Q. How would you rate the performance of Tony Abbott and the Coalition Government in handling relations with Indonesia?
Total |
|
Vote Labor |
Vote Lib/Nat |
Vote Greens |
Vote other |
|
Nov 2013 |
May 2014 |
Oct 2014 |
|
Total good |
24% |
9% |
47% |
9% |
17% |
29% |
25% |
32% |
||
Total poor |
42% |
62% |
16% |
70% |
42% |
42% |
43% |
39% |
||
Very good |
8% |
3% |
16% |
– |
5% |
11% |
8% |
12% |
||
Good |
16% |
6% |
31% |
9% |
12% |
18% |
17% |
20% |
||
Neither good nor poor |
27% |
24% |
32% |
15% |
31% |
21% |
19% |
22% |
||
Poor |
16% |
21% |
10% |
19% |
19% |
16% |
19% |
18% |
||
Very poor |
26% |
41% |
6% |
51% |
23% |
26% |
24% |
21% |
||
Don’t know |
7% |
5% |
5% |
6% |
10% |
8% |
13% |
8% |
24% (down 8% since October) of respondents rate Tony Abbott and the Coalition Government handling of relations with Indonesia as good. 42% (up 3%) rate them as poor. This represents a decline of 11 points from net -7 to net -18 (the same as recorded in May last year).
47% of Liberal/National voters rate the Government’s performance as “good” – compared to 71% in October.
Q. Which of the following describe your opinion of the Minister for Communications (Opposition Leader), Malcolm Turnbull?
June 2009 |
|
Feb 2015 |
|
Difference |
|
Intelligent |
75% |
74% |
-1 |
||
Hard-working |
68% |
66% |
-2 |
||
A capable leader |
39% |
60% |
+21 |
||
Good in a crisis |
32% |
56% |
+24 |
||
Understands the problems facing Australia |
48% |
55% |
+7 |
||
Arrogant |
69% |
48% |
-21 |
||
Out of touch with ordinary people |
65% |
48% |
-17 |
||
Visionary |
26% |
44% |
+18 |
||
Trustworthy |
na |
44% |
na |
||
Superficial |
51% |
41% |
-10 |
||
More honest than most politicians |
16% |
40% |
+24 |
||
Narrow-minded |
51% |
36% |
-15 |
||
Aggressive |
na |
35% |
na |
||
Intolerant |
na |
31% |
na |
||
Erratic |
na |
24% |
na |
||
Demanding |
62% |
na |
na |
||
Down to earth |
25% |
na |
na |
federal politics voting intention
Q. If a Federal Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward?
Q. If don’t know -Well which party are you currently leaning to?
Sample size = 1,796 respondents
First preference/leaning to |
Election 7 Sep 13 |
|
4 weeks ago 20/1/15 |
2 weeks ago 3/2/15 |
Last week 10/2/15 |
This week 17/2/15 |
Liberal |
|
36% |
35% |
36% |
36% |
|
National |
4% |
3% |
3% |
3% |
||
Total Liberal/National |
45.6% |
40% |
38% |
39% |
39% |
|
Labor |
33.4% |
40% |
41% |
41% |
41% |
|
Greens |
8.6% |
10% |
9% |
10% |
10% |
|
Palmer United Party |
5.5% |
2% |
3% |
3% |
2% |
|
Other/Independent |
6.9% |
9% |
9% |
8% |
8% |
2 Party Preferred |
Election 7 Sep 13 |
|
4 weeks ago 20/1/15 |
2 weeks ago 3/2/15 |
Last week 10/2/15 |
This week 17/2/15 |
Liberal National |
53.5% |
47% |
46% |
46% |
46% |
|
Labor |
46.5% |
53% |
54% |
54% |
54% |
NB. The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived from the first preference/leaning to voting questions. Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results. The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2013 election.
Leadership Challenge, Liberal party Leadership
Q. This week the Liberal Party MPs rejected a motion to hold an election for leadership positions. Do you approve or disapprove of their decision?
Total |
|
Vote Labor |
Vote Lib/Nat |
Vote Greens |
Vote Other |
|
Total approve |
40% |
21% |
71% |
22% |
37% |
|
Total disapprove |
40% |
63% |
18% |
55% |
42% |
|
Strongly approve |
16% |
8% |
33% |
5% |
11% |
|
Approve |
24% |
13% |
38% |
17% |
26% |
|
Disapprove |
22% |
30% |
13% |
32% |
22% |
|
Strongly disapprove |
18% |
33% |
5% |
23% |
20% |
|
Don’t know |
20% |
15% |
11% |
23% |
21% |
40% approve of the Liberal Party’s rejection of motion to spill the leadership positions and 40% disapprove.
71% of Liberal/National voters approve.
