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  • Oct, 2012

    , , ,

    Approval of Julia Gillard

    Q. Do you approve or disapprove of the job Julia Gillard is doing as Prime Minister?

     

    19 Jul 10

    20 Dec

    14 Mar
    11

    14 Jun

    12 Sep

    12 Dec

    12 Mar 12

    12 Jun

    16
    Jul

    13 Aug

    10 Sep

    15 Oct

    Total approve

    52%

    43%

    41%

    34%

    28%

    34%

    32%

    32%

    32%

    31%

    35%

    41%

    Total disapprove

    30%

    40%

    46%

    54%

    64%

    54%

    61%

    56%

    58%

    57%

    54%

    51%

    Strongly approve

    11%

    10%

    7%

    6%

    5%

    6%

    8%

    6%

    5%

    7%

    7%

    9%

    Approve

    41%

    33%

    34%

    28%

    23%

    28%

    24%

    26%

    27%

    24%

    28%

    32%

    Disapprove

    17%

    24%

    22%

    29%

    28%

    25%

    29%

    22%

    26%

    25%

    27%

    24%

    Strongly disapprove

    13%

    16%

    24%

    25%

    36%

    29%

    32%

    34%

    32%

    32%

    27%

    27%

    Don’t know

    18%

    17%

    13%

    13%

    8%

    11%

    7%

    12%

    10%

    13%

    11%

    8%

    Julia Gillard’s approval rating has improved since last month. 41% (up 6%) approve of the job Julia Gillard is doing as Prime Minister and 51% (down 3%) disapprove – a 9 point change in net rating from -19 to -10. This is Julia Gillard’s best approval rating since May 2011.

    87% of Labor voters approve (up 6%) and 9% disapprove (down 2%).

    By gender – men 40% approve/54% disapprove, women 43% approve/47% disapprove.  In net terms this represents an improvement with men from -29 to -14 and with women from -7 to -4.

  • Oct, 2012

    , , , ,

    Approval of Tony Abbott

    Q. Do you approve or disapprove of the job Tony Abbott is doing as Opposition Leader?

     

    18 Jan
    10

    5 Jul

     

    20 Dec

    14 Mar
    11

    14 Jun

    12 Sep

    12 Dec

    12 Mar 12

    12 Jun

    16 Jul

    13 Aug

    10 Sep

    15 Oct

    Total approve

    37%

    37%

    39%

    38%

    38%

    39%

    32%

    36%

    32%

    35%

    36%

    32%

    37%

    Total disapprove

    37%

    47%

    39%

    47%

    48%

    50%

    53%

    52%

    54%

    53%

    51%

    55%

    54%

    Strongly approve

    5%

    8%

    9%

    7%

    6%

    8%

    6%

    7%

    6%

    7%

    8%

    6%

    9%

    Approve

    32%

    29%

    30%

    31%

    32%

    31%

    26%

    29%

    26%

    28%

    28%

    26%

    28%

    Disapprove

    20%

    23%

    21%

    24%

    25%

    23%

    25%

    23%

    24%

    23%

    22%

    26%

    23%

    Strongly disapprove

    17%

    24%

    18%

    23%

    23%

    27%

    28%

    29%

    30%

    30%

    29%

    29%

    31%

    Don’t know

    26%

    16%

    22%

    16%

    15%

    11%

    14%

    12%

    13%

    12%

    13%

    13%

    9%

    Tony Abbott’s approval rating has also improved over the last month. 37% (up 5%) approve of the job Tony Abbott is doing as Opposition Leader and 54% (down 1%) disapprove – a change in net rating from -23 to -17 over the last 5 weeks.

    74% (up 11%) of Coalition voters approve and 22% (down 2%) disapprove.

    By gender – men 39% approve/55% disapprove, women 35% approve/54% disapprove. In net terms this represents an improvement with men from -19 to -16 and with women from -26 to -19.

  • Oct, 2012

    , , , , , ,

    Better Prime Minister

    Q. Who do you think would make the better Prime Minister out of Julia Gillard and Tony Abbott?

     

    5 Jul 10

    14 Mar 11

    14 Jun

    12 Sep

    12 Dec

    12 Mar 12

    12 Jun

    16 Jul

    13 Aug

    10 Sep

    15 Oct

    Vote
    ALP

    Vote Lib

    Vote Greens

    Julia Gillard

    53%

    44%

    41%

    36%

    39%

    40%

    37%

    37%

    36%

    40%

    43%

    89%

    5%

    77%

    Tony Abbott

    26%

    33%

    36%

    40%

    35%

    37%

    37%

    38%

    38%

    37%

    36%

    2%

    81%

    2%

    Don’t know

    21%

    23%

    24%

    24%

    26%

    23%

    26%

    26%

    26%

    24%

    20%

    9%

    14%

    21%

    43% (up 3%) believe Julia Gillard would make the better Prime Minister and 36% (down 1%) prefer Tony Abbott.

