10 December 2013, 101213, 2PP, Greens, Labor Party, Liberal Party, two party preferred, Voting intention
Q. If a Federal Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward?
Q. If don’t know -Well which party are you currently leaning to?
Sample size = 1,865 respondents
| First preference/leaning to |
Election 7 Sep 13
|
|
4 weeks ago 12/11/13 |
2 weeks ago 26/11/13 |
Last week 3/12/13 |
This week 10/12/13 |
| Liberal |
|
42% |
41% |
41% |
41% |
|
| National |
3% |
3% |
3% |
3% |
||
| Total Lib/Nat |
45.6% |
44% |
45% |
44% |
44% |
|
| Labor |
33.4% |
35% |
36% |
36% |
37% |
|
| Greens |
8.6% |
9% |
9% |
8% |
8% |
|
| Palmer United Party |
5.5% |
4% |
4% |
4% |
5% |
|
| Other/Independent |
6.9% |
8% |
7% |
7% |
7% |
| 2 Party Preferred |
Election 7 Sep 13 |
|
4 weeks ago 12/11/13 |
2 weeks ago 26/11/13 |
Last week 3/12/13 |
This week 10/12/13 |
| Liberal National |
53.5% |
53% |
53% |
52% |
51% |
|
| Labor |
46.5% |
47% |
47% |
48% |
49% |
NB. The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived from the first preference/leaning to voting questions. Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results. The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2013 election.
10 December 2013, 101213, Approval of Tony Abbott, tony abbott
Q. Do you approve or disapprove of the job Tony Abbott is doing as Prime Minister?
|
Total |
|
Vote Labor |
Vote Lib/Nat |
Vote Greens |
Vote other/ indep-endent |
|
Tony Abbott as Opposition Leader 2 Sep |
Tony Abbott as Prime Minister 24 Sep |
22 |
12 |
|
| Total approve |
45% |
|
10% |
89% |
9% |
33% |
|
40% |
41% |
46% |
45% |
| Total disapprove |
46% |
|
84% |
5% |
85% |
47% |
|
49% |
36% |
35% |
40% |
| Strongly approve |
12% |
3% |
27% |
– |
3% |
13% |
14% |
16% |
14% |
||
| Approve |
33% |
7% |
62% |
9% |
30% |
27% |
27% |
30% |
31% |
||
| Disapprove |
20% |
34% |
5% |
19% |
23% |
19% |
13% |
15% |
19% |
||
| Strongly disapprove |
26% |
50% |
* |
66% |
24% |
30% |
23% |
20% |
21% |
||
| Don’t know |
9% |
6% |
6% |
5% |
15% |
10% |
23% |
19% |
16% |
45% (no change) approve of the job Tony Abbott is doing as Prime Minister and 46% (up 6%) disapprove. This represents a decline on his rating as Prime Minister over the last four weeks from net +5 to net -1.
By gender – 50% (no change) of men approve and 43% (up 5%) disapprove; 41% (up 2%) of women approve and 49% (up 7%) disapprove.
10 December 2013, 101213, approval of bill shorten, Bill Shorten
Q. Do you approve or disapprove of the job Bill Shorten is doing as Opposition Leader?
|
Total |
|
Vote Labor |
Vote Lib/Nat |
Vote Greens |
Vote other/ Indep-endent |
|
12 Nov |
|
| Total approve |
39% |
|
66% |
22% |
49% |
24% |
31% |
|
| Total disapprove |
31% |
|
10% |
49% |
20% |
44% |
27% |
|
| Strongly approve |
7% |
17% |
1% |
7% |
1% |
5% |
||
| Approve |
32% |
49% |
21% |
42% |
23% |
26% |
||
| Disapprove |
19% |
9% |
26% |
15% |
27% |
17% |
||
| Strongly disapprove |
12% |
1% |
23% |
5% |
17% |
10% |
||
| Don’t know |
31% |
24% |
29% |
31% |
32% |
43% |
39% approve (up 8%) of the job Bill Shorten is doing as Opposition Leader and 31% (up 4%) disapprove. 31% could not give an opinion. This represents an improvement on his rating as Prime Minister over the last four weeks from net +4 to net +8.
By gender – 40% (up 6%) of men approve and 35% (up 2%) disapprove; 36% (up 9%) of women approve and 27% (up 6%) disapprove.
