The Essential Report Archive Read the latest report

  • Nov, 2014

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    State voting intention

    Q. If a State Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward?

    Q. If don’t know -Well which party are you currently leaning to?

    Victoria

    Election

    Nov 2010

     

    Total

     

    Mar 14

    June 14

    Sep 14

    Oct 14

    Sample

     

    794

    962

    1,184

    1,084

    899

    First preference vote

     

    Liberal/National

    44.8%

    40%

    42%

    41%

    39%

    39%

    Labor

    36.2%

    39%

    39%

    40%

    39%

    38%

    Greens

    11.2%

    13%

    9%

    10%

    11%

    12%

    Other/Independent

    7.8%

    8%

    10%

    9%

    11%

    11%

    2PP
    Liberal/National

    51.6%

    47%

    50%

    48%

    48%

    48%

    Labor

    48.4%

    53%

    50%

    52%

    52%

    52%

    Aggregated weekly polls over the past 3 weeks show first preferences at 40% Liberal-National, 39% Labor and 13% Greens for a two party preferred vote of 53% Labor/47% Liberal-National. This represents a swing to Labor of 4-5%.

    NB. The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the previous election.

    View full report.

  • Nov, 2014

    Trust to handle issues

    Q. Which state party would you trust most to handle the following issues in Victoria?

     

    Labor

    Liberal

    Greens

    Don’t know

     

    Net score –

    Liberal minus Labor

    Economic management

    24%

    43%

    5%

    27%

    +19

    Roads and freeways

    25%

    38%

    8%

    28%

    +13

    Planning for the future

    25%

    35%

    12%

    28%

    +10

    Police and public safety

    29%

    37%

    7%

    28%

    +8

    Victoria’s future energy needs

    23%

    28%

    19%

    29%

    +5

    Support for regional Victoria

    27%

    31%

    10%

    32%

    +4

    The environment

    20%

    22%

    32%

    27%

    +2

    Public transport

    30%

    31%

    13%

    27%

    +1

    Unemployment and jobs

    35%

    31%

    7%

    27%

    -4

    Health and hospitals

    39%

    28%

    7%

    26%

    -11

    Education and schools

    40%

    26%

    8%

    26%

    -14

    The Liberal Party is trusted more to handle economic management (43%), roads and freeways (38%), planning for the future (35%) and police and public safety (37%).

    The Labor Party is trusted more to handle education and schools (40%) and health and hospitals (39%).

    View full report.

  • Nov, 2014

    Personally better off

    Q. Regardless of which party you usually vote for, do you think you would personally be better off with a Labor or a Liberal State Government? 

     

    Total

    Better off with a Liberal Government

    30%

    Better off with a Labor Government

    38%

    Makes no difference

    23%

    Don’t know

    9%

    38% think they would personally be better off under a Labor Government and 30% think they would be better off under a Liberal Government. 23% think it makes no difference.

    View full report.

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