Q. If a Federal Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward?
Q. If don’t know -Well which party are you currently leaning to?
Sample size = 1,729 respondents
|
First preference/leaning to |
Election 7 Sep 13 |
4 weeks ago 20/10/15 |
2 weeks ago 3/11/15 |
Last week 10/11/15 |
This week 17/11/15 |
|
|
Liberal |
41% |
41% |
41% |
41% |
||
|
National |
4% |
4% |
4% |
4% |
||
|
Total Liberal/National |
45.6% |
44% |
45% |
45% |
45% |
|
|
Labor |
33.4% |
36% |
34% |
35% |
36% |
|
|
Greens |
8.6% |
11% |
11% |
10% |
10% |
|
|
Palmer United Party |
5.5% |
1% |
1% |
1% |
1% |
|
|
Other/Independent |
6.9% |
8% |
9% |
10% |
9% |
|
2 Party Preferred |
Election 7 Sep 13 |
4 weeks ago 20/10/15 |
2 weeks ago 3/11/15 |
Last week 10/11/15 |
This week 17/11/15 |
|
|
Liberal National |
53.5% |
51% |
53% |
52% |
52% |
|
|
Labor |
46.5% |
49% |
47% |
48% |
48% |
NB. The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived from the first preference/leaning to voting questions. Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results. The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2013 election.
Q. Here is a list of things both favourable and unfavourable that have been said about various political parties. Which statements do you feel fit the Labor Party?
|
Total |
Change |
Jul 2009 |
Mar 2010 |
April 2011 |
May 2012 |
Aug 2013 |
Mar 2014 |
Sep 2014 |
||
|
Will promise to do anything to win votes |
64% |
+2 |
57% |
63% |
72% |
70% |
65% |
63% |
62% |
|
|
Divided |
58% |
+4 |
30% |
36% |
66% |
73% |
66% |
58% |
54% |
|
|
Moderate |
56% |
+2 |
65% |
63% |
51% |
50% |
48% |
52% |
54% |
|
|
Looks after the interests of working people |
55% |
+1 |
39% |
47% |
53% |
54% |
54% |
|||
|
Out of touch with ordinary people |
52% |
+1 |
44% |
48% |
61% |
58% |
51% |
49% |
51% |
|
|
Understands the problems facing Australia |
48% |
+2 |
62% |
54% |
40% |
46% |
50% |
49% |
46% |
|
|
Have good policies |
42% |
– |
46% |
44% |
42% |
|||||
|
Have a vision for the future |
42% |
– |
43% |
41% |
49% |
43% |
42% |
|||
|
Clear about what they stand for |
37% |
+1 |
28% |
31% |
38% |
42% |
36% |
|||
|
Too close to the big corporate and financial interests |
37% |
+1 |
46% |
36% |
31% |
34% |
36% |
|||
|
Trustworthy |
34% |
+4 |
30% |
31% |
30% |
|||||
|
Has a good team of leaders |
33% |
– |
60% |
52% |
34% |
29% |
36% |
34% |
33% |
|
|
Extreme |
30% |
+3 |
25% |
26% |
38% |
31% |
34% |
30% |
27% |
|
|
Keeps its promises |
29% |
– |
44% |
33% |
20% |
22% |
27% |
30% |
29% |
The Labor Party’s main attributes were – will promise anything to win votes (64%), divided (58%), moderate (56%) and looks after the interests of working people (55%).
There were no major changes since September last year were – divided is up 4% to 58% and trustworthy up 4% to 34%.
