2PP, Essential Report, federal politics, Greens, Labor, Liberal, Nationals, Polling, polls, two party preferred, voting, Voting intention
Q. If a Federal Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward?
Q. If don’t know -Well which party are you currently leaning to?
sample size = 1,846
| First preference/leaning to | Election
21 Aug 10 |
4 weeks ago | 2 weeks ago | Last week | This week |
| Liberal | 45% | 47% | 46% | 46% | |
| National | 3% | 3% | 4% | 4% | |
| Total Lib/Nat | 43.6 | 48% | 50% | 50% | 50% |
| Labor | 38.0 | 32% | 30% | 31% | 32% |
| Greens | 11.8 | 11% | 10% | 10% | 10% |
| Other/Independent | 6.6 | 9% | 10% | 9% | 8% |
| 2PP | Election
21 Aug 10 |
4 weeks ago | 2 weeks ago | Last week | This week |
| Total Lib/Nat | 49.9% | 55% | 57% | 57% | 56% |
| Labor | 50.1% | 45% | 43% | 43% | 44% |
NB. The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived the first preference/leaning to voting questions. Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results. The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2010 election.
Australia’s health system, Essential Report, Greens, Health, healthcare system, Labor, Liberal, Nationals, Polling, polls
Q. Overall, which party do you think would be best at handling Australia’s health system?
| Total | Vote Labor | Vote Lib/Nat | Vote Greens | |
| The Labor Party | 26% | 69% | 3% | 39% |
| The Liberal Party | 33% | 2% | 71% | 3% |
| No difference | 27% | 18% | 18% | 39% |
| Don’t know | 14% | 10% | 8% | 19% |
Opinions of party best to handle Australia’s health system very much follow voting preferences. Overall the Liberal Party is favoured over labor by 33% to 26%. 41% either don’t know or think there is no difference. 69% of Labor voters favour the Labor Party and 71% of Liberal/National voters favor the Liberals.
Men favour the Liberals 40% to 27% while women are more evenly divided – 25% Labor, 26% Liberal and 49% no difference/don’t know.
Those on incomes under $600pw favour Labor over the Liberals by 34% to 22% – all other income groups favour the Liberal Party.
2PP, Essential Report, Greens, Labor, Liberal, Nationals, Polling, polls, two party preferred, voting, Voting intention
Q. If a Federal Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward?
Q. If don’t know -Well which party are you currently leaning to?
sample size = 2,023
| First preference/leaning to | Election
21 Aug 10 |
4 weeks ago | 2 weeks ago | Last week | This week |
| Liberal | 46% | 46% | 47% | 46% | |
| National | 3% | 3% | 3% | 4% | |
| Total Lib/Nat | 43.6 | 49% | 49% | 50% | 50% |
| Labor | 38.0 | 31% | 31% | 30% | 31% |
| Greens | 11.8 | 11% | 11% | 10% | 10% |
| Other/Independent | 6.6 | 9% | 9% | 10% | 9% |
| 2PP | Election
21 Aug 10 |
4 weeks ago | 2 weeks ago | Last week | This week |
| Total Lib/Nat | 49.9% | 56% | 56% | 57% | 57% |
| Labor | 50.1% | 44% | 44% | 43% | 43% |
NB. The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived the first preference/leaning to voting questions. Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results. The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2010 election.
approval of PM, Essential Report, federal politics, Julia Gillard, Julia Gillard approval, Labor, Liberal, Polling, polls
Q. Do you approve or disapprove of the job Julia Gillard is doing as Prime Minister?
| 19 Jul | 20 Sep | 20 Dec | 17 Jan 2011 | 14 Feb | 14 Mar | 11 Apr | 9 May | 14 June | 11 July | 15 Aug | |
| Total approve | 52% | 45% | 43% | 51% | 48% | 41% | 37% | 41% | 34% | 29% | 35% |
| Total disapprove | 30% | 37% | 40% | 36% | 41% | 46% | 50% | 48% | 54% | 62% | 55% |
| Strongly approve | 11% | 12% | 10% | 8% | 9% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 6% |
| Approve | 41% | 33% | 33% | 43% | 39% | 34% | 30% | 34% | 28% | 24% | 29% |
| Disapprove | 17% | 21% | 24% | 24% | 25% | 22% | 25% | 26% | 29% | 30% | 24% |
| Strongly disapprove | 13% | 16% | 16% | 12% | 16% | 24% | 25% | 22% | 25% | 32% | 31% |
| Don’t know | 18% | 19% | 17% | 14% | 11% | 13% | 13% | 11% | 13% | 9% | 11% |
35% (up 6%) approve of the job Julia Gillard is doing as Prime Minister and 55% (down 7%) disapprove – a change in net rating from -33 to -20 over the last 4 weeks.
