Voting intention – NSW

Mar 26, 2015
 

Election

Mar 2011

 

Mar 2014

Sample

 

659

First preference vote

 

Liberal/National

51.1%

44%

Labor

25.6%

36%

Greens

10.3%

9%

Other/Independent

13.0%

11%

2PP
Liberal/National

64.2%

53%

Labor

35.8%

47%

NB. Respondents who selected ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results.  The two-party preferred estimate has been calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties based on an estimate of preference flows at previous elections.

Trust to handle issues

Mar 26, 2015

Q. Which state party would you trust most to handle the following issues in New South Wales?

 

Liberal

Labor

Greens

Don’t know

 

Net score -

Liberal minus Labor

Economic management

45%

25%

4%

27%

+20

Police and public safety

42%

28%

3%

28%

+14

Planning for the future

40%

26%

7%

28%

+14

Roads and freeways

40%

28%

5%

28%

+12

Support for regional NSW

38%

26%

8%

29%

+12

Public transport

38%

28%

7%

27%

+11

NSW’s future energy needs

34%

26%

14%

27%

+8

The environment

27%

20%

29%

25%

+8

Unemployment and jobs

36%

33%

4%

27%

+3

Education and schools

34%

37%

6%

26%

-3

Health and hospitals

33%

37%

5%

26%

-4

 


 

Personally better off

Mar 26, 2015

Q. Regardless of which party you usually vote for, do you think you would personally be better off with a Labor or a Liberal State Government?

 

Total

Better off with a Liberal Government

33%

Better off with a Labor Government

33%

Makes no difference

26%

Don’t know

9%

 

 

 

Federal politics – voting intention

Mar 24, 2015

Q. If a Federal Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward?

Q. If don’t know -Well which party are you currently leaning to?

Sample size = 1,782 respondents 

First preference/leaning to

Election

7 Sep 13

 

4 weeks ago

24/2/15

2 weeks ago 10/3/15

Last week

17/3/15

This week 24/3/15

Liberal

 

38%

37%

37%

37%

National

3%

3%

3%

3%

Total Liberal/National

45.6%

40%

40%

40%

40%

Labor

33.4%

41%

40%

39%

41%

Greens

8.6%

9%

9%

9%

10%

Palmer United Party

5.5%

2%

2%

2%

1%

Other/Independent

6.9%

8%

9%

9%

8%

 

2 Party Preferred

Election

7 Sep 13

 

4 weeks ago

24/2/15

2 weeks ago 10/3/15

Last week

17/3/15

This week 24/3/15

Liberal National

53.5%

47%

47%

48%

46%

Labor

46.5%

53%

53%

52%

54%

NB. The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived from the first preference/leaning to voting questions.  Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results.  The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2013 election.

Climate change

Mar 24, 2015

Q. Do you believe that there is fairly conclusive evidence that climate change is happening and caused by human activity or do you believe that the evidence is still not in and we may just be witnessing a normal fluctuation in the earth’s climate which happens from time to time?

 

Total

 

Vote Labor

Vote Lib/Nat

Vote Greens

Vote other

 

Nov 09

Dec 10

Jun 11

Oct 12

Oct 13

Dec 14

Climate change is happening and is caused by human activity

54%

67%

37%

84%

38%

53%

45%

50%

48%

52%

57%

We are just witnessing a normal fluctuation in the earth’s climate

31%

22%

49%

11%

45%

34%

36%

39%

39%

36%

29%

Don’t know

15%

11%

14%

5%

17%

13%

19%

12%

13%

12%

14%

54% (down 3% since December) agree that climate change is happening and is caused by human activity and 31% (up 2%) believe that we may just be witnessing a normal fluctuation in the earth’s climate. Although this is a fall in belief in climate change since December, it is still the second highest recorded over the last 6 years.

By age groups, those aged under 35 split 62%/20% and those aged 55+ split 39%/51%. People with higher education were more likely to think climate change is happening and is caused by human activity – those with university degrees split 62%/25%.

Concern about climate change

Mar 24, 2015

Q. Over the last 2 years, have you become more concerned or less concerned about the environmental effects of global warming or do you feel about the same as you did 2 years ago?

 

Total

 

Vote Labor

Vote Lib/Nat

Vote Greens

Vote other

 

Sep 14

Dec 14

Total more concerned

52%

63%

41%

76%

36%

52%

51%

Total less concerned

8%

6%

11%

7%

11%

9%

9%

Much more concerned

19%

24%

10%

46%

13%

22%

21%

A little more concerned

33%

39%

31%

30%

23%

30%

30%

About the same

37%

30%

45%

17%

49%

35%

35%

A little less concerned

5%

4%

7%

3%

4%

6%

6%

Much less concerned

3%

2%

4%

4%

7%

3%

3%

Don’t know

5%

2%

3%

-

4%

4%

5%

52% say they have become more concerned about the environmental effects of global warming over the last two years and 8% have become less concerned – 37% feel about the same.

These results are very similar to those when this question was asked in December.

Those most likely to have become more concerned were Labor voters (63%), Greens voters (76%) and people with university degrees (58%).

Action on climate change

Mar 24, 2015

Q. Which of the following actions on climate change would you most support?

 

Total

 

Vote Labor

Vote Lib/Nat

Vote Greens

Vote other

 

Sep 14

Incentives for renewable energy

45%

49%

44%

46%

57%

50%

An emissions trading scheme

14%

19%

9%

27%

5%

12%

The Government’s direct action policy

10%

9%

11%

11%

7%

10%

No action required

11%

6%

18%

2%

21%

11%

Don’t know

20%

17%

18%

15%

9%

17%

In taking action on climate change, 45% most support incentives for renewable energy, 14% most support an emissions trading scheme and 10% most support the Government‘s direct action policy – while 11% say no action is required. This represents a drop in support for incentives for renewable energy since this question was asked in September.

All groups are most likely to support incentives for renewable energy. Those more likely to support an emissions trading scheme were aged 18-24 (26%) and Greens voters (27%).

Renewable Energy Target

Mar 24, 2015

Q. The Renewable Energy Target scheme encourages investment in renewable energy by requiring electricity retail companies to purchase a certain amount of renewable energy each year. By the year 2020, at least 20% of electricity must come from renewable resources.

Do you think this target of 20% renewable energy by 2020 is too high, too low or about right?

 

Total

 

Vote Labor

Vote Lib/Nat

Vote Greens

Vote

other

 

Feb 14

Jul 14

Too high

8%

7%

11%

5%

9%

13%

13%

Too low

33%

43%

19%

61%

33%

25%

29%

About right

32%

29%

42%

25%

29%

39%

36%

Don’t know

27%

22%

28%

9%

29%

23%

22%

32% think the current renewable energy target is about right, 33% think it is too low and 8% think it is too high. Since this question was asked in July, those thinking it is too low increased 4 points and those thinking it is too high declined 5 points.

61% of Greens voters and 43% of Labor voters think it is too low.

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