Q. If a State Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward?
|
Election Jan 2015 |
Oct-Dec 2015 |
October |
November |
December |
|||
|
Sample |
1,873 |
688 |
672 |
513 |
|||
|
First preference vote |
|||||||
|
LNP |
41.3% |
42% |
42% |
41% |
45% |
||
|
Labor |
37.5% |
39% |
40% |
39% |
37% |
||
|
Greens |
8.4% |
8% |
8% |
9% |
7% |
||
|
Palmer United Party |
5.1% |
||||||
|
Katter Party |
1.9% |
3% |
3% |
2% |
4% |
||
|
Other/Independent |
5.8% |
8% |
8% |
9% |
8% |
||
|
2PP |
|||||||
|
LNP |
48.9% |
50% |
49% |
49% |
53% |
||
|
Labor |
Q. If a State Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward?
|
Election Nov 2014 |
Oct-Dec 2015 |
October |
November |
December |
|||
|
Sample |
2,402 |
882 |
870 |
650 |
|||
|
First preference vote |
|||||||
|
Liberal/National |
42.0% |
40% |
41% |
39% |
40% |
||
|
Labor |
38.1% |
38% |
36% |
38% |
41% |
||
|
Greens |
11.5% |
13% |
14% |
12% |
10% |
||
|
Other/Independent |
8.4% |
9% |
9% |
10% |
9% |
||
|
2PP |
|||||||
|
Liberal/National |
48.0% |
47% |
47% |
46% |
46% |
||
|
Labor |
52.0% |
53% |
53% |
54% |
54% |
Q. If a State Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward?
|
Election Mar 2014 |
Oct-Dec 2015 |
||
|
Sample |
797 |
||
|
First preference vote |
|||
|
Liberal |
44.8% |
32% |
|
|
Labor |
35.8% |
39% |
|
|
Greens |
8.7% |
10% |
|
|
Other/Independent |
10.7% |
19% |
|
|
2PP |
|||
|
Liberal |
53.0% |
46% |
|
|
Labor |
47.0% |
54% |
Q. If a State Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward?
|
Election Mar 2013 |
Oct-Dec 2015 |
||
|
Sample |
946 |
||
|
First preference vote |
|||
|
Liberal |
47.1% |
37% |
|
|
National |
6.1% |
6% |
|
|
Labor |
33.1% |
35% |
|
|
Greens |
8.4% |
12% |
|
|
Other/Independent |
5.3% |
10% |
|
|
2PP |
|||
|
Liberal/National |
57.3% |
51% |
|
|
Labor |
42.7% |
49% |
Q. If a Federal Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward?
Q. If don’t know -Well which party are you currently leaning to?
Sample size = 1,764 respondents
|
First preference/leaning to |
Election 7 Sep 13 |
4 weeks ago 17/11/15 |
2 weeks ago 1/12/15 |
Last week 8/12/15 |
This week 15/12/15 |
|
|
Liberal |
41% |
41% |
41% |
42% |
||
|
National |
4% |
3% |
3% |
3% |
||
|
Total Liberal/National |
45.6% |
45% |
44% |
44% |
45% |
|
|
Labor |
33.4% |
36% |
35% |
36% |
35% |
|
|
Greens |
8.6% |
10% |
11% |
11% |
10% |
|
|
Palmer United Party |
5.5% |
1% |
1% |
1% |
1% |
|
|
Other/Independent |
6.9% |
9% |
9% |
9% |
9% |
|
2 Party Preferred |
Election 7 Sep 13 |
4 weeks ago 17/11/15 |
2 weeks ago 1/12/15 |
Last week 8/12/15 |
This week 15/12/15 |
|
|
Liberal National |
53.5% |
52% |
51% |
51% |
52% |
|
|
Labor |
46.5% |
48% |
49% |
49% |
48% |
NB. The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived from the first preference/leaning to voting questions. Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results. The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2013 election.
Q. How would you rate the performance of the following politicians?
|
Total good |
Total poor |
Net |
Very good |
Good |
Neither good nor poor |
Poor |
Very poor |
Don’t know |
||
|
Malcolm Turnbull – Prime Minister |
50% |
17% |
+33 |
15% |
35% |
29% |
9% |
8% |
5% |
|
|
Bill Shorten – Opposition leader |
14% |
44% |
-30 |
2% |
12% |
36% |
20% |
24% |
6% |
|
|
Scott Morrison – Treasurer |
22% |
25% |
-3 |
4% |
18% |
40% |
14% |
11% |
13% |
|
|
Clive Palmer – leader of PUP |
8% |
60% |
-52 |
1% |
7% |
22% |
21% |
39% |
10% |
|
|
Richard Di Natale – leader of the Greens |
16% |
28% |
-12 |
3% |
13% |
36% |
12% |
16% |
19% |
|
|
Julie Bishop – Foreign Minister |
43% |
21% |
+22 |
14% |
29% |
28% |
10% |
11% |
7% |
Two politicians were given net positive ratings for their performance. 50% rated Malcolm Turnbull’s performance as good and 17% rated him poor. Julie Bishop achieved ratings of 43% good and 21% poor.
Net ratings for the others were Bill Shorten -30, Scott Morrison -3, Clive Palmer -52 and Richard Di Natale -12.
Malcolm Turnbull had a net rating of +72 with Liberal National voters and +11 with Labor voters. Bill Shorten had a net rating of +7 with Labor voters and -53 with Liberal National voters. Richard Di Natale had a net rating of +43 with Greens voters.
Q. Thinking about the last 12 months, has it been a good or bad year for each of the following?
|
Total good |
Total poor |
Net score |
Very good |
Good |
Neither good nor poor |
Poor |
Very poor |
Don’t know |
Net score Dec 2013 |
Net score Dec 2014 |
|||
|
The Australian economy |
23% |
34% |
-11 |
3% |
20% |
39% |
28% |
6% |
5% |
-13 |
-13 |
||
|
Australian politics in general |
14% |
55% |
-41 |
1% |
13% |
27% |
35% |
20% |
5% |
-62 |
-53 |
||
|
Large companies and corporations |
28% |
23% |
+5 |
4% |
24% |
39% |
19% |
4% |
9% |
-9 |
+14 |
||
|
Small business |
21% |
33% |
-12 |
2% |
19% |
37% |
26% |
7% |
9% |
-45 |
-28 |
||
|
Trade unions |
11% |
38% |
-27 |
2% |
9% |
35% |
25% |
13% |
15% |
-25 |
-18 |
||
|
The average Australian |
21% |
35% |
-14 |
2% |
19% |
40% |
27% |
8% |
5% |
-22 |
-23 |
||
|
Your personal financial situation |
24% |
30% |
-6 |
3% |
21% |
42% |
19% |
11% |
3% |
-8 |
-11 |
||
|
Your workplace (employees only) |
37% |
23% |
+14 |
5% |
32% |
37% |
17% |
6% |
2% |
+8 |
-5 |
||
|
You and your family overall |
40% |
19% |
+21 |
5% |
35% |
38% |
14% |
5% |
2% |
+18 |
+3 |
Respondents believed that this year has been a poor for all groups except large companies (+5), your workplace (+14) and you and your family overall (+21). It was considered a particularly bad year for Australian politics in general (-41) and trade unions (-27).
Relative to 2014 (as measured in December last year), this year was considered better for politics in general (up 12), small businesses (up 16), your workplace (up 19) and you and your family overall (up 18) but worse for large companies and corporations (down 9) and trade unions (down 9).
Q. Thinking about the next 12 months, do you think 2016 will be a good or bad year for each of the following?
|
Total good |
Total poor |
Net score |
Very good |
Good |
Neither good nor poor |
Poor |
Very poor |
Don’t know |
Net score Dec 2013 |
Net score Dec 2014 |
|||
|
The Australian economy |
28% |
26% |
+2 |
3% |
25% |
35% |
20% |
6% |
10% |
-10 |
-10 |
||
|
Australian politics in general |
26% |
31% |
-5 |
2% |
24% |
32% |
22% |
9% |
10% |
-24 |
-29 |
||
|
Large companies and corporations |
32% |
18% |
+14 |
4% |
28% |
38% |
14% |
4% |
13% |
– |
+13 |
||
|
Small business |
26% |
23% |
+3 |
2% |
24% |
37% |
18% |
5% |
13% |
-24 |
-17 |
||
|
Trade unions |
15% |
31% |
-16 |
2% |
13% |
37% |
21% |
10% |
17% |
-26 |
-16 |
||
|
The average Australian |
24% |
26% |
-2 |
1% |
23% |
39% |
20% |
6% |
10% |
-9 |
-17 |
||
|
Your personal financial situation |
33% |
21% |
+12 |
4% |
29% |
39% |
13% |
8% |
8% |
+6 |
– |
||
|
Your workplace (employees only) |
39% |
18% |
+21 |
5% |
34% |
37% |
13% |
5% |
7% |
+15 |
– |
||
|
You and your family overall |
43% |
15% |
+28 |
7% |
36% |
35% |
10% |
5% |
8% |
+25 |
+10 |
Overall, there was a positive outlook for large companies and corporations (net +14), your personal financial situation (+12), your workplace (+21), and you and your family overall (+28). Expectations were especially negative for trade unions (-16).
Compared to last year, respondents were more optimistic about all items measured except for large companies and corporations (up 1) and trade unions (no difference).