Q. If a Federal Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward? If don’t know – Well which party are you currently leaning to?
| Total | 2 weeks ago
23/10/18 |
4 weeks ago 9/10/18 | Election 2 Jul 16 | |||
| Liberal | 33% | 36% | 34% | |||
| National | 3% | 2% | 4% | |||
| Total Liberal/National | 36% | 38% | 38% | 42.0% | ||
| Labor | 39% | 37% | 37% | 34.7% | ||
| Greens | 10% | 10% | 10% | 10.2% | ||
| Pauline Hanson’s One Nation | 6% | 7% | 7% | |||
| Other/Independent | 9% | 8% | 9% | 13.1% | ||
| 2 party preferred | ||||||
| Liberal National | 46% | 47% | 47% | 50.4% | ||
| Labor | 54% | 53% | 53% | 49.6% |
Q. Do you approve or disapprove of the job Scott Morrison is doing as Prime Minister?
| Total | Vote Labor | Vote Lib/Nat | Vote Greens | Vote Other | Oct 2018 | Sep 2018 | Turnbull Aug 2018 | |||
| Total approve | 41% | 25% | 72% | 20% | 41% | 43% | 37% | 42% | ||
| Total disapprove | 37% | 58% | 12% | 63% | 40% | 28% | 31% | 42% | ||
| Strongly approve | 10% | 4% | 23% | 1% | 8% | 10% | 9% | 9% | ||
| Approve | 31% | 21% | 49% | 19% | 33% | 33% | 28% | 33% | ||
| Disapprove | 21% | 29% | 11% | 34% | 22% | 17% | 17% | 23% | ||
| Strongly disapprove | 16% | 29% | 1% | 29% | 18% | 11% | 14% | 19% | ||
| Don’t know | 23% | 17% | 16% | 18% | 19% | 28% | 33% | 16% |
41% approved of the job Scott Morrison is doing as Prime Minister (down 2% from last month) and 37% disapproved (up 9%) – a change in net approval rating from +15 to +4. 23% could not give an opinion.
7% (down 5%) of Liberal/National voters approved of the job Scott Morrison is doing, compared to 25% of ALP voters, 20% of Greens and 41% of other voters.
By gender, men were 46% approve/39% disapprove and women 34% approve/34% disapprove.
Q. Do you approve or disapprove of the job Bill Shorten is doing as Opposition Leader?
| Total | Vote Labor | Vote Lib/Nat | Vote Greens | Vote other | Oct 2018 | Sep 2018 | Jun 2018 | Mar 2018 | Dec 2017 | Sep 2017 | June 2017 | Mar 2017 | |||
| Total Approve | 38% | 67% | 23% | 40% | 19% | 33% | 35% | 33% | 37% | 36% | 36% | 34% | 30% | ||
| Total Disapprove | 44% | 17% | 67% | 43% | 71% | 45% | 43% | 46% | 44% | 45% | 47% | 43% | 49% | ||
| Strongly approve | 8% | 20% | 2% | 5% | 1% | 8% | 8% | 6% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 5% | 4% | ||
| Approve | 30% | 47% | 21% | 35% | 18% | 25% | 27% | 27% | 29% | 29% | 29% | 29% | 26% | ||
| Disapprove | 24% | 14% | 31% | 36% | 31% | 23% | 21% | 23% | 23% | 23% | 25% | 28% | 26% | ||
| Strongly disapprove | 20% | 3% | 36% | 7% | 40% | 22% | 22% | 23% | 21% | 22% | 22% | 15% | 23% | ||
| Don’t know | 18% | 15% | 9% | 18% | 10% | 23% | 22% | 21% | 19% | 19% | 17% | 23% | 22% |
38% approved of the job Bill Shorten is doing as Opposition Leader (up 5% from last month), and 44% disapproved (down 1%) – a change in net approval rating from -12 to -6.
67% (up 4%) of ALP voters approved of the job Bill Shorten is doing, compared to 40% of Greens voters and 23% of Liberal/National voters.
By gender, men were 43% approve/46% disapprove and women 34% approve/41% disapprove.
Q. Who do you think would make the better Prime Minister out of Scott Morrison and Bill Shorten?
| Total | Vote Labor | Vote Lib/Nat | Vote Greens | Vote other | Oct 2018 | Sep 2018 | Sep 2018 | Aug 2018
Turnbull |
|||
| Scott Morrison | 41% | 18% | 80% | 16% | 47% | 42% | 39% | 39% | 41% | ||
| Bill Shorten | 29% | 59% | 7% | 46% | 16% | 27% | 27% | 29% | 27% | ||
| Don’t know | 29% | 2w3% | 13% | 37% | 37% | 31% | 34% | 32% | 31% |
41% thought that Scott Morrison would make the better Prime Minister (down 1% from last month), and 29% thought Bill Shorten would be better (up 2%). 29% did not know who would make a better Prime Minister.
The results were split by party, with 80% of Liberal/National voters saying that Scott Morrison would be a better Prime Minister, and 59% of Labor voters saying Bill Shorten would.
Greens voters preferred Bill Shorten (46%) to Scott Morrison (16%).
45% of men prefer Scott Morrison and 33% prefer Bill Shorten.
37% of women prefer Scott Morrison and 26% prefer Bill Shorten.
