Federal politics – voting intention

Mar 31, 2015

Q. If a Federal Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward?

Q. If don’t know -Well which party are you currently leaning to?

Sample size = 1,786 respondents

First preference/leaning to Election

7 Sep 13

  4 weeks ago

3/3/15

2 weeks ago 17/3/15 Last week

24/3/15

This week 31/3/15
Liberal   37% 37% 37% 36%
National 3% 3% 3% 4%
Total Liberal/National 45.6% 40% 40% 40% 40%
Labor 33.4% 41% 39% 41% 40%
Greens 8.6% 9% 9% 10% 10%
Palmer United Party 5.5% 2% 2% 1% 1%
Other/Independent 6.9% 9% 9% 8% 9%

 

2 Party Preferred Election

7 Sep 13

  4 weeks ago

3/3/15

2 weeks ago 17/3/15 Last week

24/3/15

This week 31/3/15
Liberal National 53.5% 47% 48% 46% 47%
Labor 46.5% 53% 52% 54% 53%

The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived from the first preference/leaning to voting questions. Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results. The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2013 election.

Economic issues

Mar 31, 2015

Q. Do you think the following have become better or worse compared to 12 months ago?

  Total better Total worse   A lot better A little better No change A little worse A lot worse Don’t know   Total better Oct 2014 Total worse Oct 2014
Company profits 34% 23% 10% 24% 26% 15% 8% 17% 31% 19%
Your personal financial situation 19% 41% 3% 16% 38% 25% 16% 2% 16% 44%
Wages 13% 36% 1% 12% 44% 24% 12% 8% 9% 36%
The economy overall 16% 55%   2% 14% 23% 36% 19% 7% 18% 50%
National debt 14% 53% 2% 12% 22% 27% 26% 12% 15% 51%
Job security 10% 53% 2% 8% 31% 30% 23% 7% 6% 61%
Un-employment 8% 61%   1% 7% 25% 37% 24% 7% 11% 60%
Electricity costs 12% 66% 2% 10% 18% 32% 34% 5% 7% 67%
Cost of living 6% 72% 1% 5% 19% 41% 31% 3% 6% 72%

A substantial majority believe that, in the last 12 months, cost of living (72%), electricity costs (66%) and unemployment (61%) have all got worse.

The only economic measure that has got better is company profits (34% better/23% worse).

Compared the last time this question was asked in October, the main shifts have been the economy overall (worse up from 50% to 55%) and job security (worse down from 61% to 53%).

Income and cost of living

Mar 31, 2015

Q. In the last two years, do you think your and your household’s income has gone up more than the cost of living, fallen behind or stayed even with the cost of living?

  Total   Work full time Work part time Income less than $600 pw Income $600-$1,000pw Income $1,000-$1,600 pw Income $1,600+ pw   Oct 2014
Gone up more 15% 18% 17% 12% 13% 18% 19% 13%
Fallen behind 50% 48% 51% 62% 53% 46% 46% 48%
Stayed even 27% 28% 25% 21% 30% 29% 30% 31%
Don’t know 7% 6% 7% 6% 4% 7% 5% 8%

50% believe that, in the last two years, their income has fallen behind the cost of living. 27% think it has stayed even with the cost of living and 15% think it has gone up more.

62% of those earning under $600 pw and 53% of those earning $600-$1,000 pw think their income has fallen behind while 49% of those earning over $1,600 pw think it has stayed the same or gone up.

These results are much the same as when this question was asked in October.

Financial situation

Mar 31, 2015

Q. Which of the following statements best describes your financial situation?

  Total   Work full time Work part time Income less than $600 pw Income $600-$1,000pw Income $1,000-$1,600 pw Income $1,600+ pw   Oct 2014
I don’t have enough money for basic essentials like housing food and electricity 8% 5% 11% 20% 8% 6% 4% 7%
I have enough money for basic essentials but I cannot save any money 39% 37% 37% 51% 44% 36% 34% 35%
I have enough money for basic essentials and I can save a little money 44% 46% 45% 27% 43% 49% 50% 47%
I have enough money for basic essentials and I can save a lot of money 7% 10% 5% 2% 3% 8% 11% 8%
Don’t know 2% 2% 2% - 2% 1% 1% 4%

44% say they have enough money for basic essentials and can save a little money and 39% say they have enough money for basic essentials but cannot save any money. Only 7% say they can save a lot of money.