10 December 2013, 101213, Better PM, Bill Shorten, tony abbott
Q. Who do you think would make the better Prime Minister out of Tony Abbott and Bill Shorten?
|
Total |
|
Vote Labor |
Vote Lib/Nat |
Vote Greens |
Vote other/ indep-endent |
|
22 Oct |
12 Nov |
|
| Tony Abbott |
43% |
7% |
86% |
4% |
42% |
41% |
42% |
||
| Bill Shorten |
33% |
68% |
4% |
62% |
20% |
22% |
27% |
||
| Don’t know |
24% |
24% |
10% |
34% |
38% |
37% |
31% |
43% (up 1%) think Tony Abbott would make the better Prime Minister and 33% (up 6%) favour Bill Shorten. 24% (down 7%) could not make a choice.
Tony Abbott is favoured 48%/31% among men and 38%/35% among women.
10 December 2013, 101213, education issues, liberal government
Q. Do you approve or disapprove of the way the Liberal Government is handling education issues?
|
Total |
|
Vote Labor |
Vote Lib/Nat |
Vote Greens |
Vote other/ indep-endent |
|
| Total approve |
35% |
8% |
70% |
6% |
25% |
|
| Total disapprove |
50% |
82% |
15% |
90% |
52% |
|
| Strongly approve |
8% |
3% |
16% |
– |
2% |
|
| Approve |
27% |
5% |
54% |
6% |
23% |
|
| Disapprove |
21% |
27% |
12% |
24% |
27% |
|
| Strongly disapprove |
29% |
55% |
3% |
66% |
25% |
|
| Don’t know |
15% |
10% |
15% |
4% |
23% |
35% approve and 50% disapprove of the way the Liberal Government is handling education issues.
Men split 43% approve/45% disapprove compared to women 28% approve/53% disapprove.
10 December 2013, 101213, Education, liberal government, Schools
Q. Which schools do you think will be better off under the Liberal Government’s education plan?
|
Total |
|
Vote Labor |
Vote Lib/Nat |
Vote Greens |
Vote other/ indep-endent |
|
| All schools will be better off |
26% |
7% |
51% |
7% |
17% |
|
| Only private schools will be better off |
26% |
43% |
11% |
30% |
28% |
|
| Only public schools will be better off |
2% |
1% |
3% |
2% |
1% |
|
| No schools will be better off |
22% |
33% |
6% |
49% |
26% |
|
| Don’t know |
25% |
16% |
28% |
12% |
28% |
26% think that, under a Liberal Government, all schools will be better off. 26% think only private schools will be better off and 22% think no schools will be better off, while only 2% think that only public schools will be better off.
51% of Liberal/National voters think all schools will be better off, 43% of Labor voters think only private schools will be better off and 49% of Greens voters think no schools will be better off.
10 December 2013, 101213, Education, party trust
Q. Which party would you trust most to ensure a quality education for all children?
|
Total |
|
Vote Labor |
Vote Lib/Nat |
Vote Greens |
Vote other/ indep-endent |
|
| Labor |
36% |
84% |
5% |
24% |
28% |
|
| Liberal |
33% |
2% |
72% |
3% |
25% |
|
| Greens |
7% |
3% |
1% |
61% |
6% |
|
| Don’t know |
23% |
11% |
23% |
12% |
41% |
36% trust the Labor Party most to ensure a quality education for all children and 33% trust the Liberal Party most. When this issue was last measured in November, 34% favoured the Labor Party and 32% the Liberal Party.
Those more likely to trust the Labor Party most were aged 35-54 (42%) and people on low incomes (44% of those earning less than $600 pw).
Those more likely to trust the Liberal Party most were aged 55+ (44%) and people earning more than $1,000 pw (38%).
10 December 2013, 101213, politician commitment
Q. Which of the following statements best reflects your view:
|
Total |
|
Vote Labor |
Vote Lib/Nat |
Vote Greens |
Vote other/ indep-endent |
|
10 Oct 11 |
|
| When a politician makes a statement or commitment they should stick to it no matter what |
28% |
34% |
21% |
47% |
23% |
17% |
||
| As situations change, it is reasonable that politicians change their positions |
41% |
25% |
62% |
24% |
25% |
47% |
||
| Politicians almost always lie – it’s naive to think otherwise |
31% |
41% |
16% |
29% |
51% |
36% |
41% agree that ‘as situations change, it is reasonable that politicians change their positions’. Liberal/National voters are the most likely to take this position.
31% of respondents agreed with the view that ‘politicians almost always lie – it’s naïve to think otherwise’, and Labor voters are the most likely to take this view.
28% of respondents felt that ‘when a politician make a statement or commitment they should stick to it not matter what’, with Greens voters the most likely to adopt this view. Since this question was asked in 2011, those agreeing with this statement has increased from 17%.