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  • Nov, 2014

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    State voting intention

    Q. If a State Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward?

    Q. If don’t know -Well which party are you currently leaning to?

    Victoria

    Election

    Nov 2010

     

    Total

     

    Mar 14

    June 14

    Sep 14

    Oct 14

    Sample

     

    794

    962

    1,184

    1,084

    899

    First preference vote

     

    Liberal/National

    44.8%

    40%

    42%

    41%

    39%

    39%

    Labor

    36.2%

    39%

    39%

    40%

    39%

    38%

    Greens

    11.2%

    13%

    9%

    10%

    11%

    12%

    Other/Independent

    7.8%

    8%

    10%

    9%

    11%

    11%

    2PP
    Liberal/National

    51.6%

    47%

    50%

    48%

    48%

    48%

    Labor

    48.4%

    53%

    50%

    52%

    52%

    52%

    Aggregated weekly polls over the past 3 weeks show first preferences at 40% Liberal-National, 39% Labor and 13% Greens for a two party preferred vote of 53% Labor/47% Liberal-National. This represents a swing to Labor of 4-5%.

    NB. The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the previous election.

    View full report.

  • Nov, 2013

    State voting intention – Victoria

    Victoria

    Election

    Nov 2010

     

    Nov-Dec 12

    Mar 13

    Nov 13

    Sample

     

    1,170

    849

    930

    First preference vote

     

    Liberal/National

    44.8%

    43%

    45%

    41%

    Labor

    36.2%

    39%

    36%

    38%

    Greens

    11.2%

    11%

    12%

    13%

    Other/Independent

    7.8%

    7%

    7%

    8%

     

    2PP

    Liberal/National

    51.6%

    50%

    52%

    48%

    Labor

    48.4%

    50%

    48%

    52%

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