Federal politics – voting intention

Jan 28, 2015

Q. If a Federal Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward?

Q. If don’t know -Well which party are you currently leaning to?

 Sample size = 1,774 respondents 

First preference/leaning to

Election

7 Sep 13

 

Last week 20/1/14

This week

27/01/15

Liberal

 

36%

36%

National

4%

3%

Total Liberal/National

45.6%

40%

39%

Labor

33.4%

40%

41%

Greens

8.6%

10%

9%

Palmer United Party

5.5%

2%

2%

Other/Independent

6.9%

9%

9%

 

2 Party Preferred

Election

7 Sep 13

 

Last week 20/1/14

This week

27/01/15

Liberal National

53.5%

47%

46%

Labor

46.5%

53%

54%

NB. The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived from the first preference/leaning to voting questions.  Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results.  The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2013 election.

Government’s handling of issues

Jan 28, 2015

Q. How would you rate the Federal Liberal-National Government for the way they have handled the following issues?

 

Total good

Total poor

Net score

 

Very good

Good

Average

Poor

Very poor

Don’t know

 

Net

Feb 2014

Net Sept 2014

Relations with other countries

33%

28%

+5

9%

24%

32%

14%

14%

7%

-3

+15

Supporting Australian businesses

26%

31%

-5

5%

21%

34%

16%

15%

10%

-7

-5

Treatment of asylum seekers

33%

39%

-6

13%

20%

20%

13%

26%

8%

+1

-3

Managing the economy

26%

40%

-14

6%

20%

28%

20%

20%

6%

+3

-6

Industrial relations

21%

36%

-15

4%

17%

32%

16%

20%

11%

-12

-16

Protecting the environment

19%

42%

-23

4%

15%

31%

15%

27%

9%

-10

-18

Supporting Australian jobs

19%

43%

-24

4%

15%

30%

20%

23%

7%

-19

-21

Education and schools

21%

45%

-24

4%

17%

27%

21%

24%

7%

-7

-22

Climate change

19%

46%

-27

5%

14%

25%

14%

32%

9%

-15

-27

Social welfare

19%

47%

-28

4%

15%

26%

22%

25%

8%

-12

-26

Health services

18%

49%

-31

3%

15%

26%

21%

28%

7%

-13

-27

The Government received negative ratings for all issues except relations with other countries (net +5).

Highest negative ratings were given for health services (18% good/49% poor), social welfare (19%/47%), climate change (19%/46%), education and schools (21%/45%), supporting Australian jobs (19%/43%) and protecting the environment (19%/42%).

Since this question was asked in September there has been a significant decrease for relations with other countries (net score down 10), managing the economy (down 8) and protecting the environment (down 5).

Government handling of asylum seekers issue

Jan 28, 2015

Q. How would you rate the performance of the Federal Liberal/National Government in handling the issue of asylum seekers arriving by boat? 

 

 

Total

 

 

Vote Labor

Vote Lib/Nat

Vote Greens

Vote other

 

Mar 2014

Jul 2014

Total good

38%

22%

72%

6%

40%

39%

41%

Total poor

36%

53%

8%

80%

35%

38%

35%

Very good

20%

8%

44%

2%

19%

18%

24%

Good

18%

14%

28%

4%

21%

21%

17%

Neither good nor poor

19%

19%

19%

10%

21%

18%

18%

Poor

15%

20%

7%

19%

19%

15%

12%

Very poor

21%

33%

1%

61%

16%

23%

23%

Don’t know

7%

6%

2%

3%

4%

5%

7%

38% (down 3% since last July) think the Government’s performance in handling the issue of asylum seekers arriving by boat has been good and 36% (up 1%) think it has been poor.

Those most likely to think it has been good were Liberal/National voters (72%), men (46%) and aged 55+ (54%).

Those most likely to think it has been poor were Labor voters (53%) and Greens voters (80%).

Too soft or too tough on asylum seekers

Jan 28, 2015

Q. Do you think the Federal Liberal/National Government is too tough or too soft on asylum seekers or is it taking the right approach?

