The Essential Report Archive Read the latest report

  • Mar, 2017

    Reduction in Sunday penalty rates

    Q. Do you approve or disapprove of the Fair Work Commission’s recent decision to reduce current Sunday penalty rates paid in retail, fast food, hospitality and pharmacy industries?

      Total   Vote Labor Vote Lib/Nat Vote Greens Vote other   Work full time Work part time
    Total approve 32%   19% 55% 14% 29%   39% 27%
    Total disapprove 56%   74% 36% 73% 61%   52% 58%
    Strongly approve 9%   5% 17% 2% 10%   10% 6%
    Approve 23%   14% 38% 12% 19%   29% 21%
    Disapprove 22%   21% 23% 25% 21%   20% 23%
    Strongly disapprove 34%   53% 13% 48% 40%   32% 35%
    Don’t know 12%   7% 10% 14% 10%   9% 15%

    32% approve of the Fair Work Commission’s recent decision to reduce current Sunday penalty rates and 56% disapprove.

    Those most likely to approve were Liberal National voters (55%), men (40%) and aged 65+ (49%).

    Those most likely to disapprove were Labor voters (74%), Greens voters (73%), women (63%) and aged 18-24 (64%).

  • Mar, 2017

    Result of cutting penalty rates

    Q. What do you think will be the more likely result of cutting penalty rates for hospitality and retail workers?

      Total   Vote Labor Vote Lib/Nat Vote Greens Vote other   Work full time Work part time
    Businesses will make bigger profits 57%   73% 41% 66% 61%   60% 55%
    Businesses will employ more workers 24%   12% 42% 12% 23%   24% 22%
    Don’t know 20%   15% 17% 22% 16%   17% 23%

    57% think that the most likely result of cutting penalty rates will be that businesses will make bigger profits. 24% think businesses will employ more workers.

    Those most likely to think businesses will make more profits were Labor voters (73%) and Greens voters (66%).

    Those most likely to think businesses will employ more workers were Liberal National voters (42%) and aged 65+ (41%).

  • Mar, 2017

    Whether Government should legislate

    Q. Which of the following statements represents your view of how the Government should respond to these penalty rate reductions?

      Total   Vote Labor Vote Lib/Nat Vote Greens Vote other   Work full time Work part time
    The Government should accept the decision to cut penalty rates 31%   15% 55% 14% 32%   37% 27%
    The Government should pass legislation to protect current penalty rates 51%   73% 29% 64% 52%   47% 51%
    Don’t know 18%   12% 16% 22% 16%   16% 22%

    51% think that the Government should pass legislation to protect current penalty rates and 31% think the Government should accept the decision to cut penalty rates.

    Those most likely to think the Government should pass legislation to protect current penalty rates were labor voters (73%), Greens voters (64%) and women (55%).

    Those most likely to think the Government should accept the decision to cut penalty rates were Liberal National voters (55%), men (37%), aged 65+ (51%) and full-time workers (37%).

  • Mar, 2017

    Best leader of the Liberal Party

    Q. Which of the following do you think would make the best leader of the Liberal Party?

      Total   Vote
    ALP
    Vote Lib/Nat Vote
    GRN
    Vote other   Jun 2014 Feb 2015 Aug 2015 Sep 2015 Dec 2015 Mar 2016 Jul 2016 Nov 2016
    Malcolm Turnbull 20% 18% 36% 15% 8% 31% 24% 24% 37% 42% 39% 30% 21%
    Tony Abbott 10% 8% 15% 2% 12% 18% 11% 18% 9% 9% 9% 9% 11%
    Julie Bishop 17% 18% 19% 15% 18% 4% 21% 17% 14% 13% 12% 16% 20%
    Christopher Pyne 2% 2% 2% 2% 2% <1% <1% 1% 1% 2% 1% 3% 2%
    Scott Morrison 2% 1% 3% 3% 1% 2% 3% 4% 2% 2% 3% 3%
    Peter Dutton 2% 1% 2% 1% 4%
    Someone else 18% 25% 6% 32% 25% 19% 13% 13% 10% 9% 15% 19% 18%
    Don’t know 28% 27% 17% 34% 29% 21% 24% 22% 21% 22% 21% 21% 25%

    20% (down 1% since November) think Malcolm Turnbull would make the best leader of the Liberal Party, 17% prefer Julie Bishop (down 3%) and 10% prefer Tony Abbott (down 1%). 18% (no change) prefer someone else.

