Q. Who do you think would make the better Prime Minister out of Malcolm Turnbull and Bill Shorten?
|
Total |
Vote Labor |
Vote Lib/Nat |
Vote Greens |
Vote Other |
Sep 2015 |
Oct 2015 |
Nov 2015 |
|||
|
Malcolm Turnbull |
54% |
31% |
86% |
38% |
42% |
53% |
48% |
55% |
||
|
Bill Shorten |
15% |
36% |
3% |
23% |
5% |
17% |
19% |
14% |
||
|
Don’t know |
31% |
33% |
11% |
39% |
53% |
30% |
33% |
31% |
54% (down 1%) of respondents think Malcolm Turnbull would make the better Prime Minister and 15% (up 1%) think Bill Shorten would make the better Prime Minister.
58% of men prefer Malcolm Turnbull and 15% prefer Bill Shorten. 50% of women prefer Malcolm Turnbull and 15% prefer Bill Shorten.
Q. Do you think Tony Abbott should –
|
Total |
Vote Labor |
Vote Lib/Nat |
Vote Greens |
Vote Other |
||
|
Stay in Parliament on the back bench |
14% |
14% |
17% |
13% |
13% |
|
|
Stay in Parliament and be given a Ministry |
18% |
7% |
31% |
4% |
35% |
|
|
Resign from Parliament now |
30% |
42% |
18% |
59% |
22% |
|
|
Resign from Parliament at the next election |
19% |
22% |
19% |
14% |
21% |
|
|
Don’t know |
19% |
15% |
16% |
9% |
9% |
32% think that Tony Abbott should stay in Parliament – 14% on the back bench and 18% as a minister.
49% think he should resign from Parliament with 30% thinking he should resign now and 19% at the next election.
Among Liberal/National voters, 48% think he should stay in Parliament (31% as a minister) and 37% think he should resign.
Q. Do you approve or disapprove of Australia using $1 billion of our foreign aid budget over the next 5 years to help Pacific Island nations address the impacts of climate change?
|
Total |
Vote Labor |
Vote Lib/Nat |
Vote Greens |
Vote Other |
||
|
Total approve |
44% |
48% |
42% |
61% |
39% |
|
|
Total disapprove |
40% |
35% |
47% |
28% |
50% |
|
|
Strong approve |
12% |
16% |
8% |
28% |
12% |
|
|
Approve |
32% |
32% |
34% |
33% |
27% |
|
|
Disapprove |
21% |
18% |
25% |
19% |
23% |
|
|
Strongly disapprove |
19% |
17% |
22% |
9% |
27% |
|
|
Don’t know |
17% |
17% |
11% |
12% |
11% |
44% approve of Australia using $1 billion of our foreign aid budget over the next 5 years to help Pacific Island nations address the impacts of climate change and 40% disapprove.
Those most likely to approve were Greens voters (61%), men (50%) and university educated (55%). Those most likely to disapprove were Liberal/National voters (47%), women (45%) and aged 65+ (48%).
Q. When you think of Malcolm Turnbull representing Australia at international conferences and meetings, how confident are you that he will do a good job in representing Australia to the international community?
|
Total |
Vote Labor |
Vote Lib/Nat |
Vote Greens |
Vote Other |
||
|
Very confident |
20% |
14% |
33% |
10% |
6% |
|
|
Somewhat confident |
44% |
45% |
51% |
45% |
41% |
|
|
Not very confident |
14% |
19% |
7% |
26% |
15% |
|
|
Not at all confident |
9% |
9% |
4% |
11% |
27% |
|
|
Don’t know |
13% |
12% |
5% |
7% |
11% |
20% say they are very confident and 44% somewhat confident that Malcolm Turnbull will do a good job in representing Australia to the international community. 23% are not very or not at all confident.
Those most confident were aged 55+ (74%) and Liberal/National voters (84%).
Q. Which of the following do you think would make the best leader of the Liberal Party?
|
Total |
Male |
Female |
Vote Labor |
Vote Lib/Nat |
Vote Greens |
Vote other |
Jun 2014 |
Feb 2015 |
Aug 2015 |
Sep 2015 |
||||
|
Malcolm Turnbull |
42% |
46% |
38% |
38% |
57% |
37% |
20% |
31% |
24% |
24% |
37% |
|||
|
Tony Abbott |
9% |
11% |
8% |
4% |
14% |
2% |
21% |
18% |
11% |
18% |
9% |
|||
|
Joe Hockey |
na |
6% |
5% |
3% |
2% |
|||||||||
|
Julie Bishop |
13% |
10% |
16% |
15% |
14% |
16% |
13% |
4% |
21% |
17% |
14% |
|||
|
Christopher Pyne |
2% |
2% |
2% |
4% |
1% |
– |
– |
<1% |
<1% |
1% |
1% |
|||
|
Scott Morrison |
2% |
3% |
1% |
1% |
3% |
3% |
2% |
1% |
2% |
3% |
4% |
|||
|
Someone else |
9% |
9% |
10% |
14% |
2% |
16% |
15% |
19% |
13% |
13% |
10% |
|||
|
Don’t know |
22% |
20% |
25% |
24% |
9% |
25% |
29% |
21% |
24% |
22% |
21% |
42% (up 5% since September) think Malcolm Turnbull would make the best leader of the Liberal Party, 13% prefer Julie Bishop (down 1%) and 9% prefer Tony Abbott (no change)
Among Liberal/National voters, 57% (up 10%) prefer Malcolm Turnbull, 14% (no change) prefer Tony Abbott and 14% (up 4%) Julie Bishop.
