Essential Report

State voting intention

Nov 26, 2014

Q. If a State Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward?

Q. If don’t know -Well which party are you currently leaning to?

Victoria

Election

Nov 2010

 

Total

 

Mar 14

June 14

Sep 14

Oct 14

Sample

 

794

962

1,184

1,084

899

First preference vote

 

Liberal/National

44.8%

40%

42%

41%

39%

39%

Labor

36.2%

39%

39%

40%

39%

38%

Greens

11.2%

13%

9%

10%

11%

12%

Other/Independent

7.8%

8%

10%

9%

11%

11%

2PP
Liberal/National

51.6%

47%

50%

48%

48%

48%

Labor

48.4%

53%

50%

52%

52%

52%

Aggregated weekly polls over the past 3 weeks show first preferences at 40% Liberal-National, 39% Labor and 13% Greens for a two party preferred vote of 53% Labor/47% Liberal-National. This represents a swing to Labor of 4-5%.

NB. The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the previous election.

View full report.

Trust to handle issues

Nov 26, 2014

Q. Which state party would you trust most to handle the following issues in Victoria?

 

Labor

Liberal

Greens

Don’t know

 

Net score –

Liberal minus Labor

Economic management

24%

43%

5%

27%

+19

Roads and freeways

25%

38%

8%

28%

+13

Planning for the future

25%

35%

12%

28%

+10

Police and public safety

29%

37%

7%

28%

+8

Victoria’s future energy needs

23%

28%

19%

29%

+5

Support for regional Victoria

27%

31%

10%

32%

+4

The environment

20%

22%

32%

27%

+2

Public transport

30%

31%

13%

27%

+1

Unemployment and jobs

35%

31%

7%

27%

-4

Health and hospitals

39%

28%

7%

26%

-11

Education and schools

40%

26%

8%

26%

-14

The Liberal Party is trusted more to handle economic management (43%), roads and freeways (38%), planning for the future (35%) and police and public safety (37%).

The Labor Party is trusted more to handle education and schools (40%) and health and hospitals (39%).

View full report.

Personally better off

Nov 26, 2014

Q. Regardless of which party you usually vote for, do you think you would personally be better off with a Labor or a Liberal State Government? 

 

Total

Better off with a Liberal Government

30%

Better off with a Labor Government

38%

Makes no difference

23%

Don’t know

9%

38% think they would personally be better off under a Labor Government and 30% think they would be better off under a Liberal Government. 23% think it makes no difference.

View full report.

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