29 April2013, 290413, 2PP, two party preferred, Voting intention
Q. If a Federal Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward?
Q. If don’t know -Well which party are you currently leaning to?
Sample size = 1,822 respondents
| First preference/leaning to |
Election 21 Aug 10 |
4 weeks ago 2/4/13 |
2 weeks ago 15/4/13 |
Last week 22/4/13 |
This week 29/4/13 |
| Liberal |
|
47% |
44% |
44% |
45% |
| National |
|
2% |
3% |
3% |
3% |
| Total Lib/Nat |
43.6% |
49% |
48% |
48% |
48% |
| Labor |
38.0% |
31% |
34% |
34% |
34% |
| Greens |
11.8% |
11% |
9% |
9% |
9% |
| Other/Independent |
6.6% |
9% |
9% |
9% |
9% |
| 2PP |
Election 21 Aug 10 |
4 weeks ago |
2 weeks ago |
Last week
|
This week |
| Total Lib/Nat |
49.9% |
56% |
55% |
55% |
55% |
| Labor |
50.1% |
44% |
45% |
45% |
45% |
NB. The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived from the first preference/leaning to voting questions. Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results. The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2010 election. These estimates have a confidence interval of approx. plus or minus 2-3%.
29 April 2013, 290413, Interest in Federal Budget
Q. Thinking about the Federal Budget to be announced next month – how interested are you in reading and hearing about the Federal Budget?
|
Total |
Vote Labor |
Vote Lib/Nat |
Vote Greens |
|
| Very interested |
34% |
39% |
39% |
27% |
| Somewhat interested |
32% |
35% |
32% |
37% |
| A little interested |
19% |
19% |
17% |
23% |
| Not at all interested |
10% |
7% |
10% |
13% |
| Can’t say |
4% |
1% |
2% |
1% |
66% said they were very or somewhat interested in the Federal Budget.
Those most interested were aged 55+ (50% very interested), Labor voters (39%) and Liberal/National voters (39%).
29 April 2013, 290413, budget impact, budget outcome
Q. Overall do you expect the budget to be good or bad for you personally?
|
Total |
Vote Labor |
Vote Lib/Nat |
Vote Greens |
|
| Total good |
12% |
20% |
10% |
16% |
| Total bad |
38% |
20% |
53% |
24% |
| Very good |
2% |
4% |
2% |
1% |
| Good |
10% |
16% |
8% |
15% |
| Neither good nor bad |
38% |
49% |
31% |
50% |
| Bad |
29% |
18% |
38% |
19% |
| Very bad |
9% |
2% |
15% |
5% |
| Don’t know |
11% |
11% |
6% |
10% |
12% expect the budget will be good for them personally and 38% think it will be bad. 38% think it will be neither good nor bad for them personally.
Those most likely to think it will be bad for them personally were aged 45+ (46%) and Liberal/National voters (53%).
29 April 2013, 290413, Gonski report, increase revenue, increase tax on corporations, postpone the NBN, Reduce defense spending
Q. Would you support or oppose the following budget measures to increase revenue or decrease spending?
|
Total |
Support |
|||||
|
Support |
Oppose |
Don’t know |
Vote ALP |
Vote Lib |
Vote Greens |
|
| Increase taxes for big corporations |
64% |
17% |
19% |
77% |
54% |
86% |
| Reduce tax breaks for high income earners |
45% |
38% |
17% |
51% |
42% |
54% |
| Cut “middle class welfare” such as the Baby Bonus, first home buyers grant and Family Tax Benefit payments |
37% |
48% |
15% |
38% |
41% |
35% |
| Reduce defence spending |
35% |
48% |
17% |
37% |
29% |
57% |
| Postpone building the NBN |
34% |
45% |
20% |
18% |
52% |
13% |
| Postpone the increase in education spending recommended by the Gonski Report |
29% |
51% |
20% |
21% |
39% |
16% |
| Cut spending on unemployment and disability benefits |
25% |
60% |
15% |
23% |
32% |
13% |
| Postpone other infrastructure projects like new roads and highways |
14% |
71% |
15% |
17% |
15% |
7% |
In terms of possible budget measures to increase revenue or decrease spending, a majority supported increasing taxes for big corporations and were also more likely to support reducing tax breaks for high income earners.
A majority opposed postponing infrastructure, cutting spending on unemployment and disability benefits and postponing increasing the education spending recommended by the Gonski Report.
