Q. Who do you think would make the better Prime Minister out of Julia Gillard and Tony Abbott?
| 5 Jul 10 | 19 Jul 10 | 26 Jul 10 | 2 Aug 10 | Vote Labor | Vote Lib/Nat | Vote Greens | Kevin Rudd v Tony Abbott
21 Jun 10 |
||
| Julia Gillard | 53% | 50% | 51% | 48% | 92% | 7% | 65% | 47% | |
| Tony Abbott | 26% | 27% | 26% | 30% | 1% | 77% | 6% | 30% | |
| Don’t know | 21% | 23% | 23% | 22% | 7% | 16% | 28% | 23% |
48% think Julia Gillard would make the better Prime Minister and 30% prefer Tony Abbott – a narrowing of the gap between the two (from 25% to 18%) since polled last week. This is almost identical to the last measure comparing Kevin Rudd and Tony Abbott in June.
Julia Gillard is preferred 92% to 1% by Labor voters – and Tony Abbott is preferred 77% to 7% by Liberal/National voters. Greens voters prefer Julia Gillard 65% to 6%.
Men prefer Julia Gillard 46%/34% and women 50%/26%. Comments »
Abbott, Bob Brown, Gillard, Labor, Liberal, Policy, Reason for voting, Voting intention
Q. What is the main reason you intend to vote for the Labor Party/Liberal or National Party/Greens?
| Labor | Liberal/ National | Greens | |||
| I always vote for the Labor Party | 28% | I always vote for the Liberal or National Party | 19% | I always vote for the Greens | 8% |
| They have better policies | 15% | They have better policies | 19% | They have better policies | 30% |
| They have been a good government | 10% | Labor have been a poor government | 39% | Labor have been a poor government | 6% |
| I just don’t like the Liberals | 11% | I just don’t like Labor | 9% | I just don’t like the Liberals or Labor | 28% |
| Julia Gillard is a better leader than Tony Abbott | 32% | Tony Abbott is a better leader than Julia Gillard | 7% | I like Bob Brown | 3% |
| Other reason | 4% | Other reason | 5% | I don’t like Tony Abbott or Julia Gillard | 14% |
| Other reason | 10% |
Main reasons for voting Labor were a preference for Julia Gillard over Tony Abbott (32%) and party loyalty (28% said they always vote Labor). The leadership issue is more important for women – 40% of women said they were voting Labor because Julia Gillard is a better leader compared to 23% of men.
39% of Liberal/National voters say their main reason is that Labor have been a poor Government – and only 7% say leadership is their main reason.
Main reasons for voting for the Greens were “better policies” (30%) and a dislike of the major parties (28%). Only 6% say it is because Labor have been a poor Government. Comments »
Abbott, Gillard, immigration, Labor, Liberal
Q. Which leader and party do you trust most to handle immigration issues?
| Total | Vote Labor | Vote Liberal/ National | Vote Greens | |
| Tony Abbott and the Liberal Party | 35% | 6% | 83% | 9% |
| Julia Gillard and the Labor Party | 23% | 50% | 3% | 27% |
| No difference | 31% | 35% | 11% | 56% |
| Don’t know | 10% | 9% | 3% | 8% |
Overall, Tony Abbott and the Liberal Party are trusted most to handle immigration issues (35% to 23%). 31% think there is no difference between the major parties on immigration.
83% of Liberal/National voters trust Tony Abbott and the Liberal Party most and 50% of Labor voters trust Julia Gillard and the Labor Party. 56% of Greens voters think there is no difference. Comments »
approval, approval of PM, Gillard
Q. Do you approve or disapprove of the job Julia Gillard is doing as Prime Minister?
| Kevin Rudd | Julia Gillard | ||||||||
| 30 Mar 09 | 29 Jun 09 | 28 Sept 09 | 14 Dec 09 | 29 Mar 10 | 31 May 10 | 5 Jul 10 | 19 Jul 10 | 26 Jul 10 | |
| Total approve | 71% | 62% | 66% | 57% | 53% | 41% | 48% | 52% | 49% |
| Total disapprove | 21% | 29% | 23% | 32% | 36% | 47% | 27% | 30% | 33% |
| Strongly approve | 21% | 14% | 15% | 10% | 12% | 7% | 14% | 11% | 12% |
| Approve | 50% | 48% | 51% | 47% | 41% | 34% | 34% | 41% | 37% |
| Disapprove | 14% | 18% | 17% | 20% | 22% | 25% | 13% | 17% | 19% |
| Strongly disapprove | 7% | 9% | 6% | 12% | 14% | 22% | 14% | 13% | 14% |
| Don’t know | 9% | 11% | 11% | 10% | 12% | 12% | 26% | 18% | 17% |
49% approve Julia Gillard’s performance as Prime Minister and 33% disapprove. Since this question was asked last week, approval has decreased by 3% and disapproval increased by 3%. 94% of Labor voters approve and only 2% disapprove. Among Liberal/National voters, 18% approve and 70% disapprove.
