Q. In response to claims that he has broken election promises, the Prime Minister said he has ‘fundamentally kept faith with the Australian people’. Do you agree or disagree?
|
Total |
|
Vote Labor |
Vote Lib/Nat |
Vote Greens |
Vote Other |
|
| Total agree |
31% |
12% |
66% |
3% |
25% |
|
| Total disagree |
56% |
82% |
21% |
92% |
71% |
|
| Strongly agree |
8% |
5% |
15% |
1% |
4% |
|
| Agree |
23% |
7% |
51% |
2% |
21% |
|
| Disagree |
22% |
23% |
18% |
33% |
31% |
|
| Strongly disagree |
34% |
|
59% |
3% |
59% |
40% |
| Don’t know |
13% |
|
6% |
13% |
4% |
3% |
56% disagree that Tony Abbott has “fundamentally kept faith with the Australian people” and 31% agree.
While two thirds of Liberal/National voters agree, the vast majority of Labor (82%), Greens (92%) and other voters (71%) disagree.
Q. Which of the following describe your opinion of the Prime Minister, Tony Abbott?
|
2 Sep 13 (as Opposition leader) |
29 Oct 13 |
27 May 14 |
|
Total 2 Dec |
Change |
|
| Out of touch with ordinary people |
52% |
51% |
67% |
66% |
-1 |
|
| Hard working |
71% |
67% |
57% |
62% |
+5 |
|
| Arrogant |
52% |
54% |
63% |
61% |
-2 |
|
| Narrow-minded |
55% |
54% |
61% |
61% |
– |
|
| Superficial |
48% |
49% |
57% |
54% |
-3 |
|
| Intolerant |
47% |
49% |
55% |
53% |
-2 |
|
| Erratic |
43% |
43% |
51% |
52% |
+1 |
|
| Intelligent |
63% |
62% |
52% |
51% |
-1 |
|
| Aggressive |
47% |
46% |
52% |
49% |
-3 |
|
| A capable leader |
46% |
52% |
41% |
43% |
+2 |
|
| Good in a crisis |
39% |
45% |
35% |
42% |
+7 |
|
| Understands the problems facing Australia |
46% |
51% |
42% |
40% |
-2 |
|
| More honest than most politicians |
34% |
39% |
30% |
30% |
– |
|
| Trustworthy |
38% |
40% |
29% |
30% |
+1 |
|
| Visionary |
35% |
33% |
31% |
27% |
-4 |
Tony Abbott’s key attributes were out of touch with ordinary people (66%), hard working (62%), arrogant (61%) and narrow-minded (61%).
Since May, the largest shifts have been for good in a crisis (+7), hard working (+5) ands visionary (-4).
Bill Shorten, leader attributes
Q. Which of the following describe your opinion of the Opposition Leader, Bill Shorten?
|
29 Oct 13 |
27 May 14 |
|
Total 2 Dec |
Change |
|
| Intelligent |
69% |
66% |
66% |
– |
|
| Hard working |
65% |
66% |
64% |
-2 |
|
| Understands the problems facing Australia |
50% |
53% |
53% |
– |
|
| A capable leader |
49% |
51% |
46% |
-5 |
|
| Superficial |
37% |
42% |
41% |
-1 |
|
| Out of touch with ordinary people |
42% |
39% |
40% |
+1 |
|
| Good in a crisis |
40% |
40% |
38% |
-2 |
|
| Narrow-minded |
31% |
35% |
36% |
+1 |
|
| Arrogant |
35% |
36% |
35% |
-1 |
|
| Trustworthy |
34% |
36% |
34% |
-2 |
|
| Visionary |
33% |
30% |
30% |
– |
|
| Erratic |
30% |
32% |
30% |
-2 |
|
| More honest than most politicians |
27% |
32% |
29% |
-3 |
|
| Aggressive |
31% |
32% |
29% |
-3 |
|
| Intolerant |
30% |
29% |
27% |
-2 |
Bill Shorten’s key attributes were intelligent (66%), hard working (64%), understands the problems facing Australia (53%) and a capable leader (46%).
Since May, the largest shift has been for a capable leader (-5).
|
Abbott |
Shorten |
|
Difference |
|
| Out of touch with ordinary people |
66% |
40% |
+26 |
|
| Arrogant |
61% |
35% |
+26 |
|
| Intolerant |
53% |
27% |
+26 |
|
| Narrow-minded |
61% |
36% |
+25 |
|
| Erratic |
52% |
30% |
+22 |
|
| Aggressive |
49% |
29% |
+20 |
|
| Superficial |
54% |
41% |
+13 |
|
| Good in a crisis |
42% |
38% |
+4 |
|
| More honest than most politicians |
30% |
29% |
+1 |
|
| Hard-working |
62% |
64% |
-2 |
|
| Visionary |
27% |
30% |
-3 |
|
| A capable leader |
43% |
46% |
-3 |
|
| Trustworthy |
30% |
34% |
-4 |
|
| Understands the problems facing Australia |
40% |
53% |
-13 |
|
| Intelligent |
51% |
66% |
-15 |
Compared to Bill Shorten, Tony Abbott is much more likely to be considered out of touch with ordinary people (+26), arrogant (+26), intolerant (+26) and narrow minded (+25).
Bill Shorten is regarded by more respondents to be intelligent (-15) and understands the problems facing Australia (-13).
