Tony abbot, Tony Abbott as Prime Minister
Q. Do you think Tony Abbott is likely or unlikely to still be the leader of the Liberal Party at the next election?
|
Total |
|
Vote Labor |
Vote Lib/Nat |
Vote Greens |
Vote other |
|
| Likely |
29% |
16% |
50% |
19% |
29% |
|
| Unlikely |
51% |
72% |
29% |
68% |
60% |
|
| Don’t know |
20% |
12% |
21% |
13% |
11% |
51% think that Tony Abbott is unlikely to still be leader of the Liberal Party at the next election and 29% think it is likely.
72% of Labor voters and 68% of Greens voters think it is unlikely and 50% of Liberal/National voters think it is likely he will still be leader.
Bill Shorten, Bill Shorten as Prime Minister
Q. Do you think Bill Shorten is likely or unlikely to still be the leader of the Labor Party at the next election?
|
Total |
|
Vote Labor |
Vote Lib/Nat |
Vote Greens |
Vote other |
|
| Likely |
47% |
59% |
45% |
47% |
44% |
|
| Unlikely |
20% |
12% |
28% |
13% |
29% |
|
| Don’t know |
33% |
29% |
27% |
40% |
27% |
47% think that Bill Shorten is likely to still be leader of the Labor Party at the next election and 20% think it is unlikely.
All voter groups were more likely to think he would still be leader.
Q. The UNESCO World Heritage Committee has indicated it might declare the Great Barrier Reef “in danger” due to the impact of climate change, crown of thorns starfish and port development. The Australian Government says the Reef is not in danger and they are doing enough to preserve it. Who do you agree with more?
|
Total |
|
Vote Labor |
Vote Lib/Nat |
Vote Greens |
Vote other |
|
| UNESCO World Heritage Committee |
55% |
69% |
34% |
86% |
63% |
|
| Australian Government |
20% |
12% |
38% |
1% |
17% |
|
| Don’t know |
25% |
19% |
29% |
13% |
20% |
55% agree more with the UNESCO World Heritage Committee that the Great Barrier Reef is in danger and 20% agree more that the Government is doing enough to preserve it.
Labor voters (69%) and Greens voters (86%) are much more likely to agree with the World Heritage Committee while Liberal/National voters are split 34% UNESCO and 38% Government.
Q. Do you think Australia should or should not continue to expand our coal industry – including approving new mines and building railway lines and ports?
|
Total |
|
Vote Labor |
Vote Lib/Nat |
Vote Greens |
Vote other |
|
| Should continue to expand |
34% |
30% |
52% |
9% |
26% |
|
| Should not continue to expand |
40% |
46% |
26% |
83% |
48% |
|
| Don’t know |
26% |
24% |
21% |
8% |
25% |
40% believe that Australia’s coal industry should not continue to expand and 34% think it should.
Highest support for continued expansion of the coal industry came from Liberal/National voters (52%), men (39%) and aged 65+ (43%).
46% of Labor voters and 83% of Greens voters thought the coal industry should not continue to expand.
Q. Do you approve or disapprove of the recent Government announcement to drop the proposed $7 Medicare co-payment but reduce the doctor’s rebate by $5 and allow the doctor to bill non-concession card holders for that additional $5?
|
Total |
|
Vote Labor |
Vote Lib/Nat |
Vote Greens |
Vote other |
|
| Total approve |
40% |
29% |
63% |
17% |
38% |
|
| Total disapprove |
44% |
60% |
25% |
62% |
44% |
|
| Strongly approve |
13% |
11% |
20% |
5% |
8% |
|
| Approve |
27% |
18% |
43% |
12% |
30% |
|
| Disapprove |
21% |
23% |
16% |
33% |
24% |
|
| Strongly disapprove |
23% |
37% |
9% |
29% |
20% |
|
| Don’t know |
17% |
10% |
12% |
20% |
19% |
Respondents were divided on approval of the recent change to charges for GP visits.
40% approved of the recent Government announcement to drop the proposed $7 Medicare co-payment but reduce the doctor’s rebate by $5 and allow the doctor to bill non-concession card holders for that additional $5 and 44% disapproved.
Those most likely to approve were Liberal/National voters (63%) and aged 65+ (50%).
Those most likely to disapprove were Labor voters (60%), Greens voters (62%) and aged 45-54 (48%).
