QLD State Election, qld state voting
| Queensland |
Election Mar 2012 |
|
Nov-Dec 12 |
Mar 13 |
Nov 13 |
| Sample |
|
719 |
529 |
737 |
|
| First preference vote |
|
||||
| LNP |
49.7% |
41% |
45% |
46% |
|
| Labor |
26.7% |
35% |
29% |
32% |
|
| Greens |
7.5% |
8% |
10% |
7% |
|
| Katter Party |
11.5% |
7% |
7% |
3% |
|
| Palmer United Party |
– |
– |
– |
6% |
|
| Other/Independent |
4.6% |
9% |
9% |
6% |
|
| 2PP | |||||
| LNP |
62.8% |
53% |
58% |
57% |
|
| Labor |
37.2% |
47% |
42% |
43% |
NSW state voting, Special edition, state voting intention
| NSW |
Election Mar 2011 |
|
Nov-Dec 12 |
Mar 13 |
Nov 13 |
| Sample |
|
1,386 |
1,044 |
1,275 |
|
| First preference vote |
|
|
|
|
|
| Liberal/National |
51.1% |
51% |
49% |
49% |
|
| Labor |
25.6% |
31% |
33% |
33% |
|
| Greens |
10.3% |
8% |
9% |
8% |
|
| Other/Independent |
13.0% |
10% |
9% |
10% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
||
| 2PP |
|
|
|
|
|
| Liberal/National |
64.2% |
60% |
57% |
58% |
|
| Labor |
35.8% |
40% |
43% |
42% |
2PP, Greens, Labor Party, Liberal Party, two party preferred, Voting intention
Q. If a Federal Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward?
Q. If don’t know -Well which party are you currently leaning to?
Sample size = 1,864 respondents
| First preference/leaning to |
Election 7 Sep 13 (current figures) |
|
4 weeks ago 29/10/13 |
2 weeks ago 12/11/13 |
Last week 19/11/13 |
This week 26/11/13 |
| Liberal |
|
42% |
42% |
41% |
41% |
|
| National |
|
3% |
3% |
3% |
3% |
|
| Total Lib/Nat |
45.6% |
45% |
44% |
44% |
45% |
|
| Labor |
33.4% |
35% |
35% |
35% |
36% |
|
| Greens |
8.6% |
10% |
9% |
9% |
9% |
|
| Other/Independent |
12.4% |
11% |
12% |
11% |
11% |
| 2 Party Preferred |
Election 7 Sep 13 |
|
4 weeks ago 29/10/13 |
2 weeks ago 12/11/13 |
Last week 19/11/13 |
This week 26/11/13 |
| Liberal National |
53.4% |
53% |
53% |
53% |
53% |
|
| Labor |
46.6% |
47% |
47% |
47% |
47% |
NB. The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived from the first preference/leaning to voting questions. Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results. The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2010 election.
Q. How important is it for Australia to have a close relationship with the following nations?
|
Very important |
Quite important |
Not |
Don’t know |
Very Import |
Very Import |
Very Import |
Change – Oct to Nov |
|
| United States |
59% |
33% |
4% |
4% |
55% |
55% |
51% |
+8 |
| New Zealand |
54% |
37% |
5% |
4% |
61% |
54% |
56% |
-2 |
| China |
54% |
35% |
4% |
6% |
48% |
45% |
46% |
+8 |
| United Kingdom |
48% |
39% |
9% |
4% |
47% |
47% |
42% |
+6 |
| Indonesia |
40% |
38% |
17% |
6% |
27% |
33% |
35% |
+5 |
| Japan |
35% |
48% |
10% |
6% |
32% |
31% |
27% |
+8 |
| India |
26% |
43% |
25% |
7% |
23% |
26% |
19% |
+7 |
| Germany |
20% |
42% |
29% |
8% |
18% |
20% |
17% |
+3 |
| South Africa |
15% |
35% |
40% |
10% |
12% |
14% |
12% |
+3 |
More than half the respondents think it is very important to have close relationships with the United States (59%), New Zealand (54%) and China (54%).
A close relationship with the United States is considered very important by 68% of Liberal/National voters, 61% of Labor voters and 46% of Greens voters. A close relationship with Indonesia is considered very important by 37% of Liberal/National voters, 47% of Labor voters and 48% of Greens voters.
Since this question was last asked in October, the largest increases in the rating of the importance of relations were with the United States, China and Japan (all +8%).
Since this question was first asked in March 2011, the largest increases in the rating of the importance of relations were with the Indonesia (+9%) and China (+6%).