Q. Would you support or oppose Australia becoming a republic with an Australian head of state?
| Total | Vote Labor | Vote Lib/Nat | Vote Greens | Vote other | Jan 2017 | Jan 2018 | May 2018 | |||
| Total support | 44% | 53% | 43% | 57% | 35% | 44% | 44% | 48% | ||
| Total oppose | 32% | 26% | 40% | 23% | 45% | 30% | 29% | 30% | ||
| Strongly support | 16% | 22% | 12% | 17% | 16% | 21% | 18% | 21% | ||
| Support | 28% | 31% | 31% | 40% | 19% | 23% | 26% | 27% | ||
| Oppose | 15% | 14% | 20% | 12% | 15% | 18% | 14% | 17% | ||
| Strongly oppose | 17% | 12% | 20% | 11% | 30% | 12% | 15% | 13% | ||
| Don’t know | 24% | 22% | 17% | 20% | 20% | 26% | 26% | 22% |
44% support Australia becoming a republic and 32% oppose. 24% have no opinion.
This is a small drop in support (down 4%) for a republic since this question was asked in May.
Younger respondents were a little more likely to support a republic – 50% of those aged under 35 support a republic compared to 43% of aged 35-54 and 39% of those aged 55+.
Q. Do you have a favourable or unfavourable opinion of the following members of the Royal family?
| Total favour-able | Total unfavour-able | Very favour-able | Favour-able | Neither favour-able nor unfavour-able | Unfavour-able | Very unfavour-able | Don’t know | ||
| Queen Elizabeth | 61% | 10% | 29% | 32% | 26% | 5% | 5% | 3% | |
| Prince Charles | 33% | 30% | 9% | 24% | 35% | 16% | 14% | 3% | |
| Prince William | 68% | 9% | 32% | 36% | 20% | 4% | 5% | 3% | |
| Prince Harry | 70% | 9% | 40% | 30% | 19% | 4% | 5% | 2% |
| Total favour-able | Vote Labor | Vote Lib/Nat | Vote Greens | Vote other | ||
| Queen Elizabeth | 61% | 63% | 71% | 47% | 59% | |
| Prince Charles | 33% | 33% | 45% | 27% | 24% | |
| Prince William | 68% | 69% | 76% | 57% | 69% | |
| Prince Harry | 70% | 74% | 76% | 64% | 69% |
Overall, perceptions of Queen Elizabeth, Prince William and Prince Harry were highly favourable. 70% had a favourable opinion of Prince Harry, 68% Prince William and 61% Queen Elizabeth.
However, only 33% had a favourable opinion of Prince Charles – with 30% unfavourable and 35% neither.
Liberal/National voters tended to have a more favourable opinion of these members of the Royal family than other voter groups.
Q. How would you describe your level of interest in horse racing?
| Total | Vote Labor | Vote Lib/Nat | Vote Greens | Vote other | Oct 2011 | |||
| High interest | 8% | 8% | 10% | 5% | 5% | 6% | ||
| Moderate interest | 20% | 23% | 26% | 15% | 16% | 16% | ||
| Low interest | 26% | 28% | 26% | 27% | 22% | 33% | ||
| No interest | 44% | 40% | 37% | 53% | 56% | 44% | ||
| Don’t know | 2% | 2% | 1% | – | 1% | 1% |
8% say they have a high interest in horse racing and 20% have a moderate interest. 70% say they have low or no interest. This represents a little more interest than when this question was asked in 2011.
Those with most interest are men (34% high/moderate), aged 18-34 (37%), full-time workers (37%) and those earning more than $2,000 pw (37%).
Q. Do you agree or disagree with the following statements?
| Total agree | Total dis-agree | Strongly agree | Agree | Dis-agree | Strongly dis-agree | Don’t know | ||
| I regularly bet on horse races | 19% | 78% | 7% | 12% | 21% | 57% | 3% | |
| I rarely bet on horse races but will be watching the Melbourne Cup and placing a bet | 38% | 55% | 13% | 25% | 21% | 34% | 7% | |
| I will watch the Melbourne Cup but will not place a bet | 33% | 59% | 10% | 23% | 26% | 33% | 8% | |
| I have never been interested in the Melbourne Cup | 33% | 62% | 15% | 18% | 34% | 28% | 5% | |
| I have become less interested in the Melbourne Cup over recent years because of my concerns with gambling | 26% | 67% | 9% | 17% | 33% | 34% | 8% | |
| I have become less interested in the Melbourne Cup because of my concerns about animal cruelty | 29% | 63% | 13% | 16% | 32% | 31% | 7% |
| Total agree | Vote Labor | Vote Lib/Nat | Vote Greens | Vote other | ||
| I regularly bet on horse races | 19% | 22% | 23% | 14% | 9% | |
| I rarely bet on horse races but will be watching the Melbourne Cup and placing a bet | 38% | 41% | 49% | 27% | 35% | |
| I will watch the Melbourne Cup but will not place a bet | 33% | 32% | 42% | 29% | 28% | |
| I have never been interested in the Melbourne Cup | 33% | 34% | 28% | 36% | 34% | |
| I have become less interested in the Melbourne Cup over recent years because of my concerns with gambling | 26% | 29% | 25% | 34% | 26% | |
| I have become less interested in the Melbourne Cup because of my concerns about animal cruelty | 29% | 32% | 25% | 55% | 23% |
Despite only 19% saying they regularly bet on horse races, 38% say they will be watching the Melbourne Cup and placing a bet while 33% say they will be watching the Cup but not placing a bet.
However, 33% agree that they have never been interested in the Melbourne Cup. 26% agree they have become less interested because of concerns about gambling and 29% have become less interested because of concerns about animal cruelty.
Liberal/National voters tend to have more interest in the Melbourne Cup than other voter groups.