The Essential Report Archive Read the latest report

  • Mar, 2017

    Approval of Malcolm Turnbull

    Q. Do you approve or disapprove of the job Malcolm Turnbull is doing as Prime Minister?

      Total   Vote Labor Vote Lib/Nat Vote Greens Vote other   Dec 2015 Mar 2016 Jun 2016 Sep 2016 Dec 2016 Jan 2017 Feb 2107
    Total approve 33%   24% 67% 17% 17%   56% 45% 38% 35% 34% 37% 34%
    Total disapprove 50%   66% 21% 70% 66%   23% 35% 40% 43% 46% 48% 49%
    Strongly approve 5%   4% 12% 2% 1%   13% 6% 6% 4% 5% 6% 5%
    Approve 28%   20% 55% 15% 16%   43% 39% 32% 31% 29% 31% 29%
    Disapprove 30%   37% 19% 42% 36%   16% 24% 24% 27% 30% 30% 28%
    Strongly disapprove 20%   29% 2% 28% 30%   7% 11% 16% 16% 16% 18% 21%
    Don’t know 18%   10% 12% 14% 17%   21% 21% 21% 22% 20% 16% 16%

    33% (down 1% from 4 weeks ago) of respondents approve of the job Malcolm Turnbull is doing as Prime Minister and 50% (up 1%) disapprove – a change in net approval rating from -15 to -17. This is Malcolm Turnbull’s worst net rating as Prime Minister.

    67% (down 3%) of Liberal/National voters approve of Malcolm Turnbull’s performance with 21% (up 2%) disapproving. 24% (up 9%) of Labor voters and 17% (down 2%) of Greens voters approve of Malcolm Turnbull’s performance.

    By gender, men were 36% approve/52% disapprove and women 30% approve/47% disapprove.

  • Mar, 2017

    Approval of Bill Shorten

    Q. Do you approve or disapprove of the job Bill Shorten is doing as Opposition Leader?

      Total   Vote Labor Vote Lib/Nat Vote Greens Vote other   Nov 2013 Dec 2014 Dec 2015 Mar 2016 Jun 2016 Sep 2016 Dec 2016 Jan 2017 Feb 2017
    Total approve 30%   60% 17% 29% 13%   31% 35% 27% 27% 34% 36% 35% 37% 30%
    Total disapprove 49%   23% 71% 45% 68%   27% 39% 47% 47% 40% 41% 38% 44% 47%
    Strongly approve 4% 11% 1% 2% 1% 5% 7% 4% 3% 7% 6% 6% 7% 5%
    Approve 26% 49% 16% 27% 12% 26% 28% 23% 24% 27% 30% 29% 30% 25%
    Disapprove 26% 18% 31% 37% 27% 17% 23% 26% 29% 22% 24% 21% 25% 27%
    Strongly disapprove 23% 5% 40% 8% 41% 10% 16% 21% 18% 18% 17% 17% 19% 20%
    Don’t know 22% 18% 12% 26% 18% 43% 26% 25% 26% 25% 22% 25% 20% 22%

     

    30% (no change in last 4 weeks) of respondents approve of the job Bill Shorten is doing as opposition leader and 49% (up 2%) disapprove – a change in his net rating from -17 to -19. This is Bill Shorten’s worst net rating since March 2016.

    60% (down 3%) of Labor voters approve of the job Bill Shorten is doing and 23% (up 7%) disapprove.

    35% of men and 25% of women approve of Bill Shorten. 50% of men and 46% of women disapprove.

  • Mar, 2017

    Better Prime Minister

    Q. Who do you think would make the better Prime Minister out of Malcolm Turnbull and Bill Shorten?

      Total   Vote Labor Vote Lib/Nat Vote Greens Vote other   Sep 2015 Dec 2015 Mar 2016 Jun 2016 Sep 2016 Dec 2016 Jan 2017 Feb 2017
    Malcolm Turnbull 38%   16% 84% 12% 32%   53% 54% 48% 40% 41% 39% 39% 39%
    Bill Shorten 26%   54% 6% 41% 15%   17% 15% 19% 29% 26% 28% 28% 25%
    Don’t know 36%   30% 10% 47% 53%   30% 31% 33% 32% 33% 33% 33% 36%

    38% (down 1% in last 4weeks) of respondents think Malcolm Turnbull would make the better Prime Minister and 26% (up 1%) think Bill Shorten would make the better Prime Minister.

    41% of men prefer Malcolm Turnbull and 31% prefer Bill Shorten.

    34% of women prefer Malcolm Turnbull and 22% prefer Bill Shorten.

  • Mar, 2017

    Support for tax reforms

    Q. Would you support or oppose the following tax reforms to pay off debt and raise more funds for Government services and infrastructure?

      Total support Total oppose   Strongly support Support Oppose Strongly oppose Don’t know   Support Jul 2015 Support Apr 2016
    Stop companies and wealthy people using legal loopholes in minimise tax payments by sending funds offshore 85% 6%   62% 23% 3% 3% 8%   na 86%
    Force multinational companies to pay a minimum tax rate on Australian earnings 79% 8%   50% 29% 5% 3% 13%   79% 80%
    Introduce the “Buffett Rule” – which means that very high earners cannot reduce their income tax rate below 30%. 71% 11%   40% 31% 8% 3% 18%   na na
    Increase income tax rate for high earners 64% 21%   31% 33% 14% 7% 15%   63% 65%
    Remove superannuation tax concessions for high earners 58% 27%   29% 29% 15% 12% 16%   59% 62%
    Remove negative gearing 41% 30%   18% 23% 19% 11% 28%   37% 39%
    Remove GST exemptions (e.g. on food, education) 39% 48%   13% 26% 24% 24% 12%   33% 37%
    Replace stamp duty with land tax 27% 31%   8% 19% 18% 13% 42%   26% 33%
    Increase the GST 26% 63%   6% 20% 29% 34% 11%   24% 27%

    There was strong majority support for stopping companies and wealthy people using legal loopholes in minimise tax payments by sending funds offshore (85%), forcing multinational companies to pay a minimum tax rate on Australian earnings (79%), introducing the “Buffett Rule” (71%) and increasing income tax rate for high earners (64%).