Preferences of men were Malcolm Turnbull 46% (+2%), Tony Abbott 11% (+1%) and Julie Bishop 10% (-1%). Preferences of women were Malcolm Turnbull 38% (+8%), Julie Bishop 16% (-1%) and Tony Abbott 8% (no change).
Q. Which of the following do you think would make the best leader of the Labor Party?
|
Total |
Men |
Women |
Vote Labor |
Vote Lib/Nat |
Vote Greens |
Vote Other |
Aug 2015 |
|||||
|
Bill Shorten |
13% |
11% |
15% |
27% |
7% |
14% |
4% |
16% |
||||
|
Anthony Albanese |
14% |
18% |
11% |
19% |
16% |
12% |
10% |
12% |
||||
|
Tanya Plibersek |
14% |
14% |
14% |
18% |
9% |
30% |
17% |
13% |
||||
|
Chris Bowen |
3% |
4% |
1% |
3% |
4% |
1% |
2% |
5% |
||||
|
Someone else |
17% |
21% |
14% |
9% |
22% |
16% |
30% |
18% |
||||
|
Don’t know |
38% |
31% |
45% |
24% |
42% |
25% |
36% |
36% |
||||
13% (down 3%) think Bill Shorten would make the best leader of the Labor Party, 14% (up 1%) prefer Tanya Plibersek and 14% (up 2%) Anthony Albanese. 17% prefer someone else and 38% don’t know.
Among Labor voters, 27% (-7%) prefer Bill Shorten, 19% (+6%) Anthony Albanese and 18% (+3%) Tanya Plibersek.
Preferences of men were Anthony Albanese 18%, Tanya Plibersek 14% and Bill Shorten 11%. Preferences of women were Bill Shorten 15%, Tanya Plibersek 14% and Anthony Albanese 11%.
Q. If a Federal Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward?
Q. If don’t know -Well which party are you currently leaning to?
Sample size = 1,771 respondents
|
First preference/leaning to |
Election 7 Sep 13 |
4 weeks ago 3/11/15 |
2 weeks ago 17/11/15 |
Last week 24/11/15 |
This week 1/12/15 |
|
|
Liberal |
41% |
41% |
41% |
41% |
||
|
National |
4% |
4% |
4% |
3% |
||
|
Total Liberal/National |
45.6% |
45% |
45% |
44% |
44% |
|
|
Labor |
33.4% |
34% |
36% |
35% |
35% |
|
|
Greens |
8.6% |
11% |
10% |
10% |
11% |
|
|
Palmer United Party |
5.5% |
1% |
1% |
1% |
1% |
|
|
Other/Independent |
6.9% |
9% |
9% |
9% |
9% |
|
2 Party Preferred |
Election 7 Sep 13 |
4 weeks ago 3/11/15 |
2 weeks ago 17/11/15 |
Last week 24/11/15 |
This week 1/12/15 |
|
|
Liberal National |
53.5% |
53% |
52% |
52% |
51% |
|
|
Labor |
46.5% |
47% |
48% |
48% |
49% |
NB. The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived from the first preference/leaning to voting questions. Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results. The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2013 election.
Q. Now thinking about taxes – overall, how fair do you think our present Federal tax system is?
|
Total |
Vote Labor |
Vote Lib/Nat |
Vote Greens |
Vote other |
Income less than $600 pw |
Income $600 – $1,000 pw |
Income $1,000 – $1,600 pw |
Income $1,600+ pw |
|||
|
Very fair |
4% |
7% |
5% |
3% |
– |
2% |
4% |
4% |
6% |
||
|
Moderately fair |
36% |
33% |
46% |
29% |
25% |
35% |
34% |
28% |
42% |
||
|
Not too fair |
30% |
29% |
30% |
35% |
31% |
27% |
22% |
38% |
30% |
||
|
Not fair at all |
22% |
24% |
15% |
26% |
44% |
28% |
27% |
25% |
16% |
||
|
Don’t know |
8% |
7% |
3% |
7% |
– |
8% |
12% |
5% |
6% |
40% think the Federal tax system is very or moderately fair and 52% think it is not too fair or not fair at all.
Those most likely to think it not fair were Greens voters (61%), other voters (75%) and incomes $1,000-$1,600 pw (63%).
Those most likely to think it is fair were Liberal/National voters (51%), incomes $1,600+ pw (48%) and university educated (48%).