Q. Do you approve or disapprove of the job Bill Shorten is doing as Opposition Leader?
Total | Vote Labor | Vote Lib/Nat | Vote Greens | Vote other | Nov 2018 | Oct 2018 | Sep 2018 | Jun 2018 | Mar 2018 | Dec 2017 | Sep 2017 | June 2017 | Mar 2017 | |||
Total approve | 35% | 62% | 18% | 46% | 15% | 38% | 33% | 35% | 33% | 37% | 36% | 36% | 34% | 30% | ||
Total disapprove | 43% | 15% | 73% | 31% | 75% | 44% | 45% | 43% | 46% | 44% | 45% | 47% | 43% | 49% | ||
Strongly approve | 8% | 19% | 2% | 5% | 2% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 6% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 5% | 4% | ||
Approve | 27% | 43% | 16% | 41% | 13% | 30% | 25% | 27% | 27% | 29% | 29% | 29% | 29% | 26% | ||
Disapprove | 21% | 11% | 30% | 25% | 35% | 24% | 23% | 21% | 23% | 23% | 23% | 25% | 28% | 26% | ||
Strongly disapprove | 22% | 3% | 43% | 6% | 40% | 20% | 22% | 22% | 23% | 21% | 22% | 22% | 15% | 23% | ||
Don’t know | 22% | 24% | 9% | 23% | 10% | 18% | 23% | 22% | 21% | 19% | 19% | 17% | 23% | 22% |
35% approved of the job Bill Shorten is doing as Opposition Leader (down 3%pts from last month), and 43% disapproved (down 1%).
62% of ALP voters approved of the job Bill Shorten is doing, compared to 46% of Greens voters and 18% of Liberal/National voters.
By gender, men were 41% approve/44% disapprove and women 28% approve/43% disapprove. 15% of men and 29% of women didn’t give a rating of Bill Shorten’s performance.
Q. Who do you think would make the better Prime Minister out of Scott Morrison and Bill Shorten?
Total | Vote Labor | Vote Lib/Nat | Vote Greens | Vote other | Nov 2018 | Oct 2018 | Sep 2018 | Sep 2018 | Aug 2018
Turnbull |
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Scott Morrison | 40% | 17% | 77% | 19% | 44% | 41% | 42% | 39% | 39% | 41% | ||
Bill Shorten | 29% | 56% | 7% | 45% | 18% | 29% | 27% | 27% | 29% | 27% | ||
Don’t know | 31% | 27% | 15% | 37% | 39% | 29% | 31% | 34% | 32% | 31% |
40% thought that Scott Morrison would make the better Prime Minister (down 1%pt from last month), and 29% thought Bill Shorten would be better (no change). 31% did not know who would make a better Prime Minister.
The results were split by party, with 77% of Liberal/National voters saying that Scott Morrison would be a better Prime Minister (down 3%pts from November), and 56% of Labor voters saying Bill Shorten would (down 3%pts from 59% in November).
Greens voters preferred Bill Shorten (45%) to Scott Morrison (19%).
43% of men prefer Scott Morrison and 31% prefer Bill Shorten.
36% of women prefer Scott Morrison and 26% prefer Bill Shorten.
Q. Thinking about your own personal situation, do you agree or disagree with the following statements?
Total agree | Total disagree | Strongly agree | Agree | Neither agree nor disagree | Disagree | Strongly disagree | Jun 2017 Agree | |||
I am happy in my personal/family life | 73% | 10% | 26% | 47% | 17% | 7% | 2% | 79% | ||
I am happy in my life overall | 70% | 10% | 21% | 49% | 19% | 7% | 3% | 74% | ||
I am happy in my social life | 66% | 12% | 19% | 47% | 22% | 10% | 2% | 71% | ||
I am happy in my spiritual life | 56% | 7% | 18% | 39% | 36% | 5% | 2% | 62% | ||
I am happy in my work life | 42% | 17% | 10% | 32% | 41% | 12% | 5% | 52% |
All but one statement (I am happy in my work life) received majority agreement. The area in which happiness was the highest was personal/family life, in which 73% were happy, while the area in which happiness was lowest overall was work life, in which 42% were happy.
People in WA were least happy with their work life (with 15% strongly disagreeing with the statement) and their lives overall (10% strongly disagreeing with statement).
All areas have seen a decline in happiness since 2017, with the proportion of people agreeing they are happy with their work life declining by 10%pts (from 52%) and spiritual life declining 6%pts.
Additional breakdowns of this question are on the following page.
Additional table
This table provides a cross-tabulation of the proportion who “very strongly” agreed with each statement across a number of demographics.
Total | Vote Labor | Vote Lib/Nat | Vote Green | Vote Other | Male | Female | Earn <$78k | Earn >$78k | 18-34 | 35-54 | 55+ | |
I am happy in my personal/family life | 26% | 25% | 32% | 20% | 25% | 26% | 27% | 21% | 32% | 25% | 23% | 32% |
I am happy in my social life | 19% | 19% | 22% | 12% | 22% | 20% | 18% | 16% | 22% | 17% | 16% | 25% |
I am happy in my work life | 10% | 9% | 14% | 4% | 9% | 10% | 9% | 7% | 14% | 9% | 9% | 10% |
I am happy in my spiritual life | 18% | 15% | 21% | 17% | 21% | 17% | 18% | 16% | 20% | 16% | 17% | 21% |
I am happy in my life overall | 21% | 21% | 23% | 17% | 24% | 22% | 21% | 18% | 25% | 19% | 17% | 30% |
Liberal voters are more likely to strongly agree (14%) that they are happy in their work life, than voters of other parties.
