Do you approve or disapprove of the job Malcolm Turnbull is doing as Prime Minister?
| Total | Vote Labor | Vote Lib/Nat | Vote Greens | Vote other | Oct 2015 | Nov 2015 | Dec 2015 | Jan 2016 | |||
| Total approve | 51% | 36% | 83% | 33% | 38% | 47% | 56% | 56% | 51% | ||
| Total disapprove | 27% | 43% | 9% | 46% | 40% | 17% | 20% | 23% | 25% | ||
| Strongly approve | 8% | 3% | 17% | – | 8% | 11% | 12% | 13% | 9% | ||
| Approve | 43% | 33% | 66% | 33% | 30% | 36% | 44% | 43% | 42% | ||
| Disapprove | 18% | 30% | 7% | 32% | 20% | 11% | 14% | 16% | 16% | ||
| Strongly disapprove | 9% | 13% | 2% | 14% | 20% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 9% | ||
| Don’t know | 21% | 20% | 8% | 21% | 22% | 35% | 23% | 21% | 23% |
51% (no change since last month) of respondents approve of the job Malcolm Turnbull is doing as Prime Minister and 27% (up 2%) disapprove – a net approval rating of +24 (down 2).
83% (up 7%) of Liberal/National voters approve of Malcolm Turnbull’s performance with 9% (down 1%) disapproving. 36% (down 6%) of Labor voters and 33% (up 1%) of Greens voters approve of Malcolm Turnbull’s performance.
By gender, men were 58% approve/28% disapprove and women 46% approve/27% disapprove.
Do you approve or disapprove of the job Bill Shorten is doing as Opposition Leader?
| Total | Vote Labor | Vote Lib/Nat | Vote Greens | Vote other | Nov 2013 | June 2014 | Dec 2014 | Mar 2015 | Jun 2015 | Sep 2015 | Dec 2015 | Jan 2016 | |||
| Total approve | 27% | 48% | 19% | 26% | 16% | 31% | 38% | 35% | 34% | 32% | 29% | 27% | 27% | ||
| Total disapprove | 48% | 26% | 68% | 54% | 58% | 27% | 40% | 39% | 39% | 45% | 50% | 47% | 47% | ||
| Strongly approve | 5% | 8% | 3% | 5% | 4% | 5% | 7% | 7% | 5% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 4% | ||
| Approve | 22% | 40% | 16% | 21% | 12% | 26% | 31% | 28% | 29% | 26% | 24% | 23% | 23% | ||
| Disapprove | 26% | 22% | 30% | 36% | 26% | 17% | 22% | 23% | 21% | 27% | 27% | 26% | 28% | ||
| Strongly disapprove | 22% | 4% | 38% | 18% | 32% | 10% | 18% | 16% | 18% | 18% | 23% | 21% | 19% | ||
| Don’t know | 25% | 25% | 12% | 20% | 26% | 43% | 22% | 26% | 27% | 22% | 21% | 25% | 26% |
27% (no change) of respondents approve of the job Bill Shorten is doing as opposition leader and 48% (up 1%) disapprove – a change in his net rating from -20 to -21.
48% (down 2%) of Labor voters approve of the job Bill Shorten is doing and 26% (down 1%) disapprove.
25% of men and 28% of women approve of Bill Shorten. 58% of men and 40% of women disapprove.
Who do you think would make the better Prime Minister out of Malcolm Turnbull and Bill Shorten?
| Total | Vote Labor | Vote Lib/Nat | Vote Greens | Vote other | Sep 2015 | Oct 2015 | Nov 2015 | Dec 2015 | Jan 2016 | |||
| Malcolm Turnbull | 52% | 28% | 88% | 37% | 44% | 53% | 48% | 55% | 54% | 51% | ||
| Bill Shorten | 15% | 36% | 2% | 24% | 6% | 17% | 19% | 14% | 15% | 18% | ||
| Don’t know | 33% | 35% | 10% | 39% | 50% | 30% | 33% | 31% | 31% | 31% |
52% (up 1%) of respondents think Malcolm Turnbull would make the better Prime Minister and 15% (down 3%) think Bill Shorten would make the better Prime Minister.
59% of men prefer Malcolm Turnbull and 15% prefer Bill Shorten.
45% of women prefer Malcolm Turnbull and 15% prefer Bill Shorten.
There has recently been a lot of talk about tax reform. What do you think is the main reason the Government is considering tax reform? And what do you think is the second reason?
| Total | Main reason | Second reason | Vote Labor | Vote Lib/Nat | Vote Greens | Vote other | ||||
| To address the budget deficit | 58% | 44% | 14% | 53% | 68% | 61% | 57% | |||
| To maintain Government services like health and education | 30% | 12% | 18% | 27% | 40% | 20% | 24% | |||
| To encourage economic growth | 26% | 9% | 17% | 24% | 32% | 29% | 18% | |||
| To help businesses make bigger profits | 14% | 8% | 6% | 21% | 4% | 31% | 22% | |||
| To make the tax system fairer | 11% | 3% | 8% | 7% | 18% | 9% | 12% | |||
| To boost employment | 10% | 3% | 7% | 11% | 10% | 9% | 8% | |||
| To invest in infrastructure | 5% | 1% | 4% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 2% | |||
| Don’t know | 20% | 20% | 26% | 23% | 8% | 16% | 24% | |||
58% believe that one of the main two reasons the Government is considering tax reform is to address the budget deficit. 30% think it is to maintain Government services and 26% to encourage economic growth. Only 5% think it is to invest in infrastructure and 10% think it is to boost employment.
Liberal/National voters are more likely to think it is to maintain services (40%) and make the system fairer (18%).
21% of Labor voters and 31% of Greens voters think it is to help businesses make bigger profits.
