Federal politics – voting intention

Mar 3, 2015

Q. If a Federal Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward?

Q. If don’t know -Well which party are you currently leaning to?

Sample size = 1,820 respondents 

First preference/leaning to

Election

7 Sep 13

 

4 weeks ago

3/2/15

2 weeks ago 17/2/15

Last week

24/2/15

This week 3/3/15

Liberal

 

35%

36%

38%

37%

National

3%

3%

3%

3%

Total Liberal/National

45.6%

38%

39%

40%

40%

Labor

33.4%

41%

41%

41%

41%

Greens

8.6%

9%

10%

9%

9%

Palmer United Party

5.5%

3%

2%

2%

2%

Other/Independent

6.9%

9%

8%

8%

9%

 

2 Party Preferred

Election

7 Sep 13

 

4 weeks ago

3/2/15

2 weeks ago 17/2/15

Last week

24/2/15

This week 3/3/15

Liberal National

53.5%

46%

46%

47%

47%

Labor

46.5%

54%

54%

53%

53%

 

NB. The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived from the first preference/leaning to voting questions.  Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results.  The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2013 election. 

Threat of terrorism

Mar 3, 2015

Q. Over the last few years, do you think that the threat of terrorism happening in Australia has increased, decreased or stayed much the same? 

  

Total

 

 

Vote Labor

Vote Lib/Nat

Vote Greens

Vote other

 

Sep 2014

Total increased

75%

74%

84%

54%

83%

57%

Total decreased

2%

3%

2%

3%

1%

6%

Increased a lot

39%

37%

46%

18%

52%

22%

Increased a little

36%

37%

38%

36%

31%

35%

Stayed about the same

20%

21%

14%

39%

13%

33%

Decreased a little

1%

2%

1%

1%

-

3%

Decreased a lot

1%

1%

1%

2%

1%

3%

Don’t know

4%

1%

1%

5%

3%

4%

 

75% think that the threat of terrorism happening in Australia has increased – up from 57% recorded in September. 20% (down 13%) think it has stayed about the same and 2% (down 4%) think it has decreased.

Those most likely to think it has increased were Liberal/National voters (84%) and those aged 55+ (85%).

Spending on anti-terrorism

Mar 3, 2015

Q. Do you think the Australian Government should be spending more or less on anti-terrorism measures or is current spending about right?

 

Total

 

 

Vote Labor

Vote Lib/Nat

Vote Greens

Vote other

 

Aug 2014

Spending more

39%

38%

47%

19%

46%

28%

Spending less

12%

13%

5%

37%

14%

19%

Current spending about right

33%

31%

41%

26%

25%

36%

Don’t know

16%

17%

6%

18%

14%

16%

 

39% think the Australian Government should be spending more on anti-terrorism measures – up 11% since August.  12% (down 7%) think they should be spending less – 33% (down 3%) think the current spending is about right.

Those most likely to support spending more were aged 45+ (48%) and Liberal/National voters (47%).

National security

Mar 3, 2015

Q. When it comes to issues of national security, do you think there should be more restrictions on rights and freedom for some people so there can be more security for others or do you think our current laws strike the right balance between freedom and security?

 

Total

 

Vote Labor

Vote Lib/Nat

Vote Greens

Vote other

 

Sep 2014

Should be more restrictions

56%

53%

69%

26%

66%

50%

Current laws strike the right balance

28%

31%

23%

49%

24%

34%

Don’t know

16%

16%

8%

25%

10%

16%

 

56% think there should be more restrictions on rights and freedom for some people so there can be more security for others – up 6% since September. 28% (down 6%) are more likely to think the current laws strike the right balance between freedom and security.

Those most in favour of more restrictions on rights and freedoms were Liberal/National voters (69%) and aged 45+ (68%).

Approval of handling threat of terrorism

Mar 3, 2015

Q. Do you approve or disapprove of the way the Prime Minister Tony Abbott is handling the threat of terrorism in Australia?

 

Total

 

Vote Labor

Vote Lib/Nat

Vote Greens

Vote other

Total approve

46%

24%

81%

24%

40%

Total disapprove

33%

53%

8%

55%

35%

Strongly approve

13%

4%

28%

6%

12%

Approve

33%

20%

53%

18%

28%

Disapprove

18%

30%

7%

18%

17%

Strongly disapprove

15%

23%

1%

37%

18%

Don’t know

22%

23%

10%

20%

25%

 

46% approve of the way the Prime Minister Tony Abbott is handling the threat of terrorism in Australia and 33% disapprove.

81% of Liberal/National voters approve while a majority of Labor voters (53%) and Greens voters (55%) disapprove.

Contribution of multiculturalism

Mar 3, 2015

Q. Overall, has multiculturalism (that is, the acceptance of people from different countries, cultures and religions) made a positive or negative contribution to Australian society?

 

 

Total

 

 

Vote Labor

Vote Lib/Nat

Vote Greens

Vote other

 

Feb 2011

Sep 2014

 

Total positive

57%

59%

59%

84%

37%

57%

57%

Total negative

29%

29%

31%

11%

45%

29%

30%

Very positive

18%

23%

9%

49%

11%

15%

18%

Positive

39%

36%

50%

35%

26%

42%

39%

Negative

18%

18%

20%

9%

21%

18%

19%

Very negative

11%

11%

11%

2%

24%

11%

11%

Made no difference

6%

4%

5%

-

12%

6%

6%

Don’t know

9%

7%

5%

5%

7%

8%

6%

 

57% believe that multiculturalism has made a positive contribution to Australian society and 29% believe the contribution has been negative. These results are almost identical to when this question was asked in September. A majority of major party voter groups believe the contribution has been positive.

84% of Greens voters and 74% of university-educated respondents thought it was positive.

View of multiculturalism

Mar 3, 2015

Q. Which of the following statements is closer to your view about multiculturalism? 

 

 

Total

 

 

Vote Labor

Vote Lib/Nat

Vote Greens

Vote other

 

Feb 2011

Sep 2014

 

Multiculturalism and cultural diversity has enriched the social and economic lives of all Australians.

55%

58%

54%

80%

38%

53%

55%

Multiculturalism has failed and caused social division and religious extremism in Australia.

33%

31%

37%

12%

54%

38%

34%

Don’t know

12%

11%

9%

8%

9%

9%

11%

 

55% think that multiculturalism and cultural diversity has enriched the social and economic lives of all Australians while 33% agree more that multiculturalism has failed and caused social division and religious extremism in Australia. These results are almost identical to when this question was asked in September.

Those most likely to have a positive view of multiculturalism were aged under 35 (66%), Greens voters (80%) and those with university education (72%).

Greyhound racing

Mar 3, 2015

Q. Would you support or oppose a national ban on greyhound racing?

  

Total

 

 

Vote Labor

Vote Lib/Nat

Vote Greens

Vote other

Total support

48%

51%

46%

63%

47%

Total oppose

26%

25%

31%

10%

31%

Strongly support

23%

24%

20%

32%

25%

Support

25%

26%

26%

31%

22%

Oppose

19%

18%

23%

8%

21%

Strongly oppose

7%

7%

8%

2%

10%

Don’t know

26%

24%

24%

27%

21%

 

48% would support a national ban on greyhound racing and 26% would oppose. 26% did not have an opinion.

Those most likely to support a ban were Greens voters (63%) and those with a university education (56%).

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