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Essential Report

Likelihood of second wave

Jun 23, 2020

Q. How likely do you think it is, that there will be a second wave of Covid-19 infections will occur as a result of easing restrictions?

	Total	Gender		Age Group
	Total	Male	Female	18-34	35-54	55+
Very likely	20%	18%	21%	18%	24%	17%
Quite likely	43%	41%	45%	40%	40%	50%
Neither likely nor unlikely	24%	26%	23%	28%	24%	21%
Quite unlikely	10%	11%	8%	11%	8%	10%
Very unlikely	3%	4%	2%	4%	4%	2%
TOTAL: Likely	63%	59%	67%	58%	64%	67%
TOTAL: Unlikely	13%	15%	10%	14%	12%	12%
Base (n)	1,079	525	554	332	362	385

	State
	NSW	VIC	QLD	SA	WA
Very likely	21%	24%	20%	14%	14%
Quite likely	41%	45%	43%	45%	43%
Neither likely nor unlikely	27%	21%	24%	23%	24%
Quite unlikely	9%	7%	10%	11%	15%
Very unlikely	3%	2%	3%	6%	4%
TOTAL: Likely	62%	70%	63%	59%	57%
TOTAL: Unlikely	12%	9%	13%	18%	19%
Very likely	352	261	216	88	110

63% of participants think a second wave of Covid-19 infections is probable with women (67%) and 55+ year olds (67%) more likely to say this will happen.
Victorians (70%) are more likely than other state residents to think a second wave is probable (61%), which coincides with the announcement of 19 new cases over the weekend.
There are no significant differences across voting intentions.

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