VIC state voting intention, Victorian Election
Q. If a State Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward?
Q. If don’t know -Well which party are you currently leaning to?
| Victoria |
Election Nov 2010 |
|
Total |
|
Mar 14 |
June 14 |
Sep 14 |
Oct 14 |
| Sample |
|
794 |
962 |
1,184 |
1,084 |
899 |
||
| First preference vote |
|
|||||||
| Liberal/National |
44.8% |
40% |
42% |
41% |
39% |
39% |
||
| Labor |
36.2% |
39% |
39% |
40% |
39% |
38% |
||
| Greens |
11.2% |
13% |
9% |
10% |
11% |
12% |
||
| Other/Independent |
7.8% |
8% |
10% |
9% |
11% |
11% |
||
| 2PP | ||||||||
| Liberal/National |
51.6% |
47% |
50% |
48% |
48% |
48% |
||
| Labor |
48.4% |
53% |
50% |
52% |
52% |
52% |
Aggregated weekly polls over the past 3 weeks show first preferences at 40% Liberal-National, 39% Labor and 13% Greens for a two party preferred vote of 53% Labor/47% Liberal-National. This represents a swing to Labor of 4-5%.
NB. The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the previous election.
Q. Which state party would you trust most to handle the following issues in Victoria?
|
Labor |
Liberal |
Greens |
Don’t know |
|
Net score – Liberal minus Labor |
|
| Economic management |
24% |
43% |
5% |
27% |
+19 |
|
| Roads and freeways |
25% |
38% |
8% |
28% |
+13 |
|
| Planning for the future |
25% |
35% |
12% |
28% |
+10 |
|
| Police and public safety |
29% |
37% |
7% |
28% |
+8 |
|
| Victoria’s future energy needs |
23% |
28% |
19% |
29% |
+5 |
|
| Support for regional Victoria |
27% |
31% |
10% |
32% |
+4 |
|
| The environment |
20% |
22% |
32% |
27% |
+2 |
|
| Public transport |
30% |
31% |
13% |
27% |
+1 |
|
| Unemployment and jobs |
35% |
31% |
7% |
27% |
-4 |
|
| Health and hospitals |
39% |
28% |
7% |
26% |
-11 |
|
| Education and schools |
40% |
26% |
8% |
26% |
-14 |
The Liberal Party is trusted more to handle economic management (43%), roads and freeways (38%), planning for the future (35%) and police and public safety (37%).
The Labor Party is trusted more to handle education and schools (40%) and health and hospitals (39%).
Q. Regardless of which party you usually vote for, do you think you would personally be better off with a Labor or a Liberal State Government?
|
Total |
|
| Better off with a Liberal Government |
30% |
| Better off with a Labor Government |
38% |
| Makes no difference |
23% |
| Don’t know |
9% |
38% think they would personally be better off under a Labor Government and 30% think they would be better off under a Liberal Government. 23% think it makes no difference.