Federal politics – voting intention

Apr 22, 2014

Q. If a Federal Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward?

Q. If don’t know -Well which party are you currently leaning to?

Sample size = 1,842 respondents

First preference/leaning to

Election

7 Sep 13

 

4 weeks ago 25/3/14

2 weeks ago

8/4/14

Last week

15/4/14

This week

22/4/14

Liberal

 

41%

40%

40%

39%

National

3%

3%

3%

2%

Total Lib/Nat

45.6%

44%

42%

42%

41%

Labor

33.4%

37%

38%

37%

37%

Greens

8.6%

9%

9%

10%

11%

Palmer United Party

5.5%

4%

3%

4%

5%

Other/Independent

6.9%

7%

8%

7%

6%

 

2 Party Preferred

Election

7 Sep 13

 

4 weeks ago 25/3/14

2 weeks ago

8/4/14

Last week

15/4/14

This week

22/4/14

Liberal National

53.5%

51%

49%

50%

49%

Labor

46.5%

49%

51%

50%

51%

NB. The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived from the first preference/leaning to voting questions.  Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results.  The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2013 election.

Most important election issues

Apr 22, 2014

Q.  Which are the three most important issues in deciding how you would vote at a Federal election?

 

Total

22 Apr 14

 

Vote ALP

Vote Lib/Nat

Vote Grn

Vote other

 

23 Jul 13

30 Jul 12

6 June 11

25 Jan 10

Management of the economy

54%

43%

75%

22%

44%

45%

64%

61%

63%

Ensuring a quality education for all children

27%

35%

18%

38%

20%

25%

26%

26%

23%

Ensuring the quality of Australia’s health system

50%

54%

43%

62%

52%

42%

47%

49%

48%

Protecting the environment

13%

12%

7%

42%

14%

12%

11%

15%

16%

A fair industrial relations system

12%

17%

11%

8%

12%

10%

12%

8%

na

Political leadership

15%

11%

24%

6%

13%

21%

25%

17%

23%

Addressing climate change

10%

13%

4%

28%

9%

11%

9%

15%

16%

Controlling interest rates

9%

9%

11%

2%

7%

13%

9%

13%

15%

Australian jobs and protection of local industries

37%

39%

37%

18%

37%

39%

41%

32%

33%

Ensuring a quality water supply

4%

5%

3%

3%

5%

3%

3%

5%

12%

Housing affordability

17%

18%

16%

13%

19%

17%

13%

16%

14%

Ensuring a fair taxation system

20%

19%

20%

9%

23%

20%

18%

17%

14%

Security and the war on terrorism

5%

3%

8%

3%

5%

8%

5%

8%

9%

Treatment of asylum seekers

8%

5%

5%

32%

9%

14%

10%

5%

na

Managing population growth

9%

6%

10%

8%

16%

9%

8%

12%

na

54% of people surveyed rated management of the economy as one of their three most important issues, followed by 50% ensuring the quality of Australia’s health system, 37% Australian jobs and protection of local industries and 27% ensuring a quality education for all children.

Main changes since this question was asked last July – management of the economy up 9%, ensuring the quality of Australia’s health system up 8%, political leadership down 6% and treatment of asylum seekers down 6%.

Anzac Day

Apr 22, 2014

Q. Friday 25th April is Anzac Day.  Which of the following best describes what you will do on Anzac Day?

 

Total

 

 

Vote Labor

Vote Lib/Nat

Vote Greens

Vote other

 

Apr 13

Attend an Anzac Day event or march

21%

18%

22%

23%

35%

17%

Not attend an event but watch the march on TV

31%

31%

36%

26%

26%

36%

Nothing special – it’s just a public holiday

27%

29%

26%

24%

20%

35%

Working – don’t get the Anzac Day holiday

7%

7%

5%

11%

6%

7%

Don’t know

14%

16%

11%

15%

13%

5%

21% of respondents said they would attend an Anzac day event and 31% said they would watch the march on TV. 34% said it was just a holiday or were working.

63% of those aged 55+ said they would be attending an event or watching on TV compared to 40% of those aged under 35. 36% of those aged under 35 say it is just a public holiday and 13% said they would be working.

(Last year’s question was asked over the Anzac weekend, so is not strictly comparable – the “don’t knows” are lower as some respondents completed the survey after Anzac Day.)