Q. And which statements do you feel fit the Liberal Party?
|
Total |
Change |
Jul 2009 |
Mar 2010 |
April 2011 |
May 2012 |
Aug 2013 |
Mar 2014 |
Sep 2014 |
||
|
Will promise to do anything to win votes |
68% |
-1 |
67% |
72% |
65% |
63% |
65% |
67% |
69% |
|
|
Too close to the big corporate and financial interests |
67% |
+2 |
60% |
58% |
60% |
62% |
65% |
|||
|
Out of touch with ordinary people |
62% |
-1 |
62% |
58% |
54% |
53% |
58% |
59% |
63% |
|
|
Divided |
56% |
+16 |
74% |
66% |
49% |
37% |
31% |
32% |
40% |
|
|
Have a vision for the future |
54% |
+5 |
48% |
48% |
51% |
53% |
49% |
|||
|
Moderate |
51% |
+7 |
50% |
50% |
55% |
52% |
48% |
46% |
44% |
|
|
Has a good team of leaders |
48% |
+10 |
29% |
31% |
40% |
39% |
36% |
43% |
38% |
|
|
Clear about what they stand for |
46% |
– |
44% |
46% |
45% |
50% |
46% |
|||
|
Understands the problems facing Australia |
46% |
+2 |
44% |
43% |
51% |
52% |
48% |
47% |
44% |
|
|
Have good policies |
43% |
+4 |
38% |
44% |
39% |
|||||
|
Extreme |
39% |
-1 |
36% |
38% |
36% |
34% |
39% |
37% |
40% |
|
|
Looks after the interests of working people |
32% |
+1 |
38% |
40% |
36% |
37% |
31% |
|||
|
Trustworthy |
29% |
+1 |
30% |
32% |
28% |
|||||
|
Keeps its promises |
25% |
-1 |
28% |
23% |
33% |
34% |
32% |
35% |
26% |
The Liberal Party’s main attributes were – will promise anything to win votes (68%), too close to the big corporate and financial interest (67%), out of touch with ordinary people (62%) and divided (56%).
Main changes since September last year were – divided (up 16% to 56%), has a good team of leaders (up 10% to 48%), moderate (up 7% to 51%) and have a vision for the future (up 5% to 54%).
|
Liberal |
Labor |
Difference |
||
|
Too close to the big corporate and financial interests |
67% |
37% |
+30 |
|
|
Has a good team of leaders |
48% |
33% |
+15 |
|
|
Have a vision for the future |
54% |
42% |
+12 |
|
|
Out of touch with ordinary people |
62% |
52% |
+10 |
|
|
Clear about what they stand for |
46% |
37% |
+9 |
|
|
Extreme |
39% |
30% |
+9 |
|
|
Will promise to do anything to win votes |
68% |
64% |
+4 |
|
|
Have good policies |
43% |
42% |
+1 |
|
|
Divided |
56% |
58% |
-2 |
|
|
Understands the problems facing Australia |
46% |
48% |
-2 |
|
|
Keeps its promises |
25% |
29% |
-4 |
|
|
Moderate |
51% |
56% |
-5 |
|
|
Trustworthy |
29% |
34% |
-5 |
|
|
Looks after the interests of working people |
32% |
55% |
-23 |
The Liberal Party is viewed more favourably than the Labor Party in terms of having a good team of leaders, having a vision for the future and being clear about what they stand for.
The Labor Party is viewed more favourably in terms of looking after the interest of working people and not being too close to the big corporate and financial interests, extreme and out of touch with ordinary people.
Q. Which are the three most important issues in deciding how you would vote at a Federal election?
|
Total |
Vote Labor |
Vote Lib/Nat |
Vote Greens |
Vote other |
Jan 2010 |
Jun 2011 |
Jul 2012 |
Jul 2013 |
Apr 2014 |
|||
|
Management of the economy |
47% |
37% |
63% |
26% |
36% |
63% |
61% |
64% |
45% |
54% |
||
|
Ensuring the quality of Australia’s health system |
46% |
51% |
42% |
42% |
47% |
48% |
49% |
47% |
42% |
50% |
||
|
Australian jobs and protection of local industries |
39% |
42% |
37% |
21% |
55% |
33% |
32% |
41% |
39% |
37% |
||
|
Ensuring a fair taxation system |
30% |
26% |
29% |
25% |
43% |
14% |
17% |
18% |
20% |
20% |
||
|
Ensuring a quality education for all children |
23% |
28% |
23% |
18% |
16% |
23% |
26% |
26% |
25% |
27% |
||
|
Housing affordability |
21% |
25% |
16% |
18% |
26% |
14% |
16% |
13% |
17% |
17% |
||
|
Security and the war on terrorism |
17% |
12% |
24% |
4% |
18% |
9% |
8% |
5% |
8% |
5% |
||
|
Protecting the environment |
12% |
14% |
9% |
33% |
9% |
16% |
15% |
11% |
12% |
13% |
||
|
Addressing climate change |
10% |
12% |
4% |
41% |
3% |
16% |
15% |
9% |
11% |
10% |
||
|
Political leadership |
9% |
9% |
10% |
8% |
7% |
23% |
17% |
25% |
21% |
15% |
||
|
A fair industrial relations system |
8% |
12% |
7% |
5% |
5% |
na |
8% |
12% |
10% |
12% |
||
|
Treatment of asylum seekers |
8% |
7% |
5% |
36% |
6% |
na |
5% |
10% |
14% |
8% |
||
|
Controlling interest rates |
7% |
8% |
7% |
– |
4% |
15% |
13% |
9% |
13% |
9% |
||
|
Managing population growth |
6% |
5% |
8% |
6% |
10% |
na |
12% |
8% |
9% |
9% |
||
|
Ensuring a quality water supply |
4% |
3% |
4% |
7% |
6% |
12% |
5% |
3% |
3% |
4% |
47% of people surveyed rated management of the economy as one of their three most important issues, followed by 46% ensuring the quality of Australia’s health system, 39% Australian jobs and protection of local industries and 30% ensuring a fair tax system.