Measures most supported by Labor voters were increasing taxes for big corporations and reducing tax breaks for high income earners.
Measures most supported by Liberal/National voters were increasing taxes for big corporations and postponing the NBN.
29 April 2013, 290413, Opinion of Qantas
Q. Compared to 12 months ago, how do you feel about Qantas – more positive, more negative or about the same?
|
27 Feb 12 |
Total 29 Apr 13 |
Vote Labor |
Vote Lib/Nat |
Vote Greens |
Fly regularly |
Fly once or twice a year |
Fly less often |
|
| Total more positive |
11% |
18% |
19% |
19% |
8% |
29% |
23% |
9% |
| Total more negative |
41% |
18% |
18% |
17% |
26% |
18% |
20% |
16% |
| A lot more positive |
4% |
5% |
4% |
7% |
3% |
10% |
7% |
2% |
| A little more positive |
7% |
13% |
15% |
12% |
5% |
19% |
16% |
7% |
| About the same |
43% |
55% |
57% |
57% |
58% |
51% |
55% |
59% |
| A little more negative |
23% |
11% |
11% |
10% |
23% |
10% |
11% |
12% |
| A lot more negative |
18% |
7% |
7% |
7% |
3% |
8% |
9% |
4% |
| No opinion |
5% |
9% |
6% |
7% |
7% |
2% |
3% |
16% |
18% say that, compared to 12 months ago, they feel more negative about Qantas, 18% feel more positive and 55% feel about the same. This is a substantial improvement for Qantas since this question was asked last February following major industrial disputes.
Regular flyers are somewhat more positive – 29% feel more positive and 18% more negative.
There were no substantial differences across demographics.
29 April 2013, 290413, airline preference
Q. Which of the following best describes your airline preference when booking air travel?
|
Total
|
Vote Labor |
Vote Lib/Nat |
Vote Greens |
Fly regularly |
Fly once or twice a year |
|
| I usually try to fly Qantas |
34% |
28% |
39% |
34% |
42% |
30% |
| I usually try to avoid flying Qantas |
20% |
19% |
20% |
15% |
22% |
18% |
| I don’t care whether I fly Qantas or not |
43% |
52% |
39% |
50% |
33% |
49% |
| Can’t say |
3% |
1% |
3% |
– |
2% |
3% |
Based on respondents who travel by air at least once a year
34% of respondents who travel by air at least once a year said they usually try to fly Qantas, 20% try to avoid flying Qantas and 43% don’t care either way.
42% of regular flyers usually try to fly Qantas.
29 April 2013, 290413, population, rate of growth
Q. Australia’s population has now reached 23 million and is growing by more than 300,000 a year. Do you think Australia’s population growth rate is too fast, too slow or about right?
|
Total
|
Vote Labor |
Vote Lib/Nat |
Vote Greens |
|
| Too fast |
45% |
41% |
50% |
45% |
| Too slow |
5% |
6% |
5% |
3% |
| About right |
37% |
42% |
38% |
32% |
| Don’t know |
13% |
11% |
8% |
20% |
45% think Australia’s population growth rate is too fast, 5% think it is too slow and 37% about right.
Those most likely to think it is too fast were Liberal/National voters (50%), aged 45-64 (51%) and incomes under $1,000pw (55%).
29 April 2013, 290413, Anzac day
Q. Thursday 25th April was/is Anzac Day. Which of the following best describes what you did (or will do) on Anzac Day?
|
Total
|
Vote ALP |
Vote Lib |
Vote Greens |
Men |
Women |
Aged |
Aged |
Aged 55+ |
|
| Attended an Anzac Day event or march |
17% |
18% |
19% |
10% |
20% |
14% |
11% |
19% |
22% |
| Didn’t attend an event but watched the march on TV |
36% |
39% |
37% |
27% |
35% |
36% |
30% |
33% |
45% |
| Nothing special – it was just a public holiday |
35% |
35% |
34% |
42% |
34% |
36% |
44% |
37% |
23% |
| Working – don’t get the Anzac Day holiday |
7% |
5% |
8% |
12% |
6% |
9% |
10% |
7% |
5% |
| Don’t know |
5% |
4% |
2% |
8% |
4% |
5% |
5% |
4% |
5% |
17% of respondents said they attended an Anzac day event and 36% said they watched a march on TV. 42% said it was just a holiday or were working.
Only 11% of those aged under 35 attended an event compared to 22% of those aged 55+.