Q. If you had a vote in the US Presidential election, would you vote for Hillary Clinton or Donald Trump?
| Total | Vote Labor | Vote Lib/Nat | Vote Greens | Vote other | Jun 2016 | |||
| Hillary Clinton | 59% | 72% | 54% | 74% | 43% | 71% | ||
| Donald Trump | 19% | 14% | 27% | 9% | 29% | 15% | ||
| Don’t know | 22% | 14% | 19% | 17% | 27% | 14% |
If they had a vote, 59% would vote for Hillary Clinton for US President and 19% would vote for Donald Trump. This represents a shift away from Hillary Clinton since this question was asked in June.
Men favoured Hillary Clinton 51% to 28% and women by 68% to 10%.
All voter groups would strongly vote for Hillary Clinton.
A question asked in October 2012 about which candidate was most preferred resulted in Barack Obama 63%, Mitt Romney 9%, no difference 17% and don’t know 11%.
Q. Regardless of who you would vote for, do you think a Hillary Clinton or Donald Trump presidency would be better for each of the following?
| Hillary Clinton | Donald Trump | Makes no difference | Not sure | |
| Australia’s relationship with the US | 54% | 10% | 23% | 13% |
| Global security | 49% | 15% | 22% | 15% |
| The global economy | 48% | 14% | 24% | 14% |
| Addressing climate change | 44% | 9% | 32% | 15% |
| The Australian economy | 40% | 11% | 32% | 17% |
| Australian regional security | 39% | 12% | 33% | 16% |
| Preventing terrorist attacks in Australia | 33% | 15% | 38% | 14% |
There was strong agreement that Hillary Clinton would be better than Donald Trump for Australia’s relationship with the US (54% Clinton, 10% Trump), global security (49%/15%) and the global economy (48%/14%).
They were most likely to think it would make no difference to preventing terrorist attacks in Australia. However, on each issue, Hillary Clinton was thought to be substantially better than Donald Trump.
Q. How do you think Australia compares to the United States on the following:
| Total better in Australia | Total better in USA | A lot better in Australia | A little better in Australia | About the same | A little better in the USA | A lot better in the USA | Don’t know | ||
| Access to healthcare | 78% | 5% | 59% | 19% | 10% | 3% | 2% | 9% | |
| Public safety | 76% | 3% | 48% | 28% | 13% | 2% | 1% | 8% | |
| Standard of living for ordinary working people | 66% | 7% | 33% | 33% | 16% | 4% | 3% | 10% | |
| Wages | 66% | 7% | 38% | 28% | 14% | 5% | 2% | 13% | |
| Work rights | 63% | 5% | 35% | 28% | 19% | 3% | 2% | 13% | |
| Rights of individuals | 56% | 9% | 27% | 29% | 25% | 7% | 2% | 10% | |
| Access to jobs | 52% | 10% | 22% | 30% | 25% | 7% | 3% | 14% | |
| Education standards | 52% | 12% | 28% | 24% | 24% | 8% | 4% | 12% | |
| Opportunities to succeed in business | 38% | 19% | 17% | 21% | 29% | 13% | 6% | 14% | |
| International influence | 24% | 46% | 13% | 11% | 17% | 21% | 25% | 13% |
More than half believe things are better in Australia than the US for all items except opportunities to succeed in business (38% Australia/19% USA) and international influence (24% Australia/46% USA).
In particular, respondents believed that access to healthcare (78%), public safety (76%), standard of living (66%) and wages (66%) were better in Australia.
There were no substantial differences across voter and demographic groups.
Q. Do you think the influence of the United States in the world is becoming stronger or weaker?
| Total | Vote Labor | Vote Lib/Nat | Vote Greens | Vote other | ||
| Total stronger | 19% | 23% | 18% | 25% | 12% | |
| Total weaker | 52% | 51% | 58% | 53% | 54% | |
| Much stronger | 5% | 6% | 4% | 4% | 5% | |
| A little stronger | 14% | 17% | 14% | 21% | 7% | |
| A little weaker | 41% | 40% | 48% | 39% | 39% | |
| Much weaker | 11% | 11% | 10% | 14% | 15% | |
| No change | 16% | 16% | 16% | 12% | 23% | |
| Don’t know | 13% | 9% | 78% | 9% | 12% |
19% think the influence of the United States in the world is becoming stronger and 52% think it is becoming weaker.
Those most likely to think the US influence is becoming stronger were Greens voters (25%) and aged 18-34 (29%)
Q. If a Federal Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward? If don’t know – Well which party are you currently leaning to?
| Total | Last week
25/10/16 |
2 weeks ago
18/10/16 |
4 weeks ago
04/10/16 |
Election 2 Jul 16 | |||
| Liberal | 36% | 36% | 34% | 36% | |||
| National | 2% | 3% | 3% | 3% | |||
| Total Liberal/National | 38% | 38% | 37% | 40% | 42.0% | ||
| Labor | 37% | 37% | 37% | 36% | 34.7% | ||
| Greens | 10% | 10% | 11% | 8% | 10.2% | ||
| Nick Xenophon Team | 2% | 3% | 3% | 3% | |||
| Pauline Hanson’s One Nation | 6% | 6% | 5% | 6% | |||
| Other/Independent | 7% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 13.1% | ||
| 2 party preferred | |||||||
| Liberal National | 48% | 48% | 47% | 49% | 50.4% | ||
| Labor | 52% | 52% | 53% | 51% | 49.6% |
NB. Sample = 1786 The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived from the first preference/leaning to voting questions. Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results. The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2016 election.
Q. Working women currently receive taxpayer-funded paid parental leave (PPL) of $641 a week (the minimum wage) for up to 18 weeks. The Government has proposed women who can access employer-sponsored PPL schemes will lose all or part of their taxpayer-funded PPL. Do you approve or disapprove of this proposal?
| Total | Vote Labor | Vote Lib/Nat | Vote Greens | Vote other | Males | Fem-ales | Aged 18-34 | Aged 35-55 | Aged 55+ | May 2015 | ||||
| TOTAL Approve | 55% | 52% | 66% | 33% | 63% | 57% | 52% | 40% | 56% | 73% | 56% | |||
| TOTAL Disapprove | 32% | 38% | 24% | 57% | 25% | 30% | 35% | 45% | 29% | 22% | 27% | |||
| Strongly approve | 19% | 19% | 22% | 8% | 28% | 20% | 19% | 9% | 21% | 31% | 25% | |||
| Approve | 35% | 33% | 44% | 25% | 35% | 37% | 33% | 31% | 35% | 42% | 31% | |||
| Disapprove | 19% | 22% | 15% | 23% | 14% | 19% | 18% | 24% | 18% | 13% | 14% | |||
| Strongly disapprove | 14% | 16% | 9% | 34% | 11% | 11% | 17% | 21% | 11% | 9% | 13% | |||
| Don’t know | 13% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 12% | 13% | 13% | 16% | 14% | 7% | 18% |
Just over half (55%) of Australians approve of the planned changes to paid parental leave. This result has not changed since May 2015.
Lib/Nat voters (66%) were even more likely to approve of the change. Greens voters were far less likely (33%). Males (57%) were only slightly more likely than females (52%) to approve. Older Australians were far more likely than younger Australians to approve of this change; 73% of those aged 55+ compared to 56% of those aged 35-54 and just 40% of those aged 18-34 approve.
Note: May 2015 wording of question was ‘Working women currently receive taxpayer-funded paid parental leave (PPL) of $641 a week (the minimum wage) for up to 18 weeks. In the Federal Budget, the Government has proposed women who can access employer-sponsored PPL schemes will lose all or part of their taxpayerfunded PPL. Do you approve or disapprove of this proposal?’
Q. Do you approve or disapprove of Malcolm Turnbull replacing Tony Abbott as leader of the Liberal Party?
| Total | Vote Labor | Vote Lib/Nat | Vote Greens | Vote other | Sept
2015 |
|||
| TOTAL Approve | 49% | 54% | 58% | 55% | 29% | 58% | ||
| TOTAL Disapprove | 29% | 29% | 28% | 17% | 45% | 24% | ||
| Strongly approve | 14% | 16% | 18% | 18% | 5% | 25% | ||
| Approve | 35% | 39% | 41% | 37% | 24% | 33% | ||
| Disapprove | 19% | 18% | 20% | 14% | 27% | 14% | ||
| Strongly disapprove | 10% | 11% | 7% | 4% | 19% | 10% | ||
| Don’t know | 22% | 17% | 14% | 28% | 26% | 18% |
Just under half (49%) approve of Malcom Turnbull replacing Tony Abbott as leader of the Liberal Party. This is a drop of -9% since September 2015, where 58% approved.
There is surprisingly little difference between the main voter groups; 54% of Labor, 58% of Lib/Nat and 55% of Greens voters approve. However, just 29% of ‘other’ voters approve of Malcom Turnbull replacing Tony Abbott.
There were no significant differences based on age or gender.
Q. How much respect do you receive from the following people and organisations?
| A lot of respect | Some respect | Not much respect | No respect | Don’t know | |
| Your colleagues | 37% | 51% | 6% | 2% | 3% |
| Your employer | 33% | 49% | 8% | 7% | 3% |
| The federal government | 5% | 28% | 33% | 23% | 10% |
| Your immediate family | 55% | 35% | 5% | 3% | 2% |
| Your children | 56% | 34% | 6% | 2% | 3% |
| Your parents | 58% | 29% | 7% | 3% | 3% |
| Members of the opposite sex (all respondents) | 30% | 55% | 8% | 2% | 5% |
| People older than you | 31% | 56% | 7% | 2% | 4% |
| People younger than you | 17% | 54% | 18% | 6% | 4% |
| Shop sales people | 13% | 60% | 19% | 4% | 4% |
| Your bank | 17% | 48% | 21% | 7% | 7% |
The people from whom Australians were most likely to feel ‘a lot of respect’ were their parents (58%), their children (56%) and their immediate family (55%).
23% say they receive ‘no respect’ from the federal government.
Note: in the original question respondents were offered a ‘NA’ option. The results above have been recalculated to exclude those who selected ‘NA’ for each option