Essential Report

State voting intention – Victoria

Dec 21, 2016

Q. If a State Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward? If don’t know -Well which party are you currently leaning to?

  Election

Nov 2014

  Oct-Dec 2015 Jan-Mar

2016

Apr-Jun 2016 Jul-Sep 2016 Oct-Dec 2016   Oct-ober Nov-ember Dec-ember
Sample     2,402 2,383 2,803 2,880 2,631   886 1,104 641
First preference vote                      
Liberal/National 42.0%   40% 41% 41% 40% 41%   41% 41% 41%
Labor 38.1%   38% 38% 38% 38% 38%   39% 38% 38%
Greens 11.5%   13% 13% 12% 12% 11%   11% 11% 12%
Other/Independent 8.4%   9% 8% 9% 10% 9%   9% 10% 9%
                       
2PP                      
Liberal/National 48.0%   47% 47% 47% 47% 47%   48% 47% 47%
Labor 52.0%   53% 53% 53% 53% 53%   52% 53% 53%

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