Essential Report

Federal politics – voting intention

Feb 2, 2016

Q. If a Federal Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward?
Q. If don’t know -Well which party are you currently leaning to?

Sample size = 1,811 respondents

First preference/leaning to

Election 7 Sep 13

7 weeks ago 15/12/15

Last week 25/1/16

This week 2/2/16

Liberal

42%

40%

40%

National

3%

4%

4%

Total Liberal/National

45.6%

45%

44%

44%

Labor

33.4%

35%

35%

35%

Greens

8.6%

10%

10%

11%

Palmer United Party

5.5%

1%

1%

1%

Other/Independent

6.9%

9%

9%

9%

2 Party Preferred

Election 7 Sep 13

7 weeks ago 15/12/15

Last week 25/1/16

This week 2/2/16

Liberal National

53.5%

52%

52%

51%

Labor

46.5%

48%

48%

49%

NB. The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived from the first preference/leaning to voting questions. Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results. The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2013 election.

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