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Likelihood of second wave

23 Jun 2020

Q. How likely do you think it is, that there will be a second wave of Covid-19 infections will occur as a result of easing restrictions?

  Total Gender Age Group
  Male Female 18-34 35-54 55+
Very likely 20% 18% 21% 18% 24% 17%
Quite likely 43% 41% 45% 40% 40% 50%
Neither likely nor unlikely 24% 26% 23% 28% 24% 21%
Quite unlikely 10% 11% 8% 11% 8% 10%
Very unlikely 3% 4% 2% 4% 4% 2%
TOTAL: Likely 63% 59% 67% 58% 64% 67%
TOTAL: Unlikely 13% 15% 10% 14% 12% 12%
Base (n) 1,079 525 554 332 362 385

 

  State
  NSW VIC QLD SA WA
Very likely 21% 24% 20% 14% 14%
Quite likely 41% 45% 43% 45% 43%
Neither likely nor unlikely 27% 21% 24% 23% 24%
Quite unlikely 9% 7% 10% 11% 15%
Very unlikely 3% 2% 3% 6% 4%
TOTAL: Likely 62% 70% 63% 59% 57%
TOTAL: Unlikely 12% 9% 13% 18% 19%
Very likely 352 261 216 88 110
  • 63% of participants think a second wave of Covid-19 infections is probable with women (67%) and 55+ year olds (67%) more likely to say this will happen.
  • Victorians (70%) are more likely than other state residents to think a second wave is probable (61%), which coincides with the announcement of 19 new cases over the weekend.
  • There are no significant differences across voting intentions.
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