Q. Some of the Government’s legislation has not yet been passed by Parliament. Do you think the Senate should vote for or against the following legislation?
|
|
|
|
|
Vote for legislation |
||||
|
Vote for |
Vote against |
Don’t know |
Vote Labor |
Vote Lib/Nat |
Vote Greens |
Vote Other |
||
| A six-month waiting period for those under-30 before they can access the dole (Newstart) |
39% |
48% |
13% |
29% |
59% |
14% |
34% |
|
| Lower the Renewable Energy Target |
26% |
51% |
23% |
17% |
43% |
4% |
18% |
|
| Deregulation of university fees |
23% |
56% |
21% |
14% |
39% |
9% |
24% |
|
| Paid Parental Leave on 6 months’ full pay |
30% |
57% |
13% |
30% |
28% |
32% |
27% |
|
| Cut public funding for university courses by 20% |
20% |
65% |
14% |
10% |
37% |
3% |
22% |
|
| $7 Medicare co-payment for all visits to the GP. |
24% |
68% |
8% |
9% |
45% |
12% |
29% |
|
| Increase in fuel tax (fuel excise indexation) |
18% |
72% |
10% |
14% |
25% |
23% |
17% |
|
Respondents were more likely to think the Senate should vote against all listed outstanding legislation.
The strongest opposition was to increasing the fuel excise (72%), the $7 Medicare co-payment (68%) and cuts to university funding (65%).
The only legislation which was supported by a majority of Liberal/National voters was a six-month waiting period for those under-30 before they can access the dole (59% for/27% against). A majority of Liberal/National voters thought the Senate should vote against increasing the fuel excise (66%) and the paid parental leave scheme (62%).
Q. Australia’s defence forces have been awarded a 1.5% annual pay increase for the next three years. Do you think this pay increase is fair or unfair?
|
Total |
|
Vote Labor |
Vote Lib/Nat |
Vote Greens |
Vote Other |
|
Work full time |
Work part time |
No increase |
Increase up to 1.5% |
Increase more than 1.5% |
|
| Total fair |
42% |
37% |
50% |
42% |
39% |
45% |
38% |
50% |
55% |
34% |
||
| Total unfair |
47% |
52% |
43% |
33% |
56% |
45% |
44% |
37% |
38% |
61% |
||
| Very fair |
11% |
9% |
12% |
8% |
16% |
12% |
9% |
15% |
13% |
5% |
||
| Fair |
31% |
28% |
38% |
34% |
23% |
33% |
29% |
35% |
42% |
29% |
||
| Unfair |
28% |
25% |
31% |
30% |
37% |
26% |
33% |
24% |
26% |
37% |
||
| Very unfair |
19% |
|
27% |
13% |
3% |
19% |
19% |
11% |
13% |
12% |
24% |
|
| Don’t know |
12% |
|
11% |
6% |
25% |
5% |
10% |
17% |
14% |
7% |
5% |
42% think the 1.5% pay increase awarded to the defence forces is fair and 47% think it is unfair.
A majority of Labor voters (52%) and other voters (56%) think it is unfair.
A majority of workers who said they had received no pay increase or an increase of 1.5% or less in the last 12 months thought the defence forces pay increase was fair while 61% of those who had received a pay increase greater than 1.5% thought it was unfair.
Q. Over the past 12 months, how much has your pay increased? (based on 542 full-time and part-time employees)
|
Total |
|
Work full time |
Work part time |
|
| No increase |
39% |
35% |
45% |
|
| 1% or less |
12% |
10% |
15% |
|
| About 1.5% |
8% |
8% |
7% |
|
| About 2% |
12% |
15% |
8% |
|
| About 3% |
10% |
12% |
7% |
|
| 4-5% |
5% |
|
6% |
2% |
| 6-10% |
2% |
|
3% |
1% |
| More than 10% |
1% |
|
2% |
* |
| Don’t know |
11% |
|
8% |
16% |
A majority of workers (51%) say they have received a pay increase of less than 1.5% in the last 12 months. 30% say they have received an increase of more than 1.5%.
45% of full-time workers say they have received an increase less than 1.5% compared to 60% of part-time workers.
Q. If a Federal Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward?
Q. If don’t know -Well which party are you currently leaning to?
Sample size = 1,745 respondents
| First preference/leaning to |
Election 7 Sep 13 |
|
4 weeks ago 28/10/14 |
2 weeks ago 11/11/14 |
Last week 18/11/14 |
This week 25/11/14 |
| Liberal |
|
36% |
36% |
37% |
38% |
|
| National |
3% |
4% |
3% |
3% |
||
| Total Liberal/National |
45.6% |
39% |
40% |
40% |
40% |
|
| Labor |
33.4% |
39% |
38% |
38% |
39% |
|
| Greens |
8.6% |
9% |
10% |
10% |
10% |
|
| Palmer United Party |
5.5% |
4% |
4% |
3% |
3% |
|
| Other/Independent |
6.9% |
8% |
9% |
9% |
8% |
| 2 Party Preferred |
Election 7 Sep 13 |
|
4 weeks ago 28/10/14 |
2 weeks ago 11/11/14 |
Last week 18/11/14 |
This week 25/11/14 |
| Liberal National |
53.5% |
47% |
48% |
48% |
48% |
|
| Labor |
46.5% |
53% |
52% |
52% |
52% |
NB. The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived from the first preference/leaning to voting questions. Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results. The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2013 election.