2PP, Election, Family First, Greens, Labor, Liberal, Voting intention
Q. If there was a Federal election held today, to which party would you probably give your first preference?
Q. If you ‘don’t know’ on the above question, which party are you currently leaning to?
*1830 sample size
| 2 week average | % | 2PP | 2PP shift from last week |
| Liberal | 36% | ||
| National | 2% | ||
| Total Lib/Nat | 38% | 45% | – |
| Labor | 44% | 55% | – |
| Greens | 10% | ||
| Family First | 2% | ||
| Other/Independent | 6% |
NB. The data in the above table is derived from our weekly first preference voting question. Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ as their first preference are not included in the results.
* Sample is the culmination of two week’s polling data.
2PP, Election, Family First, Greens, Labor, Liberal, Voting intention
Q. If there was a Federal election held today, to which party would you probably give your first preference?
Q. If you ‘don’t know’ on the above question, which party are you currently leaning to?
*1868 sample size Comments »
Abbott, climate change, Essential Report 100208 8th February 2010, Liberal
Q. Do you approve or disapprove the Liberal Party’s new policy on addressing climate change announced by Tony Abbott this week?
| % | |
| Total approve | 34% |
| Total disapprove | 29% |
| Strongly approve | 9% |
| Approve | 25% |
| Disapprove | 17% |
| Strongly disapprove | 12% |
| Don’t know | 37% |
34% of people approve of the Liberal Party’s new policy on addressing climate change, 29% disapprove and 37% don’t know.
Coalition voters were more likely to approve the Liberal Party’s policy to address climate change (68%), while Labor and Green voters were more likely to disapprove (51% Labor, 47% Green).
Males were more likely to approve of the Coalitions’ policy (44%), while females were more likely to indicate they don’t know (49%). Comments »
climate change, Essential Report 100208 8th February 2010, Greens, Labor, Liberal
Q. Which party do you think has the best policy for addressing climate change?
| % | 7 December 2009* | % | ||
| The Liberals | 25% | Tony Abbott and the Coalition | 27% | |
| Labor | 19% | Kevin Rudd and Labor | 24% | |
| The Greens | 17% | Bob Brown and Greens | 17% | |
| Don’t know | 39% | Don’t know | 32% |
Most people (39%) don’t know which party has the best policy for addressing climate change. One quarter (25%) think the Liberal Party has the best policy, 19% think Labor does and 17% think the Greens have the best policy for addressing climate change.
Results followed party lines – Coalition voters were more likely to think the Liberal Party has the best policy (58%), Labor voters were more likely to think Labor (44%), and Green voters were more likely to think the Greens have the best policy for addressing climate change (78%).
Males were more likely to think that the Liberal Party has the best policy (32%), while females were more likely to indicate that they don’t know which party has the best policy for addressing climate change (48%).
People aged 55 years and over were more likely to favour the Liberal Party’s policy when it comes to addressing climate change policy (37%), while people aged 25 – 34 were more likely to favour Labor (22%).
In December 2009, Essential Research put a similar question to the Australian public asking people to indicate whose position on the ETS and addressing climate change they most agree with. The results obtained this week are reasonably similar to those obtained previously for both the Liberal Party and the Greens. However the most notable difference is the result for Labor, with a 5% decrease since December. Comments »
2PP, Election, Family First, Greens, Labor, Liberal, Voting intention
Q. If there was a Federal election held today, to which party would you probably give your first preference?
Q. If you ‘don’t know’ on the above question, which party are you currently leaning to?
*1937 sample size
| 2 week average | % | 2PP | 2PP shift from last week |
| Liberal | 35% | ||
| National | 3% | ||
| Total Lib/Nat | 38% | 44% | – |
| Labor | 45% | 56% | – |
| Greens | 9% | ||
| Family First | 2% | ||
| Other/Independent | 6% |
NB. The data in the above table is derived from our weekly first preference voting question. Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ as their first preference are not included in the results.