    Among Liberal/National voters, 36% (no change) prefer Malcolm Turnbull, 19% (down 1%) Julie Bishop and 15% (down 4%) prefer Tony Abbott.

    Preferences of men were Malcolm Turnbull 22% (-3%), Julie Bishop 16% (-3%) and Tony Abbott 13% (no change).

    Preferences of women were Julie Bishop 19% (-3%), Malcolm Turnbull 19% (+2%) and Tony Abbott 7% (-2%).

  • Mar, 2017

    Best leader of the Labor Party

    Q. Which of the following do you think would make the best leader of the Labor Party?

      Total   Vote Labor Vote Lib/Nat Vote Greens Vote other   Aug 2015 Dec 2015 Mar 2016 Jul 2016 Nov 2016
    Bill Shorten 21%   46% 12% 18% 6%   16% 13% 15% 27% 17%
    Anthony Albanese 11%   10% 12% 7% 16%   12% 14% 14% 11% 12%
    Tanya Plibersek 13%   16% 14% 15% 9%   13% 14% 14% 12% 14%
    Chris Bowen 3%   3% 3% 1% 6%   5% 3% 7% 3% 4%
    Tony Burke 2%   2% 2% 3% 2%   2%
    Someone else 16%   7% 19% 22% 24%   18% 17% 18% 17% 18%
    Don’t know 35%   17% 38% 34% 36%   36% 38% 32% 30% 32%

    21% (up 4% since November) think Bill Shorten would make the best leader of the Labor Party, 13% (down 1%) prefer Tanya Plibersek and 11% (down 1%) Anthony Albanese. 16% prefer someone else and 35% don’t know.

    Among Labor voters, 46% (up 9%) prefer Bill Shorten, 13% (down 3%) Tanya Plibersek and 10% (down 4%) Anthony Albanese.

    Preferences of men were Bill Shorten 24% (+5%), Anthony Albanese 13% (-3%) and Tanya Plibersek 12% (-1%).

    Preferences of women were Bill Shorten 18% (+2%), Tanya Plibersek 13% (-1%) and Anthony Albanese 8% (-1%).

  • Mar, 2017

    Trust in industries

    Q. How much trust do you have in the following industries to act in the public interest? 

      Total a lot/some trust   A lot of trust Some trust Not much trust No trust at all Don’t know   Jan 2013

    A lot/ some trust

    Tourism 70% 18% 52% 16% 5% 9% 68%
    Agriculture 68% 18% 50% 15% 6% 11% 72%
    Manufacturing 55% 8% 47% 27% 9% 10% 56%
    Retail 53% 8% 45% 29% 10% 9% 47%
    Construction and development 46% 8% 38% 31% 14% 9% 48%
    Telecommunications 36% 7% 29% 35% 20% 9% 37%
    Mining 36%   6% 30% 30% 245 11% 32%
    Banking 33%   8% 25% 30% 30% 7% 33%
    Media 29%   3% 26% 31% 31% 8% 30%
    Power companies 24% 3% 21% 35% 32% 8% 18%

    The industries most trusted to act in the public interest were tourism (70% some/a lot of trust), agriculture (68%) and manufacturing (55%).

    The industries least trusted to act in the public interest were power companies (24%), the media (29%), banking (33%) and mining (36%).

    Since this question was asked in 2013, trust in power companies has increased 6 points – although remains the least trusted industry.

    The only industry on which there were major differences was mining where 50% of Liberal/National voters had a lot/some trust compared to only 30% of Labor voters and 18% of Greens voters.

