Essential Report

Likelihood of developing Coronavirus

May 12, 2020

Q. How likely do you think it is, that you will develop Covid-19?

  11/05 04/05 27/04 20/04 13/04 06/04 29/03 22/03 09/03
Very likely 6% 5% 5% 7% 5% 8% 8% 8% 7%
Somewhat likely 24% 26% 21% 25% 28% 33% 36% 34% 24%
Somewhat unlikely 48% 46% 50% 52% 49% 45% 45% 45% 43%
Very unlikely 21% 23% 23% 17% 18% 14% 12% 13% 26%
Base (n) 1,067 1.093 1,054 1,051 1,068 1,069 1,086 1,034 1,096

 

    Age group Location
  Total 18-34 35-54 55+ Capital Non-Capital
Very likely 6% 7% 11% 2% 7% 5%
Somewhat likely 24% 27% 28% 18% 26% 20%
Somewhat unlikely 48% 43% 42% 58% 46% 52%
Very unlikely 21% 23% 19% 23% 20% 23%
Base (n) 1,067 341 341 385 718 349

Likelihood of developing Coronavirus

Apr 7, 2020

Q. How likely do you think it is, that you will develop Covid-19?

  06/04 29/03 22/03 09/03
Very likely 8% 8% 8% 7%
Somewhat likely 33% 36% 34% 24%
Somewhat unlikely 45% 45% 45% 43%
Very unlikely 14% 12% 13% 26%
Base (n) 1,069 1,086 1,034 1,096

 

    Age group Location
  Total 18-34 35-54 55+ Capital Non-Capital
Very likely 8% 15% 9% 3% 9% 5%
Somewhat likely 33% 34% 36% 31% 33% 34%
Somewhat unlikely 45% 38% 42% 51% 44% 47%
Very unlikely 14% 13% 13% 14% 13% 15%
Base (n) 1,069 341 342 386 731 338

Likelihood of developing Coronavirus

Mar 31, 2020

Q. How likely do you think it is, that you will develop Covid-19?

  29/03 22/03 09/03
Very likely 8% 8% 7%
Somewhat likely 36% 34% 24%
Somewhat unlikely 45% 45% 43%
Very unlikely 12% 13% 26%
Base (n) 1,086 1,034 1,096

 

    Age group Location
  Total 18-34 35-54 55+ Capital Non-Capital
Very likely 8% 11% 8% 5% 8% 6%
Somewhat likely 36% 37% 42% 29% 37% 34%
Somewhat unlikely 45% 39% 41% 54% 43% 49%
Very unlikely 12% 13% 10% 12% 12% 11%
Base (n) 1,086 341 362 383 727 359
  • Individual likelihood of developing Covid-19 is on par with last week, 8% of participants believe it’s very likely they will develop Covid-19, compared to 12% who think it’s very unlikely.
  • Participants over 55 believe that they are unlikely to develop Covid-19 (66% somewhat/very unlikely) than those between 18-34 (52% unlikely).

COVID-19 RESEARCH

Read Essential's ongoing research on the public response to Covid-19.

Sign up for updates

Receive the Essential Report in your inbox.
  • This field is for validation purposes and should be left unchanged.