Q. If the Parliament passes legislation to allow same-sex marriage, do you think that the legislation needs to include more protections for religious freedoms or do you think current laws already provide enough protections for religious freedoms?
Total | Vote Labor | Vote Lib/Nat | Vote Greens | Vote other | ||
Needs to include more protection for religious freedoms | 37% | 31% | 48% | 17% | 42% | |
Current laws provide enough protections for religious freedoms | 42% | 50% | 39% | 57% | 44% | |
Don’t know | 21% | 19% | 13% | 25% | 14% |
37% think that same-sex marriage legislation needs to include more protections for religious freedoms and 42% think current laws provide enough protection.
Those most likely to think that same-sex marriage legislation should include more protections were Liberal/National voters (48%) and aged 65+ (55%).
Those most likely to think that current laws provide enough protection were Labor voters (50%), Greens voters (57%) and university educated (50%).
Q. Would you support or oppose the same-sex marriage legislation including each of the following –
Total support | Total oppose | Strongly support | Support | Oppose | Strongly oppose | Don’t know | ||
Allow ministers of religion and celebrants to refuse to officiate same-sex weddings if they believe in the traditional definition of marriage | 63% | 27% | 32% | 31% | 13% | 14% | 10% | |
Allow service providers to refuse to supply services to same-sex weddings (e.g. venue hire, wedding cakes) | 43% | 48% | 23% | 20% | 22% | 26% | 9% | |
Allow people who believe they have been victimised on the basis of their marriage beliefs be able to seek court orders, injunctions and damages for loss suffered | 41% | 41% | 17% | 24% | 20% | 21% | 19% | |
Allow parents to have their children removed from classes which don’t reflect their views on marriage | 42% | 44% | 22% | 20% | 22% | 22% | 15% |
A solid majority (63%) support allowing ministers of religion and celebrants to refuse to officiate same-sex weddings.
However, they were fairly evenly split on the other three issues.
Men were somewhat more likely to support these measures than women. On allowing service providers to refuse to supply services, men were 49% support/42% oppose while women were 37% support/53% oppose.
Total support | Total | Vote Labor | Vote Lib/Nat | Vote Greens | Vote other | |
Allow ministers of religion and celebrants to refuse to officiate same-sex weddings if they believe in the traditional definition of marriage | 63% | 56% | 74% | 53% | 75% | |
Allow service providers to refuse to supply services to same-sex weddings (e.g. venue hire, wedding cakes) | 43% | 36% | 54% | 21% | 50% | |
Allow people who believe they have been victimised on the basis of their marriage beliefs be able to seek court orders, injunctions and damages for loss suffered | 41% | 46% | 40% | 53% | 33% | |
Allow parents to have their children removed from classes which don’t reflect their views on marriage | 42% | 33% | 52% | 24% | 55% |
Q. Do you think the Coalition Government should run its full term until 2019 when the next Federal election is due or do you think they should call an early election?
Total | Vote Labor | Vote Lib/Nat | Vote Greens | Vote other | ||
Should run full term | 47% | 34% | 75% | 26% | 45% | |
Should call an early election | 32% | 45% | 15% | 55% | 38% | |
Don’t know | 22% | 21% | 10% | 19% | 16% |
37% think the Government should call an early election and 47% think the Government should run its full term.
Those most likely to support an early election were Labor voters (45%) and Greens voters (55%).
Q. Which party do you expect will win the next Federal election?
Total | Vote Labor | Vote Lib/Nat | Vote Greens | Vote other | ||
Liberal National Coalition | 20% | 5% | 53% | 7% | 11% | |
Labor Party | 36% | 75% | 14% | 40% | 19% | |
Neither – there will be a hung Parliament | 18% | 7% | 15% | 21% | 45% | |
Don’t know | 26% | 13% | 18% | 32% | 26% |
36% expect the Labor Party will win the next election, 20% think the LNP coalition will win and 18% think there will be a hung Parliament.
