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  • Oct, 2016

    Concern about Muslims (post information)

    Q. The most recent Census figures show that in fact only 2.2% of the Australian population identifies as Muslim.  In light of this information, how concerned are you about the number of Muslim people in Australia?

      Total   Vote Labor Vote Lib/Nat Vote Greens Vote other   Feb 2011
    Total concerned 47%   42% 56% 25% 67%   50%
    Total not concerned 47%   55% 39% 74% 31%   45%
    Very Concerned 21%   20% 23% 9% 38%   22%
    Somewhat concerned 26%   22% 33% 16% 29%   28%
    Not very concerned 24%   26% 22% 32% 16%   26%
    Not at all concerned 23%   29% 17% 42% 15%   19%
    Don’t know/Refused 6%   4% 5% 1% 3%   5%

    After being given some information about the number of Muslims in Australia, 47% said they were still very/somewhat concerned and 47% said they were not very or not at all concerned. This represents a 6% fall in level of concern from the question asked before this information was given to respondents.

  • Oct, 2016

    Reasons for SA Power Blackout

    Q. Some people have said the recent power black out in South Australia was a result of too much reliance on renewable energy. Others have said that the storm damage would have shut down the power grid regardless of how the electricity was produced. Which is closest to your view?

      Total   Vote Labor Vote Lib/Nat Vote Greens Vote other
    The power black out was a result of too much reliance on renewable energy 17%   13% 25% 13% 17%
    The power black out would have occurred regardless of how the electricity was produced 60%   67% 51% 74% 60%
    Don’t know 24%   20% 23% 13% 23%

    60% believe the SA power black out would have occurred regardless of how the electricity was produced and 17% think it was a result of too much reliance on renewable energy.

    Liberal National voters were a little more likely to think it was a result of over-reliance on renewable energy (25%). There were no significant differences by age or gender. Although a small sample, 72% of South Australians thought it would have occurred regardless and 15% thought it was a result of over-reliance on renewable energy.

  • Oct, 2016

    Renewable Energy

    Q. Do you think renewable energy is the solution to our future energy needs or is renewable energy a threat to our future energy supply?

      Total   Vote Labor Vote Lib/Nat Vote Greens Vote other
    The solution to our energy needs 60%   70% 52% 82% 61%
    A threat to future energy supply 16%   10% 25% 10% 21%
    Don’t know 24%   20% 235 8% 18%

    60% agree more that renewable energy is the solution to our future energy needs and 16% think it is a threat to future energy supply.

    70% of Labor voters and 82% of Greens voters think it is the solution to future energy needs.

    Although a small sample, 59% of South Australians think it is the solution and 20% think it is a threat.

  • Oct, 2016

    State Voting Intention

    State Voting Intention – NSW

    Q. If a State Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward? If don’t know -Well which party are you currently leaning to?

      Election

    Mar 2015

      Oct-Dec 2015 Jan-Mar

    2016

    Apr-Jun 2016 Jul-Sep 2016   July August Sept-ember
    Sample     3,205 3,220 3,769 3,867   1,177 1,499 1,191
    First preference vote                    
    Liberal/National 45.6%   48% 47% 44% 44%   45% 45% 42%
    Labor 34.1%   33% 34% 37% 37%   36% 36% 39%
    Greens 10.3%   10% 10% 9% 9%   9% 9% 9%
    Other/Independent 10.0%   10% 10% 10% 10%   10% 11% 11%
                         
    2PP                    
    Liberal/National 54.3%   56% 56% 52% 52%   53% 53% 50%
    Labor 45.7%   44% 44% 48% 48%   47% 47% 50%

    State Voting Intention – Queensland

    Q. If a State Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward? If don’t know -Well which party are you currently leaning to?

      Election

    Jan 2015

      Oct-Dec 2015 Jan-Mar

    2016

    Apr-Jun 2016 Jul-Sep 2016   July August Sept-ember
    Sample     1,873 1,893 2,251 2,386   711 844 701
    First preference vote                    
    LNP 41.3%   42% 40% 40% 38%   41% 35% 37%
    Labor 37.5%   39% 40% 37% 37%   37% 40% 35%
    Greens 8.4%   8% 9% 8% 8%   7% 9% 8%
    One Nation             10%
    Katter Party 1.9%   3% 2% 3% 2%   2% 1% 1%
    Other/Independent 10.9%   8% 10% 12% 15%   13% 15% 9%
                         
    2PP                    
    LNP 48.9%   50% 48% 49% 47%   49% 44% 48%
    Labor 51.1%   50% 52% 51% 53%   51% 56% 52%

    State Voting Intention – Victoria

    Q. If a State Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward? If don’t know -Well which party are you currently leaning to?

      Election

    Nov 2014

      Oct-Dec 2015 Jan-Mar

    2016

    Apr-Jun 2016 Jul-Sep 2016   July August Sept-ember
    Sample     2,402 2,383 2,803 2,880   895 1,093 892
    First preference vote                    
    Liberal/National 42.0%   40% 41% 41% 40%   39% 40% 41%
    Labor 38.1%   38% 38% 38% 38%   39% 38% 38%
    Greens 11.5%   13% 13% 12% 12%   11% 12% 12%
    Other/Independent 8.4%   9% 8% 9% 10%   11% 10% 9%
                         
    2PP                    
    Liberal/National 48.0%   47% 47% 47% 47%   47% 47% 47%
    Labor 52.0%   53% 53% 53% 53%   53% 53% 53%

    State Voting Intention – South Australia

    Q. If a State Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward? If don’t know -Well which party are you currently leaning to?