Q. If a Federal Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward?
Q. If don’t know -Well which party are you currently leaning to?
Sample size = 1,778 respondents
| First preference/leaning to |
Election 7 Sep 13 |
|
4 weeks ago 11/11/14 |
2 weeks ago 25/11/14 |
Last week 2/12/14 |
This week 9/12/14 |
| Liberal |
|
36% |
38% |
37% |
35% |
|
| National |
4% |
3% |
3% |
4% |
||
| Total Liberal/National |
45.6% |
40% |
40% |
40% |
39% |
|
| Labor |
33.4% |
38% |
39% |
40% |
39% |
|
| Greens |
8.6% |
10% |
10% |
9% |
10% |
|
| Palmer United Party |
5.5% |
4% |
3% |
3% |
2% |
|
| Other/Independent |
6.9% |
9% |
8% |
8% |
10% |
| 2 Party Preferred |
Election 7 Sep 13 |
|
4 weeks ago 11/11/14 |
2 weeks ago 25/11/14 |
Last week 2/12/14 |
This week 9/12/14 |
| Liberal National |
53.5% |
48% |
48% |
47% |
47% |
|
| Labor |
46.5% |
52% |
52% |
53% |
53% |
NB. The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived from the first preference/leaning to voting questions. Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results. The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2013 election.
Q. Do you approve or disapprove of the job Tony Abbott is doing as Prime Minister?
|
Total |
|
Vote Labor |
Vote Lib/Nat |
Vote Greens |
Vote Other |
|
Sep 2013 |
Mar 2014 |
June 2014 |
Sep 2014 |
Oct 2014 |
Nov 2014 |
|
| Total approve |
32% |
6% |
75% |
9% |
23% |
|
41% |
40% |
35% |
35% |
40% |
39% |
|
| Total dis- approve |
55% |
89% |
15% |
84% |
65% |
|
36% |
47% |
58% |
52% |
48% |
50% |
|
| Strongly approve |
8% |
1% |
22% |
1% |
1% |
14% |
11% |
10% |
9% |
10% |
11% |
||
| Approve |
24% |
5% |
53% |
8% |
22% |
27% |
29% |
25% |
26% |
30% |
28% |
||
| Disapprove |
22% |
27% |
13% |
23% |
35% |
13% |
20% |
18% |
22% |
22% |
24% |
||
| Strongly disapprove |
33% |
62% |
2% |
61% |
30% |
23% |
27% |
40% |
30% |
26% |
26% |
||
| Don’t know |
12% |
4% |
10% |
7% |
12% |
23% |
12% |
7% |
13% |
11% |
10% |
55% of respondents disapprove of the job Tony Abbott is doing as Prime Minister – up 5% since the last time this question was asked in November – and 32% approve of the job Tony Abbott is doing (down 7%). This represents a change in net rating from -11 to -23.
75% (down 10%) of Liberal/National voters approve of Tony Abbott’s performance, with 15% (up 7%) disapproving. 89% of Labor voters and 84% of Greens voters disapprove of Tony Abbott’s performance.
By gender men were 36% approve/51% disapprove and women 27% approve/61% disapprove.
Q. Do you approve or disapprove of the job Bill Shorten is doing as Opposition Leader?
|
Total |
|
Vote Labor |
Vote Lib/Nat |
Vote Greens |
Vote Other |
|
Nov 2013 |
Mar 2014 |
June 2014 |
Sep 2014 |
Oct 2014 |
Nov 2014 |
|
| Total approve |
35% |
64% |
19% |
43% |
22% |
31% |
32% |
38% |
35% |
35% |
37% |
||
| Total disapprove |
39% |
15% |
62% |
30% |
52% |
27% |
39% |
40% |
36% |
36% |
38% |
||
| Strongly approve |
7% |
16% |
1% |
12% |
3% |
5% |
4% |
7% |
5% |
5% |
6% |
||
| Approve |
28% |
48% |
18% |
31% |
19% |
26% |
28% |
31% |
30% |
30% |
31% |
||
| Disapprove |
23% |
12% |
28% |
25% |
32% |
17% |
24% |
22% |
22% |
24% |
25% |
||
| Strongly disapprove |
16% |
3% |
34% |
5% |
20% |
10% |
15% |
18% |
14% |
12% |
13% |
||
| Don’t know |
26% |
21% |
18% |
28% |
26% |
43% |
29% |
22% |
29% |
29% |
25% |
35% (down 2% since November) of respondents approve of the job Bill Shorten is doing as opposition leader and 39% (up 1%) disapprove – for a net rating of -4 (down 3%).
64% (up 1%) of Labor voters approve of the job Bill Shorten is doing and 15% (down 2%) disapprove.
39% of men and 32% of women approve of Bill Shorten. 42% of men and 35% of women disapprove.