Main changes since this question was asked in April last year – security and the war on terrorism (up 12%), ensuring a fair tax system (up 10%), managing the economy (down 7%) and political leadership (down 6%).
Q. When deciding your vote in Federal elections, which of the following are you mostly influenced by?
|
Total |
Vote Labor |
Vote Lib/Nat |
Vote Greens |
Vote other |
Apr 2013 |
|||
|
The individual candidate |
21% |
27% |
18% |
15% |
29% |
21% |
||
|
The candidate’s political party |
42% |
40% |
50% |
60% |
30% |
47% |
||
|
The leader of the political party |
20% |
20% |
24% |
15% |
15% |
21% |
||
|
Don’t know |
18% |
13% |
7% |
10% |
26% |
11% |
42% of respondents said the political party is the main influence on their vote at Federal elections – 21% say they are mostly influenced by the individual candidate and 20% by the party leader.
Those most influenced by the candidate’s political party has dropped 5% since April 2013.
Liberal/National voters (50%), Greens voters (60%), those aged 55+ (53%) and university educated (48%) were more likely to say they are influenced by the candidate’s political party.
Q. Do you think that at some time in the future, cash will be unnecessary and all transactions will be conducted with eftpos/credit cards?
|
Total |
Men |
Women |
Aged 18-34 |
Aged 35-54 |
Aged 55+ |
||
|
Yes, cash will not be necessary in future |
34% |
35% |
33% |
35% |
37% |
28% |
|
|
No, cash will always be needed for some transactions |
56% |
54% |
58% |
56% |
51% |
63% |
|
|
Don’t know |
10% |
11% |
9% |
9% |
12% |
9% |
56% believe that cash will always be needed while 34% think that cash will not be necessary in the future.
Those most likely to think that cash will not be necessary were Greens voters (45%) and those with incomes over $1,6000 pw (43%).
Q. Do you think the Federal Liberal/National Government is too tough or too soft on asylum seekers or is it taking the right approach?
|
Total |
Vote Labor |
Vote Lib/Nat |
Vote Greens |
Vote other |
Oct 2010 |
Jul 2012 |
Jan 2014 |
Mar 2014 |
Jul 2014 |
Jan 2015 |
Apr 2015 |
|||
|
Too tough |
25% |
35% |
11% |
73% |
22% |
7% |
12% |
22% |
25% |
27% |
26% |
22% |
||
|
Too soft |
29% |
28% |
32% |
13% |
42% |
63% |
60% |
25% |
28% |
18% |
23% |
27% |
||
|
Taking the right approach |
31% |
23% |
48% |
8% |
19% |
18% |
11% |
35% |
34% |
36% |
35% |
34% |
||
|
Don’t know |
15% |
14% |
10% |
7% |
16% |
12% |
17% |
18% |
13% |
18% |
16% |
17% |
29% think the Government is too soft on asylum seekers, 25% think they are too tough and 31% think they are taking the right approach. Since this question was last asked in April, those thinking the Government are too tough has increased a little from 22% to 25%.
Those most likely to think they are taking the right approach were Liberal/National voters (48%) and aged 65+ (45%).