Q. If a Federal Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward?
Q. If don’t know -Well which party are you currently leaning to?
Sample size = 1,783 respondents
|
First preference/leaning to |
Election 7 Sep 13 |
6 weeks ago 15/12/15 |
This week 25/1/16 |
|
|
Liberal |
42% |
40% |
||
|
National |
3% |
4% |
||
|
Total Liberal/National |
45.6% |
45% |
44% |
|
|
Labor |
33.4% |
35% |
35% |
|
|
Greens |
8.6% |
10% |
10% |
|
|
Palmer United Party |
5.5% |
1% |
1% |
|
|
Other/Independent |
6.9% |
9% |
9% |
|
2 Party Preferred |
Election 7 Sep 13 |
6 weeks ago 15/12/15 |
This week 25/1/16 |
|
|
Liberal National |
53.5% |
52% |
52% |
|
|
Labor |
46.5% |
48% |
48% |
NB. The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived from the first preference/leaning to voting questions. Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results. The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2013 election.
Q. Overall, how would you describe the current state of the Australian economy?
|
Total |
Vote Labor |
Vote Lib/Nat |
Vote Greens |
Vote other |
May 2012 |
Apr 2013 |
Sep 2013 |
Jan 2014 |
Aug 2014 |
Mar 2015 |
Sep 2015 |
|||
|
Total good |
28% |
26% |
38% |
26% |
13% |
35% |
45% |
40% |
34% |
37% |
27% |
26% |
||
|
Total poor |
31% |
38% |
23% |
36% |
42% |
29% |
26% |
25% |
26% |
26% |
33% |
32% |
||
|
Very good |
4% |
4% |
6% |
2% |
– |
6% |
8% |
6% |
4% |
6% |
3% |
3% |
||
|
Good |
24% |
22% |
32% |
24% |
13% |
29% |
37% |
34% |
30% |
31% |
24% |
23% |
||
|
Neither good nor poor |
36% |
33% |
37% |
33% |
39% |
33% |
28% |
32% |
36% |
35% |
36% |
39% |
||
|
Poor |
24% |
28% |
18% |
32% |
29% |
20% |
17% |
20% |
21% |
18% |
24% |
24% |
||
|
Very poor |
7% |
10% |
5% |
4% |
13% |
9% |
9% |
5% |
5% |
8% |
9% |
8% |
||
|
Don’t know |
4% |
2% |
2% |
4% |
5% |
2% |
2% |
3% |
4% |
3% |
4% |
3% |
28% described the economy as good or very good and 31% poor/very poor – 36% said it was neither. This represents no significant change since September.
Liberal National voters were more optimistic than other voters. Among Labor voters 26% (up 3%) thought it was good and 38% (up 1%) poor; for Liberal/National voters 38% (up 2%) said it was good and 23% (down 1%) poor.
Q. Do you think Australia’s economy is heading in the right or wrong direction?
|
Total |
Vote Labor |
Vote Lib/Nat |
Vote Greens |
Vote other |
May 2010 |
May 2011 |
Jun 2012 |
Apr 2013 |
Aug 2014 |
May 2015 |
Sep 2015 |
|||
|
The right direction |
30% |
24% |
48% |
12% |
15% |
51% |
45% |
43% |
36% |
35% |
35% |
34% |
||
|
The wrong direction |
38% |
49% |
24% |
50% |
57% |
25% |
29% |
32% |
39% |
41% |
40% |
39% |
||
|
Don’t know |
31% |
27% |
28% |
38% |
28% |
24% |
25% |
25% |
25% |
24% |
25% |
27% |
30% (down 4% since September) of respondents think that Australia’s economy is heading in the right direction and 38% (down 1% think it is heading in the wrong direction. This is the least optimistic outlook recorded over the past 5 years.
24% (no change) of Labor voters, 48% (down 6%) of Liberal/National voters and 12% (no change) of Greens voters think the economy is heading in the right direction. 49% (up 2%) of Labor voters, 24% (down 2%) of Liberal/National voters and 50% (down 9%) of Greens voters think it is heading in the wrong direction.
Q. Who would you trust most to handle Australia’s economy – the Treasurer Scott Morrison or the Shadow Treasurer Chris Bowen?
|
Total |
Vote Labor |
Vote Lib/Nat |
Vote Greens |
Vote other/ Indep- endent |
Nov 2015 |
|||
|
Scott Morrison |
26% |
9% |
52% |
8% |
16% |
27% |
||
|
Chris Bowen |
19% |
34% |
10% |
29% |
13% |
18% |
||
|
Don’t know |
55% |
57% |
38% |
64% |
71% |
56% |
26% have more trust in Scott Morrison to handle Australia’s economy and 19% have more trust in Chris Bowen. 55% don’t know who they would trust more. This represents little change since November.