By gender – men 51% approve/36% disapprove and women 49% approve/30% disapprove. Comments »
Abbott, Gillard, preferred PM, Prime Minister
Q. Who do you think would make the better Prime Minister out of Julia Gillard and Tony Abbott?
| 5 Jul 10 | 19 Jul 10 | 26 Jul 10 | Vote Labor | Vote Lib/Nat | Vote Greens | Kevin Rudd v Tony Abbott
21 Jun 10 |
||
| Julia Gillard | 53% | 50% | 51% | 94% | 9% | 74% | 47% | |
| Tony Abbott | 26% | 27% | 26% | 2% | 69% | 6% | 30% | |
| Don’t know | 21% | 23% | 23% | 5% | 22% | 20% | 23% |
51% think Julia Gillard would make the better Prime Minister and 26% prefer Tony Abbott – a slight widening of the gap between the two (from 23% to 25%) since polled last week.
Julia Gillard is preferred 94% to 2% by Labor voters – and Tony Abbott is preferred 69% to 9% by Liberal/National voters. Greens voters prefer Julia Gillard 74% to 6%.
Men prefer Julia Gillard 50%/29% and women 51%/23%. Comments »
Abbott, Debate, Election, Gillard
Q. On Sunday night the leaders debate between Julia Gillard and Tony Abbott will be televised. Do you plan to watch the leaders’ debate?
| Total | Vote Labor | Vote Lib/Nat | Vote Greens | Vote other or indep. | Don’t know/ refused vote | |
| Definitely watch | 14% | 19% | 16% | 12% | 3% | 4% |
| Probably watch | 30% | 35% | 33% | 31% | 24% | 13% |
| Probably won’t watch | 21% | 20% | 23% | 29% | 25% | 13% |
| Definitely won’t watch | 26% | 16% | 25% | 25% | 44% | 46% |
| Don’t know | 9% | 11% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 25% |
44% said they would definitely or probably watch the leaders’ debate. 54% of Labor voters were likely to watch, compared to 49% of Liberal/National voters and 43% of Greens voters. Of those who could not say who they would vote for, only 17% said they would definitely or probably watch the debate.
Older respondents were more likely to watch – 52% of those aged 55+ compared to 33% of those aged under 35. Comments »
Gillard, leadership, Prime Minister
Q. Do you approve or disapprove of the job Julia Gillard is doing as Prime Minister?
| Kevin Rudd | Julia Gillard | |||||||
| 30 Mar 09 | 29 Jun 09 | 28 Sept 09 | 14 Dec 09 | 29 Mar 10 | 31 May 10 | 5 Jul 10 | 19 Jul 10 | |
| Total approve | 71% | 62% | 66% | 57% | 53% | 41% | 48% | 52% |
| Total disapprove | 21% | 29% | 23% | 32% | 36% | 47% | 27% | 30% |
| Strongly approve | 21% | 14% | 15% | 10% | 12% | 7% | 14% | 11% |
| Approve | 50% | 48% | 51% | 47% | 41% | 34% | 34% | 41% |
| Disapprove | 14% | 18% | 17% | 20% | 22% | 25% | 13% | 17% |
| Strongly disapprove | 7% | 9% | 6% | 12% | 14% | 22% | 14% | 13% |
| Don’t know | 9% | 11% | 11% | 10% | 12% | 12% | 26% | 18% |
52% approve Julia Gillard’s performance as Prime Minister and 30% disapprove. Since this question was asked 2 weeks ago, approval has increased by 4% and disapproval by 3% – “don’t know” has dropped from 26% to 18%. 89% of Labor voters approve and only 2% disapprove. Among Liberal/National voters, 25% approve and 64% disapprove.
There were substantial differences by gender – men 50% approve/36% disapprove and women 54% approve/25% disapprove.
Abbott, Gillard, Greens, Labor, Liberal, preferred PM, Prime Minister
Q. Who do you think would make the better Prime Minister out of Julia Gillard and Tony Abbott?
| Total | Vote Labor | Vote Lib/Nat | Vote Greens | Kevin Rudd v Tony Abbott
21 Jun 10 |
Julia Gillard v Tony Abbott
28 Jun 10 |
Julia Gillard v Tony Abbott
5 Jul 10 |
||
| Julia Gillard | 50% | 91% | 8% | 71% | 47% | 49% | 53% | |
| Tony Abbott | 27% | 2% | 70% | 4% | 30% | 29% | 26% | |
| Don’t know | 23% | 7% | 21% | 25% | 23% | 22% | 21% |
50% think Julia Gillard would make the better Prime Minister and 27% prefer Tony Abbott – a slight closing of the gap between the two (from 27% to 23%) since last polled 2 weeks ago.
Julia Gillard is preferred 91% to 2% by Labor voters – and Tony Abbott is preferred 70% to 8% by Liberal/National voters. Greens voters prefer Julia Gillard 71% to 4%.
Men prefer Julia Gillard 47%/32% and women 53%/23%. Comments »