Q. If a Federal Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward? If don’t know – Well which party are you currently leaning to?
| Total | 4 weeks ago 20/12/16 | Election 2 Jul 16 | |||
| Liberal | 35% | 34% | |||
| National | 3% | 2% | |||
| Total Liberal/National | 38% | 37% | 42.0% | ||
| Labor | 37% | 37% | 34.7% | ||
| Greens | 9% | 10% | 10.2% | ||
| Nick Xenophon Team | 4% | 3% | |||
| Pauline Hanson’s One Nation | 8% | 8% | |||
| Other/Independent | 4% | 6% | 13.1% | ||
| 2 party preferred | |||||
| Liberal National | 47% | 47% | 50.4% | ||
| Labor | 53% | 53% | 49.6% |
Q. Do you approve or disapprove of the job Malcolm Turnbull is doing as Prime Minister?
| Total | Vote Labor | Vote Lib/Nat | Vote Greens | Vote other | Dec 2015 | Mar 2016 | Jun 2016 | Sep 2016 | Oct 2016 | Nov 2016 | Dec 2016 | |||
| Total approve | 37% | 20% | 76% | 13% | 12% | 56% | 45% | 38% | 35% | 38% | 36% | 34% | ||
| Total disapprove | 48% | 69% | 17% | 68% | 69% | 23% | 35% | 40% | 43% | 41% | 44% | 46% | ||
| Strongly approve | 6% | 4% | 12% | 2% | – | 13% | 6% | 6% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 5% | ||
| Approve | 31% | 16% | 64% | 11% | 12% | 43% | 39% | 32% | 31% | 33% | 30% | 29% | ||
| Disapprove | 30% | 40% | 15% | 40% | 41% | 16% | 24% | 24% | 27% | 25% | 26% | 30% | ||
| Strongly disapprove | 18% | 29% | 2% | 28% | 28% | 7% | 11% | 16% | 16% | 16% | 18% | 16% | ||
| Don’t know | 16% | 12% | 7% | 19% | 18% | 21% | 21% | 21% | 22% | 20% | 21% | 20% |
37% (up 3% from 5 weeks ago) of respondents approve of the job Malcolm Turnbull is doing as Prime Minister and 48% (up 2%) disapprove – a change in net approval rating from -12 to -11. This is Malcolm Turnbull’s highest level of disapproval since becoming Prime Minister.
76% (up 11%) of Liberal/National voters approve of Malcolm Turnbull’s performance with 17% (down 3%) disapproving. 20% (up 1%) of Labor voters and 13% (down 11%) of Greens voters approve of Malcolm Turnbull’s performance.
By gender, men were 39% approve/52% disapprove and women 35% approve/44% disapprove.
Q. Do you approve or disapprove of the job Bill Shorten is doing as Opposition Leader?
| Total | Vote Labor | Vote Lib/Nat | Vote Greens | Vote other | Nov 2013 | Dec 2014 | Dec 2015 | Mar 2016 | Jun 2016 | Sep 2016 | Oct 2016 | Nov 2016 | Dec 2016 | |||
| Total approve | 37% | 66% | 23% | 38% | 13% | 31% | 35% | 27% | 27% | 34% | 36% | 37% | 34% | 35% | ||
| Total disapprove | 44% | 19% | 62% | 35% | 70% | 27% | 39% | 47% | 47% | 40% | 41% | 40% | 43% | 38% | ||
| Strongly approve | 7% | 14% | 3% | 6% | 3% | 5% | 7% | 4% | 3% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 6% | 6% | ||
| Approve | 30% | 52% | 20% | 32% | 10% | 26% | 28% | 23% | 24% | 27% | 30% | 32% | 28% | 29% | ||
| Disapprove | 25% | 15% | 30% | 30% | 34% | 17% | 23% | 26% | 29% | 22% | 24% | 23% | 26% | 21% | ||
| Strongly disapprove | 19% | 4% | 32% | 5% | 36% | 10% | 16% | 21% | 18% | 18% | 17% | 17% | 17% | 17% | ||
| Don’t know | 20% | 16% | 15% | 27% | 17% | 43% | 26% | 25% | 26% | 25% | 22% | 22% | 23% | 25% |
37% (up 2% in last 5 weeks) of respondents approve of the job Bill Shorten is doing as opposition leader and 44% (up 6%) disapprove – a change in his net rating from -3 to -7.
66% (up 4%) of Labor voters approve of the job Bill Shorten is doing and 19% (up 3%) disapprove.
39% of men and 33% of women approve of Bill Shorten. 48% of men and 40% of women disapprove.
Q. Who do you think would make the better Prime Minister out of Malcolm Turnbull and Bill Shorten?
| Total | Vote Labor | Vote Lib/Nat | Vote Greens | Vote other | Sep 2015 | Dec 2015 | Mar 2016 | Jun 2016 | Sep 2016 | Oct 2016 | Nov 2016 | Dec 2016 | |||
| Malcolm Turnbull | 39% | 13% | 81% | 12% | 25% | 53% | 54% | 48% | 40% | 41% | 41% | 40% | 39% | ||
| Bill Shorten | 28% | 59% | 4% | 48% | 16% | 17% | 15% | 19% | 29% | 26% | 28% | 28% | 28% | ||
| Don’t know | 33% | 28% | 15% | 40% | 59% | 30% | 31% | 33% | 32% | 33% | 31% | 32% | 33% |
39% (no change in last 5 weeks) of respondents think Malcolm Turnbull would make the better Prime Minister and 28% (no change) think Bill Shorten would make the better Prime Minister.
