Federal politics – voting intention

Oct 21, 2014

Q. If a Federal Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward?

Q. If don’t know -Well which party are you currently leaning to?

Sample size = 1,801 respondents

First preference/leaning to

Election

7 Sep 13

 

4 weeks ago 23/9/14

2 weeks ago

7/10/14

Last week

14/10/14

This week

21/10/14

Liberal

 

36%

38%

38%

37%

National

3%

2%

3%

3%

Total Liberal/National

45.6%

39%

40%

41%

40%

Labor

33.4%

39%

39%

39%

39%

Greens

8.6%

10%

10%

10%

10%

Palmer United Party

5.5%

4%

4%

3%

3%

Other/Independent

6.9%

8%

7%

7%

8%

 

2 Party Preferred

Election

7 Sep 13

 

4 weeks ago 23/9/14

2 weeks ago

7/10/14

Last week

14/10/14

This week

21/10/14

Liberal National

53.5%

47%

48%

48%

47%

Labor

46.5%

53%

52%

52%

53%

NB. The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived from the first preference/leaning to voting questions.  Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results.  The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2013 election.

Economic issues

Oct 21, 2014

Q. Do you think the following have become better or worse compared to 12 months ago?

 

Total better

Total worse

 

A lot better

A little better

No change

A little worse

A lot worse

Don’t know

Company profits

31%

19%

9%

22%

29%

12%

7%

19%

Wages

9%

36%

*

9%

44%

21%

15%

11%

Your personal financial situation

16%

44%

2%

14%

35%

28%

16%

5%

The economy overall

18%

50%

 

1%

17%

27%

33%

17%

6%

National debt

15%

51%

1%

14%

26%

29%

22%

9%

Unemployment

11%

60%

 

*

11%

23%

36%

24%

6%

Job security

6%

61%

1%

5%

26%

32%

29%

7%

Electricity costs

7%

67%

*

7%

19%

33%

34%

6%

Cost of living

6%

72%

*

6%

17%

40%

32%

5%

A substantial majority believe that, in the last 12 months, cost of living (72%), electricity costs (67%), job security (61%) and unemployment (60%) have all got worse.

The only economic measure that has got better is company profits (31% better/19% worse).

Job security

Oct 21, 2014

Q. In the next two years, do you expect your job to be more secure, less secure or about the same?

 

Total

 

Work full time

Work part time

Income less than $1,000 pw

Income $1,000-$1,600 pw

Income $1,600+ pw

Total more secure

14%

16%

7%

18%

11%

15%

Total less secure

31%

33%

30%

31%

32%

31%

Much more secure

5%

5%

2%

9%

2%

5%

Somewhat more secure

9%

11%

5%

9%

9%

10%

About the same

50%

49%

53%

44%

53%

52%

Somewhat less secure

17%

17%

20%

17%

15%

17%

Much less secure

14%

16%

10%

14%

17%

14%

Don’t know

4%

2%

9%

7%

3%

3%

(Based on working people : n = 613)

14% of workers expect their job to be more secure in the next two years and 31% think it will be less secure – 50% think it will be about the same.

Only 7% of part-time workers think their job will become more secure. At least 30% of all work and income groups think their job will be less secure.

Income and cost of living

Oct 21, 2014

Q. In the last two years, do you think your and your household’s income has gone up more than the cost of living, fallen behind or stayed even with the cost of living?

 

Total

 

Work full time

Work part time

Income less than $600 pw

Income $600-$1,000pw

Income $1,000-$1,600 pw

Income $1,600+ pw

Gone up more

13%

19%

11%

13%

12%

8%

18%

Fallen behind

48%

44%

52%

58%

57%

49%

43%

Stayed even

31%

32%

29%

26%

25%

35%

35%

Don’t know

8%

5%

9%

3%

6%

7%

4%

48% believe that, in the last two years, their income has fallen behind the cost of living. 31% think it has stayed even with the cost of living and 13% think it has gone up more.

58% of those earning under $600 pw and 57% of those earning $600-$1,000 pw think their income has fallen behind while 53% of those earning over $1,600 pw think it has stayed the same or gone up.

Financial situation

Oct 21, 2014

Q. Which of the following statements best describes your financial situation?

 

Total

 

Work full time

Work part time

Income less than $600 pw

Income $600-$1,000pw

Income $1,000-$1,600 pw

Income $1,600+ pw

I don’t have enough money for basic essentials like housing food and electricity

7%

5%

6%

27%

7%

3%

2%

I have enough money for basic essentials but I cannot save any money

35%

30%

35%

52%

44%

37%

25%

I have enough money for basic essentials and I can save a little money

47%

52%

49%

20%

41%

51%

56%

I have enough money for basic essentials and I can save a lot of money

8%

10%

6%

1%

4%

6%

15%

Don’t know

4%

3%

4%

-

3%

3%

2%

47% say they have enough money for basic essentials and can save a little money and 35% say they have enough money for basic essentials but cannot save any money. Only 8% say they can save a lot of money.

Only 21% of those earning less than $600 pw say they can save any money – compared to 71% of those earning over $1,600 pw.

Voluntary euthanasia

Oct 21, 2014

Q. When a person has a disease that cannot be cured and is living in severe pain, do you think doctors should or should not be allowed by law to assist the patient to commit suicide if the patient requests it?

 

Total

 

Vote Labor

Vote Lib/Nat

Vote Greens

Vote other

 

Sep 2010

Nov 2013

Should be allowed

66%

70%

64%

71%

63%

69%

68%

Should not be allowed

14%

12%

16%

7%

23%

14%

19%

Don’t know

20%

18%

20%

21%

14%

17%

13%

66% of respondents think that that doctors should be allowed by law to assist a patient commit suicide – which is little changed since this question was asked last year. 14% think it should not be allowed – down 5%.

71% of Green voters, 70% of Labor and 64% of Lib/Nat voters agreed that doctors should be allowed by law to assist a patient to commit suicide.

67% of women and 65% of men supported voluntary euthanasia – as do 74% of those aged 45-64.

Australia’s assistance in fighting Ebola

Oct 21, 2014

Q. The Australian Government has committed $18 million to efforts to fight Ebola in West Africa, but has said the risks are too high to send medical or other personnel at this time. Do you think Australia is doing enough or not doing enough to assist the international efforts to fight Ebola?

 

Total

 

Vote Labor

Vote Lib/Nat

Vote Greens

Vote other

Doing enough

58%

54%

74%

36%

56%

Not doing enough

21%

32%

10%

42%

17%

Don’t know

21%

14%

17%

22%

26%

58% of respondents think Australia is doing enough to assist the international efforts to fight Ebola and 21% think we are not doing enough.

74% of Liberal/National voters and 54% of Labor voters think we are doing enough but 42% of Greens voters think we are not doing enough.

62% of women think we are doing enough compared to 54% of men.

Support for aid to fight Ebola

Oct 21, 2014

Q. Would you support or oppose Australia providing the following types of aid to fight Ebola in West Africa?

 

Total support

Total oppose

 

Strongly support

Support

Oppose

Strongly oppose

Don’t know

Increased funding

53%

31%

12%

41%

20%

11%

16%

Sending workers to build hospitals

48%

37%

9%

39%

23%

14%

15%

Sending medical personnel

44%

41%

 

10%

34%

25%

16%

15%

Sending troops for security and logistics

36%

48%

7%

29%

28%

20%

16%

A majority (53%) would support Australia increasing funding to aid the fight against Ebola in West Africa.

However less than 50% support sending medical personnel (44%), troops (36%) or other workers (48%).

Those most likely to support sending medical personnel were Greens voters (62%) and those with university education (52%).

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