Would you support or oppose the following tax reforms to raise more funds for Government services and infrastructure?
| Total support | Total oppose | Strongly support | Support | Oppose | Strongly oppose | Don’t know | Support July 15 | ||||
| Force multinational companies to pay a minimum tax rate on Australian earnings | 78% | 9% | 53% | 25% | 6% | 3% | 14% | 79% | |||
| Increase income tax rate for high earners | 64% | 21% | 30% | 34% | 14% | 7% | 16% | 63% | |||
| Remove superannuation tax concessions for high earners | 58% | 24% | 28% | 30% | 14% | 10% | 17% | 59% | |||
| Remove negative gearing | 37% | 31% | 15% | 22% | 19% | 12% | 33% | 37% | |||
| Remove GST exemptions (e.g. on food, education) | 32% | 55% | 14% | 18% | 23% | 32% | 13% | 33% | |||
| Replace stamp duty with land tax | 26% | 29% | 7% | 19% | 16% | 13% | 45% | 26% | |||
| Increase the GST | 23% | 63% | 5% | 18% | 25% | 38% | 14% | 24% | |||
There was strong majority support for forcing multinational companies to pay a minimum tax rate on Australian earnings (78%), increasing income tax rate for high earners (64%) and removing superannuation tax concessions for high earners (58%).
There was strong majority opposition to increasing the GST (63%).
These results have not changed since this question was asked in July last year.
| Total support | Vote Labor | Vote Lib/Nat | Vote Greens | Vote other | |||
| Force multinational companies to pay a minimum tax rate on Australian earnings | 78% | 81% | 85% | 84% | 74% | ||
| Increase income tax rate for high earners | 64% | 75% | 60% | 67% | 64% | ||
| Remove superannuation tax concessions for high earners | 58% | 69% | 59% | 64% | 57% | ||
| Remove negative gearing | 37% | 40% | 39% | 39% | 36% | ||
| Remove GST exemptions (e.g. on food, education) | 32% | 29% | 44% | 16% | 27% | ||
| Replace stamp duty with land tax | 26% | 26% | 28% | 23% | 34% | ||
| Increase the GST | 23% | 14% | 38% | 21% | 18% | ||
All voter groups strongly supported forcing multinational companies to pay a minimum tax rate on Australian earnings.
Liberal/National voters were more likely to support removing GST exemptions (44%) and increasing the GST (38%).
Labor voters were more likely to support increasing income tax rate for high earners (75%) and removing superannuation tax concessions for high earners (69%).
Q. To raise more Government revenue to maintain services and reduce debt, which of the following actions would you favour most?
| Total | Vote Labor | Vote Lib/Nat | Vote Greens | Vote other | Nov 2015 | ||||
| Increase income taxes | 29% | 39% | 21% | 42% | 30% | 27% | |||
| Increase the GST | 22% | 16% | 37% | 14% | 13% | 26% | |||
| Expand the GST to cover food, health and education | 12% | 12% | 16% | 8% | 9% | 14% | |||
| Don’t know | 37% | 33% | 26% | 36% | 48% | 33% | |||
To raise more Government revenue to maintain services and reduce debt, 29% favoured increasing income taxes, 22% favoured increasing the GST, and 12% expanding the coverage of the GST. This indicates a small shift away from making changes to the GST since this question was asked in November.
Liberal/National voters (37%) were more inclined to favour increasing the GST while Labor voters (39%) and Greens voters (42%) favoured increasing income tax.
Q. Would you support or oppose increasing the GST if income taxes were reduced at the same time?
| Total | Vote Labor | Vote Lib/Nat | Vote Greens | Vote other | Jul 2015 | ||||
| Total support | 38% | 31% | 58% | 24% | 30% | 38% | |||
| Total oppose | 40% | 50% | 28% | 58% | 51% | 42% | |||
| Strongly support | 11% | 8% | 19% | 3% | 5% | 10% | |||
| Support | 27% | 23% | 39% | 21% | 25% | 28% | |||
| Oppose | 21% | 23% | 19% | 32% | 21% | 23% | |||
| Strongly oppose | 19% | 27% | 9% | 26% | 30% | 19% | |||
| Don’t know | 22% | 20% | 15% | 18% | 19% | 20% | |||
38% support increasing the GST if income taxes were reduced at the same time and 40% oppose. These results are similar to when this question was asked in July last year.
A majority (58%) of Liberal/National voters support increasing GST and a majority of Labor (50%) and Greens voters (58%) oppose.
For those on higher incomes ($1,600+ pw), 47% support and 35% oppose.
Q. If a Federal Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward?
Q. If don’t know -Well which party are you currently leaning to?
Sample size = 1,811 respondents
|
First preference/leaning to |
Election 7 Sep 13 |
7 weeks ago 15/12/15 |
Last week 25/1/16 |
This week 2/2/16 |
|
|
Liberal |
42% |
40% |
40% |
||
|
National |
3% |
4% |
4% |
||
|
Total Liberal/National |
45.6% |
45% |
44% |
44% |
|
|
Labor |
33.4% |
35% |
35% |
35% |
|
|
Greens |
8.6% |
10% |
10% |
11% |
|
|
Palmer United Party |
5.5% |
1% |
1% |
1% |
|
|
Other/Independent |
6.9% |
9% |
9% |
9% |
|
2 Party Preferred |
Election 7 Sep 13 |
7 weeks ago 15/12/15 |
Last week 25/1/16 |
This week 2/2/16 |
|
|
Liberal National |
53.5% |
52% |
52% |
51% |
|
|
Labor |
46.5% |
48% |
48% |
49% |
NB. The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived from the first preference/leaning to voting questions. Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results. The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2013 election.