Q. If a Federal Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward? If don’t know – Well which party are you currently leaning to?
| Total | Last week 31/10/17 | 2 weeks ago 24/10/17 | 4 weeks ago 10/10/17 | Election 2 Jul 16 | |||
| Liberal | 34% | 33% | 34% | 33% | |||
| National | 3% | 3% | 3% | 3% | |||
| Total Liberal/National | 37% | 36% | 37% | 36% | 42.0% | ||
| Labor | 37% | 37% | 36% | 38% | 34.7% | ||
| Greens | 10% | 10% | 9% | 10% | 10.2% | ||
| Nick Xenophon Team | 2% | 3% | 3% | 2% | |||
| Pauline Hanson’s One Nation | 8% | 7% | 8% | 7% | |||
| Other/Independent | 6% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 13.1% | ||
| 2 party preferred | |||||||
| Liberal National | 47% | 46% | 48% | 46% | 50.4% | ||
| Labor | 53% | 54% | 52% | 54% | 49.6% |
Sample = 1,792. The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived from the first preference/leaning to voting questions. Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results. The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2016 election.
Q. Here is a list of things both favourable and unfavourable that have been said about various political parties. Which statements do you feel fit the Liberal Party?
| Total | Change | Jul 2009 | April 2011 | Aug 2013 | Nov 2015 | Jun 2016 | ||
| Divided | 68% | +17 | 74% | 49% | 31% | 56% | 52% | |
| Will promise to do anything to win votes | 67% | +2 | 67% | 65% | 65% | 68% | 65% | |
| Out of touch with ordinary people | 66% | +3 | 62% | 54% | 58% | 62% | 63% | |
| Too close to the big corporate and financial interests | 65% | -1 | 60% | 60% | 67% | 66% | ||
| Moderate | 53% | +6 | 50% | 55% | 48% | 51% | 47% | |
| Have a vision for the future | 48% | -3 | 48% | 51% | 54% | 51% | ||
| Have good policies | 45% | +4 | 38% | 43% | 41% | |||
| Understands the problems facing Australia | 41% | -3 | 44% | 51% | 48% | 46% | 44% | |
| Clear about what they stand for | 40% | -6 | 44% | 45% | 46% | 46% | ||
| Has a good team of leaders | 37% | -5 | 29% | 40% | 36% | 48% | 42% | |
| Extreme | 37% | -1 | 36% | 36% | 39% | 39% | 38% | |
| Looks after the interests of working people | 36% | +5 | 38% | 36% | 32% | 31% | ||
| Trustworthy | 34% | +4 | 30% | 29% | 30% | |||
| Keeps its promises | 32% | +2 | 28% | 33% | 32% | 25% | 30% |
The Liberal Party’s main attributes were – divided (68%), will promise anything to win votes (67%), out of touch with ordinary people (66%) and too close to the big corporate and financial interest (65%).
Main changes since June last year, were – divided (up 17%), moderate (up 6%) and clear about what they stand for (down 6%).
Q. And which statements do you feel fit the Labor Party?
| Total | Change | Jul 2009 | April 2011 | Aug 2013 | Nov 2015 | Jun 2016 | ||
| Will promise to do anything to win votes | 69% | +5 | 57% | 72% | 65% | 64% | 64% | |
| Looks after the interests of working people | 58% | +2 | 39% | 53% | 55% | 56% | ||
| Moderate | 52% | -2 | 65% | 51% | 48% | 56% | 54% | |
| Out of touch with ordinary people | 52% | +6 | 44% | 61% | 51% | 52% | 46% | |
| Divided | 51% | +2 | 30% | 66% | 66% | 58% | 49% | |
| Have a vision for the future | 49% | +1 | 43% | 49% | 42% | 48% | ||
| Understands the problems facing Australia | 48% | -1 | 62% | 40% | 50% | 48% | 49% | |
| Clear about what they stand for | 45% | +2 | 28% | 38% | 37% | 43% | ||
| Have good policies | 44% | -2 | 46% | 42% | 46% | |||
| Too close to the big corporate and financial interests | 42% | +7 | 46% | 31% | 37% | 35% | ||
| Extreme | 41% | +11 | 25% | 38% | 34% | 30% | 30% | |
| Has a good team of leaders | 39% | – | 60% | 34% | 36% | 33% | 39% | |
| Trustworthy | 32% | -1 | 30% | 34% | 33% | |||
| Keeps its promises | 31% | – | 44% | 20% | 27% | 29% | 31% |
The Labor Party’s main attributes were – will promise anything to win votes (69%), looks after the interests of working people (58%), moderate (52%) and out of touch with ordinary people (52%).