Those with a household income of more than $78,000 are more likely to be happy in their life overall (25%), their personal/family life (32%), their social life (22%) and their work life (14%).
People aged 55 and over are more likely to strongly agree that they are happy with their life overall than those aged under 55 (30% vs. 19%).
Q. Property investors can receive tax deductions if the cost of buying and maintaining their investment properties is more than the revenue they receive from them (called negative gearing). Do you think restricting negative gearing to new homes will increase house prices, lower house prices or make no difference?
Total | Vote Labor | Vote Lib/Nat | Vote Greens | Vote other | ||
Lower house prices | 24% | 26% | 27% | 29% | 17% | |
Increase house prices | 21% | 18% | 24% | 22% | 22% | |
Make no difference | 27% | 29% | 26% | 18% | 37% | |
Don’t know | 29% | 27% | 23% | 30% | 24% |
Just under a quarter of people believe restricting negative gearing would lower house prices (24%). 21% believe it would lead to increased house prices and 27% think it would make no difference.
People aged 65 and over are most likely to believe changing the laws regarding negative gearing would not impact house prices (35%).
Q. And do you think restricting negative gearing to new homes will increase rents, lower rents or make no difference?
Total | Vote Labor | Vote Lib/Nat | Vote Greens | Vote other | ||
Lower rents | 14% | 20% | 11% | 12% | 10% | |
Increase rents | 37% | 29% | 49% | 31% | 41% | |
Make no difference | 24% | 28% | 19% | 26% | 30% | |
Don’t know | 26% | 24% | 21% | 30% | 18% |
Labor voters are more likely than other voters to believe restricting negative gearing will lower rents (20%), whereas Coalition voters are more likely than others to this it will increase rents (49%).
Q. As far as you know, do you think Australia is doing enough, not enough or too much to address climate change?
Total | Vote Labor | Vote Lib/Nat | Vote Greens | Vote other | Aug 2015 | Mar 2016 | Aug 2016 | Dec 2016 | Sep 2017 | Oct 2018 | |||
Doing enough | 24% | 23% | 32% | 10% | 24% | 24% | 21% | 22% | 22% | 20% | 23% | ||
Not doing enough | 53% | 63% | 42% | 82% | 53% | 53% | 57% | 52% | 49% | 56% | 56% | ||
Doing too much | 9% | 3% | 14% | 1% | 9% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 11% | 8% | 7% | ||
Don’t know | 14% | 11% | 12% | 7% | 14% | 16% | 13% | 18% | 18% | 16% | 13% |
Just over half (53%) think Australia is not doing enough to address climate change. This has not statistically changed from October 2018.
Those people most likely to think Australia was not doing enough include women (58%), Greens voters (82%) and Labor voters (63%).
Q. When companies pay dividends to Australian shareholders out of after-tax profit, shareholders receive franking credits, which they can claim as a tax deduction. If the shareholder does not pay any tax, they receive a cash refund from the tax office. This system is known as “dividend imputation” and these cash payments cost the Government about $8 billion per year. The Labor Party has proposed to end the cash refunds for imputation credits. Taxpayers will still be able to claim a tax deduction. Do you support or oppose ending the cash refunds?
Total | Vote Labor | Vote Lib/Nat | Vote Greens | Vote other | ||
Total support | 39% | 50% | 32% | 49% | 40% | |
Total oppose | 30% | 22% | 44% | 21% | 35% | |
Strongly support | 15% | 22% | 9% | 19% | 16% | |
Support | 25% | 29% | 23% | 30% | 24% | |
Oppose | 16% | 15% | 21% | 14% | 16% | |
Strongly oppose | 14% | 7% | 24% | 7% | 19% | |
Don’t know | 31% | 28% | 24% | 30% | 25% |
Those most likely to support ending the cash refunds for imputation credits are aged under 34 (54%), Labor voters (50%), Greens voters (49%), full-time workers (46%), those with a household income of over $78,000 (48%) and those who are university educated (46%).
Those who are most likely to oppose the idea are aged over 55 (42%) and Coalition voters (44%).
Q. If a Federal Election was held today to which party will you probably give your first preference vote? If not sure, which party are you currently leaning toward? If don’t know – Well which party are you currently leaning to?
Q | Total | 2 weeks ago
6/11/18 |
4 weeks ago 23/10/18 | Election 2 Jul 16 | ||
Liberal | 34% | 33% | 36% | |||
National | 3% | 3% | 2% | |||
Total Liberal/National | 37% | 36% | 38% | 42.0% | ||
Labor | 35% | 39% | 37% | 34.7% | ||
Greens | 11% | 10% | 10% | 10.2% | ||
Pauline Hanson’s One Nation | 7% | 6% | 7% | |||
Other/Independent | 10% | 9% | 8% | 13.1% | ||
2 party preferred | ||||||
Liberal National | 48% | 46% | 47% | 50.4% | ||
Labor | 52% | 54% | 53% | 49.6% |