  • Mar, 2017

    Tony Abbott’s policy proposals

    Q. Do you agree or disagree with the following proposals for actions the Federal Government could take?

      Total agree Total disagree   Strongly agree Agree Disagree Strongly disagree Don’t know
    Abolish subsidies for renewables and cut renewable energy targets to reduce household power bills 40% 38% 12% 28% 19% 19% 22%
    Abolish the Human Rights Commission to allow more free speech 33% 44% 12% 21% 25% 19% 23%
    Stop all new government spending to reduce future debt 43% 41% 15% 28% 29% 12% 17%
    Cut immigration to make housing more affordable 57% 28% 27% 30% 18% 10% 15%
    Reform the Senate to reduce the power of small parties. 41% 34% 14% 27% 22% 12% 25%

    Q. Do you agree or disagree with the following proposals for actions which Tony Abbott has said the Federal Government should take

      Total agree Total disagree   Strongly agree Agree Disagree Strongly disagree Don’t know
    Abolish subsidies for renewables and cut renewable energy targets to reduce household power bills 47% 33% 16% 31% 13% 20% 20%
    Abolish the Human Rights Commission to allow more free speech 39% 43% 14% 25% 25% 18% 18%
    Stop all new government spending to reduce future debt 51% 35% 22% 29% 25% 10% 14%
    Cut immigration to make housing more affordable 57% 31% 29% 28% 18% 13% 12%
    Reform the Senate to reduce the power of small parties. 41% 37% 18% 23% 23% 14% 23%


    Note: this question was split so that half the sample were told that Tony Abbott had made these proposals and half were asked about the proposals without any reference to Tony Abbott.

    The question which referenced Tony Abbott showed higher support for cutting the RET, abolishing the Human Rights Commission and stopping all new Government spending but similar support for cutting immigration and reforming the Senate.

    Overall, support for each proposal was higher than opposition except for abolishing the Human Rights Commission.

    Among Liberal National voters, reference to Tony Abbott increased agreement with stopping new spending (from 51% to 62%) but made only small differences to other proposals.

    Among Labor voters, reference to Tony Abbott increased agreement with abolishing the RET (from 36% to 44%) and abolishing the Human Rights Commission (from 24% to 32%).

    A majority of Liberal National voters agreed with each proposal except for abolishing the Human Rights Commission.

    No reference to Tony Abbott Total agree Total disagree   Labor voters agree Labor voters disagree LNP Voters agree LNP voters disagree
    Abolish subsidies for renewables and cut renewable energy targets to reduce household power bills 40% 38% 36% 46% 56% 24%
    Abolish the Human Rights Commission to allow more free speech 33% 44% 24% 56% 42% 39%
    Stop all new government spending to reduce future debt 43% 41% 38% 47% 51% 38%
    Cut immigration to make housing more affordable 57% 28% 53% 34% 69% 19%
    Reform the Senate to reduce the power of small parties. 41% 34% 39% 38% 57% 24%

     

    Reference to Tony Abbott Total agree Total disagree   Labor voters agree Labor voters disagree LNP Voters agree LNP voters disagree
    Abolish subsidies for renewables and cut renewable energy targets to reduce household power bills 47% 33% 44% 36% 57% 28%
    Abolish the Human Rights Commission to allow more free speech 39% 43% 32% 53% 46% 45%
    Stop all new government spending to reduce future debt 51% 35% 42% 47% 62% 27%
    Cut immigration to make housing more affordable 57% 31% 49% 41% 63% 30%
    Reform the Senate to reduce the power of small parties. 41% 37% 34% 40% 59% 26%
  • Feb, 2017

    Federal voting intention

    Q. If a Federal Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward? If don’t know – Well which party are you currently leaning to?

      Total   Last week 21/2/17 2 weeks ago 14/2/17 4 weeks ago 31/1/17   Election 2 Jul 16
    Liberal 34% 33% 34% 32%
    National 3% 3% 3% 3%
    Total Liberal/National 37%   36% 36% 35%   42.0%
    Labor 37%   34% 35% 37%   34.7%
    Greens 9% 10% 9% 9% 10.2%
    Nick Xenophon Team 3% 4% 3% 3%
    Pauline Hanson’s One Nation 9% 10% 10% 10%
    Other/Independent 6% 6% 6% 6% 13.1%
    2 party preferred
    Liberal National 47%   48% 48% 46%   50.4%
    Labor 53%   52% 52% 54%   49.6%
    1. Sample = 1,799. The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived from the first preference/leaning to voting questions. Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results. The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2016 election.
Error: