Federal politics – voting intention

Jul 22, 2014

Q. If a Federal Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward?

Q. If don’t know -Well which party are you currently leaning to?

Sample size = 1,965 respondents

First preference/leaning to

Election

7 Sep 13

 

4 weeks ago 24/6/14

2 weeks ago

8/7/14

Last week

15/7/14

This week

22/7/14

Liberal

 

37%

36%

35%

36%

National

3%

3%

3%

3%

Total Lib/Nat

45.6%

40%

39%

38%

39%

Labor

33.4%

38%

40%

40%

39%

Greens

8.6%

9%

9%

9%

9%

Palmer United Party

5.5%

5%

6%

6%

6%

Other/Independent

6.9%

7%

7%

7%

7%

 

2 Party Preferred

Election

7 Sep 13

 

4 weeks ago 17/6/14

2 weeks ago

1/7/14

Last week

8/7/14

This week

15/7/14

Liberal National

53.5%

48%

47%

47%

48%

Labor

46.5%

52%

53%

53%

52%

NB. The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived from the first preference/leaning to voting questions.  Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results.  The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2013 election.

The Senate

Jul 22, 2014

Q. Thinking about the Senate, which of the following do you think would provide the best Government for Australia?

 

Total

 

Vote Labor

Vote Lib/Nat

Vote Greens

Vote other

 

May 2013

The Government also has a majority in the Senate

31%

16%

62%

6%

14%

32%

The Opposition has a majority in the Senate

10%

17%

5%

16%

8%

8%

The independents and minor parties hold the balance of power in the Senate

24%

29%

9%

52%

48%

25%

It doesn’t matter who has control or balance of power in the Senate

8%

9%

4%

5%

10%

7%

Don’t know

27%

28%

19%

20%

21%

28%

31% think that the Government should also have a majority in the Senate while 24% think the independents and minor parties should hold the balance of power. 10% think the Opposition should have a majority. These figures have changed little since this question was asked in May last year.

Liberal/National voters were much more likely to favour the Government having a majority in the Senate (62%) while Greens (52%) and Others (48%) were more likely to favour the independents and minor parties holding the balance of power.

Senate – balance of power

Jul 22, 2014

Q. Clive Palmer’s Palmer United Party now has the balance of power in the Senate.

With this in mind, do you think the election of micro parties in the Senate – such as Palmer United Party, Family First, Liberal Democrats, Motor Enthusiasts Party, Australian Sports Party – is good or bad for democracy? 

 

Total

 

 

Vote Labor

Vote Lib/Nat

Vote Greens

Vote other

 

Oct 2013

Good for democracy

36%

44%

26%

42%

59%

36%

Bad for democracy

28%

18%

48%

18%

12%

26%

Makes no difference

15%

17%

12%

22%

10%

17%

Don’t know

21%

21%

15%

18%

19%

20%

36% think that the election of micro parties to the Senate is good for democracy and 28% think it is bad. 15% think it makes no difference. These figures have changed little since this question was asked in October last year.

Labor voters are more likely to think it is good (44%) while Liberal/National voters are more likely to think it is bad (48%).

48% of Queenslanders think it is good and 48% of respondents aged 55+ think it is bad.

PUP and the Greens

Jul 22, 2014

Q. In the previous Parliament, the Greens held the balance of power. Would you have more confidence in a Parliament where the Greens held the balance of power or where the Palmer United Party held the balance of power?

 

Total

 

 

Vote Labor

Vote Lib/Nat

Vote Greens

Vote other

More confidence in the Greens holding the balance

27%

38%

14%

76%

13%

More confidence in the Palmer United Party holding the balance

22%

16%

26%

5%

49%

No difference

34%

28%

47%

12%

27%

Don’t know

17%

18%

13%

8%

11%

34% think it makes no difference whether the Greens or PUP hold the balance of power in the Senate. 27% would have more confidence in the Greens holding the balance of power and 22% have more confidence in PUP.

