 79% 21%
Strongly support 9% 12% 12% 13% 14% 14% 13% 11% 23% 3% 35%
Support 26% 26% 22% 26% 27% 24% 25% 24% 42% 12% 38%
Oppose 19% 17% 19% 15% 15% 19% 19% 19% 15% 23% 16%
Strongly oppose 29% 32% 32% 34% 29% 29% 30% 34% 5% 56% 5%
Don’t know 18% 13% 15% 12% 15% 15% 13% 12% 16% 7% 7%

35% (down 3%) support the Government’s proposed carbon pricing scheme and 53% (up 4%) oppose. It is supported by 65% of Labor voters and 73% of Greens voters but opposed by 79% of coalition voters.

By age, those aged under 35 split 40% support/43% oppose, and those aged 55+ split 33% support/59% oppose.

  • note that these result reflect opinions prior to the announcement of the details of carbon pricing.

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Credibility of Scientists

Jun 20, 2011

Q. Do you agree or disagree that the current public campaign against action on climate change in Australia is undermining the credibility of scientists and science research in general?

Total Vote Labor Vote Lib/Nat Vote Greens
Total agree 32% 43% 26% 44%
Total disagree 23% 14% 29% 31%
Strongly agree 12% 15% 10% 22%
Agree 20% 28% 16% 22%
Neither agree nor disagree 30% 29% 33% 19%
Disagree 15% 10% 18% 21%
Strongly disagree 8% 4% 11% 10%
Don’t know 15% 13% 12% 6%

32% agree that the current public campaign against action on climate change in Australia is undermining the credibility of scientists and science research in general and 23% disagree. 45% either don’t know or neither agree nor disagree.

Those most likely to agree were Labor voters (43%), Greens voters (44%) and those aged 18-34 (39%).

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Attitude to Scientific Evidence for Climate Change

Jun 20, 2011

Q. Which of the following statements best reflects your attitude to doubts recently expressed by opponents of action on climate change about the science evidence?

Total Vote Labor Vote Lib/Nat Vote Greens
Doubts are valid because nothing is certain in science 15% 14% 18% 9%
Doubts are valid because man made climate change has not been proven 29% 15% 43% 11%
Doubts are misleading because the science evidence of man made climate change is overwhelming 21% 33% 14% 36%
Doubts are misleading because the science evidence has been rigorously tested and reviewed 11% 15% 7% 27%
Don’t know 23% 24% 17% 17%

Overall, 44% believe doubts about the science evidence for climate change are valid (mainly because man made climate change has not been proven) and 33% think doubts are misleading (mainly because the science evidence of man made climate change is overwhelming).

Those most likely to think the doubts are valid were Liberal/National voters (61%), men (50%), aged 55+ (59%) and incomes under $600pw (54%).

Those most likely to think doubts are misleading were Greens voters (63%), Labor voters (48%) and those on incomes over $1,600pw (41%).

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Position on Climate Change

Jun 14, 2011

Q. Do you believe that there is fairly conclusive evidence that climate change is happening and caused by human activity or do you believe that the evidence is still not in and we may just be witnessing a normal fluctuation in the earth’s climate which happens from time to time?

Total Vote Labor Vote Lib/Nat Vote Greens Men Women Aged 18-34 Aged 35-54 Aged 55+ Nov 09 Dec 10 30 May 11
Climate change is happening and is caused by human activity 50% 64% 34% 83% 45% 54% 60% 49% 38% 53% 45% 52%
We are just witnessing a normal fluctuation in the earth’s climate 39% 28% 55% 10% 44% 33% 27% 37% 55% 34% 36% 36%
Don’t know 12% 9% 11% 6% 12% 12% 13% 14% 8% 13% 19% 12%

50% agree that climate change is happening and is caused by human activity and 39% believe that we may just be witnessing a normal fluctuation in the earth’s climate. This is little changed since this question was last asked in May.

By age groups, those aged under 35 split 60%/27% and those aged 55+ split 38%/55%.

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Confidence in Taking Action on Climate Change

Jun 14, 2011

Q. How confident are you that climate change can be averted if we take action now?

Total Vote Labor Vote Lib/Nat Vote Greens
Very confident 13% 16% 11% 18%
Somewhat confident 48% 52% 45% 45%
Not very confident 30% 27% 32% 30%
Not at all confident 6% 2% 10% 5%
Don’t know 2% 3% 1% 3%

*Based on those who believe “climate change is happening”

Of those who believe climate change is happening, 61% are very or somewhat confident that climate change can be averted if we take action now. A majority of all voter groups are very/somewhat confident.

By age, 68% of aged under 35 are confident compared to 58% of those aged 55+.

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Important election issues

Jun 6, 2011

Q. Which are the three most important issues in deciding how you would vote at a Federal election?

One Two Three Total 24 Jan 11 11 Oct 10 25 Jan 10
Management of the economy 34% 18% 9% 61% 65% 62% 63%
Ensuring a quality education for all children 6% 10% 10% 26% 26% 32% 23%
Ensuring the quality of Australia’s health system 15% 15% 19% 49% 49% 48% 48%
Protecting the environment 4% 6% 5% 15% 13% 12% 16%
A fair industrial relations system 2% 3% 3% 8% 10% 11% *
Political leadership 6% 6% 5% 17% 16% 16% 23%
Addressing climate change 6% 4% 5% 15% 10% 11% 16%
Controlling interest rates 3% 5% 5% 13% 21% 17% 15%
Australian jobs and protection of local industries 9% 11% 12% 32% 30% 30% 33%
Ensuring a quality water supply 1% 1% 3% 5% 6% 6% 12%
Housing affordability 4% 6% 6% 16% 16% 17% 14%
Ensuring a fair taxation system 3% 6% 8% 17% 18% 16% 14%
Security and the war on terrorism 2% 2% 4% 8% 5% 6% 9%
Treatment of asylum seekers 1% 2% 2% 5% 5% 5% *
Managing population growth 2% 4% 6% 12% 11% 10% *

*Not asked

61% of people surveyed rated management of the economy as one of their three most important issues, followed by 49% ensuring the quality of Australia’s health system and 32% Australian jobs and protection of local industries.

Since January, there has been an increase in the importance of addressing climate change (from 10% to 15%) and a decrease in the importance of controlling interest rates (from 21% to 13%).

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