Coalition, International Relations
Q. Do you think under the Coalition Government, relations with the following countries will improve or get worse?
|
Improve |
Get worse |
Stay much the same |
Don’t know |
|
| United States |
24% |
12% |
48% |
16% |
| United Kingdom |
20% |
11% |
52% |
17% |
| New Zealand |
19% |
12% |
53% |
16% |
| Germany |
11% |
11% |
57% |
21% |
| Japan |
15% |
16% |
50% |
19% |
| China |
19% |
22% |
40% |
19% |
| South Africa |
9% |
12% |
56% |
23% |
| India |
13% |
19% |
47% |
21% |
| Indonesia |
11% |
49% |
22% |
18% |
For most countries, about half think that relations will stay much the same. The exceptions were China (19% improve, 22% get worse) and Indonesia (11% improve, 49% get worse).
Respondents were more likely to think that relations with the United States, New Zealand and United Kingdom would improve.
The main differences by party preference were for China (Labor 7% improve/38% get worse compared to Lib/Nat 33% improve/6% get worse) and Indonesia (Labor 4% improve/68% get worse compared to Lib/Nat 21% improve/31% get worse).
International Relations, tony abbott
Q. How much trust do you have in Tony Abbott and the Liberal Government to handle Australia’s international relations?
|
Total |
|
Vote Labor |
Vote Lib/Nat |
Vote Greens |
Vote other |
|
9 Oct 13 |
|
| A lot of trust |
20% |
4% |
44% |
1% |
6% |
18% |
||
| Some trust |
21% |
8% |
37% |
4% |
16% |
23% |
||
| A little trust |
18% |
18% |
13% |
24% |
31% |
16% |
||
| No trust |
35% |
64% |
3% |
67% |
41% |
37% |
||
| Don’t know |
7% |
7% |
3% |
4% |
5% |
7% |
20% of people have “a lot of trust” in Tony Abbott and the Liberal Government to handle Australia’s international relations.
35% have no trust.
Labor (64%) and Greens (67%) voters were far more likely to have ‘no trust’. Liberal/National voters were far less likely (3%) to have no trust. 44% of Liberal/National voters have “a lot of trust”.
These results have changed little since this question was asked in October.
Q. It has recently been revealed that Australian agencies have been secretly monitoring communications from Indonesian leaders.
Do you support or oppose Australia’s secret collecting of this information?
|
Total |
|
Vote Labor |
Vote Lib/Nat |
Vote Greens |
Vote other |
|
| Total support |
39% |
28% |
58% |
13% |
28% |
|
| Total oppose |
23% |
32% |
12% |
37% |
34% |
|
| Strongly support |
15% |
8% |
27% |
– |
10% |
|
| Support |
24% |
20% |
31% |
13% |
18% |
|
| Neither support nor oppose |
28% |
32% |
23% |
38% |
33% |
|
| Oppose |
12% |
15% |
6% |
25% |
21% |
|
| Strongly oppose |
11% |
17% |
6% |
12% |
13% |
|
| Don’t know |
9% |
8% |
6% |
12% |
5% |
39% support Australia’s secret monitoring of communications from Indonesian leaders and 23% oppose. 28% neither support nor oppose. There was strong support from Liberal/National voters (58%) while Labor voters were split 28% support/32% oppose.
A somewhat similar question asked in October about the United States monitoring telephone and internet communications in the US and other countries produced a result of 24% support/45% oppose.
Q. How would you rate the performance of Tony Abbott and the Coalition Government in handling relations with Indonesia?
|
Total |
|
Vote Labor |
Vote Lib/Nat |
Vote Greens |
Vote other |
|
| Total good |
29% |
7% |
58% |
3% |
12% |
|
| Total poor |
42% |
71% |
11% |
73% |
53% |
|
| Very good |
11% |
1% |
25% |
2% |
1% |
|
| Good |
18% |
6% |
33% |
1% |
11% |
|
| Neither good nor poor |
21% |
18% |
24% |
16% |
23% |
|
| Poor |
16% |
22% |
7% |
22% |
29% |
|
| Very poor |
26% |
49% |
4% |
51% |
24% |
|
| Don’t know |
8% |
4% |
6% |
8% |
12% |
29% rate the performance of Tony Abbott and the Coalition Government in handling relations with Indonesia as good and 42% think it has been poor.
71% of Labor voters and 73% of Greens voters think it has been poor while 58% of Liberal/National voters think it has been good.