Cutting funding to ABC

Apr 22, 2014

Q. Would you approve or disapprove of cutting funding to the ABC?

 

Total

 

 

Vote Labor

Vote Lib/Nat

Vote Greens

Vote other

Total approve

21%

12%

37%

8%

15%

Total disapprove

61%

70%

43%

85%

75%

Strongly approve

7%

2%

16%

3%

5%

Approve

14%

10%

21%

5%

10%

Disapprove

29%

29%

30%

12%

38%

Strongly disapprove

32%

41%

13%

73%

37%

Don’t know

18%

19%

20%

7%

10%

61% disapprove (including 32% strongly disapprove) of cutting funding to the ABC and 21% approve.

Those most likely to disapprove were Greens voters (85%), other voters (75%) and Labor voters (70%). Liberal/National voters were split 37% approve and 43% disapprove.

Those aged 55+ were a little more likely to approve  – 26% approve/60% disapprove. 28% of men approved compared to only 14% of women.

Reason for cutting funding to ABC

Apr 22, 2014

Q. If the Federal Government cut funding to the ABC do you think it would be because:

 

Total

 

 

Vote Labor

Vote Lib/Nat

Vote Greens

Vote other

The Government needs to reduce overall spending

45%

36%

64%

25%

39%

The Government doesn’t like the ABC’s news coverage

28%

38%

6%

65%

36%

The ABC has more than enough funding to do its job efficiently

10%

6%

17%

1%

7%

Don’t know

18%

20%

13%

9%

18%

45% think that funding cuts to the ABC would be made because the Government needs to reduce overall spending and 28% think it would be because the Government doesn’t like the ABC’s news coverage.

Those more likely to think it would be because the Government doesn’t like the ABC’s news coverage were Greens voters (65%), Labor voters (38%), income less than $600pw (38%) and university educated (34%).

Raising pension age

Apr 22, 2014

Q. Would you approve or disapprove of raising the pension age to 70?

 

Total

 

 

Vote Labor

Vote Lib/Nat

Vote Greens

Vote other

Total approve

20%

14%

31%

15%

20%

Total disapprove

71%

80%

60%

72%

73%

Strongly approve

4%

5%

6%

2%

4%

Approve

16%

9%

25%

13%

16%

Disapprove

31%

26%

33%

41%

32%

Strongly disapprove

40%

54%

27%

31%

41%

Don’t know

9%

6%

9%

12%

6%

71% disapprove of raising the pension age to 70 and 20% approve.

Although a majority of all demographic and voters groups disapproved, those more likely to approve were Liberal/National voters (31%), men (26%) and aged 65+ (32%).

Those more likely to disapprove were women (77%) and aged 45-64 (81%).

Pension age

Apr 22, 2014

Q. At what age do you think Australians should be able to receive the age pension?

 

Total

 

 

Vote Labor

Vote Lib/Nat

Vote Greens

Vote other

Less than 65

14%

16%

13%

9%

14%

65

58%

60%

54%

61%

59%

66

2%

2%

1%

1%

3%

67

8%

8%

9%

12%

4%

68

3%

1%

3%

3%

3%

69

1%

1%

1%

-

1%

70

10%

7%

15%

6%

10%

Don’t know

5%

4%

3%

9%

5%

72% believe that Australians should be able to receive the age pension at 65 or younger. Only 10% think they should have to wait till 70 to receive the pension.

A majority of all demographic and voter groups think the eligible age should be 65 or less. The most divided group was aged 65+, with 53% nominating 65 or less and 46% nominating an age over 65.

Pension assets test

Apr 22, 2014

Q. Would you approve or disapprove of including the value of the family home in the assets test for eligibility for the age pension?

 

Total

 

 

Vote Labor

Vote Lib/Nat

Vote Greens

Vote other

Total approve

26%

27%

29%

21%

26%

Total disapprove

64%

65%

60%

66%

67%

Strongly approve

7%

8%

6%

6%

12%

Approve

19%

19%

23%

15%

14%

Disapprove

26%

26%

24%

33%

27%

Strongly disapprove

38%

39%

36%

33%

40%

Don’t know

11%

8%

12%

11%

7%

64% disapprove of including the value of the family home in the assets test for eligibility for the age pension and 26% approve.

Although a majority of all demographic and voter groups disapproved, those more likely to approve were aged under 35 (36%) and university educated (30%).

82% of those aged 55-64 disapprove.

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