Q. Which of the following options for the leadership of the Liberal Party do you favour?
Total |
|
Vote Labor |
Vote Lib/Nat |
Vote Greens |
Vote Other |
|
Replace Tony Abbott as soon as possible |
39% |
63% |
14% |
50% |
46% |
|
Give Tony Abbott six months to improve his performance |
22% |
15% |
34% |
16% |
19% |
|
Keep Tony Abbott as leader until the next election |
28% |
15% |
48% |
24% |
25% |
|
Don’t know |
11% |
7% |
5% |
10% |
10% |
39% think that Tony Abbott should be replaced as leader of the Liberal Party as soon as possible and 22% think he should be given six months to improve his performance. 28% think he should remain leader until the next election.
48% of Liberal/National voters think he should remain leader until the next election and 34% think he should be given six months to improve his performance.
Q. Which party do you think is most likely to win the next Federal election due in 2016?
Total |
|
Vote Labor |
Vote Lib/Nat |
Vote Greens |
Vote other |
|
Total Dec 2014 |
|
Labor Party |
49% |
87% |
18% |
62% |
44% |
46% |
||
Liberal/National Party |
23% |
3% |
57% |
11% |
10% |
27% |
||
Can’t say |
28% |
10% |
26% |
27% |
46% |
27% |
49% think the Labor Party is most likely to win the next election and 23% think the Liberal/National Party is most likely to win. 28% could not give an opinion. This represents a shift toward the Labor Party since this question was asked in December.
87% (up 3%) of Labor voters think the Labor Party is most likely to win and 57% (down 7%) of Liberal/National voters think the Liberal/National Party will win.
Q. Do you think Tony Abbott is likely or unlikely to still be the leader of the Liberal Party at the next election?
Total |
|
Vote Labor |
Vote Lib/Nat |
Vote Greens |
Vote other |
|
Total Dec 2014 |
|
Likely |
20% |
12% |
36% |
12% |
12% |
29% |
||
Unlikely |
61% |
79% |
40% |
70% |
80% |
51% |
||
Don’t know |
19% |
9% |
23% |
18% |
8% |
20% |
61% (up 10% since December) think that Tony Abbott is unlikely to still be leader of the Liberal Party at the next election and 20% (down 9%) think it is likely.
79% (up 7%) of Labor voters and 70% (up 2%) of Greens voters think it is unlikely and 36% (down 14%) of Liberal/National voters think it is likely he will still be leader.
handling the economy, Party Trust to Handle Issues, protecting the environment, quality education for all children, quality of Australia’s health system
Q. Which party would you trust most to handle the following issues?
Liberal |
Labor |
Greens |
Don’t know |
|
Difference |
|
Difference June 2014 |
|
Management of the economy |
42% |
25% |
5% |
28% |
+17 |
+13 |
||
Ensuring a quality education for all children |
28% |
38% |
8% |
26% |
-10 |
-15 |
||
Ensuring the quality of Australia’s health system |
28% |
38% |
7% |
27% |
-10 |
-13 |
||
Protecting the environment |
17% |
16% |
42% |
25% |
-25 |
-22 |
||
A fair industrial relations system |
28% |
38% |
6% |
28% |
-10 |
-11 |
||
Political leadership |
32% |
25% |
5% |
37% |
+7 |
+6 |
||
Addressing climate change |
18% |
19% |
36% |
28% |
-17 |
-12 |
||
Controlling interest rates |
36% |
23% |
5% |
37% |
+13 |
+12 |
||
Australian jobs and protection of local industries |
28% |
37% |
6% |
29% |
-9 |
-12 |
||
Ensuring a quality water supply |
25% |
19% |
26% |
31% |
+6 |
+5 |
||
Housing affordability |
25% |
31% |
7% |
37% |
-6 |
-4 |
||
Ensuring a fair taxation system |
31% |
33% |
6% |
31% |
-2 |
+1 |
||
Security and the war on terrorism |
41% |
22% |
4% |
33% |
+19 |
+16 |
||
Treatment of asylum seekers |
33% |
20% |
18% |
29% |
+13 |
+17 |
||
Managing population growth |
32% |
20% |
9% |
39% |
+12 |
+10 |
Note – Differences are calculated by subtracting Labor % from Liberal % – except for the two issues on which the Greens lead in which case it is Liberal minus Greens.
The Liberal Party is trusted more to handle security and the war on terrorism (+19), management of the economy (+17), controlling interest rates (+13) and treatment of asylum seekers (+13). The Labor Party is trusted more to handle a quality education for all children (-10), ensuring the quality of Australia’s health system (-10), a fair industrial relations system (-10) and Australian jobs and protection of local industries (-9).
There have been no substantial movements since this question was asked in June. Main changes have been an improvement for the Liberal Party on education (up net 5 points), the economy (up 4) and treatment of asylum seekers (down 4).