    There was strong majority opposition to increasing the GST (63%).

    There has been little change in these figures since this question was previously asked in April last year.

  • Mar, 2017

    Tax cuts for business

    Q. Do you approve or disapprove of the $50 billion in tax cuts for medium and large businesses announced in the Federal budget?

      Total   Vote Labor Vote Lib/Nat Vote Greens Vote other   Jun 2016
    Total approve 24%   19% 41% 12% 20%   28%
    Total disapprove 46%   59% 27% 63% 55%   45%
    Strongly approve 5%   3% 10% 1% 2%   6%
    Approve 19%   16% 31% 11% 18%   22%
    Disapprove 26%   30% 21% 38% 27%   23%
    Strongly disapprove 20%   29% 6% 25% 28%   22%
    Don’t know 30%   22% 32% 25% 25%   27%

     

    24% approve of the tax cuts for medium and large business announced in the Federal budget and 46% disapprove. This represents a 4% drop in approval since this question was previously asked in June last year.

    Those most likely to disapprove were Greens voters (63%), Labor voters (59%) and aged 65+ (61%).

  • Mar, 2017

    Statements about tax cuts for business

    Q. Which of the following statements is closest to your view?

      Total   Vote Labor Vote Lib/Nat Vote Greens Vote other
    Cutting the company tax rate will bring Australia’s tax base into line with other nations and attract the investment we need to create more jobs. 25%   21% 44% 5% 20%
    Cutting the company tax rate will simply deliver business $50 billion more in profits – money that should be invested in schools, hospitals and other vital services. 43%   57% 25% 65% 49%
    Not sure 31%   22% 31% 30% 31%

     

    43% agree more with the statement that cutting the company tax rate will simply deliver businesses more in profits while 25% agree more that cutting the company tax rate will attract investment and deliver jobs.

    Those most likely to think it will simply deliver business profits were Greens voters (65%), Labor voters (57%) and aged 65+ (50%).

  • Mar, 2017

    Trust in media

    Q. How much trust do you have in what you read or hear in the following media?

      Total a lot /some

    trust

      A lot of trust Some trust Not much trust No trust at all Don’t know Don’t use   Total a lot /someNov 14 Total a lot /some

    Jun 15

    Total a lot /some

    Feb 16

    ABC TV news and current affairs 59%   17% 42% 17% 10% 4% 11%   69% 63% 66%
    SBS TV news and current affairs 59%   15% 44% 17% 8% 4% 14%   66% 61% 63%
    ABC radio news and current affairs 56%   15% 41% 17% 9% 3% 15%   62% 58% 62%
    ABC radio talkback programs 45%   9% 36% 22% 12% 5% 18%   48% 46% 49%
    News and opinion in local newspapers 45%   3% 42% 31% 12% 4% 9%   53% 50% 49%
    News and opinion in daily newspapers 42%   4% 38% 31% 14% 5% 9%   50% 45% 49%
    Commercial TV news and current affairs 42%   5% 37% 31% 17% 4% 5%   48% 46% 48%
    Commercial radio news and current affairs 40%   4% 36% 30% 15% 4% 10%   45% 44% 46%
    News and opinion websites 36%   4% 32% 34% 15% 4% 11%   42% 39% 44%
    Commercial radio talkback programs 34%   4% 30% 26% 20% 4% 15%   33% 34% 34%
    Internet blogs 19%   3% 16% 34% 27% 5% 16%   22% 20% 23%

    Overall, trust in media has declined since this question was asked last year – however rankings remain much the same.

    The most trusted media were ABC TV news and current affairs (59% a lot/some trust), SBS TV news and current affairs (59%) and ABC radio news and current affairs (56%).

    The least trusted were internet blogs (19%) and commercial radio talkback programs (34%).

     

    The main changes since February last year have been for news and opinion websites (down 8%), ABC TV news and current affairs (down 7%) and news and opinion in daily newspapers (down 7%).

  • Mar, 2017

    Federal voting intention

    Q. If a Federal Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward? If don’t know – Well which party are you currently leaning to?

      Total   Last week 28/2/17 2 weeks ago 21/2/17 4 weeks ago 7/2/17   Election 2 Jul 16
    Liberal 34% 34% 33% 33%
    National 3% 3% 3% 2%
    Total Liberal/National 37%   37% 36% 36%   42.0%
    Labor 37%   37% 34% 37%   34.7%
    Greens 9% 9% 10% 8% 10.2%
    Nick Xenophon Team 3% 3% 4% 3%
    Pauline Hanson’s One Nation 9% 9% 10% 10%
    Other/Independent 5% 6% 6% 6% 13.1%
    2 party preferred
    Liberal National 47%   47% 48% 47%   50.4%
    Labor 53%   53% 52% 53%   49.6%

    NB. Sample = 1,786. The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived from the first preference/leaning to voting questions. Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results. The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2016 election.

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