Only 29% of those earning less than $600 pw say they can save any money – compared to 61% of those earning over $1,600 pw.

Overall, there has been a slight worsening in financial situations since this question was asked in October – 47% (up 5%) say they cannot save any money and 51% (down 4%) say they can.

Tony Abbott leader at next election

Mar 31, 2015

Q. Do you think Tony Abbott is likely or unlikely to still be the leader of the Liberal Party at the next election?

  Total   Vote Labor Vote Lib/Nat Vote Greens Vote other   Total Dec 2014 Total Feb 2015
Likely 26% 11% 52% 8% 22% 29% 20%
Unlikely 57% 79% 29% 82% 55% 51% 61%
Don’t know 17% 9% 19% 10% 23% 20% 19%

57% (down 4% since February) think that Tony Abbott is unlikely to still be leader of the Liberal Party at the next election and 26% (up 6%) think it is likely.

79% (no change) of Labor voters and 82% (up 12%) of Greens voters think it is unlikely and 52% (up 16%) of Liberal/National voters think it is likely he will still be leader.

Attention paid to retirement arrangements

Mar 31, 2015

Q. In general, how much attention do you pay to arrangements for your retirement income, such as your superannuation returns and fees, wealth management and other forms of long-term savings?

  Total   Men Women Aged

18-34

Aged

35-54

Aged 55+   Mar 2014 Jul 2014
A lot of attention 16% 19% 13% 9% 13% 31% 21% 15%
Some attention 38% 40% 35% 37% 39% 35% 35% 33%
Not much attention 26% 22% 29% 29% 32% 12% 27% 29%
None at all 16% 16% 17% 19% 12% 19% 15% 16%
Don’t know 4% 4% 5% 6% 4% 3% 3% 7%

16% say they pay a lot of attention to arrangements for retirement income and a further 38% say they pay some attention. 42% pay no or not much attention. This indicates a little more attention being paid to retirement income that when this question was asked in July.

Interest in retirement income increases with age – 31% of those aged 55+ are paying a lot of attention compared to just 9% of those aged 18-34.

Those on higher incomes also pay more attention to their retirement income – 62% of those earning $1,600+ pw are paying a lot or some attention compared to 36% of those earning under $600 pw.

Type of superannuation fund

Mar 31, 2015

Q. What type of fund is your main superannuation fund?

  Total   Men Women Aged

18-34

Aged

35-54

Aged 55+   Jul 2014
An industry fund 43% 43% 43% 43% 50% 32% 39%
A retail fund 18% 21% 15% 18% 22% 12% 19%
A self-managed fund 8% 8% 8% 5% 7% 12% 9%
Don’t know 13% 12% 14% 22% 11% 5% 15%
Don’t have any superannuation funds 18% 16% 20% 12% 10% 39% 18%

43% say their main superannuation fund is an industry fund, 18% a retail fund and 8% a self managed fund.

51% of those aged 25-44 are in an industry fund and 22% of those aged 35-54 are in a retail fund.

49% of those aged 65+ say they have no superannuation fund.

Performance of superannuation fund

Mar 31, 2015

Q. How satisfied are you with the performance of your superannuation fund?

  Total   Men Women Aged 18-34 Aged
35-54
Aged 55+   Industry fund Retail fund Self-managed   Jul ’14
Total satisfied 68%   71% 65% 57% 70% 82% 73% 77% 78% 73%
Total dissatisfied 14%   15% 14% 15% 14% 13% 13% 14% 16% 10%
Very satisfied 12% 14% 11% 10% 10% 22% 14% 13% 15% 14%
Satisfied 56% 57% 54% 47% 60% 60% 59% 64% 63% 59%
Dissatisfied 11% 11% 11% 11% 11% 10% 11% 10% 10% 7%
Very dissatisfied 3% 4% 3% 4% 3% 3% 2% 4% 6% 3%
Don’t know 18% 15% 22% 28% 16% 6% 14% 9% 6% 16%

68% (down 5% since July) of respondents say they are satisfied with the performance of their superannuation fund and 14% (up 4%) are dissatisfied.

78% of those with self-managed funds were satisfied compared with 77% for retail funds and 73% for industry funds.

28% of those aged 18-34 could not give an opinion.

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