Q. If a Federal Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward?
Q. If don’t know -Well which party are you currently leaning to?
|
First preference/leaning to |
Election 7 Sep 13 |
5 weeks ago 15/12/15 |
This week 19/1/16 |
|
|
Liberal |
42% |
39% |
||
|
National |
3% |
4% |
||
|
Total Liberal/National |
45.6% |
45% |
44% |
|
|
Labor |
33.4% |
35% |
35% |
|
|
Greens |
8.6% |
10% |
10% |
|
|
Palmer United Party |
5.5% |
1% |
2% |
|
|
Other/Independent |
6.9% |
9% |
10% |
|
2 Party Preferred |
Election 7 Sep 13 |
5 weeks ago 15/12/15 |
This week 19/1/16 |
|
|
Liberal National |
53.5% |
52% |
51% |
|
|
Labor |
46.5% |
48% |
49% |
NB. Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results. The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2013 election.
Q. Do you approve or disapprove of the job Malcolm Turnbull is doing as Prime Minister?
|
Total |
Vote Labor |
Vote Lib/Nat |
Vote Greens |
Vote Other |
Oct 2015 |
Nov 2015 |
Dec 2015 |
|||
|
Total approve |
51% |
42% |
76% |
32% |
33% |
47% |
56% |
56% |
||
|
Total disapprove |
25% |
36% |
10% |
53% |
39% |
17% |
20% |
23% |
||
|
Strongly approve |
9% |
5% |
19% |
– |
4% |
11% |
12% |
13% |
||
|
Approve |
42% |
37% |
57% |
32% |
29% |
36% |
44% |
43% |
||
|
Disapprove |
16% |
23% |
8% |
36% |
19% |
11% |
14% |
16% |
||
|
Strongly disapprove |
9% |
13% |
2% |
17% |
20% |
6% |
6% |
7% |
||
|
Don’t know |
23% |
22% |
13% |
15% |
28% |
35% |
23% |
21% |
51% (down 5% since last month) of respondents approve of the job Malcolm Turnbull is doing as Prime Minister and 25% (up 2%) disapprove – a net approval rating of +26 (down 7).
76% (down 8%) of Liberal/National voters approve of Malcolm Turnbull’s performance with 10% (up 3%) disapproving. 42% (no change) of Labor voters and 32% (down 4%) of Greens voters approve of Malcolm Turnbull’s performance.
By gender, men were 56% approve/27% disapprove and women 46% approve/24% disapprove.
Q. Do you approve or disapprove of the job Bill Shorten is doing as Opposition Leader?
|
Total |
Vote Labor |
Vote Lib/Nat |
Vote Greens |
Vote Other |
Nov 2013 |
June 2014 |
Dec 2014 |
Mar 2015 |
Jun 2015 |
Sep 2015 |
Dec 2015 |
|||
|
Total approve |
27% |
50% |
18% |
23% |
17% |
31% |
38% |
35% |
34% |
32% |
29% |
27% |
||
|
Total disapprove |
47% |
27% |
65% |
52% |
63% |
27% |
40% |
39% |
39% |
45% |
50% |
47% |
||
|
Strongly approve |
4% |
9% |
3% |
– |
3% |
5% |
7% |
7% |
5% |
6% |
5% |
4% |
||
|
Approve |
23% |
41% |
15% |
23% |
14% |
26% |
31% |
28% |
29% |
26% |
24% |
23% |
||
|
Disapprove |
28% |
23% |
31% |
39% |
31% |
17% |
22% |
23% |
21% |
27% |
27% |
26% |
||
|
Strongly disapprove |
19% |
4% |
34% |
13% |
32% |
10% |
18% |
16% |
18% |
18% |
23% |
21% |
||
|
Don’t know |
26% |
24% |
17% |
25% |
22% |
43% |
22% |
26% |
27% |
22% |
21% |
25% |
27% (no change) of respondents approve of the job Bill Shorten is doing as opposition leader and 47% (no change) disapprove – no change in his net rating of -20.
50% (down 2%) of Labor voters approve of the job Bill Shorten is doing and 27% (no change) disapprove. 32% of men and 22% of women approve of Bill Shorten. 53% of men and 43% of women disapprove.
Q. Who do you think would make the better Prime Minister out of Malcolm Turnbull and Bill Shorten?
|
Total |
Vote Labor |
Vote Lib/Nat |
Vote Greens |
Vote Other |
Sep 2015 |
Oct 2015 |
Nov 2015 |
Dec 2015 |
|||
|
Malcolm Turnbull |
51% |
26% |
84% |
31% |
43% |
53% |
48% |
55% |
54% |
||
|
Bill Shorten |
18% |
38% |
4% |
35% |
9% |
17% |
19% |
14% |
15% |
||
|
Don’t know |
31% |
36% |
11% |
34% |
48% |
30% |
33% |
31% |
31% |
51% (down 3%) of respondents think Malcolm Turnbull would make the better Prime Minister and 18% (up 3%) think Bill Shorten would make the better Prime Minister.
55% of men prefer Malcolm Turnbull and 21% prefer Bill Shorten. 47% of women prefer Malcolm Turnbull and 15% prefer Bill Shorten.