44% of men prefer Malcolm Turnbull and 29% prefer Bill Shorten.
35% of women prefer Malcolm Turnbull and 26% prefer Bill Shorten.
Q. If a State Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward? If don’t know -Well which party are you currently leaning to?
| Election
Mar 2015 |
Oct-Dec 2015 | Jan-Mar
2016 |
Apr-Jun 2016 | Jul-Sep 2016 | Oct-Dec 2016 | Oct-ober | Nov-ember | Dec-ember | |||
| Sample | 3,205 | 3,220 | 3,769 | 3,867 | 3,477 | 1,154 | 1,460 | 863 | |||
| First preference vote | |||||||||||
| Liberal/National | 45.6% | 48% | 47% | 44% | 44% | 43% | 43% | 44% | 42% | ||
| Labor | 34.1% | 33% | 34% | 37% | 37% | 38% | 39% | 36% | 39% | ||
| Greens | 10.3% | 10% | 10% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 9% | 9% | ||
| Other/Independent | 10.0% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 11% | 10% | 11% | 10% | ||
| 2PP | |||||||||||
| Liberal/National | 54.3% | 56% | 56% | 52% | 52% | 51% | 50% | 53% | 50% | ||
| Labor | 45.7% | 44% | 44% | 48% | 48% | 49% | 50% | 47% | 50% |
Q. If a State Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward? If don’t know -Well which party are you currently leaning to?
| Election
Jan 2015 |
Oct-Dec 2015 | Jan-Mar
2016 |
Apr-Jun 2016 | Jul-Sep 2016 | Oct-Dec 2016 | Oct-ober | Nov-ember | Dec-ember | |||
| Sample | 1,873 | 1,893 | 2,251 | 2,386 | 2,085 | 701 | 888 | 496 | |||
| First preference vote | |||||||||||
| LNP | 41.3% | 42% | 40% | 40% | 38% | 34% | 35% | 32% | 35% | ||
| Labor | 37.5% | 39% | 40% | 37% | 37% | 36% | 36% | 37% | 33% | ||
| Greens | 8.4% | 8% | 9% | 8% | 8% | 10% | 9% | 10% | 10% | ||
| One Nation | – | 12% | 10% | 12% | 13% | ||||||
| Katter Party | 1.9% | 3% | 2% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 1% | ||
| Other/Independent | 10.9% | 8% | 10% | 12% | 15% | 7% | 8% | 7% | 7% | ||
| 2PP | |||||||||||
| LNP | 48.9% | 50% | 48% | 49% | 47% | 46% | 46% | 44% | 47% | ||
| Labor | 51.1% | 50% | 52% | 51% | 53% | 54% | 54% | 56% | 53% |
Q. If a State Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward? If don’t know -Well which party are you currently leaning to?
| Election
Nov 2014 |
Oct-Dec 2015 | Jan-Mar
2016 |
Apr-Jun 2016 | Jul-Sep 2016 | Oct-Dec 2016 | Oct-ober | Nov-ember | Dec-ember | |||
| Sample | 2,402 | 2,383 | 2,803 | 2,880 | 2,631 | 886 | 1,104 | 641 | |||
| First preference vote | |||||||||||
| Liberal/National | 42.0% | 40% | 41% | 41% | 40% | 41% | 41% | 41% | 41% | ||
| Labor | 38.1% | 38% | 38% | 38% | 38% | 38% | 39% | 38% | 38% | ||
| Greens | 11.5% | 13% | 13% | 12% | 12% | 11% | 11% | 11% | 12% | ||
| Other/Independent | 8.4% | 9% | 8% | 9% | 10% | 9% | 9% | 10% | 9% | ||
| 2PP | |||||||||||
| Liberal/National | 48.0% | 47% | 47% | 47% | 47% | 47% | 48% | 47% | 47% | ||
| Labor | 52.0% | 53% | 53% | 53% | 53% | 53% | 52% | 53% | 53% |
Q. If a State Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward? If don’t know -Well which party are you currently leaning to?
| Election
Mar 2014 |
Oct-Dec 2015 | Jan-Mar
2016 |
Apr-Jun 2016 | Jul-Sep 2016 | Oct-Dec 2016 | ||
| Sample | 797 | 803 | 912 | 942 | 880 | ||
| First preference vote | |||||||
| Liberal | 44.8% | 32% | 29% | 30% | 30% | 32% | |
| Labor | 35.8% | 39% | 37% | 34% | 38% | 35% | |
| Greens | 8.7% | 10% | 9% | 7% | 7% | 7% | |
| Nick Xenophon Team | 15% | 20% | 16% | 17% | |||
| Other/Independent | 10.7% | 19% | 10% | 9% | 9% | 8% | |
| 2PP | |||||||
| Liberal | 53.0% | 46% | 46% | 49% | 46% | 49% | |
| Labor | 47.0% | 54% | 54% | 51% | 54% | 51% |