Liberal/National voters were more likely to think it makes no difference (47%) while 38% of Labor voters have more confidence in the Greens holding the balance.

Attention paid to retirement arrangements

Jul 22, 2014

Q. In general, how much attention do you pay to arrangements for your retirement income, such as your superannuation returns and fees, wealth management and other forms of long-term savings? 

 

Total

 

Men

Women

Aged

18-34

Aged

35-54

Aged 55+

 

Mar 14

A lot of attention

15%

14%

15%

4%

12%

31%

21%

Some attention

33%

36%

31%

28%

37%

35%

35%

Not much attention

29%

29%

29%

39%

30%

14%

27%

None at all

16%

14%

19%

20%

13%

16%

15%

Don’t know

7%

7%

7%

9%

8%

3%

3%

15% say they pay a lot of attention to arrangements for retirement income and a further 33% say they pay some attention. 45% pay no or not much attention.  This indicates somewhat less attention being paid to retirement income that when this question was asked in March.

Interest in retirement income increases with age – 31% of those aged 55+ are paying a lot of attention compared to just 4% of those aged 18-34.

Those on higher incomes also pay more attention to their retirement income – 54% of those earning $1,600+ pw are paying a lot or some attention compared to 42% of those earning under $600 pw.

Type of superannuation fund

Jul 22, 2014

Q. What type of fund is your main superannuation fund?

 

Total

 

Men

Women

Aged

18-34

Aged

35-54

Aged 55+

An industry fund

39%

37%

41%

42%

44%

28%

A retail fund

19%

20%

18%

15%

23%

18%

A self-managed fund

9%

10%

8%

6%

9%

12%

Don’t know

15%

16%

15%

23%

14%

6%

Don’t have any superannuation funds

18%

18%

18%

14%

9%

35%

39% say their main superannuation fund is an industry fund, 19% a retail fund and 9% a self managed fund.

48% of those aged 25-44 are in an industry fund, and 23% of those aged 35-54 are in a retail fund. 13% of those aged 55+ have a self-managed fund.

47% of those aged 65+ say they have no superannuation fund.

Performance of superannuation fund

Jul 22, 2014

Q. How satisfied are you with the performance of your superannuation fund?

 

Total

 

Men

Women

Aged

18-34

Aged

35-54

Aged 55+

 

Industry fund

Retail fund

Self-managed

Total satisfied

73%

 

73%

74%

62%

78%

86%

80%

77%

92%

Total dissatisfied

10%

 

12%

8%

12%

9%

11%

7%

13%

5%

Very satisfied

14%

13%

15%

10%

14%

23%

14%

17%

25%

Satisfied

59%

60%

59%

52%

64%

63%

66%

60%

67%

Dissatisfied

7%

8%

6%

8%

6%

9%

5%

9%

4%

Very dissatisfied

3%

4%

2%

4%

3%

2%

2%

4%

1%

Don’t know

16%

15%

17%

26%

14%

3%

12%

10%

4%

73% of respondents say they are satisfied with the performance of their superannuation fund and 10% are dissatisfied.

92% of those with self-managed funds were satisfied compared with 80% for industry funds and 77% for retail funds.

26% of those aged 18-34 could not give an opinion.

Superannuation fund fees

Jul 22, 2014

Q. Do you know how much you are paying in fees each year to your superannuation fund? 

 

Total

 

Men

Women

Aged

18-34

Aged

35-54

Aged 55+

 

Industry fund

Retail fund

Self-managed

Yes, I know exactly

18%

 

22%

15%

9%

18%

35%

17%

21%

46%

Yes, I know approximately

41%

 

42%

41%

38%

41%

46%

43%

51%

40%

No, I don’t know

40%

36%

44%

53%

41%

19%

41%

28%

14%

18% say they know exactly how much they are paying in fees to their superannuation fund, 41% know approximately and 40% don’t know.

Those more likely to not know how much they were paying in fees were aged 18-34 (53%) and those with lower education levels (49% of those with no post-secondary education).

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