Q. How much sexism and discrimination against women do you think currently occurs in the following?
|
A lot |
Some |
A little |
None at all |
Don’t know |
A lot/ some TOTAL |
A lot/ some MEN |
A lot/ some WOMEN |
A lot/ some Oct 12 |
A lot/ some Jun 13 |
|||
|
In workplaces |
17% |
44% |
23% |
7% |
10% |
61% |
54% |
66% |
55% |
60% |
||
|
In the media |
19% |
39% |
23% |
7% |
11% |
58% |
51% |
65% |
56% |
59% |
||
|
In politics |
25% |
37% |
19% |
8% |
11% |
62% |
57% |
68% |
61% |
61% |
||
|
In advertising |
26% |
35% |
17% |
9% |
12% |
61% |
53% |
69% |
59% |
60% |
||
|
In sport |
23% |
37% |
20% |
8% |
11% |
60% |
53% |
66% |
58% |
57% |
||
|
In schools |
12% |
32% |
28% |
13% |
15% |
44% |
40% |
48% |
43% |
40% |
A majority of respondents think there is a lot or some sexism in politics (62%), advertising (61%), workplaces (61%), sport (60%) and the media (58%).
Women were more likely than men to think there is a lot or some sexism in all areas – but especially in advertising (women 69%, men 53%) and the media (65%/51%).
There has been little change in these figures since this question was asked in June 2013.
Q. For each of the following professions, do you think men are more respected, women are more respected or are both respected equally?
|
Men more respected |
Women more respected |
Both respected equally |
Don’t know |
|
|
Building and construction |
74% |
3% |
13% |
9% |
|
Military |
70% |
3% |
16% |
11% |
|
Politics |
63% |
4% |
22% |
11% |
|
Sport |
61% |
3% |
25% |
10% |
|
Finance and banking |
53% |
4% |
30% |
12% |
|
Law |
53% |
5% |
30% |
11% |
|
Doctors |
46% |
6% |
40% |
9% |
|
Journalism |
37% |
8% |
43% |
13% |
|
TV presenters |
22% |
15% |
52% |
12% |
|
Teaching |
12% |
28% |
50% |
10% |
|
Nursing |
4% |
58% |
29% |
9% |
A majority think that men are more respected than women in the professions of building and construction (74%), the military (70%), politics (63%), sport (61%), finance/banking (53%) and the law (53%).
A majority think both are respected equally in TV presenting (52%) and teaching (50%).
58% think women are more respected in nursing.
Apart from nursing, teaching and sport, women are considerably more likely to think men are more respected in each profession.
|
Men |
Women |
||||||||
|
Men more respected |
Women more respected |
Both respected equally |
Don’t know |
Men more respected |
Women more respected |
Both respected equally |
Don’t know |
||
|
Nursing |
4% |
60% |
26% |
10% |
3% |
56% |
33% |
8% |
|
|
Doctors |
39% |
8% |
42% |
10% |
52% |
3% |
37% |
8% |
|
|
Teaching |
11% |
32% |
46% |
11% |
14% |
24% |
53% |
9% |
|
|
Law |
46% |
8% |
33% |
13% |
61% |
2% |
27% |
10% |
|
|
Journalism |
32% |
11% |
44% |
14% |
42% |
5% |
42% |
12% |
|
|
Sport |
58% |
4% |
26% |
11% |
64% |
2% |
24% |
9% |
|
|
Politics |
54% |
5% |
28% |
13% |
72% |
2% |
17% |
9% |
|
|
Finance and banking |
46% |
7% |
34% |
14% |
60% |
2% |
27% |
11% |
|
|
Military |
64% |
5% |
19% |
12% |
77% |
2% |
12% |
9% |
|
|
Building and construction |
68% |
4% |
17% |
11% |
80% |
2% |
10% |
8% |
|
|
TV presenters |
16% |
19% |
53% |
13% |
27% |
11% |
51% |
11% |
|
Q. Thinking about the US Presidential election to be held later this year, which of the following candidates would you prefer to be elected?
|
Total |
Vote Labor |
Vote Lib/Nat |
Vote Greens |
Vote Other |
||
|
Hillary Clinton |
40% |
46% |
47% |
39% |
21% |
|
|
Donald Trump |
12% |
15% |
13% |
3% |
20% |
|
|
Bernie Sanders |
6% |
3% |
3% |
32% |
7% |
|
|
Ted Cruz |
2% |
1% |
3% |
– |
1% |
|
|
Someone else |
8% |
7% |
8% |
4% |
17% |
|
|
Don’t know |
32% |
28% |
27% |
23% |
34% |
40% would prefer Hillary Clinton to be elected US President and 12% prefer Donald Trump. 32% don’t know.
Liberal/National voters and Labor voters have very similar views. 32% of Greens voters prefer Bernie Sanders.
Q. If a State Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward?
|
Election Mar 2015 |
Oct-Dec 2015 |
October |
November |
December |
|||
|
Sample |
3,205 |
1,170 |
1,162 |
873 |
|||
|
First preference vote |
|||||||
|
Liberal/National |
45.6% |
48% |
48% |
48% |
47% |
||
|
Labor |
34.1% |
33% |
34% |
33% |
33% |
||
|
Greens |
10.3% |
10% |
9% |
9% |
11% |
||
|
Other/Independent |
10.0% |
10% |
10% |
10% |
10% |
||
|
2PP |
|||||||
|
Liberal/National |
54.3% |
56% |
56% |
56% |
56% |
||
|
Labor |
45.7% |
44% |
44% |
44% |
44% |