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  • Apr, 2013

    , , , ,

    Federal politics – voting intention

    Q. If a Federal Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward?

    Q. If don’t know -Well which party are you currently leaning to?

    Sample size = 1,822 respondents

    First preference/leaning to

    Election

    21 Aug 10

    4 weeks ago

    2/4/13

    2 weeks ago

    15/4/13

    Last week

    22/4/13

    This week

    29/4/13

    Liberal

    47%

    44%

    44%

    45%

    National

    2%

    3%

    3%

    3%

    Total Lib/Nat

    43.6%

    49%

    48%

    48%

    48%

    Labor

    38.0%

    31%

    34%

    34%

    34%

    Greens

    11.8%

    11%

    9%

    9%

    9%

    Other/Independent

    6.6%

    9%

    9%

    9%

    9%

     

    2PP

    Election

    21 Aug 10

    4 weeks ago

    2 weeks ago

    Last week

     

    This week

    Total Lib/Nat

    49.9%

    56%

    55%

    55%

    55%

    Labor

    50.1%

    44%

    45%

    45%

    45%

    NB.  The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived from the first preference/leaning to voting questions.  Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results.  The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2010 election. These estimates have a confidence interval of approx. plus or minus 2-3%.

  • Apr, 2013

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    Interest in budget

    Q. Thinking about the Federal Budget to be announced next month  – how interested are you in reading and hearing about the Federal Budget?

     

    Total

    Vote Labor

    Vote Lib/Nat

    Vote Greens

    Very interested

    34%

    39%

    39%

    27%

    Somewhat interested

    32%

    35%

    32%

    37%

    A little interested

    19%

    19%

    17%

    23%

    Not at all interested

    10%

    7%

    10%

    13%

    Can’t say

    4%

    1%

    2%

    1%

    66% said they were very or somewhat interested in the Federal Budget.

    Those most interested were aged 55+ (50% very interested), Labor voters (39%) and Liberal/National voters (39%).

  • Apr, 2013

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    Expectations of budget

    Q. Overall do you expect the budget to be good or bad for you personally?

     

    Total

    Vote Labor

    Vote Lib/Nat

    Vote Greens

    Total good      

    12%

    20%

    10%

    16%

    Total bad

    38%

    20%

    53%

    24%

    Very good

    2%

    4%

    2%

    1%

    Good

    10%

    16%

    8%

    15%

    Neither good nor bad

    38%

    49%

    31%

    50%

    Bad

    29%

    18%

    38%

    19%

    Very bad

    9%

    2%

    15%

    5%

    Don’t know

    11%

    11%

    6%

    10%

    12% expect the budget will be good for them personally and 38% think it will be bad. 38% think it will be neither good nor bad for them personally.

    Those most likely to think it will be bad for them personally were aged 45+ (46%) and Liberal/National voters (53%).

  • Apr, 2013

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    Budget measures

    Q. Would you support or oppose the following budget measures to increase revenue or decrease spending?

     

    Total

    Support

     

    Support

    Oppose

    Don’t know

    Vote ALP

    Vote Lib

    Vote Greens

    Increase taxes for big corporations

    64%

    17%

    19%

    77%

    54%

    86%

    Reduce tax breaks for high income earners

    45%

    38%

    17%

    51%

    42%

    54%

    Cut “middle class welfare” such as the Baby Bonus, first home buyers grant and Family Tax Benefit payments

    37%

    48%

    15%

    38%

    41%

    35%

    Reduce defence spending

    35%

    48%

    17%

    37%

    29%

    57%

    Postpone building the NBN

    34%

    45%

    20%

    18%

    52%

    13%

    Postpone the increase in education spending recommended by the Gonski Report

    29%

    51%

    20%

    21%

    39%

    16%

    Cut spending on unemployment and disability benefits

    25%

    60%

    15%

    23%

    32%

    13%

    Postpone other infrastructure projects like new roads and highways

    14%

    71%

    15%

    17%

    15%

    7%

    In terms of possible budget measures to increase revenue or decrease spending, a majority supported increasing taxes for big corporations and were also more likely to support reducing tax breaks for high income earners.

    A majority opposed postponing infrastructure, cutting spending on unemployment and disability benefits and postponing increasing the education spending recommended by the Gonski Report.

    Measures most supported by Labor voters were increasing taxes for big corporations and reducing tax breaks for high income earners.

    Measures most supported by Liberal/National voters were increasing taxes for big corporations and postponing the NBN.

  • Apr, 2013

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    Opinion of Qantas

    Q. Compared to 12 months ago, how do you feel about Qantas – more positive, more negative or about the same?

     

    27 Feb 12

    Total

    29 Apr 13

    Vote Labor

    Vote Lib/Nat

    Vote Greens

    Fly regularly

    Fly once or twice a year

    Fly less often

    Total more positive

    11%

    18%

    19%

    19%

    8%

    29%

    23%

    9%

    Total more negative

    41%

    18%

    18%

    17%

    26%

    18%

    20%

    16%

    A lot more positive

    4%

    5%

    4%

    7%

    3%

    10%

    7%

    2%

    A little more positive

    7%

    13%

    15%

    12%

    5%

    19%

    16%

    7%

    About the same

    43%

    55%

    57%

    57%

    58%

    51%

    55%

    59%

    A little more negative

    23%

    11%

    11%

    10%

    23%

    10%

    11%

    12%

    A lot more negative

    18%

    7%

    7%

    7%

    3%

    8%

    9%

    4%

    No opinion

    5%

    9%

    6%

    7%

    7%

    2%

    3%

    16%

    18% say that, compared to 12 months ago, they feel more negative about Qantas, 18% feel more positive and 55% feel about the same. This is a substantial improvement for Qantas since this question was asked last February following major industrial disputes.

    Regular flyers are somewhat more positive – 29% feel more positive and 18% more negative.

    There were no substantial differences across demographics.

  • Apr, 2013

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    Choice of airline

    Q. Which of the following best describes your airline preference when booking air travel?

     

    Total

     

    Vote Labor

    Vote Lib/Nat

    Vote Greens

    Fly regularly

    Fly once or twice a year

    I usually try to fly Qantas

    34%

    28%

    39%

    34%

    42%

    30%

    I usually try to avoid flying Qantas

    20%

    19%

    20%

    15%

    22%

    18%

    I don’t care whether I fly Qantas or not

    43%

    52%

    39%

    50%

    33%

    49%

    Can’t say

    3%

    1%

    3%

    2%

    3%

    Based on respondents who travel by air at least once a year

    34% of respondents who travel by air at least once a year said they usually try to fly Qantas, 20% try to avoid flying Qantas and 43% don’t care either way.

    42% of regular flyers usually try to fly Qantas.

  • Apr, 2013

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    Population growth

    Q. Australia’s population has now reached 23 million and is growing by more than 300,000 a year. Do you think Australia’s population growth rate is too fast, too slow or about right?

     

    Total

     

    Vote Labor

    Vote Lib/Nat

    Vote Greens

    Too fast

    45%

    41%

    50%

    45%

    Too slow

    5%

    6%

    5%

    3%

    About right

    37%

    42%

    38%

    32%

    Don’t know

    13%

    11%

    8%

    20%

    45% think Australia’s population growth rate is too fast, 5% think it is too slow and 37% about right.

    Those most likely to think it is too fast were Liberal/National voters (50%), aged 45-64 (51%) and incomes under $1,000pw (55%).

  • Apr, 2013

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    Anzac Day

    Q. Thursday 25th April was/is Anzac Day.  Which of the following best describes what you did (or will do) on Anzac Day?

     

    Total

     

    Vote ALP

    Vote Lib

    Vote Greens

    Men

    Women

    Aged
    18-
    34

    Aged
    35-
    54

    Aged 55+

    Attended an Anzac Day event or march

    17%

    18%

    19%

    10%

    20%

    14%

    11%

    19%

    22%

    Didn’t attend an event but watched the march on TV

    36%

    39%

    37%

    27%

    35%

    36%

    30%

    33%

    45%

    Nothing special – it was just a public holiday

    35%

    35%

    34%

    42%

    34%

    36%

    44%

    37%

    23%

    Working – don’t get the Anzac Day holiday

    7%

    5%

    8%

    12%

    6%

    9%

    10%

    7%

    5%

    Don’t know

    5%

    4%

    2%

    8%

    4%

    5%

    5%

    4%

    5%

    17% of respondents said they attended an Anzac day event and 36% said they watched a march on TV. 42% said it was just a holiday or were working.

    Only 11% of those aged under 35 attended an event compared to 22% of those aged 55+.

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