 

 

Total

 

 

Vote Labor

Vote Lib/Nat

Vote Greens

Vote other

 

Oct  2010

Jul 2012

Jan 2014

Mar 2014

Jul 2014

Too tough

26%

39%

6%

78%

19%

7%

12%

22%

25%

27%

Too soft

23%

25%

20%

10%

30%

63%

60%

25%

28%

18%

Taking the right approach

35%

19%

64%

3%

38%

18%

11%

35%

34%

36%

Don’t know

16%

17%

9%

8%

13%

12%

17%

18%

13%

18%

23% think the Government is too soft on asylum seekers, 26% think they are too tough and 35% think they are taking the right approach.

Since this question was last asked in July, those thinking the Government are too soft has increased a little from 18% to 23%.

Those most likely to think they are taking the right approach were Liberal/National voters (64%) and aged 55+ (47%).

Support for sending asylum seekers to Cambodia

Jan 28, 2015

Q.  The Government recently made an agreement to send asylum seekers arriving by boat in Australia to Cambodia in exchange for increased foreign aid. Do you support or oppose this agreement? 

 

 

Total

 

 

Vote Labor

Vote Lib/Nat

Vote Greens

Vote other

Total support

44%

36%

67%

10%

41%

Total oppose

32%

42%

12%

71%

37%

Strongly support

11%

8%

19%

2%

9%

Support

33%

28%

48%

8%

32%

Oppose

17%

21%

9%

28%

23%

Strongly oppose

15%

21%

3%

43%

14%

Don’t know

24%

21%

21%

19%

22%

44% support the Government’s agreement to send asylum seekers to Cambodia and 32% oppose.

Those most likely to support were Liberal/National voters (67%) and men (50%).

Those most likely to oppose were Greens voters (71%) and Labor voters (42%).

Renewable energy use

Jan 28, 2015

Q. Does your household have the following?

 

 

Total

 

 

Vote Labor

Vote Lib/Nat

Vote Greens

Vote other

Solar rooftop panels

27%

29%

28%

28%

30%

Solar hot water

17%

18%

16%

20%

20%

A “green energy” option from your power provider

22%

24%

20%

34%

18%

27% of respondents said they had solar rooftop panels, 17% have solar hot water and 22% have a “green energy” option f=rom their power provider.

Those more likely to have solar rooftop panels were aged 55+ (34%) and live in Queensland (36%).

Those more likely to have solar hot water were aged 55+ (22%).

Those more likely to have “green power” were Greens voters (34%) and live in Victoria (30%).

Consider renewable energy

Jan 28, 2015

Q. Are you considering obtaining any of the following in the next twelve months?

 

 

Total

 

 

Vote Labor

Vote Lib/Nat

Vote Greens

Vote other

Solar rooftop panels

14%

14%

11%

36%

14%

Solar hot water

10%

12%

8%

15%

7%

A “green energy” option from your power provider

6%

6%

3%

21%

2% 

Note: percentages based on those who do not currently have/use

14% said they were considering obtaining solar panels in the next twelve months, 10% were considering solar hot water and 6% were considering “green energy”.

Those more likely to be considering solar rooftop panels were on incomes over $1,600 pw (21%) and Greens voters (36%).

Those more likely to be considering “green energy” were and Greens voters (21%).

Australia Day

Jan 28, 2015

Q. Monday 26th January is Australia Day. Will you personally be doing anything to celebrate Australia Day or do you treat it as just a public holiday?

 

Total

 

Vote Labor

Vote Lib/Nat

Vote Greens

Vote other/

indep-endent

 

Jan 2010

Jan 2013

Jan 2014

Doing something to celebrate Australia Day

40%

37%

45%

25%

47%

40%

41%

37%

Just a public holiday

41%

44%

35%

61%

34%

40%

43%

44%

Working – don’t get the Australia Day holiday

7%

7%

8%

6%

6%

6%

7%

7%

Don’t know

12%

12%

12%

8%

13%

14%

9%

11%

40% said they will be doing something to celebrate Australia Day, 41% treat Australia Day as just a public holiday and 7% are working because they don’t get the Australia Day holiday. This represents a small rise in the percentage of those celebrating Australia Day since last year.

Those aged 55+ were more likely than those in other age groups to be doing something to celebrate Australia Day (45%). 50% of those with university education and 47% of those aged 25-44 treat it as just another public holiday.

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