75% of Labor voters think Labor will win, compared to 53% of Liberal/National voters who think the Coalition will win.
Q. Thinking about our current political and economic system – that is, the structures that set the rules for the way Australian society operates – which of the following best describes your view?
Total | Vote Labor | Vote Lib/Nat | Vote Greens | Vote other | Jan 2017 | |||
The system needs to be fundamentally changed | 32% | 33% | 26% | 40% | 42% | 40% | ||
The system is fundamentally sound but needs to be refined | 44% | 47% | 53% | 41% | 39% | 44% | ||
The system works well as it is and should not be changed in any substantial way | 10% | 7% | 15% | 6% | 10% | 6% | ||
Don’t know | 14% | 13% | 7% | 13% | 8% | 11% |
44% think Australia’s political and economic system is fundamentally sound but needs to be refined and 32% think the system needs to be fundamentally changed. Only 10% think it should not be changed in any way.
Those thinking it needs fundamental change has dropped 8 points from 40% since January.
Those most likely to think it needs fundamental change were “other” voters (42%).
Those most likely to think the system just needs to be refined were LNP voters (53%) and aged 65+ (57%).
Q. How much trust do you have in the Federal Government to do what is right for Australia?
Total | Vote Labor | Vote Lib/Nat | Vote Greens | Vote other | ||
A lot of trust | 8% | 6% | 17% | 2% | 2% | |
Some trust | 34% | 34% | 49% | 20% | 22% | |
Not much trust | 32% | 37% | 25% | 45% | 34% | |
No trust at all | 21% | 18% | 8% | 28% | 42% | |
Don’t know | 5% | 5% | 1% | 5% | – |
42% have a lot or some trust in the Government to do what is right for Australia and 53% have not much or no trust.
Those least likely to trust the Government were Greens voters (73% not much/no trust) and other voters (76%).
Those most likely to trust the Government were LNP voters (66% trust) and university educated (58%).
Q. Are you satisfied or dissatisfied with the way democracy is working in Australia?
Total | Vote Labor | Vote Lib/Nat | Vote Greens | Vote other | ||
Total satisfied | 35% | 34% | 53% | 18% | 22% | |
Total dissatisfied | 32% | 32% | 19% | 43% | 54% | |
Very satisfied | 6% | 5% | 11% | 1% | <1% | |
Satisfied | 29% | 29% | 42% | 17% | 22% | |
Neither satisfied nor dissatisfied | 28% | 31% | 28% | 32% | 23% | |
Dissatisfied | 21% | 24% | 15% | 29% | 27% | |
Very dissatisfied | 11% | 8% | 4% | 14% | 27% | |
Don’t know | 5% | 4% | 1% | 7% | 1% |
35% are satisfied with the way democracy is working in Australia and 32% are dissatisfied.
Those most likely to be satisfied were LNP voters (53%), men (40%) and university educated (51%).
Those most likely to be dissatisfied were Greens voters (43%) and other voters (54%).
If a Federal Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward? If don’t know – Well which party are you currently leaning to?
Total | Last week 7/11/17 | 2 weeks ago 31/10/17 | 4 weeks ago 17/10/17 | Election 2 Jul 16 | |||
Liberal | 33% | 34% | 33% | 34% | |||
National | 3% | 3% | 3% | 3% | |||
Total Liberal/National | 36% | 37% | 36% | 37% | 42.0% | ||
Labor | 38% | 37% | 37% | 36% | 34.7% | ||
Greens | 9% | 10% | 10% | 9% | 10.2% | ||
Nick Xenophon Team | 3% | 2% | 3% | 3% | |||
Pauline Hanson’s One Nation | 8% | 8% | 7% | 8% | |||
Other/Independent | 7% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 13.1% | ||
2 party preferred | |||||||
Liberal National | 46% | 47% | 46% | 48% | 50.4% | ||
Labor | 54% | 53% | 54% | 52% | 49.6% |
Sample = 1,815. The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived from the first preference/leaning to voting questions. Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results. The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2016 election.