Q. Do you think Australia should increase or decrease our military involvement in Syria and Iraq against the Islamic State?
|
Total |
Vote Labor |
Vote Lib/Nat |
Vote Greens |
Vote other |
Nov 2015 |
|||
|
Increase |
18% |
18% |
21% |
15% |
18% |
32% |
||
|
Decrease |
34% |
37% |
26% |
54% |
38% |
19% |
||
|
Make no change |
32% |
33% |
39% |
16% |
32% |
28% |
||
|
Don’t know |
17% |
13% |
15% |
14% |
13% |
21% |
18% (down 14% since November) think Australia should increase our military involvement in Syria and Iraq, 34% (up 15%) think we should decrease involvement and 32% (up 4%) think we should make no change.
Liberal/National voters were most likely to favour no change (39%) while 54% of Greens voters and 37% of Labor voters wanted a decrease.
Q. Tuesday 26th January is Australia Day. Will you personally be doing anything to celebrate Australia Day or do you treat it as just a public holiday?
|
Total |
Vote Labor |
Vote Lib/Nat |
Vote Greens |
Vote other |
Jan 2010 |
Jan 2013 |
Jan 2014 |
Jan 2015 |
|||
|
Doing something to celebrate Australia Day |
38% |
39% |
44% |
25% |
38% |
40% |
41% |
37% |
40% |
||
|
Just a public holiday |
44% |
44% |
38% |
60% |
44% |
40% |
43% |
44% |
41% |
||
|
Working – don’t get the Australia Day holiday |
6% |
7% |
6% |
7% |
2% |
6% |
7% |
7% |
7% |
||
|
Don’t know |
12% |
10% |
11% |
8% |
16% |
14% |
9% |
11% |
12% |
38% said they will be doing something to celebrate Australia Day, 44% treat Australia Day as just a public holiday and 6% are working because they don’t get the Australia Day holiday. This represents little change in the percentage of those celebrating Australia Day over the last few years.
44% of Liberal/National voters and 44% of full-time workers say they will be doing something to celebrate Australia Day. 60% of Greens voters and 47% of those aged 18-34 treat it as just another public holiday.
Q. Which of the following best describes how you feel about Australia Day?
|
Total |
Vote Labor |
Vote Lib/Nat |
Vote Greens |
Vote other |
Aged 18-34 |
Aged 35-54 |
Aged 55+ |
|||
|
A day of national pride |
56% |
60% |
66% |
29% |
51% |
47% |
57% |
65% |
||
|
A day of reflection on the impact on indigenous people |
14% |
12% |
11% |
37% |
13% |
19% |
12% |
10% |
||
|
It’s irrelevant in the 21st century |
8% |
9% |
6% |
12% |
8% |
10% |
8% |
8% |
||
|
None of these |
16% |
13% |
13% |
16% |
24% |
15% |
16% |
15% |
||
|
Don’t know |
6% |
6% |
4% |
6% |
3% |
9% |
7% |
3% |
56% regard Australia Day as a day of national pride and 14% think it is a day of reflection on the impact on indigenous people. Only 8% think it is irrelevant.
Those most likely to regard it as a day of national pride were Liberal/National voters (66%) and aged 55+ (65%). 37% of Greens voters think it is a day of reflection on the impact on indigenous people.
Q. Thinking about how you use your smartphone (or iPhone), do you agree or disagree with the following statements? (Based on the 878 respondents who own smartphones)
|
Total agree |
Strongly agree |
Agree |
Disagree |
Strongly disagree |
Don’t know |
||
|
I check my phone while driving |
20% |
4% |
16% |
27% |
51% |
3% |
|
|
I am anxious when I can’t check messages |
28% |
6% |
22% |
36% |
33% |
3% |
|
|
I sometimes send messages/emails before thinking them through |
28% |
7% |
21% |
38% |
31% |
4% |
|
|
I ignore actual conversations to check my phone |
18% |
3% |
15% |
40% |
38% |
4% |
|
|
I check my phone before I get out of bed |
45% |
17% |
28% |
23% |
30% |
2% |
|
Total agree |
Men |
Women |
Aged 18-34 |
Aged 35-54 |
Aged 55+ |
||
|
I check my phone while driving |
20% |
21% |
19% |
34% |
16% |
4% |
|
|
I am anxious when I can’t check messages |
28% |
27% |
29% |
41% |
24% |
12% |
|
|
I sometimes send messages/emails before thinking them through |
28% |
30% |
27% |
44% |
21% |
11% |
|
|
I ignore actual conversations to check my phone |
18% |
20% |
16% |
28% |
14% |
6% |
|
|
I check my phone before I get out of bed |
45% |
41% |
49% |
70% |
37% |
16% |
45% check their smartphone before they get out of bed, 28% say they are anxious when they can’t check messages and 28% sometimes send messages/emails before thinking. Younger people are much more likely to do these things than older people. 70% of those aged 18-34 check their phone before they get out of bed, 44% send messages/emails without thinking and 41% say they are anxious when they can’t check messages.