Since this question was asked in June last year, the main changes have been for extreme (up 11%), too close to the big corporate and financial interests (up 7%) and out of touch with ordinary people (up 6%).
| Liberal | Labor | Difference | ||
| Too close to the big corporate and financial interests | 65% | 42% | +23 | |
| Divided | 68% | 51% | +17 | |
| Out of touch with ordinary people | 66% | 52% | +14 | |
| Trustworthy | 34% | 32% | +2 | |
| Moderate | 53% | 52% | +1 | |
| Keeps its promises | 32% | 31% | +1 | |
| Have good policies | 45% | 44% | +1 | |
| Have a vision for the future | 48% | 49% | -1 | |
| Has a good team of leaders | 37% | 39% | -2 | |
| Will promise to do anything to win votes | 67% | 69% | -2 | |
| Extreme | 37% | 41% | -4 | |
| Clear about what they stand for | 40% | 45% | -5 | |
| Understands the problems facing Australia | 41% | 48% | -7 | |
| Looks after the interests of working people | 36% | 58% | -22 |
The Labor Party is viewed more favourably in terms of looking after the interest of working people (-22) and not being too close to the big corporate and financial interests (+23), divided (+17) or out of touch with ordinary people (+14).
Q. A few months ago the “Uluru Statement” was released, calling for a number of policy measures relating to Indigenous Australians.
Do you support or oppose the following measures?
| Total Support | Total Oppose | Strongly Support | Support | Neither Support nor Oppose | Oppose | Strongly Oppose | Don’t Know | Jun 2017 | |||
| Enshrining an Indigenous voice to parliament in the constitution | 45% | 16% | 20% | 25% | 28% | 7% | 9% | 11% | 44% | ||
| Negotiating a treaty between the federal government and Aboriginal and Torres Strait Islander peoples. | 47% | 16% | 19% | 28% | 28% | 8% | 8% | 9% | 43% | ||
| Creating a treaty commission to negotiate treaties between various levels of government and different Indigenous language groups or tribes | 41% | 19% | 16% | 25% | 29% | 10% | 9% | 10% | 39% | ||
| Creating a truth and reconciliation commission | 43% | 18% | 18% | 25% | 29% | 10% | 8% | 11% | 39% |
Each measure had greater support than opposition, with the most popular being negotiating a treaty (47% support).
45% support enshrining an Indigenous voice to parliament in the constitution. Support was greatest for this measure among Greens voters (67% support), ALP voters (61%) and aged 18-34 (56%). 37% of Liberal/National voters support and 24% oppose.
There has been no significant change since this question was last asked in June.
Q. Have you voted in the national postal vote on same-sex marriage?
| Total | Vote Labor | Vote Lib/Nat | Vote Greens | Vote other | 19 Sep | 26 Sep | 3 Oct | 24 Oct | |||
| Yes, I have voted | 86% | 89% | 91% | 91% | 91% | 9% | 36% | 47% | 75% | ||
| No, I have not voted | 14% | 11% | 9% | 9% | 9% |
| Total | Men | Women | Aged 18-34 | Aged 35-54 | Aged 55+ | ||
| Yes, I have voted | 86% | 86% | 86% | 80% | 84% | 94% | |
| No, I have not voted | 14% | 14% | 14% | 20% | 16% | 6% |
86% say they have voted in the same sex marriage survey – up 11% in the past 2 weeks.
94% of those aged 55+ say they have voted compared to 80% of those aged under 35.
Q. Did you answer yes or no to the question “Should the law be changed to allow same-sex couples to marry? (Based on those who have voted)
| Total | Vote Labor | Vote Lib/Nat | Vote Greens | Vote other | 3 Oct | 24 Oct | |||
| Yes | 64% | 79% | 54% | 92% | 44% | 64% | 60% | ||
| No | 31% | 16% | 43% | 4% | 51% | 30% | 34% | ||
| Don’t know/Prefer not to say | 5% | 5% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 5% |
| Total | Men | Women | Aged 18-34 | Aged 35-54 | Aged 55+ | ||
| Yes | 64% | 58% | 69% | 77% | 64% | 50% | |
| No | 31% | 27% | 25% | 17% | 30% | 46% | |
| Don’t know/Prefer not to say | 5% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 4% |
Of those who have voted, 64% say they voted yes (up 4% from 2 weeks ago) and 31% no (down 3%). 5% did not give an answer.
Those most likely to have voted yes are Greens voters (92%), Labor voters (79%), aged 18-34 (77%) and women (69%).
Q. Have you had a family member affected by any of the following?
| Total | Men | Women | Aged 18-34 | Aged 35-54 | Aged 55+ | ||
| Dementia | 24% | 21% | 27% | 26% | 21% | 27% | |
| Heart disease | 23% | 18% | 27% | 16% | 22% | 33% | |
| Cancer | 36% | 30% | 42% | 33% | 33% | 44% | |
| Diabetes | 29% | 25% | 33% | 26% | 28% | 35% | |
| Stroke | 18% | 14% | 22% | 16% | 17% | 21% | |
| None of them | 35% | 38% | 32% | 40% | 40% | 23% |
65% say they have had a family member affected by at least one of the five major health issues listed. The most common was cancer (36%) and the least common was stroke (18%). 44% of those aged 55+ say they have had a family member affected by cancer.