77% of Labor voters approve (up 5%) and 13% disapprove (down 7%).
By gender – men 35% approve/57% disapprove, women 34% approve/52% disapprove.
Essential Report, Julia Gillard, Labor, Liberal, Polling, polls, preferred PM, tony abbott
Q. Who do you think would make the better Prime Minister out of Julia Gillard and Tony Abbott?
| 5 Jul 2010 | 17 Jan 2011 | 14 Feb | 14 Mar | 11 Apr | 9 May | 14 June | 11 July | 15 Aug | Vote Labor | Vote Lib/Nat | Vote Greens | |
| Julia Gillard | 53% | 47% | 48% | 44% | 42% | 43% | 41% | 37% | 38% | 82% | 7% | 73% |
| Tony Abbott | 26% | 32% | 31% | 33% | 33% | 35% | 36% | 39% | 36% | 1% | 73% | 7% |
| Don’t know | 21% | 21% | 20% | 23% | 24% | 22% | 24% | 24% | 26% | 17% | 20% | 20% |
38% believe Julia Gillard would make the better Prime Minister and 36% prefer Tony Abbott – a net improvement for Julia Gillard of 4% on last month’s figures (from -2% to +2%).
Men prefer Tony Abbott 41%/35% and women favour Julia Gillard 40%/32%.
Australian economy, Essential Report, GFC, Labor, Liberal, Polling, polls, the economy
Q. If there is another Global Financial Crisis, which party would you trust most to deal with it?
| Total | Vote Labor | Vote Lib/Nat | Vote Greens | |
| The Labor Party | 31% | 75% | 4% | 61% |
| The Liberal Party | 40% | 4% | 82% | 5% |
| No difference | 20% | 13% | 11% | 27% |
| Don’t know | 9% | 8% | 4% | 8% |
If there was another GFC, 40% would trust the Liberal Party more to handle it and 31% would trust the Labor Party more. When a similar question was asked last week, the results were 27% Labor/43% Liberal.
The only demographic groups trusting the Labor Party more were aged 18-24 (Labor 37%/Liberals 29%) and those earning less than $600pw (Labor 41%/Liberals 32%).
2PP, Essential Report, federal politics, Greens, Labor, Liberal, Nationals, Polling, polls, two party preferred, voting, Voting intention
Q. If a Federal Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward?
Q. If don’t know -Well which party are you currently leaning to?
sample size = 2,023
| First preference/leaning to | Election
21 Aug 10 |
4 weeks ago | 2 weeks ago | Last week | This week |
| Liberal | 47% | 45% | 46% | 47% | |
| National | 3% | 3% | 3% | 3% | |
| Total Lib/Nat | 43.6 | 50% | 48% | 49% | 50% |
| Labor | 38.0 | 30% | 32% | 31% | 30% |
| Greens | 11.8 | 11% | 11% | 11% | 10% |
| Other/Independent | 6.6 | 9% | 9% | 9% | 10% |
| 2PP | Election
21 Aug 10 |
4 weeks ago | 2 weeks ago | Last week | This week |
| Total Lib/Nat | 49.9% | 57% | 55% | 56% | 57% |
| Labor | 50.1% | 43% | 45% | 44% | 43% |
NB. The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived the first preference/leaning to voting questions. Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results. The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2010 election.
economy, Essential Report, GFC, global financial crisis, Greens, Labor, Liberal, Nationals, Polling, polls, the economy
Q. Which party would you trust most to handle the economy if there was another Global Financial Crisis (GFC)?
| Total | Vote Labor | Vote Lib/Nat | Vote Greens | |
| The Labor Party | 27% | 77% | 3% | 41% |
| The Liberal Party | 43% | 6% | 86% | 3% |
| No difference | 19% | 13% | 9% | 42% |
| Don’t know | 10% | 4% | 2% | 13% |
43% said they would trust the Liberal Party most to handle the economy if there was another GFC, 27% would trust the Labor Party most and 19% said there was no difference.
Those aged under 35 were more likely to think there was no difference (25%) while those aged 55+ were more likely to prefer the Liberal Party (54%)