      Election

    Mar 2014

      Oct-Dec 2015 Jan-Mar

    2016

    Apr-Jun 2016 Jul-Sep 2016
    Sample     797 803 912 942
    First preference vote            
    Liberal 44.8%   32% 29% 30% 30%
    Labor 35.8%   39% 37% 34% 38%
    Greens 8.7%   10% 9% 7% 7%
    Nick Xenophon Team       15% 20% 16%
    Other/Independent 10.7%   19% 10% 9% 9%
                 
    2PP            
    Liberal 53.0%   46% 46% 49% 46%
    Labor 47.0%   54% 54% 51% 54%

    State Voting Intention – Western Australia

    Q. If a State Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward? If don’t know -Well which party are you currently leaning to?

      Election

    Mar 2013

      Oct-Dec 2015 Jan-Mar

    2016

    Apr-Jun 2016 Jul-Sep 2016
    Sample     946 931 1,105 1,115
    First preference vote            
    Liberal 47.1%   37% 40% 37% 34%
    National 6.1%   6% 4% 5% 4%
    Labor 33.1%   35% 34% 39% 39%
    Greens 8.4%   12% 12% 10% 11%
    Other/Independent 5.3%   10% 10% 10% 12%
                 
    2PP            
    Liberal/National 57.3%   51% 52% 49% 47%
    Labor 42.7%   49% 48% 51% 53%
  • Oct, 2016

    Federal voting intention

    Q. If a Federal Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward? If don’t know – Well which party are you currently leaning to?

      Total   Last week

    27/9/16

    2 weeks ago

    20/9/16

    4 weeks ago

    6/9/16

      Election 2 Jul 16
    Liberal 36%   36% 34% 36%    
    National 3%   3% 3% 3%    
    Total Liberal/National 40%   39% 37% 39%   42.0%
    Labor 36%   36% 37% 37%   34.7%
    Greens 8%   9% 10% 10%   10.2%
    Nick Xenophon Team 3%   3% 4% 3%    
    Pauline Hanson’s One Nation 6%   6% 6% 5%    
    Other/Independent 7%   7% 7% 6%   13.1%
    2 party preferred              
    Liberal National 49%   48% 48% 48%   50.4%
    Labor 51%   52% 52% 52%   49.6%
    1. Sample = 1,780. The data in the above tables comprise 2-week averages derived from the first preference/leaning to voting questions. Respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results. The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2016 election.

     

  • Oct, 2016

    Plebiscite or vote in Parliament

    Q. The Liberal/National Government has proposed holding a plebiscite on same sex marriage. The Labor Party, the Greens and the Nick Xenophon Team are opposed to holding a plebiscite and want a vote in Parliament. Which of the following options would you favour to resolve this issue?

      Total   Vote Labor Vote Lib/Nat Vote Greens Vote other   Men Women Aged 18-34 Aged 35-54 Aged 55+   Vote yes Vote no
    The Liberal/National Government should agree to a vote in Parliament 53% 60% 56% 71% 47% 56% 49% 51% 55% 50% 66% 38%
    The Labor Party, Greens and Xenophon Team should agree to a plebiscite 24% 25% 26% 24% 27% 25% 22% 21% 20% 33% 20% 36%
    Don’t know 24% 15% 18% 4% 26% 19% 28% 28% 25% 17% 14% 26%

     

    To resolve the issue of same-sex marriage, 53% think the Liberal National Government should agree to a vote in Parliament and 24% think Labor and the other parties should agree to a plebiscite.

    Those most likely to think the Government should agree to a vote in Parliament were Greens voters (71%) and those who would vote in favour of same-sex marriage in a plebiscite (66%). 56% of Liberal National voters think their party should agree to a vote in Parliament.

     

  • Oct, 2016

    National vote on same-sex marriage

    Q. The Federal Government plans to hold a national vote on same sex marriage in February next year. If the question was “Should the law be changed to allow same-sex couples to marry?” how would you vote?

      Total   Vote Labor Vote Lib/Nat Vote Greens Vote other   Men Women Aged 18-34 Aged 35-54 Aged 55+   Aug 2016
    Yes 58% 71% 49% 89% 44% 55% 60% 63% 61% 45% 60%
    No 28% 18% 39% 9% 42% 32% 24% 21% 25% 41% 30%
    Don’t know 14% 11% 11% 1% 13% 13% 16% 16% 14% 14% 10%

     

    58% would vote “yes” in a plebiscite on same-sex marriage and 28% would vote “no”. 14% did not know how they would vote.

    This represents little change since this question was asked in August.

    Those most likely to vote “yes” were Greens voters (89%), Labor voters (71%) and those aged 18-24 (71%).

    48% of those aged 65+ would vote “no”.

     

  • Oct, 2016

    Should plebiscite be binding

    Q. If a plebiscite is held, should the result be binding on Parliament or should members of Parliament still have a free vote?

      Total   Vote Labor Vote Lib/Nat Vote Greens Vote other   Vote yes Vote no
    Should be binding on Parliament 49%   56% 49% 59% 52%   60% 42%
    Members of Parliament should still have a free vote 26%   23% 29% 27% 29%   22% 36%
    Don’t know 25%   20% 22% 14% 18%   19% 22%

    49% think that a plebiscite on same-sex marriage should be binding on Parliament and 26% think parliamentarians should still have a free vote.

    Those most likely to support a binding vote were Greens voters (59%), Labor voters (56%) and those who would vote yes in a plebiscite (60%).

     

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