* Sample is the culmination of two week’s polling data. Comments »
Election, firmness of vote, Greens, Labor, Liberal, Voting intention
Q. Would you say your choice is very firm, pretty firm but you might change your mind, or might you consider another party and leader as the campaign develops?
| Total | Labor | Coalition | Green | |
| Very firm | 48% | 54% | 55% | 31% |
| Pretty firm but I might change my mind | 33% | 33% | 32% | 43% |
| Might consider another party and leader closer to an election | 17% | 12% | 12% | 24% |
| Don’t know | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% |
Just under half (48%) of those surveyed consider their voting choice as ‘very firm’, 33% consider their voting choice as ‘pretty firm but might change my mind’ and 17% ‘might consider another party and leader closer to an election’.
Labor and Coalition voters were more likely to indicate their voting choice as ‘very firm’ (54% Labor, 55% Coalition), while Green voters were more likely to indicate their choice as ‘pretty firm, but I might change my mind’ (43%).
People aged 55 years and over were more likely to consider their voting choice ‘very firm’ (60%), people aged 25 – 34 were more likely to indicate it as ‘pretty firm but I might change my mind’ (43%), while 18 – 24 year olds were more likely to indicate they ‘might consider another party and leader closer to an election’ (29%). Comments »
2PP, Election, Family First, Greens, Labor, Liberal, Voting intention
Q. If there was a Federal election held today, to which party would you probably give your first preference?
Q. If you ‘don’t know’ on the above question, which party are you currently leaning to?
* 1928 sample size
| 2 week average | % | 2PP | 2PP shift from last week |
| Liberal | 34% | ||
| National | 2% | ||
| Total Lib/Nat | 37% | 44% | – |
| Labor | 46% | 56% | – |
| Greens | 8% | ||
| Family First | 2% | ||
| Other/Independent | 7% |
NB. The data in the above table is derived from our weekly first preference voting question. Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ as their first preference are not included in the results.
* Sample is the culmination of two week’s polling data. Comments »
Australian jobs, climate change, economy, Education, environment, Health, Industrial Relations, Interest rates, Labor, Liberal, party best at, tax, Terrorism, Water
Q. Which party do you think is best at handling each of the following issues?
| Labor | Liberal | Labor margin | No difference | Don’t know | Labor margin Oct 09 | |
| A fair industrial relations system | 42% | 23% | +19% | 19% | 16% | +27% |
| Addressing climate change | 35% | 16% | +19% | 29% | 19% | +18% |
| Protecting the environment | 32% | 15% | +17% | 34% | 19% | +21% |
| Australian jobs and protection of local industries | 35% | 22% | +13% | 26% | 17% | +17% |
| Ensuring a quality education for all children | 32% | 20% | +12% | 32% | 17% | +17% |
| Political leadership | 36% | 25% | +11% | 23% | 16% | +20% |
| Ensuring a quality water supply | 24% | 17% | +7% | 38% | 20% | +13% |
| Ensuring the quality of Australia’s health system | 27% | 21% | +6% | 34% | 19% | +10% |
| Ensuring a fair taxation system | 30% | 24% | +6% | 28% | 18% | +8% |
| Housing affordability | 23% | 19% | +4% | 38% | 20% | +9% |
| Management of the economy | 28% | 35% | -7% | 20% | 16% | – |
| Security and the war on terrorism | 18% | 25% | -7% | 38% | 19% | +2% |
| Controlling interest rates | 20% | 28% | -8% | 34% | 18% | – |
Labor has its strongest lead over the Liberal Party when it comes to a fair industrial relations system (+19%), addressing climate change (+19%) and protecting the environment (+17%). Labor trails the Liberal Party in terms of controlling interest rates (-8%), security and the war on terrorism (-7%) and management of the economy (-7%).
Since October 2009, Labor has lost the margin it had over the Liberal Party in some areas, most significantly in the areas of political leadership (-9%), a fair industrial relations system (-8%), ensuring a quality water supply (-6%).
Results followed party lines with Labor voters tending to favour the Labor Party and Liberal voters favouring the Liberal Party. Comments »