    Men are evenly split (at 40% each) and women prefer Julia Gillard 47%/33%. Compared to last month’s figures, Julia Gillard’s margin over Tony Abbott has changed 8 points in her favour among men (from 36%/44%) but is unchanged among women (from 44%/30%).

  • Oct, 2012

    , , , ,

    Interest in US Presidential Election

    Q. Thinking about United States politics, how much interest do you have in the US Presidential election?

     

    Total

    Vote Labor

    Vote Lib/Nat

    Vote Greens

    A lot of interest

    11%

    11%

    11%

    20%

    Some interest

    27%

    34%

    26%

    28%

    A little interest

    34%

    29%

    39%

    32%

    No interest at all

    27%

    25%

    23%

    19%

    Don’t know

    2%

    1%

    1%

    2%

    38% have some or a lot of interest in the US Presidential election.

    Those with highest interest were men (42% some/a lot), Labor voters (45%) and Greens voters (48%). There were no substantial differences across age groups.

  • Oct, 2012

    , , , , , ,

    Prefer as US President

    Q. Who would you prefer to see win the upcoming Presidential election in the United States?

     

    Total

    Vote Labor

    Vote Lib/Nat

    Vote Greens

    Barack Obama

    63%

    78%

    53%

    85%

    Mitt Romney

    9%

    2%

    18%

    1%

    No difference

    17%

    13%

    17%

    3%

    Don’t know

    11%

    7%

    13%

    11%

    63% said they would prefer to see Barack Obama win the US Presidential election, 9% favour Mitt Romney and 17% think there is no difference.

    All demographic and voter groups strongly favour Barack Obama.

  • Oct, 2012

    , , , , ,

    US Heading in Right/Wrong Direction

    Q. Overall, do you think the United States is heading in the right direction/wrong direction? 

     

    Total

    Vote Labor

    Vote Lib/Nat

    Vote Greens

    Right direction

    39%

    46%

    37%

    45%

    Wrong direction

    23%

    18%

    29%

    19%

    Don’t know

    38%

    36%

    34%

    36%

    39% think the US is heading in the right direction, 23% in the wrong direction and 38% don’t know.

    46% of Labor voters and 45% of Greens voters think the US is heading in the right direction, while 29% of Liberal/National voters think it is heading in the wrong direction.

  • Oct, 2012

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    Australia and United States – How they compare

    Q. How do you think Australia compares to the United States on the following: 

     

    Total better in Australia

    Total better in USA

    A lot better in Australia

    A little better in Australia

    About the same

    A little better in USA

    A lot better in USA

    Don’t know

    Access to health care

    82%

    5%

    61%

    21%

    8%

    3%

    2%

    5%

    Standard of living for ordinary working people

    74%

    7%

    40%

    34%

    13%

    5%

    2%

    6%

    Access to jobs

    70%

    5%

    34%

    36%

    17%

    4%

    1%

    7%

    Public safety

    66%

    4%

    32%

    34%

    22%

    3%

    1%

    7%

    Wages

    64%

    9%

    34%

    30%

    17%

    7%

    2%

    10%

    Work rights

    63%

    7%

    34%

    29%

    18%

    5%

    2%

    13%

    Education standards

    47%

    16%

    20%

    27%

    27%

    12%

    4%

    10%

    Rights of individuals

    44%

    14%

    19%

    25%

    34%

    10%

    4%

    8%

    Opportunities to succeed in business

    35%

    22%

    14%

    21%

    32%

    16%

    6%

    12%

    International influence

    17%

    56%

    8%

    9%

    19%

    21%

    35%

    9%

    The vast majority of respondents think health care, standard of living, access to jobs, public safety, wages and work rights are better in Australia than in the US.

    They are somewhat less certain about education standards, individual rights and opportunities to succeed in business – but still think these are better in Australia.

    Only on international influence did respondents favour the US.

  • Oct, 2012

    , , , , ,

    Position on Climate Change

    Q. Do you believe that there is fairly conclusive evidence that climate change is happening and caused by human activity or do you believe that the evidence is still not in and we may just be witnessing a normal fluctuation in the earth’s climate which happens from time to time?

     

    Nov 09

    Dec 10

    30 May 11

    14 Jun 11

    Total

    Vote Labor

    Vote Lib/Nat

    Vote Greens

    Climate change is happening and is caused by human activity

    53%

    45%

    52%

    50%

    48%

    67%

    30%

    83%

    We are just witnessing a normal fluctuation in the earth’s climate

    34%

    36%

    36%

    39%

    39%

    24%

    58%

    10%

    Don’t know

    13%

    19%

    12%

    12%

    13%

    9%

    13%

    8%

    48% agree that climate change is happening and is caused by human activity and 39% believe that we may just be witnessing a normal fluctuation in the earth’s climate. This is little changed since this question was previously asked in June last year.

    By age groups, those aged under 35 split 57%/27% and those aged 55+ split 37%/55%.

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